Академический Документы
Профессиональный Документы
Культура Документы
15-1
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What is business risk?
High risk
0 E(ROIC) EBIT
15-2
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
What determines business risk?
• Competition
• Uncertainty about demand (sales)
• Uncertainty about output prices
• Uncertainty about costs
• Product obsolescence
• Foreign risk exposure
• Regulatory risk and legal exposure
• Operating leverage
15-3
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What is operating leverage, and how does it affect a
firm’s business risk?
15-4
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Effect of Operating Leverage
ROICL ROICH
15-6
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Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
EBIT(1 T)
ROIC
Investor-supplied capital
($400,000)(0.6)
$2, 000, 000
12%
15-7
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What is financial leverage?
Financial risk?
15-8
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Business Risk vs. Financial Risk
15-9
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An Example:
Illustrating Effects of Financial Leverage
Firm U Firm L
No debt $10,000 of 12% debt
$20,000 invested capital $20,000 invested capital
40% tax rate 40% tax rate
15-10
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Firm U: Unleveraged
Economy
Bad Average Good
Probability 0.25 0.50 0.25
15-11
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Firm L: Leveraged
Economy
Bad Average Good
Probability* 0.25 0.50 0.25
15-12
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Ratio Comparison Between Leveraged and
Unleveraged Firms
14-13
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Risk and Return for Leveraged and Unleveraged
Firms
Expected values:
Firm U Firm L
E(ROIC) 9.0% 9.0%
E(ROE) 9.0 % 10.8 %
E(TIE) 2.5×
Risk measures:
Firm U Firm L
ROIC 2.12% 2.12%
ROE 2.12% 4.24%
TIE 0 0.6×
15-14
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The Effect of Leverage on Profitability and Debt
Coverage
15-15
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Conclusions
15-16
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Optimal Capital Structure
15-17
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Why do the bond rating and cost of debt depend
upon the amount of debt borrowed?
15-18
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Sequence of Events in a Recapitalization
15-19
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Cost of Debt at Different Debt Ratios
15-20
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Analyze the Recapitalization at Various Debt Levels and
Determine the EPS and TIE at Each Level
D = $0
(EBIT rd D)(1 T)
EPS
Shares outstanding
($400,000)(0.6)
80, 000
$3.00
15-21
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Determining EPS and TIE at Different Levels of Debt
(D = $250,000 and rd = 8%)
$250,000
Shares repurchase d 10,000
$25
(EBIT rdD)(1 T)
EPS
Shares outstandin g
[$400,000 (0.08)($250,000)](0.6)
80,000 10,000
$3.26
EBIT $400,000
TIE 20x
Int. Exp. $20,000
15-22
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Determining EPS and TIE at Different Levels of Debt
(D = $500,000 and rd = 9%)
$500,000
Shares repurchase d 20,000
$25
(EBIT rdD)(1 T)
EPS
Shares outstandin g
[$400,000 (0.09)($500,000)](0.6)
80,000 20,000
$3.55
EBIT $400,000
TIE 8.9x
Int. Exp. $45,000
15-23
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Determining EPS and TIE at Different Levels of Debt
(D = $750,000 and rd = 11.5%)
$750,000
Shares repurchase d 30,000
$25
(EBIT rdD)(1 T)
EPS
Shares outstandin g
[$400,000 (0.115)($750,000)](0.6)
80,000 30,000
$3.77
EBIT $400,000
TIE 4.6x
Int. Exp. $86,250
15-24
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Determining EPS and TIE at Different Levels of Debt
(D = $1,000,000 and rd = 14%)
$1,000,000
Shares repurchased 40,000
$25
(EBIT rdD)(1 T)
EPS
Shares outstandin g
[$400,000 (0.14)($1,000,000)](0.6)
80,000 40,000
$3.90
EBIT $400,000
TIE 2.9x
Int. Exp. $140,000
14-25
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What effect does more debt have on a firm’s cost of
equity?
15-26
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The Hamada Equation
15-27
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The Hamada Equation
bL = bU[1 + (1 – T)(D/E)]
15-28
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Calculating Levered Betas and Costs of Equity
If D = $250,
bL = 1.0[1 + (0.6)($250/$1,750)]
= 1.0857
15-29
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Table for Calculating Levered Betas and Costs of
Equity
15-30
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Finding Optimal Capital Structure
15-31
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Table for Calculating Levered Betas and Costs of
Equity
15-32
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Stock Price with Zero Growth
D1 EPS DPS
P̂0
rs g rs rs
15-33
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Determining the Stock Price Maximizing Capital
Structure
Amount
Borrowed DPS rs P0
$ 0 $3.00 12.00% $25.00
15-34
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What debt ratio maximizes EPS?
14-35
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What is the optimal capital structure?
• P0 is maximized ($26.89) at
D/Cap. = $500,000/$2,000,000 = 25%, so optimal
D/Cap. = 25%.
• EPS is maximized at 50%, but primary interest is
stock price, not E(EPS).
• The example shows that we can push up E(EPS) by
using more debt, but the risk resulting from
increased leverage more than offsets the benefit of
higher E(EPS).
15-36
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What if there were more/less business risk than originally
estimated, how would the analysis be affected?
15-37
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How would these factors affect the target capital
structure?
1. Sales stability?
2. High operating leverage?
3. Increase in the corporate tax rate?
4. Increase in the personal tax rate?
5. Increase in bankruptcy costs?
6. Management spending lots of money on lavish
perks?
7. Financial flexibility?
8. Firm’s growth rate?
15-38
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Modigliani-Miller Irrelevance Theory
15-39
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Modigliani-Miller Irrelevance Theory
15-40
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Incorporating Signaling Effects
15-41
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What are “signaling” effects in capital structure?
• Assumptions:
– Managers have better information about a firm’s
long-run value than outside investors.
– Managers act in the best interests of current
stockholders.
• What can managers be expected to do?
– Issue stock if they think stock is overvalued.
– Issue debt if they think stock is undervalued.
– As a result, investors view a stock offering negatively;
managers think stock is overvalued.
15-42
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Conclusions on Capital Structure
15-43
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