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Project Cost Management

2012 Project Management Institute. All Rights Reserved.

Learning Objectives
In this session, you will learn how to
Estimate costs
Determine budget
Control costs

2012 Project Management Institute. All Rights Reserved.

Project Cost Management


Includes processes involved in estimating, budgeting, and
controlling costs so that the project can be completed
within the approved budget.
Processes of Cost Management:
Estimate Costs
Determine Budget
Control Costs

2012 Project Management Institute. All Rights Reserved.

Estimate Costs
Process of developing an approximation of the costs of the
resources needed to complete project activities
Includes

identification

and

consideration

of

costing

alternatives
Cost tradeoffs and risks are considered as well
Generally expressed in units of some currency, can be
expressed in other units of measure such as staff hours or
staff days

2012 Project Management Institute. All Rights Reserved.

Scope baseline
Project schedule
Human resource plan
Risk register
Enterprise environmental factors
Organizational process assets

Outputs
Outputs

Inputs
Inputs

Estimate Costs

Activity cost estimates


Basis of estimates
Project document updates

Expert judgment
Analogous estimating
Parametric estimating
Bottom-up estimating
Three-point estimates
Reserve analysis
Cost of quality
Project management estimating software
Vendor bid analysis

Tools
Tools&&Techniques
Techniques
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Estimate Costs - Inputs


Scope Baseline
The Scope Statement provides the product description,
acceptance criteria, key deliverables, project boundaries,
assumptions, and constraints about the project.
One of the most common constraints is a limited project
budget.
The project WBS and WBS dictionary also provide details
used to estimate project costs.

Project Schedule
The type and quantity of resources and the amount of time
which those resources are applied to complete the work of
the project are major factors in determining the project cost.

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Estimate Costs - Tools and Techniques


Analogous Estimating
Uses the values of parameters, such as scope, cost, budget,
and duration or measures of scale such as size, weight, and
complexity, from previous, similar project as the basis for
estimating the same parameter or measure for a current
project
Is generally used to estimate a parameter when there is
limited amount of detailed information about the project

Parametric Estimating
Uses a statistical relationship between historical data and
other variables (square footage in construction) to calculate
an estimate activity parameters, such as cost, budget, and
duration
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Estimate Costs - Tools and Techniques


Bottom-up Estimating
Involves estimating the cost of individual work packages or
individual schedule activities with the greatest level of
specified detail

Three-Point Estimates
PERT uses three estimates to determine an approximate
range for an activitys cost:
Cm- Most likely
Co - Optimistic
Cp Pessimistic
Expected activity cost: Ce = Co + 4Cm + Cp
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Estimate Costs - Tools and Techniques


Reserve Analysis
Contingency reserves are cost estimates to account for cost
uncertainty

Project Management Estimating Software


Cost

estimating

software

applications,

computerized

spreadsheets, simulation and statistical tools, are widely used


to assist cost estimating

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Estimate Costs - Outputs


Activity Cost Estimates
A quantitative assessment of the likely costs of the resources
required to complete the scheduled activities

Basis of Estimates
Supporting detail for activity cost estimates may include:
Documentation of the basis of the estimate (i.e. how it was
developed)
Documentation of all assumptions made and any known
constraints
Indication of the range of possible estimates (e.g. INR 1,00,000
(10%) to indicate that the item is expected to cost between a
range of values), and
Indication of the confidence level of the final estimate.

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Determine Budget
The process of aggregating the estimated costs to individual
work packages to establish cost base line
The baseline includes all authorized budgets, excluding
reserve budgets
Project budgets constitute funds authorized to execute the
project
Project cost performance is measured against authorized
budget

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Activity cost estimates


Basis of estimates
Scope baseline
Project schedule
Resource calendars
Contracts
Organizational process assets

Outputs
Outputs

Inputs
Inputs

Determine Budget

Cost performance baseline


Project funding requirements
Project document updates

Cost aggregation
Reserve analysis
Expert Judgment
Historical relationships
Funding limit reconciliation

Tools
Tools&&Techniques
Techniques

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Determine Budget - Inputs


Activity Cost Estimates
Cost estimates for each activity within a work package are
aggregated to a cost estimate for each work package.

Organizational Process Assets


Organizational process assets that influence the Determine
Budget process include, but are not limited to:
Existing formal and informal cost budgeting-related policies,
procedures, and guidelines,
Cost budgeting tools, and
Reporting methods.

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Determine Budget Tools and Techniques


Cost Aggregation
Cost estimates are aggregated by work packages in accordance
with the WBS.
The work package cost estimates are then aggregated for the
higher component levels of the WBS (such as control accounts)
and ultimately for the entire project.

Reserve Analysis
Budget reserve analysis can establish both the contingency
reserves and the management reserves for the project.

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Example of Cost Aggregation


8. Cost budget

137000

7. Management
reserve

7000

6. Cost baseline

130000

5. Contingency
reserve

10000

4. Project

120000

3. Control account

50000

* Cost in INR

2. Work package

30000

70000

20000

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1. Activities

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Determine Budget - Outputs


Cost Performance Baseline
Is an authorized time-phased budget at completion (BAC) used
to measure, monitor, and control overall cost performance on
the project.
Is developed as a summation of the approved budgets by time
period and is typically displayed in the form of an S-curve.

Project Funding Requirements


Total funding requirements and periodic funding requirements
(e.g., quarterly, annually) are derived from the cost baseline.
The cost baseline will include projected expenditures plus
anticipated liabilities.
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Control Costs

Project management plan


Project funding requirements
Work performance information
Organizational process assets

Outputs
Outputs

Inputs
Inputs

The process of monitoring the status of the project to update the


project budget and managing changes to the cost baseline

Work performance measurements


Budget forecasts
Organizational process assets updates
Change requests
Project management plan updates
Project document updates

Earned value management


Forecasting
To-complete performance index
(TCPI)
Performance reviews
Variance analysis
Project management software

Tools
Tools&&Techniques
Techniques
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Control Costs Inputs


Project Management Plan

The Project Management Plan contains the following


information that is used to control cost:

Cost Performance Baseline.

Cost Management Plan.

Work Performance Information

Work Performance Information includes costs that have


been

authorized

and

incurred,

and

estimates

completing project work.


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for

Control Costs Tools and Techniques


Earned Value Management

Earned Value Management is used to measure the project


performance against the project baseline.

It integrates project scope, cost and schedule measures to


help project management team assess and measure
project performance and progress.

It compares the cumulative earned value at the original


allocated budget amount to both the planned value and to
the actual cost of work performed.

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Cumulative Values

Earned Value Management

Terms involved:
1. Planned Value (PV): Estimated
value of the work planned to be

PV

done
2. Earned Value (EV): Estimated
value of the work actually
accomplished
3. Actual Cost (AC): Actual money

AC

CV

spent for the work


accomplished.

SV

4. Budget at Completion (BAC):

Progress Review

Budget for the total project work

EV

Time

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Earned Value Management


Cost Variance (CV)
Formula: CV= EV AC

CV

-ve indicates over-budget


+ve indicates under-budget

Schedule Variance (SV)


Formula: SV = EV PV

SV

-ve indicates behind schedule


+ve indicates ahead of
schedule

Cost Performance Index (CPI)


Formula: CPI = EV/AC

CPI

Schedule Performance Index (SPI)


Formula: SPI = EV/PV

Indicates INR_ worth of work


has been done for each
Rupee spent.

SPI

Indicates that the project is


progressing at _% of the rate
originally planned.

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Control Costs Tools and Techniques


Forecasting
Includes making estimates or predictions of conditions in the projects
future based on information and knowledge available at the time of the
forecast
Are generated, updated, and reissued based on the work performance
information as the project is executed and progressed
Estimate at Completion (EAC): How much at present we expect total
project to cost.
Estimate to Complete (ETC): How much more, at present, we expect
it to cost to finish the project.
Variance at Completion (VAC): How much over or under budget, do
we expect to be at the end of project.
Budget at Completion (BAC): The total budget for the project.

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Control Costs Outputs


Work Performance Measurements

The calculated CV, SV, CPI and SPI values for WBS
components, in particular the work packages and control
accounts,

are

documented

and

communicated

to

stakeholders.

Change Requests

Analysis of project performance can result in a change


request to the cost performance baseline or other
components of the project management plan.

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Cost Management Formulae


Item

Formula

Remark

Cost Variance (CV)

EV AC

Negative value indicates over budget and positive value


indicates under budget

Schedule Variance (SV)

EV PV

Negative value indicates behind schedule and positive


value indicates ahead of schedule

Cost Performance Index (CPI)

EV / AC

Lesser than one indicates over budget and greater than


one indicates under budget

Schedule Performance Index (SPI)

EV / PV

Lesser than one indicates behind schedule and greater


than one indicates ahead of schedule

BAC / CPI

Considering that the rate of spending remains the same

AC + ETC

Considering that the current estimate is fundamentally


flawed

Estimate at Completion (EAC)

Estimate to Complete (ETC)

Variance at Completion (VAC)

AC + (BAC EV)

Considering atypical variances

AC + [(BAC EV) /
CPI]

Considering typical variances

EAC AC

Considering that the current estimate is fundamentally


flawed

BAC EV

Considering atypical variances

(BAC EV) / CPI

Considering typical variances

BAC EAC

Considering the status of the budget expected at the end


of the project

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Important Terms
Financial Term

Definition

Benefit Cost Ratio


(BCR)

Compares the benefits (revenues) to the costs of different options

Chart of Accounts

Any numbering system used to monitor project costs by category (for example, labor, supplies,
and materials)

Depreciation

Reduced price of an asset over time attributable to deterioration, obsolescence, and impending
retirement
Applies particularly to physical assets such as equipment and structures
Straight Line depreciation: Standard amount depreciating every year
Accelerated depreciation: Value depreciating at a faster rate, for example, Double Declining
method and Sum of the Years Digits

Internal Rate of Return


(IRR)

Rate at which the project inflows and project outflows are equal
Project with greatest IRR is generally selected

Net Present Value (NPV)

Present value of the total benefits minus costs over many time periods
Investment is profitable for positive NPV
Project with greatest NPV is selected

Opportunity Cost

Opportunity given up by selecting one project over another

Payback Period

Time period it takes to recover the investment made in the project before the profits start
accumulating

Present Value

The current value of future cash flows.

Sunk Cost

Expended costs, to be avoided when deciding whether to continue with a troubled project

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Exercise

Problem 48, Page 179 of Project Management Core


Textbook by Samuel J. Mantel, Jr; Margaret M. Sutton; with
M.R. Gopalan

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Exercise
A project manager is using the earned value reporting method to manage his
project. The following table shows the data collected till date. The estimated
time for the project to be completed is around eight months. The earned value
report shows data collected for the first four months of the project. The figures
shown in the table are cumulative.
Month
1
2
3
4
5

PV(INR)
1,00,000
3,00,000
5,00,000
6,00,000
13,00,000

17,00,000

19,00,000

20,00,000

AC (INR)
1,00,000
3,00,000
6,00,000
10,00,000

EV (INR)
1,00,000
2,50,000
6,00,000
7,00,000

a. What is the cost performance index for the second month?


b. What is the schedule performance index for the fourth month?
c. What is the BAC for the project during the fourth month?
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Exercise
You are working on a construction project. The Project will have four buildings.
Each building takes one quarter to complete and is budgeted for INR 20,00,000
per building. At the end of the third quarter, the status is as follows:

Building 1 is complete and the amount spent is INR 20,00,000.


Building 2 is complete and the amount spent is INR 22,00,000.
Building 3 is 60% complete and the amount spent is INR 18,00,000.
Building 4 is not yet started.
Calculate the following: PV, EV, AC, BAC, CV, CPI, SV, SPI, EAC, ETC, VAC

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Quiz

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Quiz
Estimate at completion (EAC) is a periodic evaluation of:
A.
B.
C.
D.

Cost of work completed


Value of work performed
Anticipated total cost at project completion
What it will cost to finish the job

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Quiz
An activity cost estimate includes all of the following resource
categories, except:

A. Labor
B. Materials
C. Equipment
D. Time shortages

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Quiz
Which of the following represents processes concerned with
establishing and controlling the cost baseline?

A. Plan resources and Control costs


B. Estimate Costs, Develop Budget, and Adhere to Baseline
C. Determine Budget and Control Costs
D. Resource Planning, Cost Estimating, and Cost Control

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Quiz
Earned value (EV) involves all of the following, except:

A. Value of work performed expressed in terms of the


approved budget assigned to that work for an activity
or work breakdown structure component
B. Actual cost for an activity or work breakdown
structure component
C. Budgeted cost of work performed
D. Budgeted amount for the work actually completed

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Questions?

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