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COLLEGE OF BUSINESS EDUCATION
Production and GDP
• …produced…
– Not included: land, stocks and bonds, etc
• …for the marketplace…
– With the intention of being sold
• …during a given period…
– Specific period of time
– Not included: used goods
• …within a nation’s borders
– Regardless of who owns the resources
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COLLEGE OF BUSINESS EDUCATION
Figure • 1
Stages of Production
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COLLEGE OF BUSINESS EDUCATION
Tracking and Reporting GDP
• GDP
– Flow variable: measures a rate of production
• $40 billion worth of output each day
• $1.2 trillion each month
• $14.5 trillion for the year
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COLLEGE OF BUSINESS EDUCATION
Tracking and Reporting GDP
• Annualization
– The government reports GDP as an annual rate
– But it is measured and reported (as an annual
rate) each quarter
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COLLEGE OF BUSINESS EDUCATION
Table • 1
Annualized data for GDP, real GDP, and growth rate, by quarters
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COLLEGE OF BUSINESS EDUCATION
Tracking and Reporting GDP
• Nominal variable
– A variable measured without adjustment for the
dollar’s changing value
– Nominal GDP
• Real variable
– A variable adjusted for changes in the dollar’s
value
– Real GDP
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COLLEGE OF BUSINESS EDUCATION
Tracking and Reporting GDP
• Comparing variables measured in dollars over
time
– It is important to translate nominal values to real
values
• Annual growth rate of real GDP
– Reported quarterly
– Annualized
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COLLEGE OF BUSINESS EDUCATION
The Expenditure Approach to GDP
• Expenditure approach: GDP=C+I+G+NX
– Adding the value of goods and services purchased
by each type of final user
1. Consumption goods and services (C) purchased by
households
2. Private investment goods and services (I) purchased
by businesses
3. Government goods and services (G) purchased by
government agencies
4. Net exports (NX) purchased by foreigners
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COLLEGE OF BUSINESS EDUCATION
The Expenditure Approach to GDP
• Consumption spending (C)
– Part of GDP purchased by households as final
users
– 70% of total production
– Not included:
• Imported consumption goods and components
• New home construction
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COLLEGE OF BUSINESS EDUCATION
The Expenditure Approach to GDP
• Consumption spending (C)
– Part of GDP purchased by households as final
users
– 70% of total production
– Not included:
• Imported consumption goods and components
• New home construction
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COLLEGE OF BUSINESS EDUCATION
The Expenditure Approach to GDP
• Consumption spending (C)
– Included - even though households don’t actually
buy them
• Total value of food products produced on farms that are
consumed by the farmers and their families themselves
• Total value of housing services provided by owner-
occupied homes
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COLLEGE OF BUSINESS EDUCATION
The Expenditure Approach to GDP
• Private investment (I)
– Business purchases of plant, equipment, and
software
– New home construction
– Changes in inventories
• Net investment
– Investment minus depreciation
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COLLEGE OF BUSINESS EDUCATION
The Expenditure Approach to GDP
• Private investment (I)
– Adds to the nation’s capital stock
– Excludes
• Government investment
• Consumer durables
• Human capital
– Ignores depreciation
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COLLEGE OF BUSINESS EDUCATION
The Expenditure Approach to GDP
• Government purchases (G )
– Spending by federal, state, and local governments
on goods and services
– Government consumption and investment
purchases
• Goods and services
• Government outlays
– Government purchases
– Transfer payments
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COLLEGE OF BUSINESS EDUCATION
The Expenditure Approach to GDP
• Transfer payments
– Payment that is not compensation for supplying
goods, services, or resources
– Money redistributed from one group of citizens
(taxpayers) to another (the poor, the unemployed,
the elderly)
– Included in government budgets as outlays
– Not included in the government purchases
component of GDP
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COLLEGE OF BUSINESS EDUCATION
The Expenditure Approach to GDP
• Net exports (NX)
– Total exports minus total imports
• Total exports
– U.S. production that is purchased by foreigners
• Total imports
– Americans’ purchases of goods produced outside
of the United States
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COLLEGE OF BUSINESS EDUCATION
Other Approaches to GDP
• Value added
– Revenue a firm receives
– Minus the cost of the intermediate goods it buys
• Value-added approach
– GDP = sum the values added by all firms in the
economy
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COLLEGE OF BUSINESS EDUCATION
Table • 3
Value Added at Different Stages of Production
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COLLEGE OF BUSINESS EDUCATION
Other Approaches to GDP
• Factor payments
– Payments to the owners of resources that are
used in production
• Factor payments approach
– GDP = sum the factor payments earned by all
households in the economy (wages and salaries,
rent, interest, and profit)
• Total output of the economy (GDP) = total
income earned in the economy
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COLLEGE OF BUSINESS EDUCATION
Measuring GDP: A Summary
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COLLEGE OF BUSINESS EDUCATION
How GDP Is Used
• Short-run
– Onset of a recession or a too-rapid expansion that
can overheat the economy
• Long-run
– Measure the long-run growth rate of the
economy’s output
– Real GDP needed to grow by about 3% per year to
provide enough jobs
• For a workforce that was growing in number and
becoming more productive every year
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COLLEGE OF BUSINESS EDUCATION
Problems with GDP
• Doesn’t include:
– Quality changes
– Most non-market production
– Leisure time, fairness, ‘bads’
• Underground economy – estimated
• Doesn’t distinguish between
– Production that makes us better off
– Production that only prevents us from becoming
worse off
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COLLEGE OF BUSINESS EDUCATION
Using GDP properly
• Short-term changes in real GDP
– Fairly accurate reflections of the state of the
economy
– A significant quarter-to-quarter change in real
GDP
• Indicates a change in actual production
• Rather than a measurement problem
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COLLEGE OF BUSINESS EDUCATION
Employment and Unemployment
• Unemployed
– Not working and
– Actively seeking a job
• Categories of unemployment
– Frictional
– Seasonal
– Structural
– Cyclical
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COLLEGE OF BUSINESS EDUCATION
Employment and Unemployment
• Frictional unemployment
– People who are between jobs
– People who are just entering or reentering the
labor market
– Is short-term unemployment
– Important benefits
• Workers: better suited for the job, more productive,
higher incomes
• Firms: more productive employees
• Society: more goods and services
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COLLEGE OF BUSINESS EDUCATION
Employment and Unemployment
• Seasonal unemployment
– Related to changes in weather, tourist patterns, or
other seasonal factors
– Short term
– Entirely predictable
• Seasonal adjustment
– Adjusting an economic variable
– To remove the effects of changes predicted to
occur at that time of year
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COLLEGE OF BUSINESS EDUCATION
Employment and Unemployment
• Structural unemployment
– Skill mismatch: between workers’ skills and
employers’ requirements
– Geographic mismatch: between workers’ locations
and employers’ locations
– Stubborn, long-term problem
• Cyclical unemployment
– Arising from changes in production over the business
cycle
– A problem for macroeconomic policy
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COLLEGE OF BUSINESS EDUCATION
Employment and Unemployment
• Full employment
– Zero cyclical unemployment
– Overall unemployment rate is greater than zero
• There are still positive levels of frictional, seasonal, and
structural unemployment
• Potential output
– Level of output the economy could produce if
operating at full employment
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COLLEGE OF BUSINESS EDUCATION
The Costs of Unemployment
• Economic cost
– Opportunity cost of lost output
– Output produced < Potential output
– Economy: produces less output
– Some groups within society: consume less output
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COLLEGE OF BUSINESS EDUCATION
The Costs of Unemployment
• When real GDP is above potential output
– Unemployment is below its normal rate
– Employment is higher than full-employment
• When real GDP is below potential output
– Unemployment rises above its normal rate
– Employment falls below its normal, full-
employment rate
– Usually occurs during and following a recession
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COLLEGE OF BUSINESS EDUCATION
The Costs of Unemployment
• Slump
– A period during which real GDP is below potential
and/or the employment rate is below normal
• Recession
– End of 2007 through June 2009
• Slump
– 2008 through the first half of 2011
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COLLEGE OF BUSINESS EDUCATION
The Costs of Unemployment
• Broader costs
– Psychological and physical effects
– Setbacks in achieving important social goals
– Burden of unemployment
• Not shared equally among different groups in the
population
• Most heavily: minorities, especially minority youth
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COLLEGE OF BUSINESS EDUCATION
How Unemployment Is Measured
• Labor force
– Those people who have a job or are looking for
one
• Unemployment rate
– Fraction of the labor force that is without a job
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COLLEGE OF BUSINESS EDUCATION
Problems in Measuring Unemployment
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COLLEGE OF BUSINESS EDUCATION
Problems in Measuring Unemployment
• Discouraged workers
– Individuals who would like a job but have given up
searching for one
• BLS policy: discouraged worker if
1. Not working
2. Searched for a job at some point in the last 12
months
3. Currently want a job
4. State that the only reason they are not currently
searching for work is their belief that no job is
available for them
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COLLEGE OF BUSINESS EDUCATION
Problems in Measuring Unemployment
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COLLEGE OF BUSINESS EDUCATION