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Class Notes 13
Options – give the holder the right but not the obligation to buy or
sell a designated security at a specific price
A Put Option gives the holder the right to sell a share at a specified
price
Options – 1
Vo max( Vs E,0)
+ Investor
Premium (P)
Gain or 0
Loss Value of Stock
E E+P
Writer
-
Boundaries of Option Valuation
Profit ST
Call
Option payoffs
X
Y
Market Value
Time value
Intrinsic value
A ST
E
Out-of-the-money In-the-money
loss
C0 must fall within max (S0 – E, 0) < C0 < S0.
Interpretations
Option , Strike price S
Stock Price at Expiry P
Assume an investor holds both, a stock and an option (on that stock)
Lets analyse the payoffs :
The lower boundary, Y is because if the option has a different value from its
intrinsic value, arbitrage will correct the situation
If the stock is worthless (A), the option is worthless too
Before expiry, there is always some chance of the option to have some value, and thus
value will lie within boundaries, A Y X.
Some Properties & Terms
Between the Upper (X) and Lower Bounds (Y) is contained the possible
option values
The curvature of the relationship is convex value of premium is
maximum at the exercise price
1. Stock Price
2. Exercise Price
3. Time to Expiration
4. Interest Rate
Stock A Stock B
(Rs.) Probabilty (Rs.) Probabilty
Exercise price 38 38
Mean 40 40
Std. Dev 15.23155 31.62278
0 13
Determinants of Option Value – Time to Expiration
The cost of the option can be thought of as the “initial down payment”
and the exercise price as the “final payment”
Thus higher the interest rate the lower is the present value of the future
exercise price
Summary of Variability
With two related assets – a stock and the option on that stock – a
risk-free hedged position can be set up
Assumptions :
1. European Option
2. 1 year to expiration
3. No dividends
4. No transaction costs for buying or selling stocks, or, buying or
writing options
5. Risk free rate = r
Illustration : A Simple Two State Option
Nomenclature
1. uVs = upper value of stock (probability : q)
2. dVs = lower value of stock (probability : 1-q)
3. Risk free rate : r %
4. Current Price Vs
Price 50
Exercise Price 50
Pd 1 - Pu 25.00%
Option Value
Price 50
Exercise Price 50
Risk free rate rf 5.00%
Periods 1
1 + upside change = u 10% 1.10
d -10% 0.90
Estimate of probability , Pu 75.00%
Pd 1 - Pu 25.00%
Hedging Strategy based on Option Delta, Buy 1 stocks (long position) and Write 2
options (short position). Alternately, one could buy 0.50 stocks (long position)
and write 1 call option (short position)
Option Valuation : Duplicate a Call's Cash Flows
Buy 0.5 stocks
Sell 1 Call
Stock Price
55 45
OR
Assuming that we buy
b. Buy Stock and Borrow Hedged Position times stock and write ONE
call
at Risk Free Rate
Value of Value of
long Short
Stock Price at end position in Position in Value of Combined
of period stock Option Hedged Position
55 27.5 -5 22.5
45 22.5 0 22.5
Option Valuation : Duplicate a Call's Cash Flows
Buy stock and borrow appropriately so that value of outstanding
is the same as the hedged position at expiry date. At expiry date
the following is cash flow of the portfolio assuming the stock bought
is sold and the loan is repaid
Stock Price
55 45
Sell stock 27.50 22.50
Repay Loan -22.50 -22.50
Net 5.00 0.00
This way the same cash flow as the option is generated and thus must
have the same value.
The assumption that there can only two outcomes cannot be held in
the real world and thus, the above ‘duplicating’ strategy too will not
work?
In the next instant, the price will change and another combination of
stock and borrowing will be applicable!!
Black – Scholes Model (3)
E
Vo Vs N(d1 ) rt N(d 2 )
e
Vs = Current price of stock
N(d) = Cumulative normal probability function
E = Exercise price of option
e = 2.71828
r = short term interest rate – assuming continuous compounding
t = length in time of years to the expiration of the option
30
Exercise price 30 25
20
Stock Prices 15
10
10 20 30 40 50 60
5
35
25
Exercise price 30 20
15
Stock Prices 10
10 20 30 40 50 60 5
Value of Zero
Coupon Bond 30 30 30 30 30 30
Total 10 20 30 30 30 30
Protective Put
60
Exercise price 30 50
40
Stock Prices 30
10 20 30 40 50 60 20
Value of stock 10 20 30 40 50 60
10
Value of Put 20 10 0 0 0 0
0
Total 30 30 30 40 50 60 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
60
Exercise price 30 50
40
Stock Prices 30
10 20 30 40 50 60 20
Value of Call 0 0 0 10 20 30 10
Value of Zero 0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Coupon Bond 30 30 30 30 30 30
Total 30 30 30 40 50 60
Put- Call Relationship
Price of Call
=
Price of Put + Price of Stock - Present Value of exercise Price
Buy Stock + Put Vs Sell Call + Borrow PV of Exercise Price
Borrow
X / (1 - r ) 100 -105 -105
Sell Call 7 0 -(ST - 105)
Total 2 0 0
Call Option
1. Stockholders can be viewed as
Cash Flow to
having a call option on the firm
Shareholders 2. Bondholders ‘own’ the firm
3. If cash flow is more than the
0
liability to bond holders,
stockholders buy back the firm
Put Option
Stockholders Bondholders
Call Option
1. Stockholders own a call on the firm with 1. Bondholders own the firm
exercise price of the bond liability
2. Bondholders have sold a call on the firm to
the shareholders
Put Option
1. Stockholders own the firm 1. Bondholders are owed interest and principal
totalling to the shareholders' liability
2. Stockholders owe bondholders interest and 2. Bondholders have sold a put on the firm to
principal as their liability the shareholders
3. Stockholders own a put option with the
exercise price equalling to this liability
Negotiating Restrictions and the Options Pricing Theory
Vo = $23.098
Comments
1. For a large company, whose stock is actively traded in large numbers,
the value of the option would be cost to the company. For this cost,
it would gain the benefits provided earlier
2. When the stock and stock options constitute a large percentage of
an executive’s portfolio – by forcing a significant ‘freeze out’ period,
the portfolio is forced to be undiversified and thus risky
Valuing a Start-up (1)
Business Plan (without Options)
Restaurant Business serving exotic food. Current assumption – 1 restaurant.
Year
All Future
0 1 2 3 4 Years