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Nearly nine
out of 10 Latin
Americans will
live in cities by
the year 2050
2030
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
2008
10%
2030
0%
-10%
natural oil
coal fuel oil hydro nuclear others
gas products
2008 4.6% 8.4% 22.0% 58.6% 2.8% 2.3% 1.3%
2030 7.9% 3.3% 29.4% 50.0% 4.2% 1.2% 4.1%
Based on Ariel Yepes et al., Meeting the Balance of Electricity Supply and Demand in Latin America and the Caribbean. World Bank 2010, cited in “Latin
America’s Energy Future” by Roger Tissot for the Inter-American Development Bank and the Inter-American Dialogue Energy Working Paper Series, No.
sed on Ariel Yepes et al., Meeting the Balance of Electricity Supply and Demand in Latin Amer
IDB-DP-252, December 2012.
Map of basins with assessed shale oil & shale gas formations, 2013
Argentina 2nd
largest deposits
in world
Installed capacity & hydroelectric share in Latin America
(Left Map 2010, Right Map Amazon Dams Operating & Planned)
Left Map: Carlos Batlle and Juan Roberto Paredes, Analysis of the impact of increased Non- Conventional Renewable Energy generation on Latin American
Electric Power Systems, Tools and Methodologies for assessing future Operation, Planning and Expansion, Discussion paper No. IDB-DP-341, January 2014
Right Map: Dams in Amazonia, http://dams-info.org/en
Hydropower Dam
Cost Overruns
• ex post outcomes of schedule
& cost estimates of
hydropower dams.
• Estimates are systematically &
severely biased below actual
values.
• Projects that take longer have
greater cost overruns; bigger
projects take longer.
• Uplift required to de-bias
systematic cost under-
estimation for large dams is
+99%.
Atif Ansar, Bent Flyvbjerg, Alexander Budzier, Daniel Lun Should we
build more large dams? The actual costs of hydropower megaproject
development. Energy Policy (2014),
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2013.10.069
Hydropower Dam Cost Overruns
“Using the largest and most reliable reference data
of its kind and multilevel statistical techniques
applied to large dams for the first time, we were
successful in fitting parsimonious models to predict
cost and schedule overruns.
…in most countries large hydropower dams will be
too costly in absolute terms and take too long to
build to deliver a positive risk-adjusted return unless
suitable risk management can be affordably
provided.”
Emissions: Emissions:
Reservoir Generating km2/ Emissions
DAM Hydro CC Gas
Area Capacity Ratio
MW (MtCO2- (MtCO2-
(km2) (MW) Hydro/Gas
eq/yr) eq/yr)
Curuá- 2
72 40 0.15 0.02 7.5
Una
Source: Patrick McCully, Tropical Hydropower is a Significant Source of Greenhouse Gas Emissions: Interim response to the International
Hydropower Association, International Rivers Network, June 2004
Table 1. GHG Emissions from Hydropower Plants
*update
160 to
250 g
CO2eq/
kWh
*update: William Steinhurst, Patrick Knight, and Melissa Schultz, Hydropower Greenhouse Gas Emissions, State of the Research, Synapse, February 14, 2012,
www.synapse-energy.com
Table 1.: Patrick McCully, Fizzy Science, International Rivers Network, November 2006
NOTES for Table 1. GHG Emissions from Hydropower Plants
Notes for Table 1
Blank entries = no data.
* "reservoir net" includes CH4 surface emissions, CO2 from above-water decay of flooded biomass, and degassing emissions from turbines and spillways,
minus pre-reservoir sources and sinks. It does not include CO2 surface emissions (a proportion of these emissions will be produced by the decay of biomass
in the reservoir which had when living consumed atmospheric carbon through photosynthesis in the reservoir). 99% of net CO2 emissions for these projects
are from above-water decay of flooded biomass.
§ Emissions from boreal hydros are calculated from averages across various reservoirs so "reservoir age" is not relevant for these plants. Balbina degassing
emissions are from 2004 (17 years after filling). "Tropical gross excluding degassing" emissions are the average of measurements from two years (1998 and
1999). Petit Saut emissions are an average based on measurements and extrapolations for the 20 years after reservoir filling in 1994.
# CO2 emissions from decay of above-water biomass.
Emissions data given in this table are based on available measurements and calculations for reservoirs for specific years. Emissions for specific reservoirs,
and power generation, will vary widely between years. A full life-cycle assessment would include emissions due to construction, access roads, resettlement,
decommissioning etc. CH4 converted to CO2eq with GWP of 21. Generation figures for boreal reservoirs are estimates based on a 60% load factor.
Generation figures for tropical net reservoirs are actuals. Generation figures for tropical gross reservoirs are estimates based on 50% load factor.
Sources: Boreal - Duchemin (2002). Boreal update (Steinhurst (2012)/ Tropical "reservoir net" - Fearnside (2002) (2004b) (2005a) (2005b). Tropical gross
(including degassing) - Delmas et al. (2005). Generation figure from Ministère de l'Économie (2002). Tropical gross (excluding degassing) - Santos et al.
(2006).
Delmas, R. et al. (2005) ‘Long Term Greenhouse Gas Emissions from the Hydroelectric Reservoir of Petit Saut (French Guiana) and Potential Impacts.’ In
Tremblay et al.
Duchemin, É., et al. (2002) ‘Hydroelectric reservoirs as an anthropogenic source of greenhouse gases,’ World Resource Review 14.
Fearnside, P.M. (2002) ‘Greenhouse Gas Emissions from a Hydroelectric Reservoir (Brazil’s Tucuruí Dam) and the Energy Policy Implications,’ Water, Air,
and Soil Pollution 133:1..
Fearnside, P.M. (2004b) ‘Hydroelectric dams in Amazonia as contributors to global warming: The controversy heats up,’ Anais: III Conferência Científica do
LBA Experimento de Grande Escala da Biosfera- Atmosfera na Amazônia, 27 a 29 de julho de 2004, Academia de Tênis Resort, Brasília-DF, Brasil, p.88.
Fearnside, P.M. (2005a) ‘Brazil’s Samuel Dam: Lessons for Hydroelectric Development Policy and the Environment in Amazonia,’ Environmental
Management 35:1.
Fearnside, P.M. (2005b) ‘Do Hydroelectric Dams Mitigate Global Warming? The Case of Brazil’s Curuá-Una Dam,’ Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for
Global Change 10: 675-691.
Ministère de l’Économie (2002) ‘Programmation pluriannuelle des investissements de production élec- trique.’ Paris, p.71.
Santos, M.A. et al. (2006) ‘Gross greenhouse gas fluxes from hydro-power reservoirs compared to ther- mo-power plants,’ Energy Policy 34:4.
Steinhurst, W., P. Knight, and M. Schultz, Hydropower Greenhouse Gas Emissions, State of the Research, Synapse, February 14, 2012, www.synapse-
energy.com
Table 1.: Patrick McCully, Fizzy Science, International Rivers Network, November 2006
Hydropower Dam GHG Emissions
Bibliographic citations
Kemenes, Alexandre, Bruce R. Forsberg, and John M. Melack, CO2 emissions from a tropical hydroelectric
reservoir (Balbina, Brazil), Journal of Geophysical Research, VOL. 116, G03004,
doi:10.1029/2010JG001465, 2011
Kemenes, A., B. R. Forsberg, and J. M. Melack (2007), Methane release below a tropical hydroelectric
dam, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L12809, doi:10.1029/2007GL029479.
Soumis, N.; Lucotte, M.; Canuel, R.; Weissenberger, S.; Houel, S.; Larose, C.; Duchemin, E., Hydroelectric
reservoirs as anthropogenic sources of greenhouse gases. In Water encyclopedia: Surface and agricultural
water; Lehr, J. H., Keeley, J., Eds.; Wiley-Interscience: Hoboken, NJ, 2005; pp 203-210.
St. Louis, V. L.; Kelly, C. A.; Duchemin, E.; Rudd, J. W. M.; Rosenberg, D. M. Reservoir surfaces as sources of
greenhouse gases to the atmosphere: A global estimate. BioScience 2000, 50 (9), 766–774.
Lima, I. B. T.; Ramos, F. M.; Bambace, L. A. W.; Rosa, R. R. Methane emissions from large dams as
renewable energy resources: A developing nation perspective. Mitig. Adapt. Strat. Glob. Change 2008, 13,
193–206.
Delsontro, T.A., McGinnis D.F., Sobek, S., Ostrovsky I. & B. Wehrli, Extreme Methane Emissions from a
Swiss Hydropower Reservoir: Contribution from Bubbling Sediments, Environ. Sci. Technol. 2010, 44:7,
2419–2425.
Abril, G., Guèrin, F., Richard, S., Delmas, R., Galy-Lacaux, C., Gosse, P., Tremblay, A., Varfalvy, L., Dos
Santos, M. A., Matvienko, B. Carbon dioxide and methane emissions and the carbon budget of a 10-year
old tropical reservoir (Petit Saut, French Guiana). Global Biogeochem. Cycles 2005, 9, GB4007.
GHG Emissions Comparison from different Sources
Wind Solar
power power
End-use
Assembled and adapted from multiple sources
Efficiency
2010 COST OF DROUGHT
2010
2005
2014
Worsening Drought All Century Long
2000-2009 2060-2069
2030-2039 2090-2099
Natural Gas fueled Power Plants
Risk!factor:!Fuel!cost!comparisons!
Efficiency
130!
Graph 1
UCS, Gas Ceiling, Assessing the Climate Risks of an Overreliance on Natural Gas for Electricity, Sept. 2013, Union of Concerned Scientsts
Potential NYMEX Henry Hub Prices
$13.80+
+
+
+
+
June+2015+
+
+
+
+
$1.18+
NGCCZ!natural!gas!combined!cycle!
Gerdes,!K.;!Nichols,!C.!Water!Requirements!for!ExisAng!and!Emerging!Thermoelectric!Plant!Technologies;!DOE/NETL!
Report!402/080108;!U.S.!Department!of!Energy!NaAonal!Energy!Technology!Laboratory:!Morgantown,!WV,!2009.! 150!
ys became
plays were
ogical
ovement
expensive
l not perform
nal reservoirs.
on high
rilling &
enormous.
admill never
h decline
n will limit
herefore, the
nventional “Shale plays are not a renaissance or a
revolution. This is a retirement party.”
Arthur Berman, U.S. Shale Gas: Magical Thinking & The Denial of Uncertainty, Jan. 12, 2012, presentaton at Duke Univ. Nicholas School of the Environment
Current and Future Technologies for NGCC Power Pl
1100
CO2 Emissions (lb/MWhnet)
1000 Power&e
generaKon&flet &goal&in&2025& CO2 Emissions (lb/MWhgross)
900
800 780.2
CO2&emissions& 500
intensity&to& 400
VS&
0.45&tons&(990& 300 Least^risk&opKons&–&two&already&
compeKKve&with&natural&gas&
lbs.)&per& 200
CCS No&fuels,&near^zero&emissions,&near^
MWh&by& 100
89.5
81.6
88.1
80.7
85.7
78.6
84.5
zero&water&
77.8
80.8
74.6 use&
79.7
73.9 77.0
71.5
76.3
71.1
2025.&& 0
7FA.05 7FA.05 CCS 7FA.05 CCS H-frame
GE&7FA.05& & EGR End^use& H-frame
CCS
H-frame
CCS EGR
J-frame J-frame CCS J-frame CCS AdvFuture
Solar& PV& Large& EGR wind&
AdvFuture AdvFuture
CCS CCS EGR
F&frame& efficiency&Source: NETL turbine&
11
2& 8%&
RaKo&of&GHG&emissions&of&gas&over&coal&
Leakage&rate&(%&of&total&producKon)&
7%&
6%&
1.5&
5%&
4%&
3%&
1&
2%&
1%&
0.5&
0&
0& 25& 50& 75& 105&
Global&Warming&PotenKal&(GWP)&for&methane&
Very&few&Years&Away&from&Reaching&&
2°C&Carbon&Budget&
113!
UNCERTAINTY&
Lost!opportuniAes!from!
inacAon!in!reducing!CO2!
emissions!are!esAmated!to!
incur!hundreds!of!trillions!of!
dollars!in!future!economic!
value!foreclosed;!
in!addiAon!to!hundreds!of!
trillions!of!dollars!in!economic!
losses!caused!by!increased!
destrucAon!from!extreme!
weather!catastrophes.!
Source:!UK!Met!Office,!Hadley!Centre,! 115!
h- p://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climateZguide!!
Cost&is&an& Risk&is&an&
essenKal&but¬& essenKal&and&
sufficient& imperaKve&
decision^making& decision^making&
criterion& criterion&as&well&
Power Grid Disruption Risks & Threats
Human or Technical Error, Cyberattacks, Military Attacts or Terrorism,
Climate Disruption & Natural Disasters
350
307 309
Fossil fuel 303
293
300
270
260
254
250 234
213
200 192
Renewable energy
144 147
150
Global Trends
100 in Renewable
Energy
Investment
50 2014
0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Note: Renewable energy total excludes large hydro. Fossil fuel is gross investment on coal, gas and oil capacity and
assumes retired fossil capacity is replaced. We assume capacity retirement of 3.3%/year for coal, 4%/year for gas Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance;
and 2.5%/year for oil. UNEP
114.8
Europe
102.4
United States Europe 112.3 86.4
73.4 75.3
101.3
53.4 61.8
79.9
China
59.6
72.9 74.7 48.4 56.3
39.7 39.1 51.9
United States
35.9 34.7 35.8 29.4
61.7
66.6
33.6
28.2 19.7 China
38.4 37.1 36.7
23.5 54.8 54.7
29.4
11.7 19.6 24.9
'04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 40.0
5.5 34.5 36.2 34.6 36.0
15.8 37.2
28.2 10.1
23.3
'04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 Global Trends '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12
2.4
5.8 25.0
11.9 15.8
5.7 in Renewable Middle East & Africa 10.2'07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13
'04 '05 '06
5.8
2.6
'04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12
Energy Middle East & Africa
'04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12
Investment
AMER (excl. US & 2014
AMER (excl. US &
Brazil) ASOC
ASOC (excl.
(excl. China
China &&
Brazil) 10.4 9.0 IndiaIndia India)
India)
Brazil
Brazil 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.6
2.3 1.4 4.3 3.2
11.5 43.3
5.0 3.5
0.6 0.6 1.2 1.7 2.7 1.7
'04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 29.0
29.5
23.8
'04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 25.3
11.5 18.1
8.3 9.5 20.7
5.0 5.6 5.9 11.0 11.5 13.2
1.4 3.4 3.4 11.5 12.4 6.7 8.3 8.9 11.4 12.9
8.7 9.9 13.0 8.2 9.0 10.9
3.3 3.2 4.9 5.8 6.1 8.78.7
12.6 6.8
1.4 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 5.5 6.3 6.3
5.2 5.4 6.5
7.2 6.1
4.4 4.2
12.5
10.312.2 2.5 2.9 4.4
2.4 3.2 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12
11.0 7.9 7.9 8.6 5.4
'04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 4.2 7.8 7.7 9.7 6.8 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13
0.5 2.2 4.6 3.1 '04 '05
'04 '06
'05 '07 '08 '08
'09 '09
'10'10'11'11'12
0.6 2.6 '06 '07 '12 '13
'04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12
'04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13
Note: New investment volume adjusts for re-invested equity. Total values include estimates for undisclosed deals. Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance;
This comparison does not include small-scale projects. UNEP
*2013 data, costs depending on irradiance levels, interest rates, and other factors, e.g.
development costs, http://www.firstsolar.com/en/solutions/utility-scale-generation
Solar PV rooftop
system installed
costs vary several-
fold from country
to country, state
to state,
depending on
practices and
policies.
Bloomberg New Energy Finance, 2030 Market Outlook: Solar, June 27, 2014
Solar PV Generation parity proximity in countries analyzed
Reference price
(US$ per MWh)
Required tariff
(US$ per MWh)
David Perez et al, PV GRID PARITY MONITOR, Utility-scale 1st issue Eclareon, 2014
Latin American & Caribbean nations
Latin American & Caribbean nations
Commercial building energy efficiency supply curve
by end use, 2050
Area to Power 100% of U.S. Onroad Vehicles
Solar-battery
Wind turbines
ground footprint
Wind-battery
turbine spacing
Cellulosic ethanol
Corn ethanol
HVAC
0.59 Trane, Singapore
Improvement ininASHRAE
Improvement Standard
ASHRAE Standard 90.1
90.1 (Year (1975-2013)
1975-2013)
110
18.5%
14%
100
90-1975 90A -1980 12.3%
Normalized EUI (1975 Use = 100)
90.1-1989
80 4.5%
90.1- 90.1-2001
1999 6~8%
70
90.1-2004
90.1-
60 2007
50 90.1-
2010
90.1-
2013
40
30
20
10
0
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Year
PNNL, Building Codes Commercial Landscape, PNNL-SA-103479, June 2014
Interrelationships
Interrelationships Building Energy Commercial Codes
ASHRAE 90.1
ASHRAE 189.1
IECC adopts 90.1 by reference – designer choice which to use but cannot ‘pick and choose’, must use one or the other only
IgCC adopts the IECC by reference but adds criteria to address additional items not covered in the IECC or increases
stringency of the IECC
IgCC adopts 189.1 by reference – designer choice which to use but cannot ‘pick and choose’, must use one or the other only
ASHRAE 189.1 adopts 90.1 by reference but adds criteria to address additional items not covered by 90.1 or increases
stringency of 90.1
ASHRAE Standard
ASHRAE 90.1 90.1
Standard Projections
Projections to 2030
Pipe%
Dia%
in% Flow%
in% Velocity% Head% loss%
inch% GPM% Ft%
/sec% S /100S %
Source:((Adapted(from(a(graph(made(originally(by(the(University(of((
Arizona,(Southwest(Climate(Change(Network(
Copyright(Jonathan(Koomey(2014( 7(
Climate change as an entrepreneurial challenge, Jonathan Koomey, Research Fellow, Steyer-Taylor Center for Energy Policy and Finance, Stanford
University, jgkoomey@stanford.edu hFp://www.koomey.com Lawrence Berkeley NaLonal Laboratory October 21, 2014
The)New)Climate)Dice:)Public)Percep=on)of)
Climate)Change
Climate change as an entrepreneurial challenge, Jonathan Koomey, Research Fellow, Steyer-Taylor Center for Energy Policy and Finance, Stanford
University, jgkoomey@stanford.edu hFp://www.koomey.com Lawrence Berkeley NaLonal Laboratory October 21, 2014
You’re Tl l ing Me
n o A E
Ea Pwe r Pl nt
e Is Just Like A Fossil Power Plant? e
.
• Yes, and it’s lss expensive,
removes more pollutants,
and saves water
• Answer these questions to
build an EE power plant:
– How many MW and MWh?
– When and where?
– Quantity of tons needed to
be removed?
Building Energy Efficiency Power Plants: Cutting Through the Fog or Why EE Advocates Should Engage Air Regulators, Christopher
James, Principal, Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP), ACEEE Summer Study, August 2014
Figure 1. Ozone design values 2009-11. Source: EPA 2014b
The EE community can help spur the inclusion of EE in new and revised air quality rules,
Reducing Greenhouse Gases and Improving Air Quality Through Energy Efficiency Power Plants: Cutting Through the Fog to Help Air Regulators “Build" EPPs,
andColburn,
Chris James and Ken promote EE’sAssistance
Regulatory role in helping states
Project Chris Nemeand airGrevatt,
and Jim pollution sources
Energy comply
Futures Group, with
ACEEE suchStudy,
Summer rules, in two
August 2014
What Might an Efficiency Power Plant Look Like?
Building Energy Efficiency Power Plants: Cutting Through the Fog or Why EE Advocates Should Engage Air Regulators, Christopher
James, Principal, Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP), ACEEE Summer Study, August 2014
EE Power Plant Output by Month
Building Energy Efficiency Power Plants: Cutting Through the Fog or Why EE Advocates Should Engage Air Regulators, Christopher
James, Principal, Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP), ACEEE Summer Study, August 2014
EE Power Plant for a July Day
MWh Savings
Building Energy Efficiency Power Plants: Cutting Through the Fog or Why EE Advocates Should Engage Air Regulators, Christopher
James, Principal, Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP), ACEEE Summer Study, August 2014
Building codes and appliance standards accounted for just over half of the savings and
the remainder came from utility-administered efficiency programs. In recent years,
savings from efficiency measures have accelerated from 582 GWh in 1998 to more
than 5,000 GWh in 2010 as the level of investment continued to increase, bringing
the overall electricity savings to more than 60,000 GWh
Building Energy-Efficiency Best Practice Policies and Policy Packages, Mark Levine, Stephane de la Rue de Can, Nina Zheng, Christopher Williams, Lawrence Berkeley
National Laboratory, Jennifer Amann, American Council for Energy-Efficient Economy, Dan Staniaszek, Sustainability Consulting Ltd., LBNL 6006E, October 2012
Energy efficiency (EE) programs are air quality control measures. The
accumulated benefits of programs such as appliance standards, updated
building codes, and more efficient manufacturing have been responsible for
significant air quality improvements achieved by the United States since the
1970s (Laitner 2009).
4¢
Lighting
LIGHT FACTORY -- Retinal Rods and Cones
Cone
top-down view
Rod
Cone Rod
SEM oF ROD (blue) and CONE (green) cells of the retina. ROD cells are sensitive to low
light levels and produce low-clarity black and white vision. CONE cells are sensitive to
higher levels of light and produce sharp, high-clarity trichromatic color
Retinal Sensitivity
Retinal Sensitivity
RODs CONEs
Mesopic Vision
RODs & CONEs
The TRI-STIMULUS
CONE receptors still
have enough light to
provide some
amounts of color
vision.
SCOTOPIC region
occurs in very dim
light like viewing
grass in a moonless
night.
PHOTOPIC, MESOPIC
& SCOTOPIC together
allow us to see over a
wide range of lighting
levels with about 1 or
2 billion times (109,
nine orders of
magnitude) range
from the dimmest to
the brightest image
we can see.
BETTER LIGHTING METRICS
Reliance on the lumen (lm) as the sole
measure of lighting benefits (lm/m2 and
lm/W) can unnecessarily waste energy,
increase costs, and reduce safety, security
and visibility.
Photopic luminous efficacies (lm/W) of four common light sources used in outdoor lighting applications
together with the relative electric power levels, compared to HPS, needed to deliver equal visual benefits
according to the design concepts of unified illuminance and of brightness illuminance. The values
highlighted in pink (darker shade) indicate more electric power would be required to deliver the same
visual benefit as HPS while less would be required for those highlighted in green (lighter shade).
Opportunities with LEDs for Increasing the Visual Benefits of Lighting Mark S. Rea, Lighting Research Center, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, Troy NY
NOTES ON LUMINOUS EFFICACY
By using the lumen as the benefit metric for
parking lots, we unnecessarily waste a great
deal of electric energy at night.
Submarkets
Technologies
Incandescent
Incandescent Halogen Halogen Reflector CFL
Reflector
High Pressure
Metal Halide Mercury Vapor LED Lamp LED Luminaire
Sodium
Energy Savings Forecast of Solid-State Lighting in General Illumination Applications, U.S. Department of Energy August 2014
BR=Bulged Reflector MR=Multifaceted Reflector PAR=Parabolic Aluminized Reflector
Energy Savings Forecast of Solid-State Lighting in General Illumination Applications, U.S. Department of Energy August 2014
Comparing Products & Performance
https://performance.nrel.gov/
RESULTS (259)
U.S. Lighting Service Forecast 2013 to 2030
(Trillions of Lumen-hours)
CFLs
LED Luminaires
High-Intensity
Discharge (HID)
Energy Savings Forecast of Solid-State Lighting in General Illumination Applications, U.S. Department of Energy August 2014
LEEP - Lighting Energy Efficiency in Parking Campaign
LED parking lamps last 5 times longer than traditional outdoor lights, with rapid
paybacks by cutting energy costs up to 70% and maintenance costs up to 90%.
85 55°C (LM-80)
85°C (LM-80)
80 110
65 85 55°C (LM-80)
105°C (TM-21)
85°C (LM-80)
80
60 75
105°C (LM-80)
55°C (TM-21)
70
55 85°C (TM-21)
65
50 60
55
1,000 10,000 100,000 1,000,000
50
1,000 10,000
Time (hours)
100,000
Time (hours) 1,000,000 CFLs/HIFs last 10k to 20k hrs!
LEDs last 50k to 250k hrs
This document is provided for informational purposes only and is not a warranty or a specification. For product specifications,
HIDs last 20k to 30k hrs
This document is provided for informational purposes only and is not a warranty or a specification. For product specifications,
please see the data sheets available at www.cree.com.
thelogodata sheets
and XLamp available
are registered at ofwww.cree.com.
trademarks Cree, Inc. an LED was not standardized, meaning that each vendor performed thes
Copyright © 2011 Cree, Inc. All rights reserved. The information in this document is subject to change without notice. Cree, the
please see Cree
Unlike fluorescents, there are no ON/OFF cycling limitations for
Copyright © 2011 Cree, Inc. All rights reserved. The information in this document is subject to change without notice. Cree, the LED light
lifetime sources,
ratings because
claims tha frequent
t varied widely switching
among vendors, does not
leading to an un
Cree logo and XLamp are registered trademarks of Cree, Inc.
impact the useful life of an LED. So, when LEDs are integrated industria with occupancy and/or daylight harvesting sensors, and are
l consumers.
cycled on and off more frequently, useable lifespan is being extended because they are being turned off when not needed.!
The question then becomes: Can LED useful lifetime ratings be compared, on an apples-to-apples basis, to the lifetime
ratings of incandescent lamps, which are based on MTBF? The short answer is yes. If incandescent lifetime ratings were
Forextrapola
systems with
ted to their incandescent,
corresponding HIDwould
L70 values, the lamps and HIF
fail (e.g light
., exceed sources,
MTBF) engineers
well before they reached these typically over-light space to account for rapid initial
70 ca lculation.
thresholds (see Figure 1).
lumen depreciation. This adds to up-front costs and lifetime energy can becosts ofthe
used in incandescent, HIF & HID
extrapolation formula lighting
based on theapplications.
sample size, numb
The question then becomes: Can LED useful lifetime ratings be compatempera red, onture an apples-to-apples basis, toIt the
(ambient, high ambient). alsolifetime
creates an upper limit to th
fluorescent lightbulbs to solid-state lighting—all connected to an energy grid thr
variety of last-mile access technologies (see Figure 1).
Moving from “Traditional” to “Intelligent” Lighting Networks
Figure 1. Moving from “Traditional” to “Intelligent” Lighting Networks.
Electrodeless fluorescent
Metal halide
High-Pressure Sodium (HPS/HID)
White Sodium
Low-Pressure Sodium (yellow-orange color)
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2
Smart!
LED
Luminaire
1!
80 watt!
LED
100k hrs 20k hrs 2k hrs
10k to 20k hrs
http://designadvisor.mit.edu/design/
Arena Amazônia
Leed Silver World Soccer Stadium 2014
Manaus, Brazil
• Brazil ranks among the world’s top 5 countries with LEED-certified projects.
• 30 million ft2 of LEED-certified space.
• Six were certified for use in the 2014 World Cup Soccer Championships.
• Arena Amazônia used a fraction of the steel (5,700 tons) compared to
conventional sports and entertainment venues.
Arena Amazônia
State-of-the-art lightweight roof based on the principle of a horizontally oriented spoked wheel. The circular roof structure is
comprised of high-strength cables connecting inner “tension rings” at the center of the circle to an outer rim, or “compression ring.”
The cable “spokes,” which are allocated at the inner edge of the roof, are tightened between the outer compression ring and the
tension rings. This creates a lightweight, almost floating roof. A secondary steel structure serves as a frame to support the
polytetrafluoroethylene (PTFE)-coated high-strength resilient fiberglass membrane cladding. The roof elements also serve as gutters to
collect the large amounts of water expected during the rainy seasons. The design of the gutters facilitates rainwater collection to be
used in the arena’s plumbing systems.
Although Title 24 is considered the most stringent t
energy code in the country, California allows for local
adoption of more stringent codes contingent upon
approval by the CEC. As of May 2010, eleven cities and
five counties had adopted—and the CEC approved—
more stringent requirements than those in the 2008
Standards. Many Title 24 specifications are
performance-based, offering flexibility in building
design. Although California allows builders to use either
a prescriptive or a performance approach to comply
with Title 24, the performance approach is used much
more widely. As of 2003, more than 90% of the new
homes were built to comply with performance
standards
Building Energy-Efficiency Best Practice Policies and Policy Packages, Mark Levine, Stephane de la Rue de Can, Nina Zheng, Christopher Williams, Lawrence Berkeley
National Laboratory, Jennifer Amann, American Council for Energy-Efficient Economy, Dan Staniaszek, Sustainability Consulting Ltd., LBNL 6006E, October 2012
In January 2011, California became the first state to require new
buildings—residential and non- residential—to comply with
mandatory green building standards. The 2010 California Green
Building Standards Code (CALGREEN)55 requires a 20% reduction in
indoor water use, a separation of water meters for indoor and
outdoor water use (for commercial buildings), diversion of 50
percent of construction waste from landfills, mandatory inspections
of energy systems in commercial buildings larger than 9290 square
meters, and the use of low-emissions interior finishes (e.g., paints,
carpets, vinyl flooring, and particle board), among other provisions.
The California Air Resources Board estimates that the mandatory
provisions of CALGREEN will reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 3
million metric tons in 2020, helping California meet its state goal of
33% reduction in GHG emissions from 2010 to 2020.
Building Energy-Efficiency Best Practice Policies and Policy Packages, Mark Levine, Stephane de la Rue de Can, Nina Zheng, Christopher Williams, Lawrence Berkeley
National Laboratory, Jennifer Amann, American Council for Energy-Efficient Economy, Dan Staniaszek, Sustainability Consulting Ltd., LBNL 6006E, October 2012
In addition to the state’s formal code requirements, California has
established goals for zero net energy new construction. Announced by
the California Public Utility Commission (CPUC) in 2008 as part of the
state’s Big Bold Energy Efficiency Strategies, the goals call for all new
residential construction in California to be zero net energy by 2020,
and for all commercial new construction to meet the same goal by
2030. The CPUC defined a zero net energy building as one that
“employs a combination of energy- efficiency design features, efficient
appliances, clean distributed generation, and advanced energy
management systems to result in no net purchases of energy from the
grid.” The zero net energy goals serve as aspirational targets to inspire
residents and engage market actors to work toward a clear and
aggressive, yet achievable goal.
Building Energy-Efficiency Best Practice Policies and Policy Packages, Mark Levine, Stephane de la Rue de Can, Nina Zheng, Christopher Williams, Lawrence Berkeley
National Laboratory, Jennifer Amann, American Council for Energy-Efficient Economy, Dan Staniaszek, Sustainability Consulting Ltd., LBNL 6006E, October 2012
Unlike many states, California allows utilities to
claim credit for savings associated with codes
and code- related activities. Since 2000, utility
involvement has increased in the development
and implementation of codes and standards.
Over the 2006–2008 program cycle, the
investor-owned utilities (IOUs) spent more
than $8 million on codes and standards
activities; and for the first time they were able
to claim savings attributable to these activities.
Total savings from the IOU codes and
standards activities account for 8% to 9% of
electricity savings goals, 11% to 12% of
demand reduction goals, and 9% to 17% of gas
savings goals
Building Energy-Efficiency Best Practice Policies and Policy Packages, Mark Levine, Stephane de la Rue de Can, Nina Zheng, Christopher Williams, Lawrence Berkeley
National Laboratory, Jennifer Amann, American Council for Energy-Efficient Economy, Dan Staniaszek, Sustainability Consulting Ltd., LBNL 6006E, October 2012
Mandatory building
energy efficiency codes
(BEECs), when
practically formulated,
continuously updated,
and actually enforced,
are both effective and
economic in overcoming
persistent market
barriers and delivering
more energy-efficient
buildings.
Institute for Market Transformation. (2011b). Rating and Disclosing the Energy Performance of Buildings: A Market-Based Solution to Unlock
Commercial Energy Efficiency Opportunities. Washington, DC: Institute for Market Transformation.
W
ith climate protection and energy security issues at the forefront of global politics,
improving the energy efficiency of existing buildings is emerging as a central goal for
policymakers. In the United States, buildings account for nearly 40% of greenhouse
gas emissions,1 about half of which are from existing commercial buildings.
For better or worse, the buildings of tomorrow are mostly here. According to statistics from the
U.S. Department of Energy, only a quarter of existing commercial buildings were built in the past
10 years, while 40 percent are more than 30 years old. In New York City, where commercial and
multifamily buildings account for 80 percent of city greenhouse gas emissions and $15 billion
each year in energy costs, 85 percent of buildings standing today will still be around in 2030.2
Our ability to make meaningful reductions in building energy consumption depends on unlocking
efficiencies in existing buildings. But how do we do this?
Performance
ratings for all
Efficiency of buildings Ratings disclosed
existing building to market
stock continuously
improves
An emerging solution is to comparatively rate and disclose the energy performance of buildings.
Rating and disclosure policies can unleash the market’s ability to encourage efficiency
improvement by increasing building energy transparency. In the auto industry, consumer
demand has sparked fierce competition among automakers to build smaller, fuel-efficient
vehicles. But imagine if consumers didn’t have miles-per-gallon efficiency data. Demand for
fuel-efficient vehicles would likely be much less.
Right now, commercial real estate consumers – including tenants, investors and lenders – aren’t
beingTransformation.
Institute for Market given building energy
(2011b). performance
Rating and Disclosing theinformation. Theyof Buildings:
Energy Performance can’t compare the energy
A Market-Based Solution to Unlock
Commercial Energy Efficiency Opportunities. Washington, DC: Institute for Market Transformation.
1
Energy Information Administration. Emissions of Greenhouse Gases in the United States 2008. Table 6
2
utilities in California are investing more than ever in programs targeting the buildings sector. From 1998
to 2008, IOU investment alone increased from about $210 million to more than $1 billion. Publicly-
owned utilities (POUs) are also ramping up their efficiency budgets: expenditures grew from less than
$60 million in 2006 to $166 million in 2010 (Martinez, Wang, & Chou, 2010).
Error! Reference source not found. summarizes recent utility expenditures on residential and
ommercial sector energy efficiency.
$2000
$1800
$1600
$1400
Million ($)
Investments Combined
$1200
Load Management
million $
$1000
Other
$800 Commercial & Industrial
$600 Low-Income
$400 Residential*
$200
$0
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Program Portfolio
The utilities have developed robust program portfolios to meet their efficiency goals. In addition to
support for state building codes and appliance standards, discussed above, a wide array of programs
target end-use consumers as well as trade allies (e.g., architects, builders, engineers, contractors,
improvements in commercial buildings, including the ENERGY STAR Buildings platform, as well as high
efficiency equipment upgrades), and a broader range of customers including hard-to-reach or
underserved market segments. Program offerings for the 2010–2012 program cycle are summarized in
Table 6-3.
Table 6-3. Sample California Utility Program Portfolio, 2010–2012
Program Type Sample Offerings
Residential Retrofit Appliance and consumer electronics rebates
HVAC rebates and quality control/maintenance
Home energy audits and information
Direct installation of energy efficiency measures
Comprehensive whole-house retrofits
Upstream programs
Residential New Construction Single-family, multi-family and manufactured housing
Green building practices
Non-Residential Retrofit Rebates and other financial incentives
Technical assistance and energy audits
Direct installation of energy efficiency measures
Continuous energy savings
Benchmarking
On-bill financing
Upstream programs
Non-Residential New Construction Design assistance
Owner and designer team incentives
Green building practices
Emerging Technologies Increase adoption and supply of new energy-saving technologies
Codes and Standards Code/standards proposal development and advocacy
Code compliance assistance
Local Government and Higher Education Retrofits
Partnerships Benchmarking
Financing
Workforce, Education and Training Training
Needs assessments
Marketing, Education and Outreach Statewide/local/multi-lingual marketing and rural education
Integrated program outreach and central web portal
School education programs
Competitive Solicitations Innovative technologies and programs
Harder-to-reach markets and specialized programs
Pilot Programs Exploration of new programs and technologies to expand portfolio scope
and comprehensiveness
56
A resource hacquisition approach f cuses on t e “generation of energy savings which are sufficiently reliable, predictable, and
o
measurable to replace supply-side options in the planning process” (Eto, Prahl, & Schlegel, 1996). The most common resource
acquisition activity is customer rebates. A market transformation approach focuses on strategic interventions in a market to
Figure 1. Ozone design values 2009-11. Source: EPA 2014b
The EE community can help spur the inclusion of EE in new and revised air quality rules,
and promote EE’s role in helping states and air pollution sources comply with such rules, in two
principal areas. First, the EE community should assure that EPA rules explicitly include EE as a
compliance option. Because many states are expressly prohibited by their state constitutions
Reducing Greenhouse Gases
fromand Improving
adopting Air Quality
rules more Through Energy
stringent thanEfficiency Power Plants: Cutting
federal requirements, EPAThrough the and
guidance Fog to Helpmust
rules Air Regulators “Build"
EPPs, Chris James and Ken Colburn, Regulatory Assistance Project Chris Neme and Jim Grevatt, Energy Futures Group, ACEEE Summer Study 2014
explicitly include language that promotes EE. Ot herwise, it will not be adopted by the states.
Reducing Greenhouse Gases and Improving Air Quality Through Energy Efficiency Power Plants: Cutting Through the Fog to Help Air Regulators “Build"
EPPs, Chris James and Ken Colburn, Regulatory Assistance Project Chris Neme and Jim Grevatt, Energy Futures Group, ACEEE Summer Study 2014
Reducing Greenhouse Gases and Improving Air Quality Through Energy Efficiency Power Plants: Cutting Through the Fog to Help Air Regulators “Build"
EPPs, Chris James and Ken Colburn, Regulatory Assistance Project Chris Neme and Jim Grevatt, Energy Futures Group, ACEEE Summer Study 2014
Reducing Greenhouse Gases and Improving Air Quality Through Energy Efficiency Power Plants: Cutting Through the Fog to Help Air Regulators “Build"
EPPs, Chris James and Ken Colburn, Regulatory Assistance Project Chris Neme and Jim Grevatt, Energy Futures Group, ACEEE Summer Study 2014
Per Capita Electricity Sales (not including self-generation)
(kWh/person) (2005 to 2008 are forecast data)
14,000
12,000
2005 Differences
10,000 = 5,300 kWh/yr
= $165/capita
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
California
United States
0
1960
1962
1964
1966
1968
1970
1972
1974
1976
1978
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
9 Arthur H. Rosenfeld, Commissioner California Energy Commission, Successes of Energy Efficiency: The United States and California, National
Environmental Trust, May 2, 2007
Annual Energy Savings from Efficiency Programs and Standards
45,000
35,000
30,000
Programs at a cost of
~1% of electric bill
20,000
15,000
Building Standards
10,000
0
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
14
Arthur H. Rosenfeld, Commissioner California Energy Commission, Successes of Energy Efficiency: The United States and California, National
Environmental Trust, May 2, 2007
Arthur H. Rosenfeld, Commissioner California Energy Commission, Successes of Energy Efficiency: The United States and California, National
Environmental Trust, May 2, 2007
Temperature and Smog Formation
Transition Zone
124
White roofs, cool-colored roofs save
money and can even avoid the need to
OLD air condition NEW
AC savings ≈≈ 15%
AC savings 15%
flat, white
AC savings ≈ 5%
AC savings≈≈10%
ACsavings 10%
pitched, white
125
A Real-World
Example of Cooling
The whitewashed
greenhouses of
Almeria, Spain have
cooled the region by
0.8 degrees Celsius
each decade compared
to surrounding regions,
according to 20 years
of weather station data.
127
Recent cool roof progress (2005 – 2012)
• 2005
– California Title 24 – “Flat roofs shall be white” (15 out of 16 climate zones). Walmart
adopts white roofs for all stores.
– EPA ENERGY STAR lists cool roof materials
• 2010
– June 1st, 2010 – Memo from U.S. Energy Secretary Steven Chu
calls for all DOE Buildings to have white roofs, if cost-effective
– June 16th, 2010 – Marine Corp follows suit, Pentagon GSA following.
– June 19th, 2010 – RetroFIT Philly announces winner of “coolest block” contest to
white-coat black roofs of row houses.
• 2011-12
– 100 Cool Cities launched – see www.GlobalCoolCities.org
– 2012--US launched, at G20 Energy Ministers meeting, a voluntary Cool Roofs
Working Group, and offers technical assistance to “charter” developing countries:
India, Japan, Mexico, & US joined (further discussions with Brazil, China, South Africa)
– New York City and Chicago adopt “If it’s flat it shall be white or green”
128
Built-Up Roofs consist of a base sheet, fabric reinforcement layers, and a protective surface layer
that is traditionally dark. The surface layer can be made in a few different ways, and each has
cool options. One way involves embedding mineral aggregate (gravel) in a flood coat of asphalt.
By substituting reflective marble chips or gray slag for dark gravel you can make the roof cool.
Note: Figure only includes the countries with the most installed wind
power capacity at the end of 2012
WIND AND WATER POWER PROGRAM
$60
$40
$20
75 MW
$0
Jan-96
Jan-97
Jan-98
Jan-99
Jan-00
Jan-01
Jan-02
Jan-03
Jan-04
Jan-05
Jan-06
Jan-07
Jan-08
Jan-09
Jan-10
Jan-11
Jan-12
Jan-13
Jan-14
PPA Execution Date
U.S. Wind Power LCOE PPA in 2013 2.5¢/kWh
Global
that the turbine scaling Wind
and other PowertoLCOE
improvements in 2013
turbine efficiency 6.5¢/kWh
described in Chapter 4 have
more than overcome these headwinds to help drive PPA prices lower.
6¢/kWh
4¢/kWh
2¢/kWh
Figure 46. Generation-weighted average levelized wind PPA prices by PPA execution date and region
Figure
Ryan 46 also
Wiser &shows
Marktrends in the generation-weighted
Bollinger, average levelized
2013 Wind Technologies MarketPPA price over
Report, time
Lawrence
among four of the five regions broken out in Figure 30 (the Southeast region is omitted from
Berkeley,
Figure 46 August
owing to 2014
its small sample size). Figures 45 and 46 both demonstrate that, based on our
data sample, PPA prices are generally low in the U.S. Interior, high in the West, and in the
WIND AND WATER POWER PROGRAM
60
50
40
30
20
Nationwide Wholesale Power Price Range (by calendar year)
10
Generation-Weighted Average Levelized Wind PPA Price (by year of PPA execution)
0
PPA year: 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Contracts: 9 13 17 30 26 39 49 48 38 13 18
MW: 570 547 1,643 2,311 1,781 3,465 4,048 4,642 3,980 970 2,761
• Wholesale price range reflects flat block of power across 23 pricing nodes across the U.S.
• Recent wholesale prices reflect low natural gas prices, driven by weak economy and shale gas
WIND AND WATER POWER PROGRAM
— Report Summary —
September 2014
This analysis was funded by the Solar Energy Technologies Office, Office of Energy
Efficiency and Renewable Energy of the U.S. Department of Energy under Contract No.
DE-AC02-05CH11231.
Preliminary Price Trends for Systems Installed
in H1 2014 from a Subset of State Markets
$8
Installed Price (2013$/WDC)
$4
$2
Installations in a number of the larger PV incentive programs and state markets have
shown continued price declines into H1 2014
Median reported prices fell by roughly $0.24-0.48/W (5-12%) during the first half of
2014, relative to 2013, across the three size ranges shown.
9
energy.gov/sunshot
Variation in Reported Price by State:
$7
Systems >100 kWDC Installed in 2013
$6 (Median and 20th/80th Percentiles)
Installed Price (2013$/WDC)
$5
$4
$3
$2
$1
$2.54 $2.65 $3.40 $3.54 $3.78 $4.26 $5.32
$0
NC CO MA NJ NY CA AZ
79 37 117 261 29 404 186
State (Sample Size)
Note: Numbers in parentheses below each state indicate the number of observations; median installed prices are shown only if 15 or more
observations are available for a given state.
Median reported prices also vary widely across states for large commercial systems
(i.e., a difference of $2.79/W between the lowest- and highest-priced states), though
some caution is warranted given small sample sizes for individual states
Variation across states reflect the same kinds of factors cited on prior slide (e.g.,
preponderance of large ground-mounted systems in NC, non-profit 12
and public agency projects in CA, etc.). energy.gov/sunshot
Installed Prices for Residential PV: United States vs. Germany
$5
Sales Tax/VAT (2013$/WDC)
Installed Price, Excluding
$4
$3
$2
$1
$4.40 $3.52 $3.29 $2.05
$0
U.S. Reported Price U.S. Modeled Price U.S. Modeled Price Germany Reported Price
(Installed in 2013) (Quoted Q4 2012) (Quoted Q4 2013) (Quoted in 2013)
Note: The German data are based on price quotes for roughly 2,300 individual PV systems obtained by EuPD through its quarterly survey of
German installers and provided to LBNL.
Installed prices in the United States are high compared to many other major
international PV markets; the disparity is particularly stark in comparison to Germany
Hardware costs are fairly similar across countries; thus the gap in total installed prices
must reflect differences in soft costs (including installer margins)
Suggestive of a potential for near-term installed price reductions in the United States.
24
energy.gov/sunshot
Analyst Estimates (2012- and Projections
(2014– of Global Average System Price
Distributed Systems Utility-Scale Systems
$5 $5
Historic Projection Historic Projection
$3 $3
$2 $2
$1 $1
$0 $0
2012 2013 2014P 2015P 2016P 2012 2013 2014P 2015P 2016P
Analysts expect the system prices of both utility-scale and distributed systems to
continue to fall in the near future
Distributed systems are expected to reach between $1.50/W - $3.00/W by 2016
Utility-scale systems are expected to reach between $1.30 - $1.95/W by 2016.
Note: P = projection. Data represent the max. and min. figures from: Bloomberg New Energy Finance (05/15/14);
27
Cowen & Company (04/24/14); Deutsche Bank (04/23/14, 05/06/14, 05/08/14); Stifel Nicolaus (03/20/14). Inflation energy.gov/sunshot
adjusted 2013-14: EIA, AEO, Table 20, Gross Domestic Product, August 2012.
Range of Analyst Expectations of Long-term
System Price
$5.0
$4.0
Utility-scale PV Range of Analyst
Projections Analysts expect pricing in all PV markets to
$3.0 continue to decrease in the long-term
$2.0 Low-end of analyst projections get very
PV Installed Cost (2010 $/W)
$4.0
Residential-scale PV
Sources: Greenpeace/EREC, “Energy Revolution,” May 2014 (utility-scale only);
$3.0 International Energy Agency, “World Energy Outlook 2013,” November 2013 (
New Policy & 450 Scenarios for utility-scale & commercial-scale); Bloomberg
New Energy Finance, Q2 2014, “PV Market Outlook” (05/15/14); U.S. Energy
$2.0 Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook 2014 ER (December 2013).
In years where projection was not made, most recent projection used.
$1.0
$0.0 28
2015P 2020P 2025P 2030P 2035P 2040P
energy.gov/sunshot
Common Utility Sector View
Embedded Cost Perspective
• Only the short-run avoided
operating cost should be credited.
• At minimum, customer should
u
pay distribution costs.
DG cs tomerh “uses” te grid
and should pay for it;
Jim Lazar, The Regulatory Assistance Project, Status of Distributed Generation Installation and Rate Making In the US, American Public Power Association
Workshop, Jan. 13, 2014 10
Net-Metering: Almost Universal in the US
Net Metering.
www.dsireusa.org / July 2013
43 states,
+ Washington DC
& 4 territories,have
adopted a net
metering policy.
Note: Numbers indicate individual system capacity limit in kilowatts. Some limits vary by customer type, technology and/or application. Other limits might also apply.
This map generally does not address statutory changes until administrative rules have been adopted to implement such changes.
Jim Lazar, The Regulatory Assistance Project, Status of Distributed Generation Installation and Rate Making In the US, American Public Power Association Workshop, Jan. 13, 2014
Where Did Net-Metering Come From?
• Simple.
• “Infant-industry”
subsidies are
common.
• Unresolved issues
over the
v “a lue” of
distributed
generation.
Jim Lazar, The Regulatory Assistance Project, Status of Distributed Generation Installation and Rate Making In the US, American Public Power Association Workshop, Jan. 13, 2014 8
Common Utility Sector View
Embedded Cost Perspective
• Only the short-run avoided
operating cost should be credited.
• At minimum, customer should
u
pay distribution costs.
DG cs tomerh “uses” te grid
and should pay for it;
Jim Lazar, The Regulatory Assistance Project, Status of Distributed Generation Installation and Rate Making In the US, American Public Power Association Workshop, Jan. 13, 2014
10
How Did High Monthly Fixed Charges
Work Out For the Telephone Industry?
Switched Access Lines X 1,000
Jim Lazar, The Regulatory Assistance Project, Status of Distributed Generation Installation and Rate Making In the US, American Public Power Association Workshop, Jan. 13, 2014
11
Typical DG Advocate View
Marginal Cost Perspective:
• Value of distributed resource is greater than the than retail
rate;
• Net-metering results in subsidy to the grid from innovators.
12
Jim Lazar, The Regulatory Assistance Project, Status of Distributed Generation Installation and Rate Making In the US, American Public Power Association Workshop, Jan. 13, 2014
RMIV
Sr vey O
f “ alue o
of S l ar” Studies:
u Average: $.1672/kWh
Jim Lazar, The Regulatory Assistance Project, Status of Distributed Generation Installation and Rate Making In the US, American Public Power Association Workshop, Jan. 13, 201413
Low-Cost Utilities
Value of Solar vs. Average Retail Rate
14
Jim Lazar, The Regulatory Assistance Project, Status of Distributed Generation Installation and Rate Making In the US, American Public Power Association Workshop, Jan. 13, 2014
Carl Linvill, John Shenot, Jim Lazar, Designing Distributed Generation Tariffs Well: Fair Compensation in a Time of Transition, Regulatory Assistance Project, November 2013, www.raponline.org
The New Power Plant
IP Cloud Controlled
Wireless Smart Sensor Networks
Centralized production in the mid 80’s Decentralized production of today
PCC
DC Coupled Subsystem
Main
Utility Grid
PCC
DC Coupled Subsystem
Main
Utility Grid
Modes of Operation: ISLANDED
PCC
DC Coupled Subsystem
Main
Utility Grid
MicroGrids are defined according to the IEEE Std 1547.4-2011
Guide for Design, Operation, and Integration of DR Island Systems with EPS.
The term DR island systems, sometimes referred to as microgrids, is used for electrical power systems (EPS)
as:
1. Have DR and load
2. Have the ability to disconnect from and parallel with the area EPS include the local EPS and may include
portions of the area EPS, and
3. Include the local EPS and may include
portions of the area EPS, and they are
intentionally planned.
Test and verification that the proposed solutions follow the European
power quality standards IEC 61727 and IEC 61000-3-6.
Distribution network with multiple MG setup
Figure
Reviving 3. Common
the War AC and DC
of Currents: Opportunities voltages
to Save Energy within
DChigh- andinlow-voltage
Distribution products.
Commercial Buildings, Suzanne Foster Porter, Dave Denkenberger and Catherine
Mercier, Ecova, Peter May-Ostendorp, Xergy Consulting, Peter Turnbull, PG&E, 2014 ACEEE Summer Study on Energy Efficiency in Buildings
integrating DC power into walls, furniture, and floors, in addition to the suspended ceilings
currently included in the standard today. Adding plug load equipment would enable DC
distribution for the majority of office equipment and lighting, and will be a significant step
DC distribution standards
toward cost-effectively realizing possible savings from DC distribution systems.4
Benefits:
Autonomy
Stability/Reliability
Compatibility
Flexibility
Scalability
Efficiency
Economics
Peer-to-peer connectivity
Controls from a DC Power Perspective, DC – The Power to Change Buildings, Kevin Schader, Executive Director – EMerge Alliance
DC Microgrids Can Help In Buildings
Microgrids are for buildings not just ‘Smart’ grids
DC Power
Standards
Building
Microgrids
Controls from a DC Power Perspective, DC – The Power to Change Buildings, Kevin Schader, Executive Director – EMerge Alliance
New DC Power Standards Are Helping
Industry standards are key DC Power
Standards
Utility
Battery Fuel Cell
Solar PV Wind Gen Set Meter
Storage Other
Wind 380VDC
MPPT
Contr. Converter
Electrical Loads
Controls from a DC Power Perspective, DC – The Power to Change Buildings, Kevin Schader, Executive Director – EMerge Alliance
Controls from a DC Power Perspective, DC – The Power to Change Buildings, Kevin Schader, Executive Director – EMerge Alliance
Latin America and Caribbean 9 GW Of Solar
5-Year Cumulative Demand Forecast by Project Status
http://cleantechnica.com/2014/09/30/latin-america-caribbean-region-expected-install-9-gw-solar-5-years/
Latin America and Caribbean PV Demand
Growing 45% Annually Out To 2017
http://www.solarbuzz.com/reports/emerging-pv-markets-report-latin-america-caribbean
Average Retail Grid Rates versus RE Generation Costs
Retail Rates Small Hydro Biomass Solar Wind CHP
$0.25
US$ per kWh (2012)
$0.25
$0.20 $0.20
$0.15 $0.15
$0.10 $0.10
$0.05 $0.05
$0.00 $0.00
NOTES:
Rates are pre-Net Metering, which began in 2013,
providing strong solar PV growth.
Retail rates are national average, while some regional
rates have peak rates far exceeding solar PV LCOE.
Rob Day, Your Company’s Energy Data Is an Untapped Resource, HBR Blog Network, Sept. 12, 2014,
http://blogs.hbr.org/2014/09/your-companys-energy-data-is-an-untapped-resource/
• LightRules management software, which integrates with intelligent LED
lighting fixtures and LightRules Power to provide comprehensive
management and reporting capabilities;
• LightRules Insight, a cloud-based solution that integrates data from
multiple facilities into a single dashboard view;
• LightRules Power to measure and monitor energy usage on any piece of
equipment or system in facility, and integrate that information into
LightRules energy reports;
• LightRules Keypad, a wall-mounted device for implementing pre-
programmed lighting profiles across the network; and
• LightRules Monitor, a remote optimization service that leverages Digital
Lumens experts to make optimization recommendations.
CISCO EnergyWise Management Optimization Software
Announcing the new and impr oved Cisco EnergyWise Suit e
Campus HVAC
Facilities
CRAC (BMS partners)
Printers Lighting Video
Thin Clients Cameras
Macs Access
Desktops Gateways Control
Laptops
Servers Systems
VoIP Phones
Access Points
Data Center
http://www.cisco.com/c/en/us/products/switches/energywise-optimization-service/index.html
power mnag ement c o reduce n
overall eer gy costs.
JouleX Energy Monitoring & Optimization Software
Measure Energy Consumption Powerful Energy Intelligence
and Utilization of ALL network- Energy Cost
connected devices and systems:
O R AN Energy Usage
Distributed Office Network: T Energy Reduction
I
PCs, MAC, VoIP phones, access
MON
Carbon Emissions
ALY
points, copiers, printers, etc.
Date/Time
Data Center:
ZE
Location
servers, routers, switches, storage
n
Cost Center
Facilities:
HVAC, Lighting, PDUa
CO
NTROL
Event Based Policy
Rule Based Policy
Energy Use Simulation
ROI Modeling
Device Utilization
Load Adaptive TM Computing
http://www.cisco.com/web/about/ac49/ac0/ac1/ac259/joulex.html
FEATURES
architectural firme [8] represents a new contemporary
interpretation for the Islamic-Arab windcatcher. Both applied
Kensington
the same design Oval
conceptcricket Stadium,
of capturing Barbados
the prevailing wind and
Designed
disperse it around the with traditional Wind Catcher
building.
Fig. 19. Bu
2008 by E
The Sh
projects i
into the
Fig. 17. Kensington cricket ground,
Natural cooling & ventilation design by capturing the prevailing wind ARP Associates [7]
behind th
and dispersing it around the building and exte
ventilate
drawn in
Design with Nature: Windcatcher as a Paradigm of Natural Ventilation Device in Buildings, Dr. Abdel-moniem El-Shorbagy, International Journal of Civil
& Environmental Engineering IJCEE-IJENS Vol:10 No:03, 2010
level) and
http://www.lightingfacts.com/
http://www.gelighting.com/Ligh
tingWeb/na/resources/tools/le
d-system/
Highlighted Products Financial Case Study: Full-Service Bar & Grill
Desig ned t o Last 50 ,0 0 0 Hours / 5-Year Fixt ure Warrant y Estimated Project Savings*
BA R
W ORK STATION
· $16 ,4 52 tot al lifet im e saving s
TM
LR6 6 ” DOW N LIGHT HOSTESS / RETA IL
· Payb ack w it hin 2 years
· 3,231 t ot al w at t s saved
· 650 lum ens, 10 .5W , 120 V
· 18,817 kW h saved annually
· 9 0 CRI at 270 0 K or 350 0 K
· 57 hours saved relam ping
· Dim m ab le to 20 % ( 120 V)
DINING ROOM
To see how t hese saving s w ere
TM
LBR-30 BR30 LAMP
· 94 CRI at 270 0 K
TM (50 ,0 0 0 HOURS)
CR24 2’x4 ’ TROFFER Sym b ol Lum inaire Qt y W at t s To t al W at t s Eq uivalent To t al W at t s $35 ,757
· 120 V-277V Univ ersal Driv er *Savings and p ayback are represent at ive of w hat consum ers could exp ect op erat ing in a t yp ical rest aurant environm ent using com p arab le prod uct s.
Rest aurant A p plicat ion & Payb ack
Highlighted Products Financial Case Study: Twelve-Story Hotel
STANDARD FEATURES:
*Saving s and p ayback are represent at ive of w hat consum ers could exp ect op erat ing in a t yp ical hotel environm ent using com p arable p roduct s.
Hotel A pplicat ion & Payback
Highlighted Products Financial Case Study: Specialty Clothing Store
STANDARD FEATURES:
W INDOW DISPLAYS
· $4 6 ,0 31 t ot al lifet im e saving s
OFFICE /
LR6 TM
6 ” DOW N LIGHT FITTING
STORAGE
· Payb ack w it hin 3 years
· 9,794 t ot al w at t s saved
· 650 lum ens, 10 .5W , 120 V
· 42,780 kW h saved annually
· 9 0 CRI at 270 0 K or 350 0 K · 122 hours saved relam p ing
CHECKOUT
LRP-38 TM
PAR LAMP
· 94 CRI at 270 0 K
· 4 80 0 CBCP
Project Fixture Options
· 20 ° b eam ang le
Cree LED Lighting Incumbent Lighting Estimated Total Lifetime Costs
· Dim m ab le t o 20 %
Sym b ol Lum inaire Qt y W at t s To t al W at t s Eq uivalent To t al W at t s (50 ,0 0 0 HOURS)
$ 85,531
New standards will save purchasers of supermarket glass-door refrigerator and freezer cases
more than $500 over the lifetime of a single case. (A typical supermarket has about 60
refrigerated display cases.)
DOE estimates that commercial refrigerators and freezers meeting the new standards sold
over thirty years will reduce U.S. electricity consumption by about 340 billion kilowatt-hours
and save businesses $12 billion. The new standards will also reduce CO2 emissions by 142
million metric tons, which is equivalent to the annual emissions of 30 million cars.
http://www.aceee.org/blog/2014/02/new-refrigeration-efficiency-standard
Artisinal
Productized
Amit Narayan, Utility and Consumer Data: A New Source of Power in the Energy Internet of Things, GreenTechMedia, Oct 9, 2014,
http://www.greentechmedia.com/articles/read/Utility-and-Consumer-Data-is-a-New-Source-of-Power-in-the-Energy-Internet-
o?utm_source=Daily&utm_medium=Headline&utm_campaign=GTMDaily
TOYOTA’S I-ROAD
http://www.toyota-global.com/innovation/personal_mobility/i-road/
Keenneth L. Seibert, PE, LEED AP Kenny Stanfield, AIA, LEED AP, Richardsville Elementary The First Net Zero Energy Public School in
the U.S. ARMY Net Zero Energy Installations Conference, January 19, 2012,
Keenneth L. Seibert, PE, LEED AP Kenny Stanfield, AIA, LEED AP, Richardsville Elementary The First Net Zero Energy Public School in the U.S. ARMY Net Zero
Energy Installations Conference, January 19, 2012,
Keenneth L. Seibert, PE, LEED AP Kenny Stanfield, AIA, LEED AP, Richardsville Elementary The First Net Zero Energy Public School in the U.S. ARMY Net Zero
Energy Installations Conference, January 19, 2012,
Keenneth L. Seibert, PE, LEED AP Kenny Stanfield, AIA, LEED AP, Richardsville Elementary The First Net Zero Energy Public School in the U.S. ARMY Net Zero
Energy Installations Conference, January 19, 2012,
Keenneth L. Seibert, PE, LEED AP Kenny Stanfield, AIA, LEED AP, Richardsville Elementary The First Net Zero Energy Public School in the U.S. ARMY Net Zero
Energy Installations Conference, January 19, 2012,
Keenneth L. Seibert, PE, LEED AP Kenny Stanfield, AIA, LEED AP, Richardsville Elementary The First Net Zero Energy Public School in the U.S. ARMY Net Zero
Energy Installations Conference, January 19, 2012,
Keenneth L. Seibert, PE, LEED AP Kenny Stanfield, AIA, LEED AP, Richardsville Elementary The First Net Zero Energy Public School in the U.S. ARMY Net Zero
Energy Installations Conference, January 19, 2012,
Keenneth L. Seibert, PE, LEED AP Kenny Stanfield, AIA, LEED AP, Richardsville Elementary The First Net Zero Energy Public School in the U.S. ARMY Net Zero
Energy Installations Conference, January 19, 2012,
Keenneth L. Seibert, PE, LEED AP Kenny Stanfield, AIA, LEED AP, Richardsville Elementary The First Net Zero Energy Public School in the U.S. ARMY Net Zero
Energy Installations Conference, January 19, 2012,
Keenneth L. Seibert, PE, LEED AP Kenny Stanfield, AIA, LEED AP, Richardsville Elementary The First Net Zero Energy Public School in the U.S. ARMY Net Zero
Energy Installations Conference, January 19, 2012,
Keenneth L. Seibert, PE, LEED AP Kenny Stanfield, AIA, LEED AP, Richardsville Elementary The First Net Zero Energy Public School in the U.S. ARMY Net Zero
Energy Installations Conference, January 19, 2012,
Keenneth L. Seibert, PE, LEED AP Kenny Stanfield, AIA, LEED AP, Richardsville Elementary The First Net Zero Energy Public School in the U.S. ARMY Net Zero
Energy Installations Conference, January 19, 2012,
Keenneth L. Seibert, PE, LEED AP Kenny Stanfield, AIA, LEED AP, Richardsville Elementary The First Net Zero Energy Public School in the U.S. ARMY Net Zero
Energy Installations Conference, January 19, 2012,
Keenneth L. Seibert, PE, LEED AP Kenny Stanfield, AIA, LEED AP, Richardsville Elementary The First Net Zero Energy Public School in the U.S. ARMY Net Zero
Energy Installations Conference, January 19, 2012,
Keenneth L. Seibert, PE, LEED AP Kenny Stanfield, AIA, LEED AP, Richardsville Elementary The First Net Zero Energy Public School in the U.S. ARMY Net Zero
Energy Installations Conference, January 19, 2012,
Keenneth L. Seibert, PE, LEED AP Kenny Stanfield, AIA, LEED AP, Richardsville Elementary The First Net Zero Energy Public School in the U.S. ARMY Net Zero
Energy Installations Conference, January 19, 2012,
Keenneth L. Seibert, PE, LEED AP Kenny Stanfield, AIA, LEED AP, Richardsville Elementary The First Net Zero Energy Public School in the U.S. ARMY Net Zero
Energy Installations Conference, January 19, 2012,
Keenneth L. Seibert, PE, LEED AP Kenny Stanfield, AIA, LEED AP, Richardsville Elementary The First Net Zero Energy Public School in the U.S. ARMY Net Zero
Energy Installations Conference, January 19, 2012,
Keenneth L. Seibert, PE, LEED AP Kenny Stanfield, AIA, LEED AP, Richardsville Elementary The First Net Zero Energy Public School in the U.S. ARMY Net Zero
Energy Installations Conference, January 19, 2012,
Keenneth L. Seibert, PE, LEED AP Kenny Stanfield, AIA, LEED AP, Richardsville Elementary The First Net Zero Energy Public School in the U.S. ARMY Net Zero
Energy Installations Conference, January 19, 2012,
Keenneth L. Seibert, PE, LEED AP Kenny Stanfield, AIA, LEED AP, Richardsville Elementary The First Net Zero Energy Public School in the U.S. ARMY Net Zero
Energy Installations Conference, January 19, 2012,
John Boecker, Integrative Energy, Water, and Waste Community Design…from vision and concept to practical Implementation, Army Net-Zero Installations Conference:
19 January 2012
John Boecker, Integrative Energy, Water, and Waste Community Design…from vision and concept to practical Implementation, Army Net-Zero Installations Conference:
19 January 2012
John Boecker, Integrative Energy, Water, and Waste Community Design…from vision and concept to practical Implementation, Army Net-Zero Installations Conference:
19 January 2012
John Boecker, Integrative Energy, Water, and Waste Community Design…from vision and concept to practical Implementation, Army Net-Zero Installations Conference:
19 January 2012
John Boecker, Integrative Energy, Water, and Waste Community Design…from vision and concept to practical Implementation, Army Net-Zero Installations Conference:
19 January 2012
John Boecker, Integrative Energy, Water, and Waste Community Design…from vision and concept to practical Implementation, Army Net-Zero Installations Conference:
19 January 2012
John Boecker, Integrative Energy, Water, and Waste Community Design…from vision and concept to practical Implementation, Army Net-Zero Installations Conference:
19 January 2012
John Boecker, Integrative Energy, Water, and Waste Community Design…from vision and concept to practical Implementation, Army Net-Zero Installations Conference:
19 January 2012
John Boecker, Integrative Energy, Water, and Waste Community Design…from vision and concept to practical Implementation, Army Net-Zero Installations Conference:
19 January 2012
John Boecker, Integrative Energy, Water, and Waste Community Design…from vision and concept to practical Implementation, Army Net-Zero Installations Conference:
19 January 2012
John Boecker, Integrative Energy, Water, and Waste Community Design…from vision and concept to practical Implementation, Army Net-Zero Installations Conference:
19 January 2012
John Boecker, Integrative Energy, Water, and Waste Community Design…from vision and concept to practical Implementation, Army Net-Zero Installations Conference:
19 January 2012
John Boecker, Integrative Energy, Water, and Waste Community Design…from vision and concept to practical Implementation, Army Net-Zero Installations Conference:
19 January 2012
http://www.buildingrating.org/sites/default/files/IMT_USbenchmarking_map_10.27.14.jpg
http://www.buildingrating.org/sites/default/files/Commercial_Benchmarking_Policy_Matrix%20%28cities%29%20-%208.1.14.png
http://www.buildingrating.org/graphic/us-building-area-covered-annually
DPR Construction San Francisco Regional Office – Net Zero Healthy Building
Green Features