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Climate Change
CONTENT
NATURAL CAUSES
Volcanic eruptions
Ocean currents
Earth orbital changes-
More tilt = warmer summers & colder winters
Less tilt = cooler summers & milder winters
Solar Variation
HUMAN CAUSES (Anthropogenic or Man-made
causes)
Greenhouse gases
Deforestation
Coal mining
Industrial processes
Deforestation
Coal Mining
Burning of Fossil Fuels
Industrial processes
Agriculture
Effects of Climate Change
Ocean
“shelled-critters”
90 55
Mesopause
Altitude (miles)
45
70 Mesosphere
60
Stratopause 35
50
Stratosphere
40 25
30 Tropopause
We are fish
20 Ozone “layer”
15 swimming
10 Troposphere
under a sea
5
0
of air!
–80 –40 0 40 80 120
(Sea Pressure = 1,000
Level) Temperature (˚C) millibars at
ground level
Types of Air Pollutants
Primary CO CO2
Secondary
Pollutants
Energy in = Energy out
Solar
radiation Reflected by
atmosphere (34%)
Radiated by
UV radiation atmosphere
as heat (66%)
Lower Stratosphere
(ozone layer)
Visible
Absorbed light Greenhouse
Troposphere
by ozone effect
Heat
Heat radiated
Absorbed
by the earth
by the earth
Earth
Greenhouse Effect
(a) Rays of sunlight pwarm the (b) Earth's surface absorbs muchcoming (c) As concentrations of greenhouse
earth's surface. degrades it to longer-wavelength gases rise, more heat to the lower
infrared radiation (heat), which rises atmosphere.
iabsorbed by molecules of greenhouse
gases awarms the lower atmosphere.
Greenhouse warming makes earth Reviewing the
habitable
Without CO2, Earth’s mean temperature
Science
will be about -18°C (no liquid water)
It will warm up
Forecasting tools work,
and they predict a
warmer planet
What about the
Philippines?
Many well-known impacts of global warming (GW) not
applicable to RP
Deadly heat waves are unlikely, no melting glaciers
around
Tropical, marine conditions tend to keep weather and
climate stable
GW must be distinguished from local warming (Urban
Heat Island Effect)
Is it just the Urban Heat Island Effect ?
UHI – Warming of urban areas due to removal of trees and water
bodies, and replacement with concrete and metal
Hulme and
Sheard 1999 Yanagi and Akaki 1994
Mactan Island, Cebu
Northeast MManila
Bulacan-Pampanga
Trends in
Regional
Surface
Temperatures
Trends in number of
hot days and warm
nights (inset). Large
symbols indicate
where p 0.05. From
Manton et al. 2000.
0.4
0.2
20N
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
-0.8
0N
100E 120E 140E 160E -1
15 15 15 15
10 10 10 10
5 5 5 5
120 125 120 125 120 125 120 125
Difference in mean annual rainfall, 1976-2000 minus 1951-1975. ENSO Rainfall Anomaly (mm)
events based on Multivariate ENSO Index (Wolter and Timlin 1998)
-800 -600 -400 -200 0 200 400
Significance (p-value)
Agriculture
Less rain or too much rain means less harvest
Changes in timing of rain also critical
CO2 rise favors crops, but weeds like it more
CO2 rise can enhance corn growth, but only in roots and stalk, not its
edible parts
Downstream Effects of a Changing Philippine Climate
Making a Bad Situation Worse
Forests and biodiversity
Moist forests will shrink, turn into dry forests
GW may raise flood risk, worsening habitat degradation and species
loss
However, human impact still much more damaging
Health
Disease vectors (i.e. mosquitoes) will expand range
Displacement due to disasters will be a worsening health issue
Downstream Effects of a Changing Philippine Climate
Making a Bad Situation Worse
Water Resources
Rainfall is decreasing over Luzon and parts of Mindanao where major
dams are found
Rainfall is increasing in the Visayas where there are no major dams
Sea level rise may cause salinity intrusion; Laguna Lake at risk
Marine Resources
Warmer temperatures can kill coral (as in 1998)
Higher CO2 in atmosphere can disrupt carbonate chemistry, make shell
and bone formation difficult
Summary of 1994 RP Emissions
Energy
Waste CO2
7% 49%
Sector Emissions
(103 tons)
Energy 50.0
Agriculture 33.1
Agriculture
Industry 10.6
Industry
33% 11% Waste 7.1
Total 100.8
1990 Total (ADB 1994): 81.9 x 103 tons
Where We Stand
and
What it Means
• Even if the
Philippines stops
CO2 emitting CO2 there
Emissions will be little
per Capita effect on global
(tons) warming
• We should reduce
emissions for its
other benefits:
cleaner air, less oil
dependence
Actions Needed
Reduce exposure and vulnerability
Evacuate risky areas; enhance preparedness
Old hard lessons: Use less energy, walk, eat more veggies; reach out
to the grassroots
Filipinos should reduce their greenhouse gas emissions, but for the
right reasons
Conceptual Linkages of Climate Change Adaptation
and Disaster Risk Management (CCA-DRM)
Potential
connections
Exploit connections
using co-benefit
strategies
-Prisco Nilo
Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical & Astronomical Services Administration
PHILIPPINE CLIMATE CHANGE ACT
REPUBLIC ACT 9729
MITIGATION ADAPTATION
• Energy Efficiency & • Enhanced Vulnerability and
Conservation Adaptation Assessments
• Renewable Energy • Integrated Ecosystem-Based
• Environmentally- Management
Sustainable Transport • Climate-Responsive Agriculture
• Sustainable Infrastructure • Water Governance &Management
• Climate-Responsive Health Sector
Capacity Knowledge IEC and • National
Gender REDD+ Strategy
Research and Development Multi-stakeholder
Development Management Advocacy• Waste Management
Mainstreaming Technology Transfer • Disaster Risk Reduction
Partnerships
Financing Valuation Policy, Planning and
Mainstreaming
CROSS-CUTTING STRATEGIES &Management MEANS OF IMPLEMENTATION
• Climate-proofing of Infrastructure
CLIMATE CHANGE
ADAPTATION
SALIENT FEATURES
Declaration of Policy
It is the policy of the State to afford full
protection and the advancement of the right
of the people to a healthful ecology in accord
with the rhythm and harmony of nature.
As a party to the Hyogo Framework for
Action, the State likewise adopts the
strategic goals in order to build national and
local resilience to climate change-related
disasters.
Formulation of LCCAP
• The LGUs shall be the frontline agencies in
the formulation, planning and
implementation of climate change action
plans in their respective areas, consistent with
the provisions of the Local Government Code,
the Framework, and the National Climate
Change Action Plan.
Barangay shall be directly involved with
Barangays municipal and city governments in prioritizing
climate change issues and in identifying and
implementing best practices and other
solutions.
Municipal and city governments shall consider
City/ Municipality climate change adaptation, as one of their
regular functions.
https://fr.fotolia.com/id/43483381
The nations are meeting up
for :
The glaciers melt and the sea level
rises.
http://fousdepalmiers.fr/html/forum/viewtopic.php?f=3&t=13052
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ferrybridge_power_stations
The drought
https://www.google.fr/url?sa=i&source=images&cd=&ved=0ahUKEwjPgpahwNnJAhXJVxoKHf54C9cQjB0IBQ&url=http%3A%2F%2Fepinalinfos.fr%2F2015%2F09%2Fvosges-secheresse-levee-du-dispositif-
de-restriction%2F&psig=AFQjCNE7hXBNmSItdiIk3RUpu4GGxXheIA&ust=1450118962732064&rct=j
http://www.sweetmelodiesfm.com/index.php/en/hmscience/2
523-global-warming-disaster-could-suffocate-life-on-planet-
earth.html
https://www.google.fr/url?sa=i&source=images&cd
=&ved=0ahUKEwiKya_CyNnJAhVH2xoKHeAQCc
0QjB0IBQ&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.greenpeace
.org%2Feastasia%2Fcampaigns%2Fclimate-
energy%2Fproblems%2Fimpacts%2Fsea-level-
rise%2F&psig=AFQjCNGv8Tw8B076KCgLVxT58z
hfifRnpw&ust=1450121178649334&rct=j https://www.google.fr/imgres?imgurl=http%3A%2F%2
Fimages.nationalgeographic.com%2Fwpf%2Fmedia-
live%2Fphotos%2F000%2F554%2Foverrides%2Fsea
-level-rise-united-states-east-
coast_55495_600x450.jpg&imgrefurl=http%3A%2F%
2Fblog.geogarage.com%2F2012_06_24_archive.html
&docid=652AiRm5jyX8iM&tbnid=shXgzXn7o4GJoM
%3A&w=600&h=450&ved=0ahUKEwj16q28ytnJAhW
http://svt- DtRoKHRRoAukQxiAIEDAM&iact=c&ictx=1
barcelo.fr/4emes/ai
de/volcans_idees_r
http://rjwestmore.com/tag/earthquakes/
http://www.telegraph.co.uk
/news/picturegalleries/worl
dnews/9131914/Japan-
catastrophe such as
earthquake-and-tsunami-
anniversary-30-powerful-
images-of-the-
disaster.html
cyclones, volcanoes,
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cyclone earthquakes,tsunamis.
What are the
solutions?
https://www.google.fr/url?sa=i&source=images&cd=&ved=&url=http%3A%2F%2F
www.ledsdiscount.fr%2Fblog%2Feconomie-denergie-leclairage-led-
solution%2F&psig=AFQjCNF9szOfdzSB1cW1ab6ItCzbJgKmTQ&ust=145012532
1775485&rct=j
We could use wind tubines instead of
power stations.
http://tpe-une-maison-ecologique.webnode.fr/les-energies-renouvelables/lenergie-eolienne/
http://www.which.co.uk/energy/energy-
saving-products/guides/how-to-buy-led-
cfl-and-halogen-bulbs/your-energy-
saving-light-bulb-concerns/
http://www.logofromdreams.com/logo-Eco-GreenBike.htm
for the
future ?
The boat with kit Submarine wind turbines
http://www.lesechos.fr/17/03/2003/LesEchos/18867-520-ECH_des---eoliennes---sous-
http://www.la1ere.fr/2015/07/02/ecologie-des-cargos-tractes-par-cerf-volant-le-pari-fou-d-
les-mers.htm
yves-parlier-268612.html
http://www.siemens.co.uk/en/news_press/index/news_archive/siemens-on-track-to-build-wind-
http://www.20minutes.fr/sciences/320371-20090417-vers-premiere-centrale-solaire-orbite
turbine-factory-in-uk.htm