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PERT/CPM
PROJECT NETWORK
Network analysis is the general name given to
certain specific techniques which can be used
for the planning, management and control of
projects.
Use of nodes and arrows:-
C D
Network example
illustration of network analysis of a minor
redesign of a product and its associated
packaging.
The key question is: How long will it take to
complete this project ?
For clarity, this list is
kept to a minimum by specifying only
immediate relationships, that is
relationships involving activities that
"occur near to each other in time".
CPM calculation
Path
A connected sequence of activities leading from the
starting event to the ending event
Critical Path
The longest path (time); determines the project
duration
Critical Activities
All of the activities that make up the critical path.
Forward Pass:-
Earliest Start Time (ES)
earliest time an activity can start
ES = maximum EF of immediate predecessors
EF= ES+t
Backward Pass:-
Latest Start Time (LS)
Latest time an activity can start without
delaying critical path time
LS= LF - t
Latest finish time (LF)
latest time an activity can be completed
without delaying critical path time
LS = minimum LS of immediate
predecessors
CPM ANALYSIS
Draw the CPM network
Analyze the paths through the network
Determine the float for each activity
Compute the activity’s float
float = LS - ES = LF - EF
Float is the maximum amount of time that this
activity can be delay in its completion before it
becomes a critical activity, i.e., delays completion of
the project
Find the critical path is that the sequence of activities
and events where there is no “slack” i.e.. Zero slack
Longest path through a network
Find the project duration is minimum project
CPM Example:
CPM Network:-
f,f, 15
15
g,
g, 17
17 h,
h, 99
a,
a, 66
i,i, 66
b,
b, 88
d,
d, 13
13 j,j, 12
12
c,
c, 55
e,
e, 99
CPM Example
ES and EF Times:-
f,f, 15
15
g,
g, 17
17 h,
h, 99
a,
a, 66
0 6 i,i, 66
b,
b, 88
0 8 j,j, 12
12
d,
d, 13
13
0 5 c,
c, 55
e,
e, 99
CPM Example
ES and EF Times:-
6 21
f,f, 15
15
g,
g, 17
17 h,
h, 99
a,
a, 66
6 23
0 6 i,i, 66
b,
b, 88
0 8 d,
d, 13
13 j,j, 12
12
8 21
c,
c, 55
0 5
e,
e, 99
5 14
CPM Example
ES and EF Times:-
6 21
f,f, 15
15
21 30
0 6
g,
g, 17
17 h,
h, 99
a,
a, 66
6 23
i,i, 66
0 8 23 29
b,
b, 88
d, 138
d, 13 21 j,j, 12
12
21 33
c,
c, 55
0 5
e,
e, 99 Project’s EF = 33
5 14
CPM Example
LS and LF Times:-
6 21
0 0
f,f, 15 21 30
15
0 6 24 33
0 0
g,
g, 17
17 h,
h, 99
a,
a, 66
6 23
i,i, 66 23 29
0 0 27 33
0 8
0 0
b,
b, 88 8 21 j,j, 12
d,
d, 13
13 12
0 0
21 33
c,
c, 55 21 33
0 5
0 0 e,
e, 99
5 14
0 0
CPM Example
LS and LF Times:-
6 21
18 24
21 30
f,f, 15
15
0 6 24 33
4 10
6 23 g,
g, 17
17 h,
h, 99
a,
a, 66 23 29
10 27
27 33 i, 6
i, 6
0 8
0 8 8 21
b,
b, 88 8 21 j,j, 12
d,
d, 13
13 12
21 33
0 5
c,
c, 55 21 33
7 12
e,
e, 99
5 14
12 21
CPM Example
6 21
FLOAT:- 03
9 24
f,f, 15 21 30
15 3
24 33
0 6
3
4 10 g, h,
h, 99
g, 17
17
a,
a, 66 6 23
04
10 27
23 29 i,i, 66
4
0 8 27 33
0 8 21
0 8 0
b, 8 21
b, 88 j,j, 12
12
d,
d, 13
13
21 33
0
0 5 c,
c, 55 21 33
7
7 12 e, 5 14
e, 99 7
12 21
CPM Example
Critical Path:-
f,f, 15
15
g,
g, 17
17 h,
h, 99
a,
a, 66
i,i, 66
b,
b, 88
d,
d, 13
13 j,j, 12
12
c,
c, 55
e,
e, 99
PERT
PERT is based on the assumption that an activity’s
duration follows a probability distribution instead
of being a single value
Three time estimates are required to compute the
parameters of an activity’s duration distribution:
pessimistic time (tp ) - the time the activity
would take if things did not go well
most likely time (tm ) - the consensus best
estimate of the activity’s duration
optimistic time (to ) - the time the activity would
take if things did go well
te = a+4m+b
6
PERT analysis
Draw the network.
Analyze the paths through the network and find
the critical path.
The length of the critical path is the mean of the
project duration probability distribution which is
assumed to be normal
The standard deviation of the project duration
probability distribution is computed by adding the
variances of the critical activities (all of the
activities that make up the critical path) and taking
the square root of that sum
Probability computations can now be made using
the normal distribution table.
Probability computation
Determine probability that project is completed
within specified time
Z= x-
Z
= tp x Time
Benefits of CPM/PERT