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Norman W. Garrick
The Four Step Model
Trip Generation
Estimates the number of trips from given origins and
destinations
Trip Distribution
Determines the destination for each trip from a given origin
Mode Choice
Determines the mode choice for each trip
Route Assignment
Determines the specific route for each trip
Norman W. Garrick
Trip Generation
Trip Generation model is used to estimate the number of person-trips
that will begin or end in a given traffic analysis zone
1
3
2 5
4 8
7
6
Estimated
Predicted
Target year Calibrated
Target year
socio-economic, Model No. of Trips
land use data Relating trip making
to socio-economic
and land use data
Norman W. Garrick
Trip Generation
Developing and Using the Model
Norman W. Garrick
Trip Generation
Developing the Model
Norman W. Garrick
Trip Generation
Trip Purpose
Often separate predictions are mode for different type of trips since
travel behavior depends on trip purpose
In other words different models must be developed for each trip type
Norman W. Garrick
Trip Generation
Example of a Trip Generation Model
Norman W. Garrick
Trip Generation
Survey and Model
Calibrated
Model
Relating trip making
to socio-economic
and land use data
Norman W. Garrick
Trip Generation
Cross-classification Model
Total Home-Based-Non-Work Trip Rates
Persons per Household
Type of Area Vehicles per HH 1 2,3 4 5+
High Density 0 0.6 2.1 4.6 7.0
Norman W. Garrick
Trip Generation
Developing and Using the Model
Estimated
Target year Calibrated
socio-economic, Model
land use data Relating trip making
to socio-economic
and land use data
Norman W. Garrick
Trip Generation
Base Year Demographics
Number of Households in Target Year
Persons per Household
Type of Area Vehicles per HH 1 2,3 4 5+
High Density 0 100 200 100 100
Norman W. Garrick
Trip Generation
Developing and Using the Model
Estimated
Predicted
Target year Calibrated
Target year
socio-economic, Model No. of Trips
land use data Relating trip making
to socio-economic
and land use data
Norman W. Garrick
Trip Generation
Base Year Demographics
Number of Trips in Target Year for Each HH Type
Persons per Household
Type of Area Vehicles per HH 1 2,3 4 5+
High Density 0 60 420 460 700
Norman W. Garrick
Productions and Attractions
Residential
1
Non-residential
8
A worker leaves Zone 1 in the morning to Non-residential
go to work in Zone 8
Residential
This results in 2 trip ends:
One Production for Zone 1
One Attraction for Zone 8
Total Number of Trip Ends
When that same worker leaves Zone 8 in
the evening to go to home to Zone 1 Zone 1: 2 Trip Ends (2 Productions)
Origins and Destinations are defined in terms of the direction of the trip
Norman W. Garrick
Modeling Productions and Attractions
Residential
1
Non-residential
For example, Trip Ends for Zone 1 would be
reported as
1. 1000 Production Trip Ends
2. 500 Attraction Trip Ends
Trip generation models typically model separately, i) residential trip production, ii) non-
residential trip attractions
This approach works for home based trips (HB). But falls apart when we start to consider
non-home based trips (NHB). Special techniques are developed to deal with the
relatively small number of NHB that occurs.
Norman W. Garrick
Trip Rate Analysis Method of Trip Generation
Trip-Rate Analysis
Trip rate is estimated on characteristics of the trip
generators with in the zone. Production rates are
determined using the characteristics of the residential
land uses and attraction rates using the characteristics of
the nonresidential land uses
Example
For example
Residential: Total 1000 Sq. Ft. = 2744 1000 sq. ft., Trip Gen. Rate = 2.4 trips/1000 sq.ft
TOTAL NO. of TRIP from residential land use = 2744*2.4 = 6586 Trips