Module II: Foreign Exchange Markets Spot and Forward Foreign Exchange Markets, Speculation and Arbitrage in Foreign Exchange Markets and Implications of Market Efficiency, Currency Swaps, Currency Futures and Options. Spot and Forward Foreign Exchange Markets Foreign exchange markets are sometimes classified into spot market and forward market on the basis of the period of transaction carried out. It is explained below: (a) Spot Market: If the operation is of daily nature, it is called spot market or current market. Spot and Forward Foreign Exchange Markets It handles only spot transactions or current transactions in foreign exchange. Transactions are affected at prevailing rate of exchange at that point of time and delivery of foreign exchange is affected instantly. The exchange rate that prevails in the spot market for foreign exchange is called Spot Rate. Spot and Forward Foreign Exchange Markets Expressed alternatively, spot rate of exchange refers to the rate at which foreign currency is available on the spot. For instance, if one US dollar can be purchased for Rs 40 at the point of time in the foreign exchange market, it will be called spot rate of foreign exchange. No doubt, spot rate of foreign exchange is very useful for current transactions but it is also necessary to find what the spot rate is. Spot and Forward Foreign Exchange Markets In addition, it is also significant to find the strength of the domestic currency with respect to all of home countrys trading partners. Note that the measure of average relative strength of a given currency is called Effective Exchange Rate (EER). (b) Forward Market: A market in which foreign exchange is bought and sold for future delivery is known as Forward Market. Spot and Forward Foreign Exchange Markets It deals with transactions (sale and purchase of foreign exchange) which are contracted today but implemented sometimes in future. Exchange rate that prevails in a forward contract for purchase or sale of foreign exchange is called Forward Rate. Thus, forward rate is the rate at which a future contract for foreign currency is made. Spot and Forward Foreign Exchange Markets This rate is settled now but actual transaction of foreign exchange takes place in future. The forward rate is quoted at a premium or discount over the spot rate. Forward Market for foreign exchange covers transactions which occur at a future date. Forward exchange rate helps both the parties involved. Spot and Forward Foreign Exchange Markets A forward contract is entered into for two reasons: (i) To minimise risk of loss due to adverse change in exchange rate (i.e., hedging) and [ii] to make a profit (i.e., speculation). Two Exchange rate quotes: In foreign exchange market, there are two exchange rate quotes, namely, buying rate and selling rate. Spot and Forward Foreign Exchange Markets If a person goes to the exchange market to buy foreign currency, say, US dollars, he has to pay higher rate than when he goes to sell dollars. In other words, for a person buying rate is higher than selling rate. The forward rate and spot rate are different prices, or quotes, for different contracts. Spot and Forward Foreign Exchange Markets The forward rate is the settlement price of a forward contract, while the spot rate is the settlement price of a spot contract. A spot contract is a contract that involves the purchase or sale of a commodity, security or currency for immediate delivery and payment on the spot date, which is normally two business days after the trade date. Spot and Forward Foreign Exchange Markets The spot rate, or spot price, is the price quoted for the immediate settlement of the spot contract. For example, say an investor believes orange juice is more expensive in the winter due to supply and demand. However, the investor cannot buy a spot contract for delivery in December because the commodity will spoil. A forward contract is a better fit for the investment. Spot and Forward Foreign Exchange Markets Unlike a spot contract, a forward contract is a contract that involves an agreement of contract terms on the current date with the delivery and payment at a specified future date. Contrary to a spot rate, a forward rate is used to quote a financial transaction that takes place on a future date and is the settlement price of a forward contract. Spot and Forward Foreign Exchange Markets However, depending on the security being traded, the forward rate can be calculated using the spot rate. For example, say a Chinese electronic manufacturer has a large order to be shipped to America in one year. The Chinese manufacturer engages in a currency forward and sells $20 million in exchange for Chinese yuan at a forward rate of $6.21 per Chinese yuan. Spot and Forward Foreign Exchange Markets Therefore, the Chinese electronic manufacturer is obligated to deliver 20 million euros at the specified rate on the specified date, six months from the current date, regardless of fluctuating currency spot rates. Spot and Forward Foreign Exchange Markets The foreign exchange market provides the physical and institutional structure through which the money of one country is exchanged for that of another country, the rate of exchange between currencies is determined, and foreign exchange transactions are physically completed. A foreign exchange transaction is an agreement between a buyer and a seller that a given amount of one currency is to be delivered at a specified rate for some other currency. Spot and Forward Foreign Exchange Markets Geographical Extent of the Foreign Exchange Market Geographically, the foreign exchange market spans the globe, with prices moving and currencies traded somewhere every hour of every business day. The market is deepest, or most liquid, early in the European afternoon, when the markets of both Europe and the U.S. East coast are open. Spot and Forward Foreign Exchange Markets The market is thinnest at the end of the day in California, when traders in Tokyo and Hong Kong are just getting up for the next day. In some countries, a portion of foreign exchange trading is conducted on an official trading floor by open bidding. Spot and Forward Foreign Exchange Markets Closing prices are published as the official price, or 'fixing' for the day and certain commercial and investment transactions are based on this official price. The Size of the Market In April 1992, the Bank of International Settlements (BIS) estimated the daily volume of trading on the foreign exchange market and its satellites (futures, options, and swaps) at more than USD 1 trillion. Spot and Forward Foreign Exchange Markets This is about 5 to 10 times the daily volume of international trade in goods and services. The market is dominated by trading in USD, DEM, and JPY respectively. The major markets are London (USD 300 billion), New York (USD 200 billion), and Tokyo (USD 130 billion). Speculation and Arbitrage in Foreign Exchange Markets Functions of the Foreign Exchange Market The foreign exchange market is the mechanism by which a person of firm transfers purchasing power form one country to another, obtains or provides credit for international trade transactions, and minimizes exposure to foreign exchange risk. Speculation and Arbitrage in Foreign Exchange Markets Transfer of Purchasing Power: Transfer of purchasing power is necessary because international transactions normally involve parties in countries with different national currencies. Each party usually wants to deal in its own currency, but the transaction can be invoiced in only one currency. Speculation and Arbitrage in Foreign Exchange Markets Provision of Credit: Because the movement of goods between countries takes time, inventory in transit must be financed. Minimizing Foreign Exchange Risk: The foreign exchange market provides "hedging" facilities for transferring foreign exchange risk to someone else. Speculation and Arbitrage in Foreign Exchange Markets Market Participants The foreign exchange market consists of two tiers: the interbank or wholesale market, and the client or retail market. Individual transactions in the interbank market usually involve large sums that are multiples of a million USD or the equivalent value in other currencies. Speculation and Arbitrage in Foreign Exchange Markets By contrast, contracts between a bank and its client are usually for specific amounts, sometimes down to the last penny. Foreign Exchange Dealers: Banks, and a few nonbank foreign exchange dealers, operate in both the interbank and client markets. They profit from buying foreign exchange at a bid price and reselling it at a slightly higher ask price. Speculation and Arbitrage in Foreign Exchange Markets Worldwide competitions among dealers narrows the spread between bid and ask and so contributes to making the foreign exchange market efficient in the same sense as securities markets. Dealers in the foreign exchange departments of large international banks often function as market makers. Speculation and Arbitrage in Foreign Exchange Markets They stand willing to buy and sell those currencies in which they specialize by maintaining an inventory position in those currencies. Participants in Commercial and Investment Transactions: Importers and exporters, international portfolio investors, multinational firms, tourists, and others use the foreign exchange market to facilitate execution of commercial or investment transactions. Speculation and Arbitrage in Foreign Exchange Markets Some of these participants use the foreign exchange market to hedge foreign exchange risk. Speculators and Arbitragers: Speculators and arbitragers seek to profit from trading in the market. They operate in their own interest, without a need or obligation to serve clients or to ensure a continuous market. Speculation and Arbitrage in Foreign Exchange Markets Speculators seek all of their profit from exchange rate changes. Arbitragers try to profit from simultaneous exchange rate differences in different markets. Central Banks and Treasuries: Central banks and treasuries use the market to acquire or spend their country's foreign exchange reserves as well as to influence the price at which their own currency is traded. Speculation and Arbitrage in Foreign Exchange Markets In many instances they do best when they willingly take a loss on their foreign exchange transactions. As willing loss takers, central banks and treasuries differ in motive and behavior form all other market participants. Foreign Exchange Brokers: Foreign exchange brokers are agents who facilitate trading between dealers without themselves becoming principals in the transaction. Speculation and Arbitrage in Foreign Exchange Markets For this service, they charge a small commission, and maintain access to hundreds of dealers worldwide via open telephone lines. It is a broker's business to know at any moment exactly which dealers want to buy or sell any currency. This knowledge enables the broker to find a counterpart for a client quickly without revealing the identity of either party until after an agreement has been reached. Speculation and Arbitrage in Foreign Exchange Markets Transactions in the Interbank Market Transactions in the foreign exchange market can be executed on a spot, forward, or swap basis. Spot Transactions: A spot transaction requires almost immediate delivery of foreign exchange. Speculation and Arbitrage in Foreign Exchange Markets In the interbank market, a spot transaction involves the purchase of foreign exchange with delivery and payment between banks to take place, normally, on the second following business day. The date of settlement is referred to as the "value date." Spot transactions are the most important single type of transaction (43 % of all transactions). Speculation and Arbitrage in Foreign Exchange Markets Outright Forward Transactions: A forward transaction requires delivery at a future value date of a specified amount of one currency for a specified amount of another currency. The exchange rate to prevail at the value date is established at the time of the agreement, but payment and delivery are not required until maturity. Speculation and Arbitrage in Foreign Exchange Markets Forward exchange rates are normally quoted for value dates of one, two, three, six, and twelve months. Actual contracts can be arranged for other lengths. Outright forward transactions only account for about 9 % of all foreign exchange transactions. Speculation and Arbitrage in Foreign Exchange Markets Swap Transactions: A swap transaction involves the simultaneous purchase and sale of a given amount of foreign exchange for two different value dates. The most common type of swap is a spot against forward, where the dealer buys a currency in the spot market and simultaneously sells the same amount back to the same back in the forward market. Speculation and Arbitrage in Foreign Exchange Markets Since this agreement is executed as a single transaction, the dealer incurs no unexpected foreign exchange risk. Swap transactions account for about 48 % of all foreign exchange transactions. Speculation and Arbitrage in Foreign Exchange Markets There are different ways the price of a currency can be determined against another: Through a fixed, or pegged, rate which is a rate the central bank sets and maintains as the official exchange rate. In this case a set price will be determined against a major world currency (usually the US Dollar, but also other major currencies such as the Euro, the Yen, or a basket of currencies). Speculation and Arbitrage in Foreign Exchange Markets In order to maintain the local exchange rate, the central bank buys and sells its own currency on the foreign exchange market in return of the currency to which it is pegged. To do this, the central bank must keep enough foreign reserves to release or absorb into or out of the market. Speculation and Arbitrage in Foreign Exchange Markets Some governments may also choose to have a semi-peg whereby the government periodically reassesses the value of the peg and then changes the peg rate accordingly. Usually the change is devaluation but one that is controlled so that market panic is avoided. This method is often used in the transition from a peg to a floating regime. Implications of Market Efficiency Although the peg has worked in creating global trade and monetary stability, it was only used at a time when all the major economies were a part of it. And while a floating regime has its flaws, it has proven to be an efficient means of determining the long term value of a currency and creating equilibrium in the international market. Implications of Market Efficiency "Why the need to fix a currency?" It has to do with the aim to create a stable atmosphere for foreign investment, specially among developing nations. If the currency is pegged, the investor will always know what its value is and will not fear hyperinflation. However the peril exists that such countries experience financial crisis as well, like Mexico in 1995 and Russia in 1997. Implications of Market Efficiency An attempt to maintain a high value of the local currency to the peg can result in the currencies eventually becoming overvalued. This means that the governments could no longer meet the demands to convert the local currency into the foreign currency at the pegged rate. With speculation and panic, investors would start to convert their currency into foreign currency before the local currency is devalued against the peg, depleting the central bank's foreign reserves. Implications of Market Efficiency There is also a floating condition, which allows the Forex market to function as we know it nowadays with most of the major currencies. A floating exchange rate is determined by the private market through supply and demand. A floating rate is often termed "self-correcting", as any differences in supply and demand will automatically be corrected in the market. Implications of Market Efficiency A floating exchange rate is constantly changing as a decrease in demand for a currency will lower its value in the market. This in turn will make imported goods more expensive and stimulate demand for local goods and services. As a consequence, more jobs are created, and hence an auto-correction occurs in the market. Implications of Market Efficiency In a floating regime, the central bank may also intervene when it is necessary to ensure stability and to avoid inflation; however, compared with a fixed system, it is less frequent that the central bank of a floating regime interferes. A country can also opt to implement a dual or multiple foreign exchange rate system, where both modalities run in parallel. Implications of Market Efficiency Unlike a pegged or floating system, the dual and multiple systems consist of different rates, fixed and floating, running at the same time. The fixed rate is usually a preferential rate and the floating a more discouraging one. While the fixed rate is only applied to certain segments of the market, like the import/export of essential goods, the floating rate is set by the forces of supply and demand in the market and is applied to non-essential goods like luxury imports. Implications of Market Efficiency This system is also usual in transitional periods as a means by which governments can quickly implement control over foreign currency transactions. In those cases, instead of depleting its foreign reserves, the government diverts the heavy demand for foreign currency to the free-floating exchange rate market. Implications of Market Efficiency As with the other solutions, a multiple exchange rates system is not free from negative consequences: creating artificial conditions for certain market segments is one of them. But it could also be used as an effective means to address the problem in the balance of payments developed under the conditions of a completely free floating system. Implications of Market Efficiency Note that none of these systems are perfect, but that all are thought as mechanisms to deal with those underlying problems in economic crisis and inflation periods. Their aim is to eventually keep the equilibrium in the monetary system. These are the four mentioned exchange rate systems, or regimes: Implications of Market Efficiency Pegged exchange rate system: the value of the currency is tied to another currency, to a basket of currencies or to the price of gold. The purpose of a fixed exchange rate system is to maintain a country's currency value within a very narrow band. Semi-pegged exchange rate system: the central bank periodically readjusts the fixed (pegged) value of its currency. Implications of Market Efficiency Floating exchange rate system: the value of a currency changes freely and is determined by supply and demand in the Forex market. Multiple exchange rate system: both systems are simultaneously used in different segments of the economy. Implications of Market Efficiency The most fundamental answer why gold was needed to establish an international monetary system is perhaps that even fluctuations in the value of money caused by the supply and demand of gold are better than experimenting hyperinflation or deep devaluation because of irresponsible monetary policy. Implications of Market Efficiency But history shows that there were serious problems associated with the gold-money peg and that it was impossible to keep the linkage. Difficulties arrived when the supply of gold oscillated, causing short term price fluctuations. Moreover, the rapid growth of the world economy was faster than the supply of new gold, and a long term shortage of gold became a constraint to maintain the peg. Implications of Market Efficiency The abandonment of the convertibility to gold was the start of the Forex market as we know it today. The US Dollar, already under serious pressure due to the US trade deficit, was allowed to float and all currencies were set adrift to find their place in the global economy. From there on many speculative opportunities started to afloat. Implications of Market Efficiency Since the early 70's the major world currencies started to float freely, mainly controlled by offer and demand on the exchange market, and has kept floating for almost 4 decades now. Among these currencies, there were the Deutsche Mark, the British Pound and the Japanese Yen, and their prices were calculated on a daily basis. The volumes, velocity and volatility started to increase and new financial instruments were created. Implications of Market Efficiency Since then, exchange rate instability among major currencies has been the norm. The Transformation Of Currency Exchange In The '70s The following decades saw the Forex being transformed by far in the largest and less regulated financial market in the world thus abolishing restrictions on capital flows in almost all countries, and allowing market forces to move exchange rates. Implications of Market Efficiency But the idea to fix exchange rates did not disappear. Some major economies attempted to move back to a peg or valuate currencies relatively to something: it happened during the 70's and 80's when Asian communities tried to group together as the west Europeans did. During these years currencies exhibited short-term volatility, medium-term misalignment and long-term drift. Implications of Market Efficiency While after the breakdown of Bretton Woods the majority of policy makers thought the free floating system had an automatic adjusting mechanism, the fact was that exchange rate instability itself became a serious threat to the world economy. Implications of Market Efficiency In December 1971, there was an international effort to re-establish the fixed exchange rate system at adjusted levels: the monetary authorities of major countries gathered in Washington, DC to set their mutual exchange rates at new levels and the Smithsonian Agreement is signed, similar to the previous Bretton Woods, but allowing higher foreign exchange fluctuations. Currency Swaps Currency swaps involve an exchange of cash flows in two different currencies. It is generally used to raise funds in a market where the corporate has a comparative advantage and to achieve a portfolio in a different currency of his choice, at a cost lower than if he accessed the market of the second currency directly. Currency Swaps However, since these types of swaps involve an exchange of two currencies, an exchange rate, generally the prevailing spot rate is used to calculate the amount of cash flows, apart from interest rates relevant to these two currencies. By its special nature, these instruments are used for hedging risk arising out of interest rates and exchange rates. Currency Swaps Definition: A currency swap is a contract which commits two counter parties to an exchange, over an agreed period, two streams of payments in different currencies, each calculated using a different interest rate, and an exchange, at the end of the period, of the corresponding principal amounts, at an exchange rate agreed at the start of the contract. Currency Swaps Consider a swap in which: Bank UK commits to pay Bank US, over a period of 2 years, a stream of interest on USD 14 million, the interest rate is agreed when the swap is negotiated; in exchange, Bank US commits to pay Bank UK, over the same period, a counter stream of sterling interest on GBP 10 million; this interest rate is also agreed when the swap is negotiated. Currency Swaps Bank UK and Bank US also commit to exchange, at the end of the two year period, the principals of USD 14 million and GBP 10 million on which interest payments are being made; the exchange rate of 1.4000 is agreed at the start of the swap. We can now see from the above that currency swaps differ from interest rate swaps in that currency swaps involve: Currency Swaps An exchange of payments in two currencies. Not only exchange of interest, but also an exchange of principal amounts. Unlike interest rate swaps, currency swaps are not off balance sheet instruments since they involve exchange of principal at the end of the period. Currency Swaps The idea of entering into the currency swap is that, Bank US is probably expecting an amount of GBP 10 million at the end of the period, while Bank UK is expecting an amount of USD 14 million, which they agreed to exchange at the end of the period at a mutually agreed exchange rate. Currency Swaps The interest payments at various intervals are calculated either at a fixed interest rate or a floating rate index as agreed between the parties. Currency swaps can also use two fixed interest rates for the two different currencies different from the interest rate swaps. The agreed exchange rate need not be related to the market. Currency Swaps The principal amounts can be exchanged even at the start of the swap If in the above-mentioned swap, the two banks agree to exchange the principal at the beginning. Bank UK will sell GBP to Bank US in exchange for US Dollars. This would be at an exchange rate, most likely the spot rate. Currency Swaps These banks would borrow the respective currencies, which they have sold. But at maturity, this exchange of principal would be reversed at the original exchange rate. (This kind of swap is called a par swap). Types of Currency Swaps: Cross-currency coupon swaps: These are fixed-against-floating swaps. Currency Swaps Cross-currency basis swap: These swaps involve payments attached to a floating rate index for both the currencies. In other words, floating- against-floating cross-currency basis swaps. Risk Management with currency swaps: Currency Swaps Example: (Principal exchanged at Maturity) A UK Co. With mainly sterling revenues, has borrowed fixed-interest dollars in order to purchase machinery from the U.S. It now expects the GBP to depreciate against the USD and is worried about increase in its cost of repayment. Currency Swaps It could now hedge its exposure to a dollar appreciation by using a GBP/USD currency swap. It would fix the rate at which the company, at maturity, could exchange its accumulated sterling revenues for the dollars needed to repay the borrowing. Fixing the exchange rate hedges the currency risk in borrowing dollars and repaying through sterling. Currency Swaps Assuming, the Company expects not only the dollar to appreciate, but also the GBP interest rates to fall. It could take advantage of this situation, by swapping from fixed-interest dollars into floating interest sterling. Stages: At the start of the swap, the GBP/USD rate is agreed at which the principal amounts will be exchanged at maturity (probably, the prevailing GBP/USD spot rate) Currency Swaps At the same time, interest rates for use in the swap are also agreed Over the life of the swap, the UK Company will pay a stream of sterling floating interest through the swap and will receive a counter stream of dollar fixed interest in exchange. The dollar interest received through the swap will be used to service the dollar borrowing; the sterling interest paid through the swap will be funded from earnings. Currency Swaps At maturity, the company will pay a sterling principal amount through the swap and receive a dollar principal amount in exchange. The exchange is made at the GBP/USD rate agreed at the start of the swap. The company will fund its payment of principal through the swap from accumulated sterling earnings from its business and will use the dollar principal it receives in exchange to repay its dollar borrowing. Currency Swaps Example: (Principal exchanged at the beginning) This will be the case when the UK co. wants to swap its dollar loan into a sterling loan, but needs dollars at the outset to pay for dollar imports or for any other purpose. In this case, the UK co. would simply acquire the dollars from the spot foreign exchange market. Currency Swaps It would fund this spot purchase of dollars with the sterling received through the swap in the initial exchange of principal amounts. Stages: At the start of the swap, the UK co. buys dollars against sterling in the spot market. Currency Swaps The dollar bought in the spot are exchanged through the swap for sterling, at the same GBP/USD exchange rate at which the UK co. had to buy dollars against sterling in the spot market; the sterling received through the swap is used to fund the spot purchase of the dollars. Currency Swaps At the same time, the GBP/USD rate at which the principal amounts will be exchanged at maturity is fixed at the spot rate at which the UK co. had to buy dollar against sterling in the spot. The interest rates for use in the swap are also agreed; Currency Futures and Options Currency options and futures are both derivative contracts they derive their values from the underlying asset -- in this case, currency pairs. Currencies always trade in pairs. For example, the euro/U.S. dollar pair is denoted as EUR/USD. Buying this pair means going long, or buying, the numerator, or base, currency --the euro -- and selling the denominator, or quote, currency -- the dollar. Currency Futures and Options If you sold the pair, these relationships would be reversed. You make money when the long currency appreciates against the short currency. Foreign Currency Futures Currency futures oblige the contract buyer to purchase the long currency and pay for it with the short currency. The contract seller has the reverse obligation. Currency Futures and Options The obligation comes due on the futures expiration date, and the ratio of bought and sold currencies is agreed to in advance. The profit or loss arises from the difference between the agreed price and the actual price on the expiration date. Currency Futures and Options Margin is always deposited for futures trades it is cash that acts as a performance bond to ensure both parties fulfill their obligations. Options on Currency Pairs The buyer of a currency pair call option may decide to execute or to sell the option on or before the expiration date. The option has a strike price that denotes a particular exchange ratio for the pair. Currency Futures and Options If the actual price of the currency pair exceeds the strike price, the call holder can sell the option for a profit, or execute the option to buy the base and sell the quote on profitable terms. A put buyer is betting on the quote currency appreciating against the base currency. Currency Futures and Options Options on Currency Futures Instead of having an option to buy and sell currency pairs, an option on a currency future gives holders the right, but not obligation, to buy a futures contract on the currency pair. The strategy at play here is that the option buyer can benefit from the futures market without putting down any margin. Currency Futures and Options Should the futures contract appreciate, the call holder can simply sell the call for a profit and need not purchase the underlying futures contract. A put buyer profits if the futures contract loses value. Differences between Options and Futures The main difference is that option buyers are not obligated to actually purchase or sell the long currency futures traders are. Currency Futures and Options Option sellers may have to buy or sell the underlying asset if the trades go against them. Option buyers need not put up any margin and their potential loss is limited to the purchase cost, or premium, of the option. Option sellers and futures traders must put up margin and have virtually unlimited risk. Finally, the premium of an options contract is almost always lower than the required margin on a similar futures contract. Currency Futures and Options In nearly every case, exchange-traded futures and option contracts are liquid and public. Prices are determined by the open outcry of trades in a ring or pit or through an electronic auction taking place at light- speed in a computer. Currency Futures and Options While most trading today takes place on electronic exchanges, certain option transactions still require the expertise of a floor broker, trading on an exchange floor. For most of their 2,000-year history, options have been a mystery to most investors. While that is changing, most individual investors have only a vague notion of options. Currency Futures and Options When used properly, futures and options may provide exciting and very substantial rewards and in numerous cases prove to be the optimal strategy, even for the most conservative investor. What is a futures contract? A futures or commodity contract is an agreement between two people. The seller of a futures contract agrees to deliver a specific item to the buyer for a certain price on a fixed date in the future. Currency Futures and Options The buyer of a futures contract agrees to take delivery of the same item under the same terms. The buyer of a futures contract is said to be long the market. The seller of a futures contract is said to be short the market. Currency Futures and Options FX futures contracts are essentially paper transactions as they do not involve the purchase and sale of actual investment instruments. They are contracts for delivery at a future date. Because no delivery takes place prior to a specified period, no money changes hands. Currency Futures and Options The vast majority of FX futures contracts are exited prior to the delivery period, so actual foreign currency rarely changes hands. Instead, both the buyer and the seller must post margin with their respective brokers. Margin requirements are set by the individual exchanges and, for the most part, based upon volatility and not price. Currency Futures and Options Unlike stocks, the treatment of long and short futures contracts positions is identical. Unlike a short seller in stocks, the seller of a futures contract does not need to borrow his contract from another party making it just as easy to sell as to buy. Unlike stock margin, margin to trade an FX futures contract is not a down payment on a loan. Currency Futures and Options It is a performance bond that guarantees your broker that you are good for a fixed amount of losses. Not only do you not pay interest on a margin deposit, you can receive interest while using the money to back up your positions. How? By posting margin with your broker in the form of a U.S. Treasury bill. Since a T-bill is backed by the U.S. government, it is nearly as good as cash, so most brokers accept it. Currency Futures and Options Meanwhile, you get to keep the interest. Options are not necessarily better than actual futures contracts, but they generally require less time, money and stress than futures. While options are not a cure-all, they eliminate the need for stop loss orders, providing the investor with far more staying power. Currency Futures and Options But this isnt their only advantage. Options are largely misunderstood, as much if not more than futures contracts. The same people who tell you to stay away from futures will tell you to stay away from options. Options are a favorite tool of professional investors precisely because they are one of the most flexible investment tools ever devised. Currency Futures and Options The trading desks of central banks, multinational corporations and governments use options to lock-in the risks of their large investments and as surrogates for future investments. The phenomenal growth of FX global option markets is the direct result of the benefits they may provide. Currency Futures and Options There are options on many, if not most, of the major Forex currency trading pairs. Perhaps one of the biggest barriers to understanding options is the inability to understand their basic premise. Investors get caught up in the jargon rather than what they are buying and selling. As a result, they lose their way when introduced to more advanced strategies especially selling options. Recap
In this session we learnt about:
Module II: Foreign Exchange Markets Spot and Forward Foreign Exchange Markets, Speculation and Arbitrage in Foreign Exchange Markets and Implications of Market Efficiency, Currency Swaps, Currency Futures and Options. Please forward your query