FUTURE OF WIND ENERGY IN

INDIA

By:
Dr Manoj Kumar Bhambu
FUTURE OF WIND ENERGY IN INDIA
Demand for energy is bound to increase with the
increased economic development in the country.
Indian economy is reviving (7.4% in 2014) after sluggish

growth in the last three years (6.6%, 5.1% and 6.9% for
2011, 2012 and 2013 respectively) (The World Bank,
2015).
It is expected to grow at faster pace in the times to come

as Government of India is stressing upon Make in

India, Ease of Doing Business and Digital India
predominantly besides land and labour reforms.
It will further push the demand of electricity in almost

all the sectors i.e. household, agriculture, commercial,

institutional and industrial sector.
INDIA'S INSTALLED CAPACITY OF ELECTRICITY
IN MW AS ON 30 JUNE 2015

Coal; 167208

Gas; 23062
Oil; 994
RES**(MNRE);Hydro(Renewable);
35777 41997
Nuclear; 5780
WHY RENEWABLE ENERGY?
The International Renewable Energy Agency
(Irena) revealed that increasing Wind and Solar
powersources to 36 percent would bring the goal
of reducing greenhouse gasessignificantly
closer(Gifford, 2016).
As Solar and wind energy can play a vital role in
supplying clean and green energy;
Present paper tries to find out the role wind
energy can play in the generation mix of power
sector in India.
It tries to estimate the total production of wind
energy by 2050 in India.
FACTORS IN FAVOUR OF WIND ENERGY IN INDIA

Technol
ogical
Progres
s
Skill
Govern Develop
ment ment
Policies Council
Wind
Energy
Potential
s
Environ Financi
mental al
Concer Compet
ns ence
Social
&
Industri
al
Accepta
nce
 WIND ENERGY POTENTIALS OF INDIA
The National Institute of Wind Energy, formerly the Centre of Wind Energy
Technology, recently announced that the total onshore wind energy
potential in the country is 302 GW (determined at a hub height of 100
meters).
The fresh estimates are six-times the wind energy potential determined at

a 50 meter hub height, and three-times the potential estimated at a hub

height of 80 metres.
Of the total estimated 302 GW potential, 153 GW is available in

wasteland, 146 GW in cultivable land, and 3 GW in forest land. (Mittal,

2015)
The new Berkeley Lab study has found the total techno-economic wind

potential to range from 2,006 GW for 80-meter hub heights (an indication
of how high the wind turbine stands above the ground) to 3,121 GW for
120-meter hub heights, an LBL news releasestates. (Shahan, 2012).
Only 25% of potential realisation gives us an opportunity as big as double

the present total installed capacity. This shows the huge potentials in
wind energy in India.
 Life-Cycle Tonnes CO2 e/GWH by Source of Electricity Generation

Technology Mean Low High

Lignite 1,054 790 1,372

Coal 888 756 1310

Oil 733 547 935

Natural Gas 499 362 891

Solar PV 85 13 731

Biomass 45 10 101

Nuclear 29 2 130

Hydroelectric 26 2 237

Wind 26 6 124

Source: http://www.world-nuclear.org/uploadedFiles/org/WNA/Publications/
Working_Group_Reports/comparison_of_lifecycle.pdf
TIMELINE OF SIZE AND CAPACITY
OF WIND TURBINES
 Cumulative Installed Capacity of Wind Energy by Countries in MW
Rank Country 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
1 China 2,599 5,912 12,210 25,104 44,733 62,733 75,564 91,412 114,763

2 USA 11,603 16,819 25,170 35,159 40,200 46,919 60,007 61,110 65,879

3 Germany 20,622 22,247 23,903 25,777 27,214 29,060 31,332 34,250 39,165

4 Spain 11,630 15,145 16,740 19,149 20,676 21,674 22,796 22,959 22,987

5 India 6,270 7,850 9,587 10,925 13,064 16,084 18,421 20,150 22,465

6 UK 1,963 2,389 3,288 4,070 5,203 6,540 8,445 10,711 12,440

7 Canada 1,460 1,846 2,369 3,319 4,008 5,265 6,200 7,823 9,694

8 France 1,589 2,477 3,426 4,410 5,660 6,800 7,196 8,243 9,285

9 Italy 2,123 2,726 3,537 4,850 5,797 6,747 8,144 8,558 8,663

10 Brazil 237 247 339 606 932 1,509 2,508 3,466 5,939
 BASIC ASSUMPTION FOR ESTIMATING THE
FUTURE OF WIND ENERGY IN INDIA
Past experience shows that size and wind turbine capacity
is doubling every five years and with the increased hub
heights it may slightly slows down but keep on increasing
with steady pace. We can expect wind turbine of 20MW by
2030 and 40MW by 2040 and 60MW by 2048.
Average life-cycle for Technology is assumed to be 15

years and gradual shift in technology is assumed.

25 years of average life of a wind turbine is assumed

hence total installed capacity is adjusted for

decommissioning of old turbines.
It is assumed that number of new wind turbines installed

will expected to rise at the rate of 5% and a factor of 10%

uncertainty is increased after every five year for arriving at
moderate scenario.
 CONCLUSION
Wind energy has bright future and we can expect
30% contribution of wind energy in the total
generation mix of electricity in India by 2050.
Though wind energy has its own negatives like
noise and loss of birds life yet concentrating on
off-shore potentials development and
development of bladeless windmills that are
having no visibly moving parts and reduced noise
will solve these problems in coming decades.
FUTURE OF WIND POWER IN INDIA
Wind Energy Installed
Capacity in MW Wind Energy Installed Capacity
(Aggressive Scenario- in MW (Moderate Scenario-
Year Theoretical Possibility ) Practically Expected)
2020 54602 49142
2025 108835 92528
2030 221080 171100
2035 449480 308140
2040 745515 456157
2045 1026878 568702
2050 1300320 650735
 Thank You &
Wishing Us ALL
Clean and Green
Energy