Foreign Policy as Decision Making • Foreign policy process is best understood as a process of decision making. - Actions result from decisions made by leaders. - Decision making: steering process: adjustments made as a result of feedback from the outside world. - Decisions carried out: actions taken to change the world, and then information from the world is monitored to evaluate the effects of these actions. • Evaluations of previous actions go into the next round of foreign policy decisions.
The Rational Model • A common starting point for studying the decision- making process is the “Rational Model.” - Decision makers set goals - Evaluate their relative importance - Calculate the costs and benefits of each possible action - Choose the one with highest benefits and lowest costs • The choice may be complicated by uncertainty about the costs and benefits of various actions or by the relative risk tolerance of the decision maker.
Crisis Management • Whether in crisis mode or normal routines, individual decision makers do not operate alone. - Decisions shaped by the government and society in which they work. - Foreign policy constrained and shaped by sub-state actors. • Foreign policy: complex outcome of a complex process