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Agenda
• Global environment
• Indian economy
• ICICI Group: Positioning & strengths
• Opportunities
Three key emerging trends in India
Improving macro-economic
conditions
3
Recent trends in the Indian
economy
• Signs of improvement in economic activity
• GDP grew by 7.6% in FY2016; growth in manufacturing improved from
5.5% in FY2015 to 9.3% in FY2016
• ~12% y-o-y growth in vehicle sales in Apr-Aug 2016
• 8.8% y-o-y growth in foods grains production; crop area under
cultivation higher driven by good monsoon season
• Inflation at 5.0% in August 2016; monetary policy stance continues to be
accommodative
• Strong external sector trends: BoP remains in surplus; current account deficit
muted at 0.1% of GDP
4
Global economic overview
• Growth in gross capital formation remained subdued; was at 29.4% during
FY2016 vis-a-vis 30.8% in FY2015
• Exports impacted by a weak global environment; ~3.0% Y-o-Y decrease in Apr-
Aug 2016
• Sales of private corporate business sector contracted for the first time in
fifteen years in FY20161
• Asset quality of banks impacted by environmental factors objective of early
and conservative recognition of stress and provisioning
5
Strong momentum in digital
• India ranks #2 in the world in terms of 5.2%
internet users, mobile phone and 5.2%
smartphone users1 5.1%
• Internet users and smartphone users
2.8%
expected to double by 2021
• Government’s flagship Digital India
programme has a vision to transform
India into a digitally empowered 17.4% 54.3%
society
• Policy focus and consumer behaviour
seeking to increase migration to
electronic channels of payment
• Several digital solutions introduced in
financial services
8
Penetration of financial services
Healthy equity and debt capital market flows
• Equity market turnover1 has almost doubled compared to FY2014
• ~17% y-o-y growth in outstanding corporate bonds and commercial paper
issued by companies at June 30, 2016
Banking
Life Investment
Insurance Banking
General
Mutual Funds
Insurance
10
Strong retail franchise
Trade Cash
Forex
Finance Treasury Management
services
Services Services
1. Includes net foreign gains relating to overseas operations of ₹9.41 billion in FYI2016, ₹3.47 billion
in Q1-2016 billion in Q4-2016 and ₹2.06 billion in Q1-2017
2. Includes profit on sale on shareholding in ICICI Life and ICICI General of ₹21.31 billion in
Q4.2016 and ₹33.74 billion in FY2016
13
Sector-wise exposure Retail finance Electronics
Banks Road
Top 8 sector based on total Crude Power
100
75
50
25
0
March 31, 2012 March 31, 2013 March 31, 2014
14
Robust growth across segments
y-o-y loan growth (%) Portfolio Composition
100 5.2%
Personal loans 5.2%
5.1%
75 Credit Cards
2.8%
Rural & others
50
Home 17.4% 54.3%
25 Vehicle
Business
0 banking
15
Thank you