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Valuation of Options
Derivative Securities
Tunis Business School
Study Objectives
1. Present the components of an Option Value.
2. Present the determinants of value of an Option.
3. Determine the value of an option through the Binomial model.
4. Find the value of an option through the “Black-Scholes Model”.
Option Values
u
S
1 C1u
S0 C0
d
S 1 C1d
V0 S0
V S 1 r
1
d d
1
Replication of Payoffs and Option
Values
The hedging portfolio must have the same payoff
as the option at maturity.
C V S 1 r
u
1 1
u u
1
C V S 1 r
1
d
1
d
1
d
Replication of Payoffs and Option
Values
The hedging parameters (α and β) will be:
C Cu
C d
1
1
S Su
1 S1
d
C S
u u
1 1
1 r
Replication of Payoffs and Option
Values
Using the optimal hedging value of α and β, we
obtain:
V0
1
1 r
qC 1 q C
u
1 1
d
with :
S 0 1 r S d
q 1
S1 S1
u d
C1u Max 0; S1u K
C1
d
Max0; S 1
d
K
Replication of Payoffs and Option
Values
The hedging portfolio and the Call have the same
value at maturity. They must also have the same
value at time 0, otherwise arbitrage gains
become possible.
C0 V0
Replication of Payoffs and Option
Values
C0
1
1 r
qC1u 1 q C1d
Multiplica tiveModel :
1 r d
q
ud
C1u Max0; S 0u K
C1d Max0; S 0 d K
With :
u0
0 d 1
Replication of Payoffs and Option
Values
We obtain similar formula for the Put:
P0
1
1 r
qP1u 1 q P1d
with :
S 0 1 r Sd
q 1
S1 S1
u d
P1u Max 0; K S1u
P1
d
Max0; K S
1
d
Exercise
A stock is worth initially on the spot market 100$. The
price of this stock follows a mono-period binomial
model with an increase factor u=1,1 and a decrease
factor d=0,9. The annual interest rate r=5%.
This stock is the underlying of a Call and a Put having
the same Strike price K=99$, the same maturity (1
period).
1- Find C0 and P0
2- Find the intrinsic value and the speculative
value of the Call and the Put at t=0.
3- Is the Call-Put parity verified?
4- Find the composition and the value of the
hedging portfolio of the Call and the Put.
Generalizing the Two-State Approach:
The Multi-period Binomial Model
This model is a simple extension of the mono-
period model. Instead of having a single period,
we will have N periods. In each period, the spot
price of the underlying follows a mono-period
binomial model having the same increase (u)
and decrease (d) factors.
Construction of the tree u ... uu
S N
u ... u
….
S N 1
uu
S 2 S u ... ud
N
S1u .
S 2ud …. .
S0 .
d .
S1
dd d ... du
S 2 S N
…. d ... d
S N 1
S Nd ... dd
Value of the Call u ... uu
C N
u ... u
….
C N 1
uu
C 2 C u ... ud
N
C1u .
C 2ud …. .
C0 .
d .
C 1
dd d ... du
C 2 C N
…. d ... d
C N 1
C Nd ... dd
Value of the Call
The first step consists to compute the different
possible values of the Call at the maturity. At
maturity the speculative value is zero. The
entire value is due to the intrinsic component.
Hence:
C ......
N
Max 0; S ......
N K
Value of the Call
At the beginning of any period, the value of the
option is obtained through the following
formula:
C .....
i
1
1 r
qCi 1 1 q Ci 1
..... u ..... d
Example
Assume that we have two periods (N=2).
In each year (period) segment the stock could
increase by 10% or decrease by 5%
Assume the stock is initially selling at 100
Possible outcomes:
Increase by 10% twice
Decrease by 5% twice
Increase once and decrease once (2 paths)
What will be the value of a Call having this stock
as underlying and a strike price K=101 (risk-free
rate=2,5%)?
Example (Continued)
121
110
104.50
100
95
90.25
Example (Continued)
The 3 possible values of the Call at t=2:
C2uu Max 0; S 2uu K Max0; 121 101 20
C2ud Max0; S ud
2 K Max0; 104,5 101 3,5
C2dd Max0; S dd
2 K Max0; 90,25 101 0
The increase and decrease factors are:
U=1,1 and d=0,95
1 r d 1 0,025 0,95
q 0,5
ud 1,1 0,95
Example (Continued)
The 2 possible values of the Call at t=1:
C
u
1
1
1 r
uu ud
qC2 1 q C2
1
1,025
0,5x20 0,5x3,5 11,46
C1
d 1
1 r
ud
qC2 1 q C2
dd 1
1,025
0,5x3,5 0,5x0 1,71
Example (Continued)
The value of the Call at t=0:
C0
1
1 r
qC1u 1 q C1d
1
1,025
0,5 x11,46 0,5 x1,71 6,42
Exercise
A stock is worth initially on the spot market 100$. The
price of this stock follows a two-period binomial model
with an increase factor u=1,1 and a decrease factor
d=0,9. The annual interest rate r=2%.
This stock is the underlying of a Call and a Put having
the same Strike price K=102$, the same maturity (2
periods).
1- Find C0 and P0
2- Find the intrinsic values and the speculative
values of the Call and the Put at t=0 and at t=1.
3- Is the Call-Put parity verified at t=0 and at t=1?
4- Find the compositions and the values of the
hedging portfolios of the Call and the Put at t=0 and at
t=1.
Black-Scholes Option Valuation
Co = SoN(d1) - Xe-rTN(d2)
d1 = [ln(So/X) + (r + 2/2)T] / (T1/2)
d2 = d1 - (T1/2)
where
Co = Current call option value
So = Current stock price
N(d) = probability that a random draw from a
normal distribution will be less than d
Black-Scholes Option Valuation Continued
X = Exercise price
e = 2.71828, the base of the natural log
r = Risk-free interest rate (annualizes continuously
compounded with the same maturity as the option)
T = time to maturity of the option in years
ln = Natural log function
Standard deviation of annualized cont.
compounded rate of return on the stock
Figure 21.6 A Standard Normal Curve
Call Option Example
So = 100 X = 95
r = .10 T = .25 (quarter)
= .50
d1 = [ln(100/95) + (.10+(5 2/2)).25] / (5 .251/2)
= .43
d2 = .43 - ((5.251/2)
= .18
Probabilities from Normal Distribution
N (.43) = .6664
Table 21.2
d N(d)
.42 .6628
.43 .6664 Interpolation
.44 .6700
Probabilities from Normal Distribution
Continued
N (.18) = .5714
Table 21.2
d N(d)
.16 .5636
.18 .5714
.20 .5793
Table 21.2 Cumulative Normal Distribution
Call Option Value
Co = SoN(d1) - Xe-rTN(d2)
Co = 100 X .6664 - 95 e- .10 X .25 X .5714
Co = 13.70
Implied Volatility
Using Black-Scholes and the actual price of
the option, solve for volatility.
Is the implied volatility consistent with the
stock?
Put Value Using Black-Scholes
P = C + PV (X) - So
= C + Xe-rT - So
Using the example data
C = 13.70 X = 95 S = 100
r = .10 T = .25
P = 13.70 + 95 e -.10 X .25 - 100
P = 6.35
Spreadsheet 21.1 Spreadsheet to Calculate
Black-Scholes Option Values