RICE SELF-SUFFICIENCY

IN INDONESIA
2nd ARTF 4-5 June 2013 in Yogyakarta, Indonesia

AGENCY FOR FOOD SECURITY

MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE
 Introduction
• Rice is most important commodity in Indonesia,
and the major crop for small farms;
• More than 95% of Indonesian people consume of
rice, and for most it is staple food;
• Effor to increase food availibility to promote a
sustainable food security tend to be more
complicated : agric. land conversion and climate
change;
• Getting rice policy right is essential for food
security, income and employment growth in rural
areas.
 Condition of Rice in Indonesia

• During the period of 5 years, the production

of rice has increased at a growth rate of
3.5%/year;
• Balance of rice availability was surplus;
• Index of self-sufficiency on rice at 127%.
• Indonesia has reserves of 2 million tons of
food : price stability and ensure sufficient rice
disaster,
 Harvested Area, Productivity and Production of Rice
2008 - 2013

Harvested Area Productivity Production

Years
Growth of Growth of Paddy * Rice** Growth of
(Ha) (Kw/Ha)
(%) (%) (000 Ton) (000 Ton) (%)
2008 12.327.425 48,94 55.922 35.086

2009 12.883.576 4,51 49,99 2,15 59.698 37.454 6,75

2010 13.253.450 2,87 50,15 0,32 61.617 38.659 3,22

2011 13.203.643 (0,38) 49,80 (0,70) 60.958 38.245 (1,1)

2012 13.443.443 1,82 51,36 3,13 64.005 40.157 5,00

2013 13.466.549 0,17 51,29 (0,14) 64.031 40.173 0,04

Average 13.096.348 2,21 50,33 1,23 61.569 38.629 3,47

Source : Central Agency for Statistic, Indonesia

* without seed. feed
** 0.6274 x Paddy
 Supply and Demand for Rice
000 Ton
Average
Average
of last
Particular 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 *) 2013 **) of last of 5
of 3
years
years
Beginning
1.573 1.354 1.618 722 1.249 2.260 1.303 1.196
Stock
Production
-Paddy Basis 55.922 59.698 61.617 60.958 64.005 64.031 60.440 62.193
-Milled Basis 35.086 37.454 38.659 38.245 40.157 40.173 37.920 39.020
Import 285 244 683 2.739 1.165 1.023 1.529
Total Supply 35.371 37.699 39.342 40.984 41.322 40.173 38.943 40.549
Domestic Use 31.799 32.195 33.056 33.549 32.971 32.898 32.714 33.192
Ending Stock 1.354 1.618 722 1.249 2.260 1.440.7 1.410

Data Source : Production, Eksport –Import From Statistic Indonesia, Stock From Bulog
*) Prelimenary figures ;**) Estimated; Paddy without seed, feed; Milled Basis = 0,627x paddy basis

• For maintain price stability and ensure sufficient rice disaster, Indonesia has reserves of 2
million tons;
• National rice reserves not only from local production but also imported from Thailand,
Vietnam and Cambodia
 Production, Consumption, and Import
45.0
40.0 0.7 2.7 1.2
0.2
35.0 0.3 0.4 0.0
30.0
Million tons

25.0
20.0 37.5 38.7 38.2 40.2 40.2
35.1 31.8 32.2 33.1 33.5 33.0 32.9
15.0
10.0
5.0
0.0
Suply Use Suply Use Suply Use Suply Use Suply Use Suply Use
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Net Production Impor Domestic use Export

 The total of RICE supply is sufficient to meet the domestic use and export

6
 Net Production, Consumption, and
Surplus/Deficit
Net Domestic Per Capita
Net Import Surplus/Defici Population
Year Production Consumpt Consumpt
(Ton) t (Ton) (000 )
(Ton) (Ton) (Kg/year)
2008 33.917.197 284.546 31.799.017 2.402.726 228.523 139,15
2009 36.207.151 242.122 32.195.066 4.254.207 231.370 139,15
2010 37.371.255 683.024 33.067.791 4.986.489 237.641 139,15
2011 36.971.233 2.737.681 33.054.018 6.654.895 241.182 137,05
2012 38.819.424 1.164.000 33.047.180 6.936.244 244.776 135,01
2013 38.835.009 - 32.897.922 5.937.087 247.390 132,98
Average 37.020.211 1.022.275 32.632.614 5.046.912 238.480 137,08
Data Source : Production, Eksport –Import From Statistic Indonesia, Stock From Bulog
Note:
•Net production : Rice-Milled without non food industri
•Net Impor = Impor – Eksport
•Balance = Net Production + Net Import – Domestic Consumpt

 Demand for Rice in 2013 is projected at 32,9 million ton.

 Surplus of production in 2013 at 5,9 Million Ton
 Net Production, Domestic Use and Surplus/Deficit

45,000,000
40,000,000
35,000,000
30,000,000
25,000,000
20,000,000
Ton

15,000,000
10,000,000
5,000,000
-
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Net Production (Ton) 33,917,1 36,207,1 37,371,2 36,971,2 38,819,4 38,835,0
Domestic Consumpt
31,799,0 32,195,0 33,067,7 33,054,0 33,047,1 32,897,9
(Ton)
Surplus/Deficit (Ton) 2,402,72 4,254,20 4,986,48 6,654,89 6,936,24 5,937,08

Data Source : Production, Eksport –Import From Statistic Indonesia, Stock From Bulog
Note:
•Net production : Rice-Milled without non food industri
•Net Impor = Impor – Eksport
•Balance = Net Production + Net Import – Domestic Consumpt

• Balance of rice availability was surplus in each year

 Domestic and Parity Price of Rice (Thai 5%)
12,000
11,000
10,000
9,000
8,000
Price (Rp/Kg)

7,000
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
Domestic Thai 5%
2,000
Nov

Nov

Nov

Nov

Nov
Maret

Maret

Maret

Maret

Maret

Maret
Sept

Sept

Sept
Mei

Mei

Mei

Mei

Mei

Mei
Jan

Sept

Jan

Sept

Jan

Jan

Jan

Jan
Juli

Juli

Juli

Juli

Juli
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Data Source : BPS and Worldbank, Parity Price = (Border Price + PPh) x 1,15

•During the period 2008 to 2013 (untill May 2013), rice price has increased 11.2 percent
per year
 PROSPECT RICE PRODUCTION IN 2013

• Targets : 72,06 Million Ton

• Strategy :
– Rice planting at least 14,59 million hectares;
– Harvested area of at least 14.08 million
hectares;
– Productivity of 5,12 ton/ha.
POLICY’s MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE

Achieving self-sufficiency :
• Targets 2014 : paddy 75,70 million ton (MT) or rice surplus of
10 million tons
Strategies undertaken :
• Increased productivity by implementing site-specific farming
technologies and reduce the potential for yield loss;
• Rehabilitation and development of infrastructure;
• expansion of land agric. and land management,
• decrease in rice consumption in the context of diversification
and food security,
• Improving the management with policy and regulatory
support.
THANK YOU