UNIT 1 ADVANCED TOPICS IN RISK MANAGEMENT After studying this Chapter, you should be able to
Explain the meaning of Financial Risk
Management and Enterprise Risk Management.
Describe how the risks of terrorism and climate
change impact risk management.
Describe the impact of the underwriting cycle and
consolidation in the Insurance industry on the practice of risk management.
Describe other risk management tools that may
be of assistance to risk managers. 1. THE CHANGING SCOPE OF RISK MANAGEMENT
Traditionally, risk management was limited in
scope to pure loss exposures, including property risks, liability risks, and personnel risks. An interesting trend emerged in the 1990s, however, as many businesses began to expand the scope of risk management to include speculative financial risks. Some businesses have gone a step further, expanding their risk management programs to consider all risks faced by the organization and the strategic implications of the risks. 1. THE CHANGING SCOPE OF RISK MANAGEMENT
A. Financial Risk Management
Financial System is composed of the products and
services provided by Financial Institutions that serve to facilitate economic transactions. Virtually all economic transactions are effected by one or more of these financial institutions. They create financial instruments, such as stocks and bonds, pay interest on deposits, lend money to creditworthy borrowers, and create and maintain the payment systems of modern economies. 1. THE CHANGING SCOPE OF RISK MANAGEMENT
Financial Institutions are an institutions that
provide financial services (i.e. financial advice and planning; foreign currency exchanges; money management and/or advice; money transfers) for their clients or members. Most financial institutions are regulated by the government.
There are three major types of financial
institutions: 1. THE CHANGING SCOPE OF RISK MANAGEMENT
-Depositary Institutions deposit-taking
institutions that accept and manage deposits and make loans, including banks, building societies, credit unions, trust companies, and mortgage loan and companies;
-Contractual Institutions insurance companies
and pension funds; and
-Investment Institutions investment banks.
1. THE CHANGING SCOPE OF RISK MANAGEMENT
These institutions may be affected by Risk.
Risk: in general, a probability or threat of
damage, liability, loss, or any other negative occurrence that is caused by external or internal influences.
-In Finance: the probability that an actual return
(profit) on an investment will be lower than the expected return. This includes the possibility of losing some or all of the original investment. 1. THE CHANGING SCOPE OF RISK MANAGEMENT
Main Types of Financial Risks:
- Capital Risk: Losing your invested monies. The risk a
company faces that it may lose value on its capital. The capital of a company can include equipment, factories and liquid securities. For example, If a company does not insure the value of some of its assets, it will face capital risk from such things as fire, flood and theft.
- Credit Risk: is the risk of default on a debt that may arise
from a borrower failing to make required payments. 1. THE CHANGING SCOPE OF RISK MANAGEMENT
- Inflationary Risk: called Purchasing Power Risk,
is the chance that the cash flows from an investment won't be worth as much in the future because of changes in purchasing power due to inflation. 1. THE CHANGING SCOPE OF RISK MANAGEMENT
- Market Risk: Selling an investment at an unfavourable price.
- Liquidity Risk: Limitations on the availability of funds for a specific
period of time.
- Default Risk: The failure of the institution where an investment is
made. It is the risk that a bond issuer will default on any type of debt by failing to make payments which it is obligated to make. With default risk, the risk is primarily that of the bondholder and includes lost principal and interest, disruption to cash flows, and increased collection costs.
- Legislative Risk: Changes in tax laws may make certain
investments less advantageous. 1. THE CHANGING SCOPE OF RISK MANAGEMENT
- Trading Risk: Today banks hire traders to actively buy
and sell securities, loans, and derivatives using a portion of the banks capital. It is risk that the instrument may go down in value rather than up is called Trading Risk.
- Sovereign Risk (Country Risk)
It arises from the fact that some foreign borrowers may not repay their loans because their government prohibits them from doing so. If a foreign country is experiencing a financial crisis, the government may decide to restrict dollar-denominated payments. 1. THE CHANGING SCOPE OF RISK MANAGEMENT
- Operational Risk
Is the risk of loss resulting from the inadequate or
failed internal processes, people and systems or from external events. This definition includes legal risklegal risk includes, but is not limited to, exposure to fines, penalties, or punitive damages resulting from supervisory actions, as well as private settlements. Operational risks are specific to the individual bank rather than indicating a particular problem within the banking sector. 1. THE CHANGING SCOPE OF RISK MANAGEMENT - Commodity Price Risk
- Is the threat that a change in the price of a
production input will adversely impact a producer who uses that input. So unexpected changes in commodity prices can reduce a producer's profit. Producers and users of commodities face commodity price risks. - For example, consider an agricultural operation that will have thousands of bushels of grain at harvest time. At harvest, the price of the commodity may have increased or decreased, depending on the supply and demand for grain. Because little storage is available for the crop, the grain must be sold at the current market price, even if that price is low. 1. THE CHANGING SCOPE OF RISK MANAGEMENT
- Interest Rate Risk
Financial institutions usually face the interest rate
risk. Interest Rate Risk is the risk of loss caused by adverse interest rate movements. For example, consider a bank that has loaned money at fixed interest rates to home purchasers through 15 to 30-year mortgages. If interest rates increase, the bank must pay higher interest rates on deposits while the mortgages are locked- in at lower interest rates. 1. THE CHANGING SCOPE OF RISK MANAGEMENT
- Currency Exchange Rate Risk
- The Currency Exchange Rate is the value for
which one nations currency may be converted to another nations currency. For example, one Canadian dollar might be worth the equivalent of two-thirds of one U.S. dollar. At this currency exchange rate, one U.S. dollar may be converted to one and one-half Canadian dollars. 1. THE CHANGING SCOPE OF RISK MANAGEMENT
- The companies that have international
operations face the currency exchange rate risk.
- Currency Exchange Rate Risk is the risk of
loss of value caused by changes in the rate at which one nations currency may be converted to another nations currency. For example, a U.S. company faces currency exchange rate risk when it agrees to accept a specified amount of foreign currency in the future as payment for goods sold or work performed. 1. THE CHANGING SCOPE OF RISK MANAGEMENT
- All these Risks and others lead to:
Systemic Risk: the risk of collapse of an entire
financial system or entire market, as opposed to risk associated with any one individual entity, group or component of a system that can be contained therein without harming the entire system. 1. THE CHANGING SCOPE OF RISK MANAGEMENT
* Financial Risk Management
- Risk can never be eliminated, but it can be
managed. To avoid risk, financial Institutions need to be regulated, managed and controlled. This is by using an effective risk management system to keep the financial system safe, stable and efficient. 1. THE CHANGING SCOPE OF RISK MANAGEMENT
- Financial Risk Management is the task of monitoring
financial risks and managing their impact. It is a sub- discipline of the wider function of risk management and an application of modern financial theory and practice.
- Financial Risk Manager is a qualification for risk
management professionals, particularly those who are involved in analyzing, controlling, or assessing potential financial risks as well as non-market related financial risks. Financial Risk Manager holders perform a broad variety of functions related to risk management within investment banks, asset management firms, as well as in corporations and government agencies. 1. THE CHANGING SCOPE OF RISK MANAGEMENT
- Financial Risk Manager Responsibilities:
making recommendations to reduce or control risk, which may involve an insurance strategy; working with traders to calculate the risk
associated with specific transactions;
forecasting and monitoring market trends;
considering proposed business decisions;
conducting research to assess the severity of risk;
conducting statistical analysis to evaluate risk and
using statistical software; 1. THE CHANGING SCOPE OF RISK MANAGEMENT
presenting ideas via reports and presentations,
outlining findings and making recommendations for improvements; reviewing legal documents; using financial packages and software, including portfolio management software; studying government legislation, which may affect a company, and advising on compliance; protecting the organisation's assets and public image; developing contingency plans to deal with emergencies. 1. THE CHANGING SCOPE OF RISK MANAGEMENT
- Financial Risk Analysts: identify and analyse the
areas of potential risk threatening the assets, earning capacity or success of organisations in the industrial, commercial or public sector.
- A financial risk analyst's role then is to formalise the
process of risk management within an organisation. This involves business decision-making and enabling the process of risk taking. 1. THE CHANGING SCOPE OF RISK MANAGEMENT
- Thus Financial Risk Management then refers to the
identification, analysis, and treatment of speculative financial risks.
- The traditional separation of Pure and Speculative Risks
meant that different business departments addressed these risks. Pure Risk (situation in which there are only the possibilities of loss or no loss) were handled by the risk manager through risk retention, risk transfer, and risk control. Speculative Risk (situation in which either profit or loss is possible) were handled by the finance division through contractual provisions and capital market instruments. 1. THE CHANGING SCOPE OF RISK MANAGEMENT
- In recognition of the fact that they are treating
these risks jointly, some organizations have created a new position. The Chief Risk Officer (CRO) who is responsible for the treatment of pure and speculative risks faced by the organization. 1. THE CHANGING SCOPE OF RISK MANAGEMENT
- The CRO is responsible for identifying, analysing
and mitigating internal and external events that could threaten a company. The CRO works to ensure that the company is compliant with government regulations and reviews factors that could negatively affect investments or a company's business units. 1. THE CHANGING SCOPE OF RISK MANAGEMENT
to identify the strengths, weaknesses, and threats. By planning for unexpected events, the financial system can be ready to respond if they arise. To ensure that the financial system is success, there is need to define how the system will handle potential risks so the system can identify, mitigate or avoid problems before they occur (Proactive System). 1. THE CHANGING SCOPE OF RISK MANAGEMENT
Some important steps:
-Internal Control System by Risk Management Committee,