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Learning Objectives
In this session, you will learn how to
Estimate costs
Determine budget
Control costs
Estimate Costs
Process of developing an approximation of the costs of the
resources needed to complete project activities
Includes
identification
and
consideration
of
costing
alternatives
Cost tradeoffs and risks are considered as well
Generally expressed in units of some currency, can be
expressed in other units of measure such as staff hours or
staff days
Scope baseline
Project schedule
Human resource plan
Risk register
Enterprise environmental factors
Organizational process assets
Outputs
Outputs
Inputs
Inputs
Estimate Costs
Expert judgment
Analogous estimating
Parametric estimating
Bottom-up estimating
Three-point estimates
Reserve analysis
Cost of quality
Project management estimating software
Vendor bid analysis
Tools
Tools&&Techniques
Techniques
2012 Project Management Institute. All Rights Reserved.
Project Schedule
The type and quantity of resources and the amount of time
which those resources are applied to complete the work of
the project are major factors in determining the project cost.
Parametric Estimating
Uses a statistical relationship between historical data and
other variables (square footage in construction) to calculate
an estimate activity parameters, such as cost, budget, and
duration
7 Project Management Institute. All Rights Reserved.
2012
Three-Point Estimates
PERT uses three estimates to determine an approximate
range for an activitys cost:
Cm- Most likely
Co - Optimistic
Cp Pessimistic
Expected activity cost: Ce = Co + 4Cm + Cp
8 Project Management Institute.6 All Rights Reserved.
2012
estimating
software
applications,
computerized
Basis of Estimates
Supporting detail for activity cost estimates may include:
Documentation of the basis of the estimate (i.e. how it was
developed)
Documentation of all assumptions made and any known
constraints
Indication of the range of possible estimates (e.g. INR 1,00,000
(10%) to indicate that the item is expected to cost between a
range of values), and
Indication of the confidence level of the final estimate.
Determine Budget
The process of aggregating the estimated costs to individual
work packages to establish cost base line
The baseline includes all authorized budgets, excluding
reserve budgets
Project budgets constitute funds authorized to execute the
project
Project cost performance is measured against authorized
budget
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Outputs
Outputs
Inputs
Inputs
Determine Budget
Cost aggregation
Reserve analysis
Expert Judgment
Historical relationships
Funding limit reconciliation
Tools
Tools&&Techniques
Techniques
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Reserve Analysis
Budget reserve analysis can establish both the contingency
reserves and the management reserves for the project.
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137000
7. Management
reserve
7000
6. Cost baseline
130000
5. Contingency
reserve
10000
4. Project
120000
3. Control account
50000
* Cost in INR
2. Work package
30000
70000
20000
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Control Costs
Outputs
Outputs
Inputs
Inputs
Tools
Tools&&Techniques
Techniques
2012 Project Management Institute. All Rights Reserved.
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authorized
and
incurred,
and
estimates
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for
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Cumulative Values
Terms involved:
1. Planned Value (PV): Estimated
value of the work planned to be
PV
done
2. Earned Value (EV): Estimated
value of the work actually
accomplished
3. Actual Cost (AC): Actual money
AC
CV
SV
Progress Review
EV
Time
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CV
SV
CPI
SPI
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The calculated CV, SV, CPI and SPI values for WBS
components, in particular the work packages and control
accounts,
are
documented
and
communicated
to
stakeholders.
Change Requests
23
Formula
Remark
EV AC
EV PV
EV / AC
EV / PV
BAC / CPI
AC + ETC
AC + (BAC EV)
AC + [(BAC EV) /
CPI]
EAC AC
BAC EV
BAC EAC
Important Terms
Financial Term
Definition
Chart of Accounts
Any numbering system used to monitor project costs by category (for example, labor, supplies,
and materials)
Depreciation
Reduced price of an asset over time attributable to deterioration, obsolescence, and impending
retirement
Applies particularly to physical assets such as equipment and structures
Straight Line depreciation: Standard amount depreciating every year
Accelerated depreciation: Value depreciating at a faster rate, for example, Double Declining
method and Sum of the Years Digits
Rate at which the project inflows and project outflows are equal
Project with greatest IRR is generally selected
Present value of the total benefits minus costs over many time periods
Investment is profitable for positive NPV
Project with greatest NPV is selected
Opportunity Cost
Payback Period
Time period it takes to recover the investment made in the project before the profits start
accumulating
Present Value
Sunk Cost
Expended costs, to be avoided when deciding whether to continue with a troubled project
Exercise
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Exercise
A project manager is using the earned value reporting method to manage his
project. The following table shows the data collected till date. The estimated
time for the project to be completed is around eight months. The earned value
report shows data collected for the first four months of the project. The figures
shown in the table are cumulative.
Month
1
2
3
4
5
PV(INR)
1,00,000
3,00,000
5,00,000
6,00,000
13,00,000
17,00,000
19,00,000
20,00,000
AC (INR)
1,00,000
3,00,000
6,00,000
10,00,000
EV (INR)
1,00,000
2,50,000
6,00,000
7,00,000
Exercise
You are working on a construction project. The Project will have four buildings.
Each building takes one quarter to complete and is budgeted for INR 20,00,000
per building. At the end of the third quarter, the status is as follows:
Quiz
Quiz
Estimate at completion (EAC) is a periodic evaluation of:
A.
B.
C.
D.
Quiz
An activity cost estimate includes all of the following resource
categories, except:
A. Labor
B. Materials
C. Equipment
D. Time shortages
Quiz
Which of the following represents processes concerned with
establishing and controlling the cost baseline?
Quiz
Earned value (EV) involves all of the following, except:
Questions?
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