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critical appraisal
with picture
Dr. Saryono, MKes.
sarbiokim@gmail.com
Medical evidence increasing at epidemic rates: we
all need EBP skills to keep up-to-date
Bastian, Glasziou, Chalmers (2010) 75 Trials and 11Systematic Reviews a Day: How Will We Ever Keep Up? PLoS Med 7(9)
Medical evidence increasing at epidemic rates: we
all need EBP skills to keep up-to-date
approx 75 new
trials published
every day
Bastian, Glasziou, Chalmers (2010) 75 Trials and 11Systematic Reviews a Day: How Will We Ever Keep Up? PLoS Med 7(9)
Medical evidence increasing at epidemic rates: we
all need EBP skills to keep up-to-date
MEDLINE 2010
2,000 articles / day
approx 75 new
trials published
every day
Bastian, Glasziou, Chalmers (2010) 75 Trials and 11Systematic Reviews a Day: How Will We Ever Keep Up? PLoS Med 7(9)
About 10% of published
evidence is worth
reading =bernilai
About 1/3 of
worthwhile evidence is
eventually refuted or
attenuated = lemah
About 1/2 of
relevant evidence is
not implemented
The Problem
Vast and expanding
literature.
Limited time to read.
Different reasons to read
mean different strategies.
Keeping up to date.
Answering specific clinical
questions.
Pursuing a research interest.
6
Akurasi uji diagnostik
Kekuatan prognosis
Efikasi
Keamanan intervensi
smokers non-smokers
yes
Lung cancer
5 years
no
smokers non-smokers
normal
Lung function
abnormal
Cross-sectional study 13
British doctors
aspirin placebo
yes
Myocardial infarction 5 years
no
RCT
14
Middle-aged US women
Test applied
yes
Breast cancer
no
positive
mammogram
negative
16
GATE: Graphic Appraisal Tool for
Epidemiological studies
Exposure / Intervention
Comparison
Grouping
Outcome
Diwakili oleh panah
Time horisontal dan vertikal
Panah horisontal
untuk hasl penelitian
yang diukur saat satu
waktu
Panah vertikal
digunakan untuk
menggambarkan
pengukuran outcome
setelah beberapa
waktu
Kerangka GATE
PECOT/PICOT
Population
Exposure/intervention
Comparison
Outcome
Time
The 1st acronym = PECOT : the 5 parts of
every epidemiological study
Participants P
O Outcomes
Time
T
25
Lewis RT et al. Should antibiotic prophylaxis be used
routinely in clean surgical procedures: A tentative yes.
Surgery 1995;118:742-7.
26
Background. The incidence of surgical site infection (SSI) after
clean surgical procedure is regarded as too low for routine
antibiotic prophylaxis. But risk of SSI can be as high as 20%. We
assessed the value of prophylactic cefotaxime in patients stratified
for risk of SSI in a double-blind RCT.
Methods. Patients having clean elective operations were stratified
for risk & randomized to receive IV cefotaxime 2 gm or placebo
before operation & followed for 4-6 weeks for SSI.
Results. The 378 of 775 patients who received cefotaxime had
70% fewer SSIs than those who did not --Mantel-Haenszel risk
ratio (MH-RR) 0.31; 95 % CI 0.11 to 0.83. Benefit was clear in the
616 low risk patients--0.97% versus 3.9% SSI (MH-RR 0.25, CI
0.07 to 0.87, p = 0.018), but only a trend was seen in 136 high risk
patients--2.8% versus 6.1% SSI (MH-RR 0.48, CI 0.09 to 2.5).
Conclusions. The results indicate clear benefit for routine
antibiotic prophylaxis in clean surgical procedures.
27
High risk
patients need more study. 27
28
1st critical appraisal task: describe studys design by
hanging on GATE frame using PECOT acronym
E C
O
T 29
Participants
Study Setting
Eligible Participants
P
Participants
30
Lewis Trial
Participants
Study Setting: patients admitted to QE Hospital,
Montreal, Canada (1992-5?)
Exposure or Comparison or
Intervention Group EG CG Control Group
(EG) (CG)
32
Exposure & Comparison Groups:
low risk group
633
316 317
Exposure or Comparison or
Intervention Group Control Group
(EG): (CG):
2g cefotaxime IV pre- Identical placebo
op IV
33
Exposure & Comparison Groups:
low risk group
633
316 317
Exposure or Comparison or
Intervention Group Control Group
(EG):
308* 308* (CG):
2mg cefotaxime IV Identical placebo
pre-op IV
* With complete
34 follow-up
Outcomes (O)
yes a b
Dis-ease O Outcomes (O)
no c d
35
633
Outcomes (O)
316 317
a= 3 b=12
yes
Surgical site
infection (SSI)
O Primary Outcome
no c d (O)
36
Time (T)
incidence
T
prevalence
37
Time (T)
316 317
Outcome: SSI
incidence
T= time from
initiation of treatment
to end of follow-up
38
Study design: GATE frame & PECOT
Participants P
O Outcomes
Time
T 39
Lewis
316 317
Exposure Group: 308 308 Comparison Group:
IV cefotaxime IV placebo
Time: 3 12
Outcomes:
Up to 6 wks post-op SSI
40
Questions?
41
The 1st formula: study analyses
42
All epidemiological studies involve measuring
the OCCURRENCE of outcomes
D Denominator (Participants)
N Numerator (Outcomes)
Occ = ND 43
All epidemiological studies involve measuring
the OCCURRENCE of outcomes
D Denominator (Participants)
During what period of time (T) was N
T measured? (incidence)
N Numerator (Outcomes)
Occ = ND (T?) 44
All epidemiological studies involve measuring
the OCCURRENCE of outcomes
D Denominator (Participants)
T
At what point in time (T) was N measured?
(prevalence)
N Numerator (Outcomes)
Occ = ND (T?) 45
The 1st formula:
Occurrence (risk) = Numerator Denominator
Exposed
P Comparison
Group Group
DE DC
T NE NC T
O
46
2nd appraisal task: describe analyses by hanging
numbers on the GATE frame and calculating
occurrences in exposure & comparison groups
Denominator 1: Denominator 2:
Exposure Group EG CG Comparison Group
(EG) (CG)
Numerator 1: a a b Numerator 2: b
O
c d 47
Occurrence = N D
P
Denominator 1: Denominator 2:
Exposure Group EG CG Comparison Group
EG CG
Numerator 1: a b Numerator 2:
a O b
c d
Denominator 1: Denominator 2:
Exposure Group EG CG Comparison Group
EG CG
Numerator 1: a b Numerator 2:
a O b
c d
Denominator 1: Denominator 2:
Exposure Group EG CG Comparison Group
EG CG
Numerator 1: a b Numerator 2:
a O b
c d
Denominator 1: Denominator 2:
Exposure Group EG CG Comparison Group
EG = 604 CG = 604
Numerator 1: a b Numerator 2:
a = 87 O b = 101
c d
Denominator 1: Denominator 2:
Exposure Group EG CG Comparison Group
EG = 308 CG = 308
Numerator 1: a b Numerator 2:
a=3 O b = 12
c d
53
Describing differences between
occurrences (SSI in low risk patients)
Relative difference or Relative Risk = EGO CGO
= 144,04/1000 167,22/1000 = 0.86
Absolute Difference or Risk Difference = EGO - CGO
55
Questions?
56
Kunci validitas dalam GATE
RAAAMBo
Represent: keterwakilan partisipan
Allocation: alokasi kelompok terpajan dan
pembanding
Adjustment: penyelesaian confounding
Accounted: pencatatan
Measured: pengukuran akurat
Blinding: pembutaan
Objective: objektif
RAAAMBo
The 2nd acronym = RAMBO* : assessing bias
strength of study
P P Recruitment
E Allocation
C Maintenance
E C
O
Blind or
T O
T Objective outcomes
measurement
59 59
* Paul Glasziou
The 2nd acronym = RAMBO* : assessing non
random error (i.e. bias)
P P Recruitment
E Allocation
C Maintenance
E C
O
Blind or
T O
T Objective outcomes
measurement
60 60
* Paul Glasziou
3rd appraisal task: assess the degree of bias by
applying the RAMBO acronym
P P Recruitment
E Allocation
C Maintenance
E C
O
Blind or
T O
T Objective outcomes
measurement
61
Study setting
Eligible people
RAMBO
were Recruitment processes
P appropriate to study goals?
P
Study setting & eligibility criteria well
described?
e.g. Recruit random/representative sample
E C OR consecutive eligibles OR volunteers
from advertisements
Participants representative of eligibles?
Prognostic/risk profile appropriate to
study question?
O
T
62
RAMBO: A is for Allocation
Was Allocation to
EG & CG
successful?
were EG & CG
EG CG similar at EG CG
baseline?
O O 63
T T
P
RAMBO
were Participants Maintained as
allocated?
did most participants remain in
allocated groups (EG & CG)
EG CG Participants &/or investigators blind to
exposure (and comparison exposure)?
EG CG
Allocation bias
E C Maintenance bias
Outcomes
O
T Measurement bias
66
Questions?
67
Excel CATs & paper Gate-lites
70
Using GATE
as a framework for evidence based practice
The first 4 steps of EBP
1. Ask a focused question.
2. Access (systematically search for) epidemiological
evidence to help answer question.
3. Appraise evidence found for its validity, effect size,
precision (ideally all the relevant evidence)
4. Apply the evidence:
a. amalgamate the valid evidence with other relevant
information (patient/community values, clinical/health
issues, & policy context) and make an evidence-based
decision; and
b. act (implement) the decision in practice
EBP Step 1: Ask- turn your question into a
5-part PECOT question
74
74
EBP Step 3: Appraise the
evidence
X-factor: making evidence-based decisions
Evidence
Clinical / health
Patient / community considerations
preferences
Policy issues