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Managers try to make their firms more valuable. The value of a firm is determined
by the size, timing, and risk of its free cash flows (FCF).
A firms intrinsic value is found as the present value of its FCFs, discounted at the
weighted average cost of capital (WACC).
Since most firms employ different types of capital, the cost of capital is the
weighted average cost of capital, or WACC.
Businesses require capital to develop new products, build factories and distribution
centers, install information technology, expand internationally, and acquire other
companies.
For each of these actions, a company must estimate the total investment required
and then decide whether the expected rate of return exceeds the cost of the
capital. The weighted average cost of capital, or WACC is a critical element in
many business decisions.
Weighted average of cost of different types of capital
Notice that this after-tax cost of debt is only slightly higher than the after-tax cost
of debt where flotation costs are ignored. Therefore, analysts often ignore the
flotation costs of debt.
2. Cost of Preferred Stock
Dp DP DP
rP Pn rP
Pn rP Pn
where Dp = the annual cash dividends paid on the preferred stock
Pn = the proceeds from the sale of the preferred stock
The cost of preferred stock is simply the preferred dividend divided by the price
the company will receive if it issues new preferred stock.
No tax adjustment is necessary, as preferred dividends are not tax deductible.
Example Continued
What is the cost of preferred stock of NCC if it pays a preferred dividend of $8 per
share if the company could sell new preferred with a par value of $100 and a
flotation cost of 2.5%?
Dp 8
rP 8.21%
Pn 100 2.5
Is preferred stock more or less risky to investors than debt?
More risky; company not required to pay preferred dividend.
However, firms want to pay preferred dividend. Otherwise, (1) cannot pay
common dividend, (2) difficult to raise additional funds, and (3) preferred
stockholders may gain control of firm. Some preferred shares gain voting rights
when the preferred dividends are in arrears for a substantial time.
-100 10 10 10 10 10+147.36
-100 CF0 10 CF1 10 CF2 10 CF3 10 CF4 157.36 CF5 Rate = 16.78%
Balance Sheet
Assets Liabilities
Common Stock
Retained Earnings
Total Common Equity
The costs of these two types of common equity are different. The difference is
mainly due to the flotation costs, or transaction costs, when you sell new common
stock. Of the two types of common equity, therefore, newly issued common stock is
more expensive for the firm than the retained earnings.
Do retained earnings have a cost? Yes! Opportunity Cost
3-1. Cost of Retained Earnings
3-1-(1) CAPM Approach
Security market Line (SML): ri = rRF + i (rM - rRF)
Example NCCs stock has a beta is 1.2, the risk-free rate is 5%, and the market
risk premium is 5.5 %. Calculate the cost of retained earnings based on the CAPM.
ri = 5% + 1.2 (10.5% 5%) = 11.6%
ri
SML
ri=11.6%
rM=10.5%
M
rRF=5%
i
M=1 i=1.2
ESTIMATION OF THE PARAMETERS
Security Market Line (SML): r i = rF + i ( r M rF )
(1) Estimating the Risk-Free Rate
(1) T-bill rate
(2) T-bond rate
(3) current T-bond rate - historical spread (2.2%) - Table on page 43
A survey of highly regarded companies shows that about two-thirds of them use
the rate on 10- year Treasury bonds.
Since common stocks are long- term securities, it is reasonable to think that
stock returns embody relatively long-term inflation expectations.
In theory, the CAPM is supposed to measure the required return over a particular
holding period. When it is used to estimate the cost of equity for a project, the
theoretically correct holding period is the life of the project. Since a time period of
10 years is a reasonable average for projects lives, the return on a 10- year T-
bond is a logical choice for the risk- free rate.
ESTIMATION OF THE PARAMETERS
Security Market Line (SML): r i = r F + i ( rM rF )
(2) Estimating the Market Risk Premium
2-1. Ex-post Risk Premium = Historical Risk Premium (Table on page 43)
r(large company stocks) r(US T-bond) = 11.9% - 5.9% = 6%
2-2. Ex-ante Risk Premium = Forward-Looking Risk Premium
(Value Line, Merrill Lynch, IBES, etc.)
i) Constant growth rate model allowing no stock repurchases
RM = (D1 / P0) + g = RF + RPM S&P 500 Dividend Yield
(D1 / P0) = 1.84%; RF = 3.34%;
g = sales revenue growth = growth in prices + growth in sales units
= expected inflation + population growth (+ growth from innovation)
= (2.37% ~ 3%) + (1% ~ 2.5%) = 3.37% ~ 5.5% = average 4.44%
RM = 1.84% + 4.44% = 6.28% RPM = 6.28% - 3.34% = 2.94%
iM iM i M
i 2
M 2M
Estimating Beta
First, there is no theoretical guidance as to the correct holding period for
measuring returns. With too few years, there will be few observations and the
regression will not be statistically significant. With too many years the statistical
significance may be improved but the true beta may have changed over the
sample period. In practice, it is common to use either 3 to 5 years of monthly
returns, or perhaps 1 to 2 years of weekly returns.
The estimate of beta for any individual company is statistically imprecise. The
average company has an estimated beta of 1.0, but the 95% confidence interval
ranges from about 0.6 to 1.4.
Using different indexes in the
regression will result in a
different beta, and we would
surely obtain a different beta if
we broadened the index to
include real estate and other
assets.
In countries with less-
developed financial markets,
the true value of a companys
beta can be calculated with
less certainty.
iM iM i M
Determinants of Beta i 2
M 2M
Financial leverage always increases the equity beta relative to the asset beta.
Financial Risk: The additional risk borne by the stockholders as a result of the
firm's use of debt.
Substituting (2) into the SML, rS,L = rF + S,L ( rM rF ), we have the following:
D1 D1 D1
P0 rS g rS g
rS g P0 P0
Example continued NCCs stock is expected to pay a dividend over the next year
of $1.82, and it sells for $32. The firm has an expected constant growth rate of 5.5%.
Calculate the cost of retained earnings based on the Dividend-Yield-plus-Growth-
Rate Approach.
D1 1.82
rS g .055 .112 11.2%
P0 32
Estimation of the Growth Rate (1) Historical Growth Rates
If earnings and dividend growth rates have been relatively stable in the past, and if
investors expect these trends to continue, then the past realized growth rate may be
used as an estimate of the expected future growth rate.
(1) Compound Growth rate, Point-to-point
(2) Compound Growth rate, Average-to-average
(3) Least Square Regression
Et = E0 (1 + g)t
ln(Et) = ln(E0) + ln [ (1 + g)t ] = ln(E0) + t ln (1 + g)
ln(Et) = ln(E0) + ln (1 + g) t
Y = + X
ln(1 + g) = -coefficient = slope of the regression equation
e slope = 1 + g g = e slope - 1
Example continued: Growth Rate One widely followed analyst forecasted that
NCC would have a 10.4% annual growth rate in earnings and dividends over the
next 5 years, after which the growth rate would decline to 5%. Assuming a 50- year
horizon, calculate the average growth rate.
Example continued NCC is using a 3% risk premium for its common stock over
the firm's bond yield. Calculate the cost of retained earnings.
rs = bond yield + risk premium = 9% + 3% = 12%
Example continued Calculate the cost of new common stock for NCC based on
other approaches using the flotation costs calculated based on the Dividend-Yield-
plus-Growth-Rate approach.
WACC1 = wd rd(1-T) + wp rp + ws rs
= (.3) x (9%) x (1-.4) + (.1) x (8.2%) + (.6)x(11.65) = 9.43%
WACC2 = wd rd(1-T) + wp rp + ws re
= (.3) x (9%) x (1-.4) + (.1) x (8.2) + (.6)x(12.45) = 9.91%
5. THE FIRM VERSUS THE DIVISION
Is the firms WACC correct for each of its divisions?
NO! The composite WACC reflects the risk of an average project undertaken by
the firm.
Different divisions may have different risks. The divisions WACC should be
adjusted to reflect the divisions risk and capital structure.
28
Example Allied Products Inc. is a conglomerate which consists of three major
divisions with the following characteristics.
In order to estimate the cost of capital for each division, Allied Products has
identified the following three principal competitors.
Assume rF = 5% and rM = 15%.
Divisions Weights (MV) Pure Play Firm Estimated
Chemical Division 20% Associated Chemicals 1.2
Electronics Division 50% General Electronics 1.6
Food Division 30% United Foods 0.9
rP
21% Electronics
17% Chemical
rM = 15% M
14% Food
rRF = 5%
P
0.9 1.0 1.2 1.6
Example Continued: (b) Suppose you have a project which costs $190,000, has a
10-year life, and provides expected after-tax net cash flows of $40,000 per year.
Would you accept the project if it is in the Electronics division? What if it is a
Chemical division project, or a Food division project?
Food
18645 IRR = 16.47%
r
14 17 21
-3656
Chemical
-27837
Electronics
Example Continued c) What is the beta of the firm? What is the required
rate of return on the common stock of the company?