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OBJECTIVES
At the end of this session, participants
should be able to:
a) Understand the importance of
conducting risk assessment;
b) Comprehend the concept of risk
assessment;
c) Aware of existence of multiple
methodologies to conduct risk
assessment.
CONTEXT
Publics View
Scientific
Intuitive
Focuses on personal
consequences
A death is a death
Source: World Health Organization, 2012. Rapid Risk Assessment of Acute Public Health Events.
Geneva, Switzerland. WHO
What is RISK
ASSESSMENT?
Systematic process for gathering,
assessing and documenting information
to assign a level of risk for a potential acute
public health event
Also need to state a level of confidence
and indicate the limitations in reaching a
decision on the level of risk at that particular
point in time
Realistically, determine potential risk of an
acute event by assessing the likelihood
that the event will worsen and the
Rapid response RA
Rapid decision for action 1 hour preparation, 1 hour meeting,
immediate decisions
Assesses risk of event (likelihood and consequences) and determines
immediate action
Used at surveillance team; and / or
Used for high impact public health event with involvement of more than
one Ministry
Medium term RA
More in-depth assessment
More time to have inputs, more time to implement outcomes
Proposed Action
Risk characterization
- To consider the use of the risk matrix
Level of Confidence
in the Risk Assessment
It is important to document the risk
assessment teams level of confidence in the
assessment and the reason for any limitations
Second option:
Assesses probability and impact separately
Avoids over-simplification
Provides a more accurate assessment in situations where
there is a high probability low impact disease or a low
probability high impact disease
DAISY Attributes
& Risk Scores
DAISY Applications
Monitoring of a single disease
To assess risk from a specific emerging disease
Risk ranking for a group of specific infectious diseases
Ranking risk from a specific infectious disease across
regions
The Risk
Management
Cycle:
Occupational
Safety &
Health
Approach
THANK YOU