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Chapter 3

Determining how
costs behave

PowerPoint to accompany:

LEARNING OBJECTIVES

Describe linear cost functions and three common


ways in which they behave

Explain the importance of causality in estimating


cost functions

Describe various methods of cost estimation

Outline six steps in estimating a cost function using


quantitative analysis

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LEARNING OBJECTIVES

Describe three criteria used to evaluate and choose


cost drivers

Explain non-linear cost functions, in particular those


arising from learning curve effects

Explain of data problems encountered in estimating


cost functions.

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Basic assumptions and examples of cost


functions

A cost function is a mathematical representation of how a


cost changes with changes in the level of an activity relating
to that cost.

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Basic assumptions and examples of cost


functions

Variations in the level of a single activity (the cost driver) explain


the variations in the related total costs.

Cost behaviour is approximated by a linear cost function within


the relevant range:

represented graphically, the total cost versus the level of


a single activity related to that cost is a straight line
within the relevant range.

Copyright 2014 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) 9781442563377/Horngren/Cost accounting/2e

Linear cost functions

y = a + bX
The dependent
variable:
the cost that is
being predicted

The independent
variable:
the cost driver

The intercept:
fixed costs

The slope of
the line:
variable cost
per unit

Copyright 2014 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) 9781442563377/Horngren/Cost accounting/2e

Basic assumptions and examples of cost


functions
Linear cost functions illustrated:

Copyright 2014 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) 9781442563377/Horngren/Cost accounting/2e

Basic assumptions and examples of cost


functions
Review of cost classification

Choice of cost object different objects may result in different


classifications of the same cost.

Time horizon the longer the period, the more likely the cost
will be variable.

Relevant range behaviour is predictable only within this band


of activity.

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Basic assumptions and examples of cost


functions
The relevant range illustrated:

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Identifying cost drivers

Cost estimation measures a relationship based on data from past


costs and the related level of an activity.

Cost predictions are forecasts of future costs.

Better cost predictions help managers make planning and control


decisions that are more informed.

10

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The cause-and-effect criterion in choosing


cost drivers

11

The most important issue in estimating a cost function is


determining whether a cause-and-effect relationship exists
between the level of an activity and the costs related to that level
of activity.

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The cause-and-effect criterion in choosing


cost drivers

12

A cause-and-effect relationship might arise as a result of:

a physical relationship between the level of activity and


costs

a contractual agreement

knowledge of operations.

Note a high correlation (connection) between activities and


costs does not necessarily mean causality.

Copyright 2014 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) 9781442563377/Horngren/Cost accounting/2e

The cause-and-effect criterion in choosing


cost drivers web links

The tutorial Accounting Cost Behavior can be found at:


http://simplestudies.com/accounting-cost-behavior.html

A cost analysis spreadsheet (see item 5) can be found at:


http://www.bized.co.uk/learn/sheets/acc_index.htm

13

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Cost estimation methods

14

Industrial engineering method

Conference method

Account analysis method

Quantitative analysis methods:

highlow method

regression analysis.

Copyright 2014 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) 9781442563377/Horngren/Cost accounting/2e

Cost estimation methods


Industrial engineering method:

15

estimates cost functions by analysing the relationship between


inputs and outputs, in physical terms

includes time-and-motion studies

very thorough and detailed, but also costly and time-consuming

also called the work-measurement method.

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Cost estimation methods


Conference method:

16

estimates cost functions on the basis of analysis and opinions


about costs and their drivers gathered from various departments
of a company

pools expert knowledge

reliance on opinions still make this method subjective.

Copyright 2014 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) 9781442563377/Horngren/Cost accounting/2e

Cost estimation methods


Account analysis method:

17

estimates cost functions by classifying various cost accounts


as variable, fixed, or mixed with respect to the identified level
of activity

is reasonably accurate, cost-effective, and easy to use but


is subjective.

Copyright 2014 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) 9781442563377/Horngren/Cost accounting/2e

Cost estimation methods


Quantitative analysis method:

18

uses a formal mathematical method to fit cost functions to past


data observations

advantage results are objective.

Copyright 2014 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) 9781442563377/Horngren/Cost accounting/2e

Steps in estimating a cost function using


quantitative analysis

19

Choose the dependent variable (the cost to be predicted).


Identify the independent variable or cost driver.
Collect data on the dependent variable and the cost driver.
Plot the data.
Estimate the cost function using the highlow method or
regression analysis.
Evaluate the cost driver of the estimated cost function.

Copyright 2014 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) 9781442563377/Horngren/Cost accounting/2e

Steps in estimating a cost function using


quantitative analysis
Sample cost activity plot:

20

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Steps in estimating a cost function using


quantitative analysis
Highlow method:

21

simplest method of quantitative analysis

uses only the highest and lowest observed values.

Copyright 2014 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) 9781442563377/Horngren/Cost accounting/2e

Steps in estimating a cost function using


quantitative analysis
Highlow method plot:

22

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Steps in estimating a cost function using


quantitative analysis
Steps in the highlow method:

23

calculate variable cost per unit of activity

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Steps in estimating a cost function using


quantitative analysis
Steps in the highlow method:

24

calculate total fixed costs

summarise by writing a linear equation

or, in text book terms: y = a + bX

Copyright 2014 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) 9781442563377/Horngren/Cost accounting/2e

Steps in estimating a cost function using


quantitative analysis
Regression analysis:

25

is a statistical method that measures the average amount of change


in the dependent variable associated with a unit change in one or
more independent variables

is more accurate than the highlow method, because the regression


equation estimates costs using information from all observations; the
high-low method uses only two observations.

Copyright 2014 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) 9781442563377/Horngren/Cost accounting/2e

Steps in estimating a cost function using


quantitative analysis
Regression analysis:

goodness of fit indicates the strength of the relationship


between the cost driver and costs

residual term measures the distance between actual cost and


estimated cost for each observation.

26

Copyright 2014 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) 9781442563377/Horngren/Cost accounting/2e

Steps in estimating a cost function using


quantitative analysis
Types of regression:

27

simple estimates the relationship between the dependent


variable and one independent variable

multiple estimates the relationship between the dependent


variable and two or more independent variables.

Copyright 2014 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) 9781442563377/Horngren/Cost accounting/2e

Steps in estimating a cost function using


quantitative analysis
Sample regression model plot:

28

Copyright 2014 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) 9781442563377/Horngren/Cost accounting/2e

Steps in estimating a cost function using


quantitative analysis
Alternative regression model plot:

29

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Evaluating cost drivers of the estimated cost


function
Choosing among cost drivers:

30

economic plausibility

goodness of fit

significance of the independent variable.

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Evaluating cost drivers of the estimated cost


function web link

31

Notes on A Few (Partial) Thoughts On Cost Estimation can be


found at:
http://faculty.txwes.edu/ttolleson/course1/documents/Hilo_Regress
ion.pdf

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Cost drivers and activity-based costing

Activity-based costing (ABC) systems focus on individual activities.

To implement ABC systems managers must identify a cost driver for


each activity.

ABC systems have a great number and variety of cost drivers and
cost pools.

32

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Cost behaviour analysis web links

Activity Based Costing (with questions) explained at:


http://www.accountingcoach.com/online-accounting-course/35Xpg0
1.html

Lecture notes with worked explanations for all of the preceding can
be found at:
http://www.docstoc.com/docs/8128902/Lecture_03_Cost-Behaviou
r

33

Copyright 2014 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) 9781442563377/Horngren/Cost accounting/2e

Non-linear cost functions

34

Economies of scale
Quantity discounts
Step cost functions resources increase in lot-sizes, not
individual units
Learning curves labour hours consumed decrease as workers
learn their jobs and become better at them
Experience curve broader application of learning curve
that includes downstream activities, including marketing
and distribution.

Copyright 2014 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) 9781442563377/Horngren/Cost accounting/2e

Non-linear cost functions

35

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Learning curves

36

Cumulative average-time learning model cumulative average time


per unit declines by a constant percentage each time the cumulative
quantity of units produced doubles.

Incremental unit-time learning model incremental time needed to


produce the last unit declines by a constant percentage each time the
cumulative quantity of units produced doubles.

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Incremental unit-time learning model

37

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Incremental unit-time learning model

38

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Incremental unit-time learning model

39

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Incorporating learning-curve effects into prices and


standards

40

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Data collection and adjustment issues

41

The database should contain numerous reliably measured


observations of the cost driver and the related costs.

The database should consider many values spanning a wide


range for the cost driver.

Copyright 2014 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) 9781442563377/Horngren/Cost accounting/2e

Data collection and adjustment issues


Problems:

42

the time period for measuring the dependent variable does not
match the period for measuring the cost driver

fixed costs are allocated as if they are variable

data are either not available for all observations, or are not
uniformly reliable.

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Data collection and adjustment issues


Problems, contd:

43

extreme values of observations occur from errors in recording


costs

there is no homogeneous relationship between the cost driver and


the individual cost items in the dependent variable-cost pool. A
homogeneous relationship exists when each activity, whose costs
are included in the dependent variable, has the same cost driver

the relationship between the cost driver and the cost is not
stationary

inflation has affected costs, the driver, or both.

Copyright 2014 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) 9781442563377/Horngren/Cost accounting/2e

Appendix 3-1: Regression analysis

Estimating the regression line

Goodness of fit

Significance of independent variables.

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Appendix 3-1: Regression analysis

45

Specification analysis of estimation assumptions testing of the


assumptions of regression analysis:

linearity within the relevant range

constant variance of residuals

independence of residuals.

Copyright 2014 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) 9781442563377/Horngren/Cost accounting/2e

Appendix 3-1: Regression analysis

Using regression output to choose cost drivers of cost functions

Multiple regression and cost hierarchies

Multicollinearity.

46

Copyright 2014 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) 9781442563377/Horngren/Cost accounting/2e

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