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• Mixed Dementia
– Overlapping AD and vascular pathology is likely most
common, especially in oldest-old
Sources: MRC CFAS, Lancet, 2001; Langa et al, JAMA, 2004; Schneider et al, Neurology, 2007.
Overlap / Interaction of
Cardiovascular disease and AD
• Anatomy / Physiology
– Brain is 2% of body mass, but gets 20% of blood flow and
uses 20% of the body’s oxygen
• Risk Factors
– Hypertension, Diabetes, Hyperlipidemia, Obesity, Physical
inactivity, Smoking, Alcohol, Inflammation, Apo E e4 genotype
– More vascular risk factors in mid-life is associated with more
amyloid protein in the brain in later life
• Clinical
– For a given level of AD pathology, the more cerebrovascular
lesions, the greater the likelihood of CI / dementia
Sources: Snowdon et al, JAMA, 1997; Langa et al, JAMA, 2004; Schneider and Bennett, Stroke, 2010;
Zlokovic, Nature Rev Neuro, 2011; Snyder, Alz and Dem, 2015; Gottesman et al, JAMA, 2017
The Social and Economic Impact
of Dementia
Demographic Imperative
World Population, Age 65+ and Age <5
MCI
19%
Dementia
9% US Population, Age 65+:
Dementia 4.0 – 4.5 million
Normal MCI 8.0 – 8.7 million
72%
Sources : Plassman, et al, Neuroepidemiology, 2007; Annals of Internal Medicine, 2008; Langa et al, JAMA IM, 2017.
Dementia and the Family
Informal Caregiving Time and Cost, USA
Dementia Stroke
30% 10%
Cancer
Depression 3%
15%
COPD
3%
Incontinence
8%
Other
Diabetes
21%
10% Sources: Langa et al,
2000 - 2004.
Living Arrangements of US Adults 65+
800,000
with Dementia
600,000
400,000 Men
Women
200,000
0
With spouse Living w/other Living alone Nursing Home
BUT:
Biological Age:
HgbA1c
Cholesterol
BP
FEV1
Creatinine
Alk Phos
Albumin
CRP
Source: Levine and Crimmins, Demography, 2018. ~73% of decline attributable to increased use of
hypertension and cholesterol medications in oldest group
SES Disparities in CV Risk in the US
Sources: Older Americans 2012: Key Indicators of Well-Being; Meng and D’Arcy, PLoS One, 2012.
Risk Factor Reduction and Declining
Dementia Prevalence
• Norton et al (2014) estimate that up to 30% of AD
cases worldwide are attributable to modifiable risks,
including low levels of education, cardiovascular risk
factors, and depression
• Even modest improvements in population levels of
these risk factors could lead to the prevention of a
significant number of AD and dementia cases
HRS
Health and Retirement Study (HRS)
• Ongoing, nationally representative, longitudinal,
biennial survey of ~ 20,000 Americans aged > 50
• Performed at the UM Institute for Social Research,
funded by the NIA and SSA
• Largest project / grant at UM: ~$23 million / year
• Data collection started in 1992
• Face-to-face and telephone interviews (50 / 50)
• > 3,500 HRS publications by > 2,000 authors;
>20,000 registered data users
85
80
AHEAD <1924
75 CODA 1924-30
HRS 1931-41
70 WB 1942-47
EBB 1948-53
65
MBB 1954-59
LBB 1960-65
60
55
50
YEAR
HRS INTERNATIONAL PARTNER
STUDIES AROUND THE WORLD
15 P<.001
11.6
8.8
2000
% 2012
Dementia Prevalence
Source: Langa et al, JAMA Internal Medicine, 2017..
Studies of Population Trends
• Declining Prevalence / Incidence of Cog impairment / Dementia:
– US NLTCS (Manton et al, 2005)
– US HRS (Langa et al, 2008, 2017; Hudomiet et al. 2018)
– UK CFAS / ELSA (Llewellyn and Matthews, 2009)
– US Mayo Clinic Study on Aging (Rocca, 2011)
– Rotterdam Study (Schrivjers et al, 2012)
– Swedish Kungsholmen Project (Qiu et al, 2013)
– Danish Cohorts Study (Christensen et al, 2013)
– UK Cognitive Function and Ageing Study (Matthews et al, 2013, 2016)
– US MoVIES Cohort (Dodge et al, 2014, 2016)
– US Framingham Heart Study (Satizabal et al, 2016)
– Indianapolis-Ibadan Project (Gao et al, 2016; Hendrie et al, 2018)
– US NLTCS (Stallard and Yashin, 2016)
– US Americans’ Changing Lives Study (Leggett et al, 2017)
– US Einstein Aging Study (Derby et al, 2017)
– US NHATS (Freedman et al, 2018)
HRS Harmonized Cognitive Assessment
Protocol (HCAP)
From ADAMS to HCAP
• ADAMS showed embedding a valid dementia diagnosis in a
representative longitudinal study provides valuable information on
the impact of cognitive decline on patients, families, and public
programs
• ADAMS was expensive due to traveling teams of nurses
neuropsychology technicians
• NIA requested that the HRS team develop a less expensive
method of identifying dementia in the HRS to:
– Allow a larger sample size of in-depth cognitive assessments
– Increase opportunities to study trends in dementia incidence / prevalence in
the US
– Increase opportunities for international comparisons of dementia
prevalence and trends across the HRS family of studies
HCAP Development and Design
• Development
– Analyses of ADAMS, ROS / MAP data for respondent and
informant tests most valuable for diagnosis
– Consultation with US and international researchers to try to
maximize overlap in tests / cognitive domains (10/66;
CFAS; ROS/MAP) and be useable in low-income countries
– Pilot Tests in Cog-USA; ACT (Seattle); and UM ADC
• General Design
– One hour of in-home cognitive testing
– 20-minute informant report
– Conducted by interviewers, not specialists
– For HRS, a random sample of half of those aged 65+
HCAP INSTRUMENT AND HARMONIZATION ACROSS STUDIES
Order Section/test name ELSA HAALSI CHARLS LASI MHAS
1 MMSE ✖ ✗ ✖ ✗ ✗
2 HRS TICS – 3 items ✖ ✖ ✖ ✖ ✖
3 Word Recall – Immediate ✖ ✖ ✖ ✖ ✖
4 Retrieval Fluency (animals) ✖ ✖ ✖ ✖ ✖ ✖ = Same
5 Letter cancellation ✖ ✗ ✗ ✗
6 Backward Count ✖ ✖ ✗ ✗ = Similar /
7 Brief CSI-D – 4 items ✖ ✖ ✖ ✖ ✖ Harmonizable
8 Word Recall – Delayed ✖ ✖ ✖ ✖ ✖
9 Logical Memory – Immediate ✖ ✖ ✖ ✖
10 Word List Recognition ✖ ✖ ✖ ✖ ✖
11 Constructional Praxis ✖ ✖ ✖ ✖
12 Symbol Digit (SDMT) ✖ ✖ ✗
13 Con Praxis Recall ✖ ✖ ✖ ✖
14 Logical Memory – Recall ✖ ✖ ✖ ✖
15 Logical Mem -Recognition ✖ ✖ ✖
16 Number Series ✖ ✗ ✗
17 Raven’s Matrices ✖ ✖ ✖
18 Trail Making Test ✖ ✗
I-1 Blessed Dementia Scale ✖ ✖ ✗ ✗
I-2 Jorm IQCODE ✖ ✖ ✖ ✖ ✖
I-3 CSI-D Informant ✖ ✖ ✖ ✖ ✖
HCAP STATUS OF HRS INTERNATIONAL PARTNER STUDIES
Country Study Applied Funded Begun Completed
USA HRS ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Mexico MHAS ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
England ELSA ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
S. Africa HAALSI ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
China CHARLS ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
India LASI ✔ ✔ ✔
EU SHARE ✔ ✔
S. Korea KLOSA ✔ ✔
Ireland TILDA ✔
N. Ireland NICOLA ✔
Brazil ELSI
Conclusions
• Dementia prevalence appeared to decline in the US
between 2000 and 2012, in line with recent findings
from Framingham, England, and other HIC.
• Rising levels of education (and “cognitive reserve”?) in
more recently-born cohorts may be contributing to a
decline in age-specific dementia risk in older adults
• Better control of cardiovascular risk factors also may be
contributing to the decline in dementia risk
• Primary prevention of dementia through social and
behavioral interventions appears possible and valuable
Key Unanswered Questions
• Who will care for the growing number of older adults with
(and without) dementia, given the relative decline in the
number of younger adults in the decades ahead?
Citation: Langa KM, Larson EB, Crimmins EM, Faul
JF, Levine DA, Kabeto MU, Weir DR. JAMA Internal
Medicine, 2017.