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Pediatric Recipients
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Table of Contents
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Donor, Recipient and Center
Characteristics
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Number of Centers Reporting Transplants
130
120 Other
110 Europe
100 North America
Number of Centers
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Transplant Year
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Number of Centers by Center Volume
(Transplants: January 2004 – June 2016)
160
120
Number of Centers
100
80
150 150
60
40
20
32
16 15 22
0
1-4 5-9 10+
Average number of heart transplants per year
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Distribution of Transplants by Center Volume
(Transplants: January 2004 – June 2016)
60
2004-2008 2009-June 2016
50
% of Transplants
40
30
42.2 47.4
20
35.3
28.1
24.5 22.5
10
0
1-4 5-9 10+
Average number of heart transplants per year
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Recipient Age Distribution by Center Volume
(Transplants: January 2004 – June 2016)
<1 1-5 6-10 11-17
100%
80%
% of Transplants
60%
40%
20%
0%
1-4 5-9 10+
Average number of heart transplants per year
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Distribution of Transplants by Location and Average Center
Volume (Transplants: January 2004 – June 2016)
1-4 5-9 10+
100%
80%
% of Transplants
60%
40%
20%
0%
Europe North America Other
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Recipient Age Distribution (Transplants: January 2004 – June 2016)
1,800
1,600
Number of Transplants
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
<1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Recipient Age (Years)
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Recipient Age Distribution by Year of Transplant
700
11-17
600
6-10
Number of Transplants
500 1-5
<1
400
300
200
100
80%
% of Transplants
60%
40%
20%
0%
Europe North America Other
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Donor Age Distribution (Transplants: January 2004 – June 2016)
1,200
1,000
Number of Transplants
800
600
400
200
0
<1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18- 26- 31+
25 30
Donor Age (Years)
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Donor and Recipient Age
(Transplants: January 2004 – June 2016)
Recipient Age: <1 1-5 6-10 11-17
100%
80%
% of Transplants
60%
40%
20%
0%
<1 1-5 6-10 11-17 18-34 35-49 50-65
Donor Age (Years)
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Donor Age Distribution by Location
(Transplants: January 2004 – June 2016)
<1 1-5 6-10 11-17 18-34 35-49 50-65
100%
80%
% of Transplants
60%
40%
20%
0%
Europe North America Other
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Distribution of Transplants by Donor/Recipient Weight Ratio
(Transplants: January 2004 – June 2016)
50
45 2004-2008 2009-June 2016
40
% of Transplants
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
<0.75 0.75-<1.0 1.0-<1.5 1.5-<2.0 2.0-<2.5 2.5+
Donor/Recipient Weight Ratio
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Recipient Diagnosis (Age: < 1 Year)
59% 55%
73%
CHD
7% DCM
5%
8%
1% Retransplant
1% 0.3%
37%
21% 33% Other
1988-2003 2004-2008 2009-6/2016
100
% of Cases
DCM CHD
75
50
25
0
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Recipient Diagnosis (Age: 1-5 Years)
40% 38% 41%
CHD
12% DCM
10%
14% Retransplant
4% 47% 46% 44%
2% 2.8% Other
1988-2003 2004-2008 2009-6/2016
100
% of Cases
DCM CHD
75
50
25
0
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Recipient Diagnosis (Age: 6-10 Years)
33% 29% 35%
CHD
DCM
16%
14% 44% 14% 49% 43% Retransplant
9% 7% Other
9%
1988-2003 2004-2008 2009-6/2016
100
% of Cases
DCM CHD
75
50
25
0
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Recipient Diagnosis (Age: 11-17 Years)
5% 8%
11% Other
1988-2003 2004-2008 2009-6/2016
100
% of Cases
DCM CHD
75
50
25
0
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Diagnosis Distribution by Location
(Transplants: January 2004 – June 2016)
100%
80% Other
% of Transplants
60% Retransplant
DCM
40%
CHD
20%
0%
Europe North America Other
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
% of Patients Bridged with Mechanical Circulatory Support*
by Year (Transplants: January 2005 – December 2015)
50
ECMO VAD + ECMO VAD or TAH
40
34.6
32.4
30.9
% of Patients
29.2 28.8
30 27.5
25.4
21.4 22.5 22.2
20.6
20
10
0
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
40
% of Patients
29.5
30
20 18.0
10
5.9
3.8
1.2 0.4 0.2 0.1
0
Any Device LVAD BIVAD ECMO VAD+ECMO RVAD (N=12) TAH (N=5) Unknown
(N=912) (N=556) (N=181) (N=118) (N=38) VAD Type
(N=2)
40
% of Patients
30
20
10
0
Any Device LVAD BIVAD ECMO VAD+ECMO RVAD TAH Unknown
VAD Type
40
34.3
32.1
% of Patients
30.5
30
22.1
20
10
0
<1 1-5 6-10 11-17
Age Group (Years)
51.2 51.2
50
38.4
40
% of Patients
30
20.1
20
14.5 13.6
11.8
10
0
CHD DCM CHD DCM CHD DCM CHD DCM
<1 year 1-5 years 6-10 years 11-17 years
2017 * LVAD, RVAD, TAH, ECMO
80%
% of Patients
60%
40%
20%
0%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
80%
% of Patients
60%
40%
20%
0%
<1 1-5 6-10 11-17
Age Group (Years)
p<0.0001
CPRA and PRA values were combined. If Class I and
2017 Class II PRA values were reported separately, the
higher of the two values was used.
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
PRA Distribution by Diagnosis
(Transplants: January 2009 – June 2016)
0-9% 10-39% 40-79% 80%+
100%
80%
% of Patients
60%
40%
20%
0%
CHD DCM Retransplant Other
Diagnosis
p<0.0001
CPRA and PRA values were combined. If Class I and
2017 Class II PRA values were reported separately, the
higher of the two values was used.
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
PRA Distribution by Age Group and Diagnosis
(Transplants: January 2009 – June 2016)
0-9% 10-39% 40-79% 80%+
100%
80%
% of Patients
60%
40%
20%
0%
CHD DCM CHD DCM CHD DCM CHD DCM
<1 Year 1-5 Years 6-10 Years 11-17 Years
CPRA and PRA values were combined. If Class I and
2017 Class II PRA values were reported separately, the
higher of the two values was used.
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Post Transplant:
Survival and Other Outcomes
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Kaplan-Meier Survival (Transplants: January 1982 – June 2015)
100
<1 Year (N = 3,108)
1-5 Years (N = 2,934)
6-10 Years (N = 1,888)
75 11-17 Years (N = 5,065)
Overall (N = 12,995)
Survival (%)
50
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Years
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Kaplan-Meier Survival Conditional on Survival to 1 Year
(Transplants: January 1982 – June 2015)
100
Median survival (years): <1=NA; 1-5=21.9;
6-10=16.9; 11-17=15.8
75
Survival (%)
50
75
Survival (%)
50
All pair-wise comparisons were significant
at p < 0.05 except 6-10 vs. 11-17.
75
Survival (%)
<1 (N = 832)
1-5 (N = 787)
25
6-10 (N = 534)
11-17 (N = 1,253)
Overall (N = 3,406)
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Years
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Kaplan-Meier Survival by Era
(Transplants: January 1982 – June 2015)
100
1982-1989 (N=907) 1990-2003 (N=5,668)
75
Survival (%)
50
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Conditional Kaplan-Meier Survival for Recent Era
(Transplants: January 2004 – June 2015)
100
90
Survival (%)
80
All pair-wise comparisons with 11-17 were
significant at p<0.05. No other pair-wise
comparisons were significant at p<0.05.
70
50
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Kaplan-Meier Survival by Era
Age: 1-5 Years (Transplants: January 1982 – June 2015)
100
All p-values significant at p<0.05 except
2004-2008 vs. 2009-6/2015.
75
Survival (%)
50
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Kaplan-Meier Survival by Era
Age: 6-10 Years (Transplants: January 1982 – June 2015)
100
1982-1989 (N=121) 1990-2003 (N=804)
50
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Kaplan-Meier Survival by Era
Age: 11-17 Years (Transplants: January 1982 – June 2015)
100
1982-1989 (N=444) 1990-2003 (N=2,133)
2004-2008 (N=1,009) 2009-6/2015 (N=1,479)
75
Median survival (years): 1982-1989= 9.9.; 1990-
2003=12.0; 2004-2008=NA; 2009-6/2015=NA
Survival (%)
50
25
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Kaplan-Meier Survival by Recipient Gender
(Transplants: January 2004 – June 2015)
100
p = 0.1114
75
Survival (%)
50
25
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Years
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Kaplan-Meier Survival by Donor/Recipient Gender
(Transplants: January 2004 – June 2015)
100
75
Survival (%)
25
Male/Male (N = 2,072) Male/Female (N = 1,575)
p<0.0001
75
Survival (%)
50
25
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Years
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Kaplan-Meier Survival by Diagnosis
Age: 1-5 Years (Transplants: January 2004 – June 2015)
100
75
Survival (%)
50
CHD vs. DCM: p=0.0002
CHD vs. Retransplant: p=0.0809
DCM vs. Retransplant: p<0.0001
25
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Years
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Kaplan-Meier Survival by Diagnosis
Age: 6-10 Years (Transplants: January 2004 – June 2015)
100
75
Survival (%)
50
CHD vs. DCM: p=0.0602
CHD vs. Retransplant: p=0.9987
DCM vs. Retransplant: p=0.4268
25
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Kaplan-Meier Survival by Diagnosis
Age: 11-17 Years (Transplants: January 2004 – June 2015)
100
75
Survival (%)
50
CHD vs. DCM: p=0.0118
CHD vs. Retransplant: p=0.0804
DCM vs. Retransplant: p<0.0001
25
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Years
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Kaplan-Meier Survival by PRA
Diagnosis=CHD (Transplants: January 2005 – June 2015)
100
75
Survival (%)
50
0-9% vs. 10-39%: p=0.9998
0-9% vs. 40%+: p=0.1426
10-39% vs. 40%+: p=0.4343
25
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Years
CPRA and PRA values were combined. If Class I and
2017 Class II PRA values were reported separately, the
higher of the two values was used.
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Kaplan-Meier Survival by PRA
Diagnosis=DCM (Transplants: January 2005 – June 2015)
100
75
Survival (%)
50
0-9% vs. 10-39%: p=0.8560
0-9% vs. 40%+: p=0.9588
10-39% vs. 40%+: p=0.9788
25
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Years
CPRA and PRA values were combined. If Class I and
2017 Class II PRA values were reported separately, the
higher of the two values was used.
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Kaplan-Meier Survival by PRA
Diagnosis=Retransplant (Transplants: January 2005 – June 2015)
100
75
Survival (%)
50
0-9% vs. 10-39%: p=0.8560
0-9% vs. 40%+: p=0.9588
10-39% vs. 40%+: p=0.9788
25
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Years
CPRA and PRA values were combined. If Class I and
2017 Class II PRA values were reported separately, the
higher of the two values was used.
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Kaplan-Meier Patient vs. Graft Survival
(Transplants: January 2004 – June 2015)
100
p = 0.0006
75
Survival (%)
50
25
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Years
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Kaplan-Meier Survival by Mechanical Circulatory Support
Usage* (Transplants: January 2009 – June 2015)
100
75
Survival (%)
50
ECMO, no VAD or TAH vs. VAD or TAH, no ECMO: p <0.0001
ECMO, no VAD or TAH vs. No ECMO/VAD/TAH: p<0.0001
VAD or TAH, no ECMO vs. No ECMO/VAD/TAH: p=0.9476
25
ECMO, no VAD or TAH (N=118) VAD or TAH, no ECMO (N=756)
No ECMO/VAD/TAH (N=2,179)
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Years
2017 * LVAD, RVAD, TAH, ECMO
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Functional Status of Surviving Recipients
(Follow-ups: January 2009 – June 2016)
100%
10%
20%
80%
30%
40%
60%
50%
40% 60%
70%
20% 80%
90%
0%
1 Year (N = 2,513) 2 Years (N = 2,292) 3 Years (N = 2,130) 100%
.
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Rehospitalization Post-transplant of Surviving Recipients
(Follow-ups: January 2009 – June 2016)
100%
80%
60%
40%
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Induction and Maintenance
Immunosuppression
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Induction Immunosuppression
(Transplants: January 2004 – June 2016)
80
70
60
% of Patients
50
40
30
20
10
0
Any Induction Polyclonal ALG/ATG IL-2R Antagonist OKT3
(N = 3,127) (N = 2,251) (N = 945) (N = 32)
50
40
30
20
10
0
Any Induction Polyclonal ALG/ATG IL-2R Antagonist
75
Survival (%)
50
No induction (N = 1,435)
25
Polyclonal induction (N = 1,934)
75
Survival (%)
80
% of Patients
60
40
20
0
Cyclosporine Tacrolimus Sirolimus/ MMF/MPA Azathioprine Prednisone
Everolimus
Analysis is limited to patients who were alive at
2017 the time of the discharge.
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Maintenance Immunosuppression at Time of 1 Year Follow-up
(Follow-ups: January 2004 – June 2016)
100
N = 3,767
80
% of Patients
60
40
20
0
Cyclosporine Tacrolimus Sirolimus/ MMF/MPA Azathioprine Prednisone
Everolimus
Analysis is limited to patients who were alive at
2017 the time of the follow-up
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Maintenance Immunosuppression Drug Combinations at
Time of 1 Year Follow-up (Follow-ups: January 2004 – June 2016)
100% Other
Tacrolimus + MMF/MPA +
Sirolimus/Everolimus
80%
Tacrolimus + Sirolimus/Everolimus
Tacrolimus
60%
Tacrolimus + MMF/MPA
Cyclosporine
Cyclosporine + AZA
0%
Year 1 (N = 3,767)
Analysis is limited to patients who were
2017 alive at the time of the follow-up.
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Kaplan-Meier Survival Based on Prednisone Use
Conditional on Survival to 1 Year (Transplants: January 2004 – June 2015)
100
75
Survival (%)
p < 0.0001
50
75
Survival (%)
p = 0.6350
50
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Years
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Kaplan-Meier Survival by Maintenance Immunosuppression
at Discharge (Transplants: January 2004 – June 2015)
Conditional on Survival to 14 Days
100
75
Survival (%)
50
Cyclosporine + AZA (N = 120)
Cyclosporine + MMF/MPA (N = 618)
25 Tacrolimus + AZA (N = 183)
Tacrolimus + MMF/MPA (N = 2,785)
Tacrolimus Alone (N = 162)
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Years
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Kaplan-Meier Survival by Calcineurin Inhibitor Use
Conditional on Survival to 1 Year (Transplants: January 2004 – June 2015)
100
75
Survival (%)
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Kaplan-Meier Survival Based on Treated Rejection within 1st Year
Conditional on Survival to 1 Year (1-Year Follow-ups: July 2004 – June 2015)
100
p < 0.0001
75
Survival (%)
50
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Years Treated rejection = Recipient was reported to (1) have at least
one acute rejection episode that was treated with an anti-
rejection agent; or (2) have been hospitalized for rejection.
No rejection = Recipient had (i) no acute rejection episodes
2017 and (ii) was reported either as not hospitalized for rejection or
did not receive anti-rejection agents.
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Kaplan-Meier Survival Based on Treated Rejection within 1st Year
Conditional on Survival to 1 Year (1-Year Follow-ups: July 2004 – June 2015)
Age = < 1 Year
100
75
Survival (%)
p = 0.0001
50
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Years Treated rejection = Recipient was reported to (1) have at least
one acute rejection episode that was treated with an anti-
rejection agent; or (2) have been hospitalized for rejection.
No rejection = Recipient had (i) no acute rejection episodes
2017 and (ii) was reported either as not hospitalized for rejection or
did not receive anti-rejection agents.
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Kaplan-Meier Survival Based on Treated Rejection within 1st Year
Conditional on Survival to 1 Year (1-Year Follow-ups: July 2004 – June 2015)
Age = 1-5 Years
100
75
Survival (%)
p = 0.0058
50
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Years Treated rejection = Recipient was reported to (1) have at least
one acute rejection episode that was treated with an anti-
rejection agent; or (2) have been hospitalized for rejection.
No rejection = Recipient had (i) no acute rejection episodes
2017 and (ii) was reported either as not hospitalized for rejection or
did not receive anti-rejection agents.
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Kaplan-Meier Survival Based on Treated Rejection within 1st Year
Conditional on Survival to 1 Year (1-Year Follow-ups: July 2004 – June 2015)
Age = 6-10 Years
100
75
Survival (%)
p = 0.0752
50
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Years Treated rejection = Recipient was reported to (1) have at least
one acute rejection episode that was treated with an anti-
rejection agent; or (2) have been hospitalized for rejection.
No rejection = Recipient had (i) no acute rejection episodes
2017 and (ii) was reported either as not hospitalized for rejection or
did not receive anti-rejection agents.
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Kaplan-Meier Survival Based on Treated Rejection within 1st Year
Conditional on Survival to 1 Year (1-Year Follow-ups: July 2004 – June 2015)
Age = 11-17 Years
100
75
Survival (%)
p < 0.0001
50
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Years Treated rejection = Recipient was reported to (1) have at least
one acute rejection episode that was treated with an anti-
rejection agent; or (2) have been hospitalized for rejection.
No rejection = Recipient had (i) no acute rejection episodes
2017 and (ii) was reported either as not hospitalized for rejection or
did not receive anti-rejection agents.
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Kaplan-Meier Survival Based on Treated Rejection within 1st Year
by Calcineurin Use at Discharge
Conditional on Survival to 1 Year (1-Year Follow-ups: July 2004 – June 2015)
100
75
Survival (%)
30
within 1 year
20
10
0
Overall <1 1-5 6-10 11-17 Female Male
Analysis is limited to patients who were alive at the time of the
follow-up. Treated rejection = Recipient was reported to (1) have at
least one acute rejection episode that was treated with an
2017 anti-rejection agent; or (2) have been hospitalized for
rejection.
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Percentage Experiencing Treated Rejection between Discharge
and 1-Year Follow-Up by Induction (Follow-ups: July 2004 – June 2016)
40
No pair-wise comparisons
No Induction Induction
% experiencing treated rejection
30
within 1 year
20
10
0
Overall <1 1-5 6-10 11-17 Female Male
Analysis is limited to patients who were alive at the time of the
follow-up. Treated rejection = Recipient was reported to (1) have at
least one acute rejection episode that was treated with an
2017 anti-rejection agent; or (2) have been hospitalized for
rejection.
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Percentage Experiencing Treated Rejection between Discharge and
1-Year Follow-Up by Induction Type (Follow-ups: July 2004 – June 2016)
40
No Induction Polyclonal IL-2R antagonist No pair-wise comparisons
% experiencing treated rejection
30
within 1 year
20
10
0
Overall <1 1-5 6-10 11-17 Female Male
Analysis is limited to patients who were alive at the time of the
follow-up. Treated rejection = Recipient was reported to (1) have at
least one acute rejection episode that was treated with an
2017 anti-rejection agent; or (2) have been hospitalized for
rejection.
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Percentage Experiencing Treated Rejection between Discharge
and 1-Year Follow-Up by Maintenance Immunosuppression and
Induction (Follow-ups: July 2004 – June 2016)
50
CyA+No induction CyA+Induction (no OKT3)
% experiencing treated rejection
30
20
10
0
Overall <1 1-5 6-10 11-17
CyA + No Induction vs. TAC + No Induction (Overall), CyA +No Induction vs. TAC + Induction (Overall), CyA +
Induction vs. TAC + No Induction (Overall and 11-17 years) and CyA + Induction vs. TAC + Induction (Overall and 11-17
years) were significant at p < 0.05. No other pair-wise comparisons were significant at p < 0.05.
Analysis is limited to patients who were alive at the time
Treated rejection = Recipient was reported to (1) have at
of the follow-up.
least one acute rejection episode that was treated with an
2017 anti-rejection agent; or (2) have been hospitalized for
rejection.
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Percentage Experiencing Treated Rejection between Discharge
and 1-Year Follow-Up by Maintenance Immunosuppression
(Follow-ups: July 2004 – June 2016)
60
Cyclosporine + MMF/MPA Cyclosporine + AZA
% experiencing treated rejection
40
within 1 year
30
20
10
0
Overall <1 1-5 6-10 11-17
CyA + MMF/MPA vs. TAC + MMF/MPA for Overall, <1, and 11-17 years were significant at p < 0.05. No other pair-wise
comparisons were significant at p < 0.05.
Analysis is limited to patients who were alive at the time
Treated rejection = Recipient was reported to (1) have at
of the follow-up.
least one acute rejection episode that was treated with an
2017 anti-rejection agent; or (2) have been hospitalized for
rejection.
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Percentage Experiencing Treated Rejection between Discharge
and 1-Year Follow-Up by Calcineurin Inhibitor Use at Discharge
(Follow-ups: July 2004 – June 2016)
50
All pair-wise comparisons were significant at p<0.05.
% experiencing treated rejection
Cyclosporine Tacrolimus
40
within 1 year
30
20
10
0
Overall <1 1-5 6-10 11-17
Analysis is limited to patients who were alive at the time of the
follow-up. Treated rejection = Recipient was reported to (1) have at
least one acute rejection episode that was treated with an
2017 anti-rejection agent; or (2) have been hospitalized for
rejection.
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Freedom from Cardiac Allograft Vasculopathy
(Transplants: January 1994 – June 2015)
100
75
Freedom from CAV (%)
50
25
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Years
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Freedom from Cardiac Allograft Vasculopathy by Era
(Transplants: January 1994 – June 2015)
100
Freedom from CAV (%)
75
p = 0.0086
50
25 1994-2003 (N = 2,026)
2004-6/2015 (N = 3,597)
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Years
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Freedom from Cardiac Allograft Vasculopathy by Induction
(Transplants: January 1994 – June 2015)
100
75
Freedom from CAV (%)
p = 0.0273
50
25
Induction (N = 3,100)
No Induction (N=2,448)
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Years
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Freedom from Cardiac Allograft Vasculopathy by Calcineurin
Inhibitor Use (Transplants: January 2004 – June 2015)
Conditional on Survival to 1 Year
100
75
Freedom from CAV (%)
p = 0.1344
50
75
p <0.0001
50
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Years
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Freedom from Cardiac Allograft Vasculopathy
by Ischemic Time (Transplants: January 2004 – June 2015)
100
75
Freedom from CAV (%)
p = 0.4832
50
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Years
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Freedom from Cardiac Allograft Vasculopathy by Ischemic
Time and Recipient Age (Transplants: January 2004 – June 2015)
100
75
Freedom from CAV (%)
75
50
Age at transplant:
<1 Year (N = 83)
p = 0.0458
25 1-5 Years (N = 95)
6-10 Years (N = 74)
11-17 Years (N = 235)
0
0 1 2 3 4 5
Time since Report of CAV (Years)
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Freedom from Severe Renal Dysfunction* by Age Group
(Transplants: January 2004 – June 2015)
100
Freedom from Severe Renal
90
Dysfunction (%)
80
All pair-wise comparisons were significant at
p<0.05 except <1 vs. 1-5 and 6-10 vs. 11-17.
70
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Freedom from Severe Renal Dysfunction* by Calcineurin
Inhibitor Use (Transplants: January 2004 – June 2015)
Conditional on Survival to 1 Year
100
Freedom from Severe Renal
90
p = 0.7031
Dysfunction (%)
80
90
80
Therapy (%)
50
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Years
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Post Transplant Malignancy
Cumulative Morbidity Rates in Survivors
(Transplants: January 1994 – June 2015)
Malignancy (all types combined) 101 (1.7%) 167 (4.7%) 157 (9.8%)
*Recipients may have experienced more than one type of malignancy so sum of
individual malignancy types may be greater than total number with malignancy.
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Post Transplant Malignancy
Cumulative Morbidity Rates in Survivors
(Transplants: January 1994 – June 2015)
Recipient Age
Malignancy
<1 1-5 6-10 11-17
1-Year No Malignancy 1,585 (99.2%) 1,347 (98.5%) 848 (96.7%) 2,071 (98.2%)
Survivors
Malignancy* 13 (0.8%) 20 (1.5%) 29 (3.3%) 39 (1.8%)
5-Year No Malignancy 934 (95.5%) 774 (93%) 527 (95.5%) 1,134 (96.6%)
Survivors
Malignancy* 44 (4.5%) 58 (7.0%) 25 (4.5%) 40 (3.4%)
10-Year No Malignancy 462 (90.6%) 351 (86.7%) 225 (91.5%) 413 (92.4%)
Survivors
Malignancy* 48 (9.4%) 54 (13.3%) 21 (8.5%) 34 (7.6%)
90
80
70
60
50
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Years
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Freedom from Malignancy by Maintenance Immunosuppression
Combinations (Transplants: January 2004 – June 2015)
Conditional on Survival to 1 year
100
Freedom from Malignancy (%)
90
p = 0.0866
80
70
90
p = 0.1699
80
70
60
50
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Years
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Relationship of Rejection and Cardiac Allograft Vasculopathy
(Transplants: January 2004 – June 2013)
p = 0.0095
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Cause of Death (Deaths: January 2004 – June 2016)
0-30 Days 31 Days - 1 Year >1 Year - 3 Years >3 Years - 5 >5 Years - 10 >10 Years
CAUSE OF DEATH
(N = 285) (N = 328) (N = 266) Years (N = 226) Years (N = 402) (N = 467)
CARDIAC ALLOGRAFT
4 (1.4%) 9 (2.7%) 38 (14.3%) 38 (16.8%) 82 (20.4%) 112 (24.0%)
VASCULOPATHY
CMV 0 6 (1.8%) 0 0 0 0
GRAFT FAILURE 112 (39.3%) 69 (21.0%) 108 (40.6%) 85 (37.6%) 166 (41.3%) 157 (33.6%)
MULTIPLE ORGAN
35 (12.3%) 68 (20.7%) 13 (4.9%) 10 (4.4%) 15 (3.7%) 27 (5.8%)
FAILURE
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Cause of Death for Age <1 Year (Deaths: January 2004 – June 2016)
0-30 Days 31 Days - 1 Year >1 Year - 3 Years >3 Years - 5 >5 Years - 10 >10 Years
CAUSE OF DEATH
(N = 81) (N = 126) (N = 65) Years (N = 45) Years (N = 53) (N = 66)
CARDIAC ALLOGRAFT
3 (3.7%) 4 (3.2%) 10 (15.4%) 6 (13.3%) 12 (22.6%) 17 (25.8%)
VASCULOPATHY
CMV 0 2 (1.6%) 0 0 0 0
MULTIPLE ORGAN
12 (14.8%) 30 (23.8%) 4 (6.2%) 3 (6.7%) 1 (1.9%) 6 (9.1%)
FAILURE
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Cause of Death for Age 1-5 Years (Deaths: January 2004 – June 2016)
0-30 Days 31 Days - 1 Year >1 Year - 3 Years >3 Years - 5 >5 Years - 10 >10 Years
CAUSE OF DEATH
(N = 51) (N = 83) (N = 59) Years (N = 46) Years (N = 57) (N = 115)
CARDIAC ALLOGRAFT
0 1 (1.2%) 9 (15.3%) 9 (19.6%) 11 (19.3%) 26 (22.6%)
VASCULOPATHY
CMV 0 1 (1.2%) 0 0 0 0
MULTIPLE ORGAN
3 (5.9%) 16 (19.3%) 2 (3.4%) 1 (2.2%) 2 (3.5%) 9 (7.8%)
FAILURE
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Cause of Death for Age 6-10 Years (Deaths: January 2004 – June 2016)
0-30 Days 31 Days - 1 Year >1 Year - 3 Years >3 Years - 5 >5 Years - 10 >10 Years
CAUSE OF DEATH
(N = 52) (N = 26) (N = 21) Years (N = 27) Years (N = 53) (N = 102)
CARDIAC ALLOGRAFT
1 (1.9%) 0 5 (23.8%) 4 (14.8%) 11 (20.8%) 23 (22.5%)
VASCULOPATHY
CMV 0 3 (11.5%) 0 0 0 0
MULTIPLE ORGAN
9 (17.3%) 7 (26.9%) 1 (4.8%) 0 3 (5.7%) 5 (4.9%)
FAILURE
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Cause of Death for Age 11-17 Years (Deaths: January 2004 – June 2016)
0-30 Days 31 Days - 1 Year >1 Year - 3 Years >3 Years - 5 >5 Years - 10 >10 Years
CAUSE OF DEATH
(N = 101) (N = 93) (N = 121) Years (N = 108) Years (N = 239) (N = 184)
CARDIAC ALLOGRAFT
0 4 (4.3%) 14 (11.6%) 19 (17.6%) 48 (20.1%) 46 (25.0%)
VASCULOPATHY
MULTIPLE ORGAN
11 (10.9%) 15 (16.1%) 6 (5.0%) 6 (5.6%) 9 (3.8%) 7 (3.8%)
FAILURE
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Relative Incidence of Leading Causes of Death
(Deaths: January 2004 – June 2016)
50
CAV Acute Rejection Infection (non-CMV) Graft Failure
Percentage of Deaths
40
30
20
10
0
0-30 Days 31 Days - 1 Year >1 Year - 3 Years >3 Years - 5 >5 Years - 10 >10 Years
(N = 285) (N = 328) (N = 266) Years (N = 226) Years (N = 402) (N = 467)
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Retransplantation
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Retransplants
by Year of Retransplant
40 18
35 N % 16
Number of retransplants
14
30
% of transplants
12
25
10
20
8
15
6
10 4
5 2
0 0
Year of retransplant
Only patients who were less than 18 years
2017 old at the time of retransplant are included.
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Retransplants
by Inter-transplant Interval and Recipient Age
(Retransplants: January 1994 – June 2016)
60
<1 Year 1-5 Years 6-10 Years 11-17 Years
50
% of Retransplants
40
30
20
10
0
<1 month 1-<12 months 12-<36 36-<60 >60 months Not reported
months months
Time Between Previous and Current Transplant
Only patients who were less than 18 years old at the
2017 time of retransplant are included. Analysis is based
on the recipient age at the time of retransplant.
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Retransplants
Kaplan-Meier Survival Rates for Primary and Repeat
Transplants (Transplants: January 1994 – June 2015)
100
p < 0.0001
75
Survival (%)
50
25
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Years
Only patients who were less than 18 years old
2017 at the time of retransplant are included.
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Retransplants
Kaplan-Meier Survival Rates by Inter-transplant Interval
(Transplants: January 1994 – June 2015)
<1 Year (N=74) 1-<3 Years (N=66) 3-<5 Years (N=70)
5+ Years (N=286) Primary TX (N=9,990)
100
75
Survival (%)
50
25
Comparison of survival for
retransplant groups: p < 0.0001
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Time (years) since most recent transplant
Only patients who were less than 18 years old
2017 at the time of retransplant are included.
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Retransplants
Kaplan-Meier Survival Rates by Retransplant Reason
(Transplants: January 1994 – June 2015)
100
75
Survival (%)
50
25
Coronary Artery Disease (N=273) No pair-wise comparisons were
Primary Failure (N=38) significant at p < 0.05 except Coronary
Artery Disease vs. Primary Failure
Rejection (N=78)
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Years
Only patients who were less than 18 years old
2017 at the time of retransplant are included.
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Kaplan-Meier Survival Conditional on Survival to 1 Year for Primary and
Repeat Transplants (Transplants: January 1994 – June 2015)
100
75
Survival (%)
p < 0.0001
50
25
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Years
Only patients who were less than 18 years old
2017 at the time of retransplant are included.
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Multivariable Analyses
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2004-6/2015)
Statistically Significant Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95%
Confidence Limits
2017 (N = 6,327)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2004-6/2015)
Statistically Significant Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality
Total bilirubin
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2004-6/2015)
Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits
Ischemic time
2.5
Hazard Ratio for 1 Year Mortality
p = 0.0003
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
2 3 4 5 6
Ischemic time (hours)
2017 (N = 6,327)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2004-6/2015)
Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits
Recipient BMI
2.5
Hazard Ratio for 1 Year Mortality
p = 0.0072
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Recipient BMI (kg/m2)
2017 (N = 6,327)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2004-6/2015)
Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits
Donor BSA
2.5
Hazard Ratio for 1 Year Mortality
p = 0.0038
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.9
Donor BSA
2017 (N = 6,327)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2004-6/2015)
Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits
Height difference
2.5
Hazard Ratio for 1 Year Mortality
p = 0.0119
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
-15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20
Height difference (cm)
2017 (N = 6,327)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2004-6/2015)
Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits
Estimated GFR
2.5
Hazard Ratio for 1 Year Mortality
p = 0.0117
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120
Estimated GFR
2017 (N = 6,327)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2004-6/2015)
Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits
p = 0.0004
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
0 5 10 15 20 25
Center volume: prev ped TXs within 1 yr
2017 (N = 6,327)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2004-6/2015)
Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits
Total bilirubin
2.5
Hazard Ratio for 1 Year Mortality
p = 0.0170
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5
Total bilirubin (mg/dl)
2017 (N = 6,327)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2004-6/2015)
Statistically Significant Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95%
Confidence Limits
Age = <1 Year
2017 (N = 1,463)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2004-6/2015)
Statistically Significant Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality
Age = <1 Year
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2004-6/2015)
Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits
Age = <1 Year
Recipient creatinine
2.5
Hazard Ratio for 1 Year Mortality
p = 0.0009
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6
Recipient creatinine (mg/dl)
2017 (N = 1,463)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2004-6/2015)
Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits
Age = <1 Year
Ischemic time
2.5
Hazard Ratio for 1 Year Mortality
p = 0.0104
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
2 3 4 5 6
Ischemic time (hours)
2017 (N = 1,463)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2004-6/2015)
Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits
Age = <1 Year
Recipient height
2.5
Hazard Ratio for 1 Year Mortality
p = 0.0128
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
50 55 60 65 70
Recipient height (cm)
2017 (N = 1,463)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2004-6/2015)
Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits
Age = <1 Year
Recipient BSA
2.5
Hazard Ratio for 1 Year Mortality
p = 0.0235
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
0.20 0.25 0.30 0.35
Recipient BSA
2017 (N = 1,463)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2004-6/2015)
Statistically Significant Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95%
Confidence Limits
Age = 1-5 Years
2017 (N = 1,460)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2004-6/2015)
Statistically Significant Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality
Age = 1-5 Years
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2004-6/2015)
Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits
Age = 1-5 Years
Recipient height
2.5
Hazard Ratio for 1 Year Mortality
p = 0.0165
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 110
Recipient height (cm)
2017 (N = 1,460)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2004-6/2015)
Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits
Age = 1-5 Years
Height ratio
2.5
Hazard Ratio for 1 Year Mortality
p = 0.0306
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2
Height ratio
2017 (N = 1,460)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2004-6/2015)
Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits
Age = 1-5 Years
Estimated GFR
2.5
Hazard Ratio for 1 Year Mortality
p = 0.0008
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
60 70 80 90 100 110 120
Estimated GFR
2017 (N = 1,460)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2004-6/2015)
Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits
Age = 1-5 Years
Center volume: prev ped TXs within 1 yr
2.5
Hazard Ratio for 1 Year Mortality
p = 0.0208
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Center volume: prev ped TXs within 1 yr
2017 (N = 1,460)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2004-6/2015)
Statistically Significant Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95%
Confidence Limits
Age = 6-10 Years
2017 (N = 952)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2004-6/2015)
Statistically Significant Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality
Age = 6-10 Years
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2004-6/2015)
Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits
Age = 6-10 Years
Donor age
2.5
Hazard Ratio for 1 Year Mortality
p = 0.0443
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
5 10 15 20 25 30 35
Donor age (years)
2017 (N = 952)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2004-6/2015)
Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits
Age = 6-10 Years
Recipient height
2.5
Hazard Ratio for 1 Year Mortality
p = 0.0160
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
105 110 115 120 125 130 135 140 145 150
Recipient height (cm)
2017 (N = 952)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2004-6/2015)
Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits
Age = 6-10 Years
BSA ratio
2.5
Hazard Ratio for 1 Year Mortality
p = 0.0484
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8
BSA ratio
2017 (N = 952)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2004-6/2015)
Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits
Age = 6-10 Years
Height difference
2.5
Hazard Ratio for 1 Year Mortality
p = 0.0083
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
-5 0 5 10 15 20
Height difference (cm)
2017 (N = 952)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2004-6/2015)
Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits
Age = 6-10 Years
Estimated GFR
2.5
Hazard Ratio for 1 Year Mortality
p = 0.0152
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120
Estimated GFR
2017 (N = 952)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2004-6/2015)
Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits
Age = 6-10 Years
Center volume: prev ped TXs within 1 yr
2.5
Hazard Ratio for 1 Year Mortality
p = 0.0397
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Center volume: prev ped TXs within 1 yr
2017 (N = 952)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2004-6/2015)
Statistically Significant Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95%
Confidence Limits
Age = 11-17 Years
2017 (N = 2,452)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2004-6/2015)
Statistically Significant Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality
Age = 11-17 Years
PA mean
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2004-6/2015)
Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits
Age = 11-17 Years
PCW
2.5
Hazard Ratio for 1 Year Mortality
p = 0.0004
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
10 15 20 25 30 35
PCW (mm/Hg)
2017 (N = 2,452)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2004-6/2015)
Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits
Age = 11-17 Years
Most recent PRA
2.5
Hazard Ratio for 1 Year Mortality
p = 0.0149
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
Most recent PRA (%)
2017 (N = 2,452)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2004-6/2015)
Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits
Age = 11-17 Years
PA mean
2.5
Hazard Ratio for 1 Year Mortality
p = 0.0008
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
PA mean (mm/Hg)
2017 (N = 2,452)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2001-6/2011)
Statistically Significant Risk Factors For 5 Year Mortality with 95%
Confidence Limits
2017 (N = 5,651)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2001-6/2011)
Statistically Significant Risk Factors For 5 Year Mortality
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2001-6/2011)
Risk Factors For 5 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits
Recipient age
2.5
Hazard Ratio for 1 Year Mortality
p = 0.0002
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Recipient age (years)
2017 (N = 5,651)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2001-6/2011)
Risk Factors For 5 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits
Donor age
2.5
Hazard Ratio for 1 Year Mortality
p = 0.0434
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
Donor age (years)
2017 (N = 5,651)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2001-6/2011)
Risk Factors For 5 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits
Ischemic time
2.5
Hazard Ratio for 1 Year Mortality
p = 0.0048
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
2 3 4 5 6
Ischemic time (hours)
2017 (N = 5,651)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2001-6/2011)
Risk Factors For 5 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits
p = 0.0403
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70
Recipient weight (kg)
2017 (N = 5,651)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2001-6/2011)
Risk Factors For 5 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits
Estimated GFR
2.5
Hazard Ratio for 1 Year Mortality
p = 0.0006
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
35 45 55 65 75 85 95 105 115 125
Estimated GFR
2017 (N = 5,651)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2001-6/2011)
Risk Factors For 5 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits
p = 0.0026
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Center volume: prev ped TXs within 1 yr
2017 (N = 5,651)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/1996-6/2006)
Statistically Significant Risk Factors For 10 Year Mortality with 95%
Confidence Limits
2017 (N = 4,878)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/1996-6/2006)
Statistically Significant Risk Factors For 10 Year Mortality
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/1996-6/2006)
Risk Factors For 10 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits
Recipient age
2.5
Hazard Ratio for 10 Year Mortality
p = 0.0010
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Recipient age (years)
2017 (N = 4,878)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/1996-6/2006)
Risk Factors For 10 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits
Donor age
2.5
Hazard Ratio for 10 Year Mortality
p = 0.0006
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
Donor age (years)
2017 (N = 4,878)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/1996-6/2006)
Risk Factors For 10 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits
Recipient height
2.5
Hazard Ratio for 10 Year Mortality
p = 0.0023
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180
Recipient height (cm)
2017 (N = 4,878)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/1996-6/2006)
Risk Factors For 10 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits
Estimated GFR
2.5
Hazard Ratio for 10 Year Mortality
p = 0.0143
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
35 45 55 65 75 85 95 105 115 125
Estimated GFR
2017 (N = 4,878)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/1996-6/2006)
Risk Factors For 10 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits
p = 0.0084
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
Transplant center volume
2017 (N = 4,878)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1990-6/2001)
Statistically Significant Risk Factors For 15 Year Mortality with 95%
Confidence Limits
2017 (N = 4,493)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1990-6/2001)
Statistically Significant Risk Factors For 15 Year Mortality
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1990-6/2001)
Risk Factors For 15 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits
Donor age
2.5
Hazard Ratio for 15 Year Mortality
p = 0.0137
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
Donor age (years)
2017 (N = 4,493)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1990-6/2001)
Risk Factors For 15 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits
p = 0.0016
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70
Donor weight (kg)
2017 (N = 4,493)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1990-6/2001)
Risk Factors For 15 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits
Donor BMI
2.5
Hazard Ratio for 15 Year Mortality
p = 0.0038
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Donor BMI (kg/m2)
2017 (N = 4,493)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1990-6/2001)
Risk Factors For 15 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits
p = 0.0236
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
0 5 10 15 20 25
Center volume: prev ped TXs within 1 yr
2017 (N = 4,493)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2000-6/2011)
Statistically Significant Risk Factors for Developing CAV within 5 Years
with 95% Confidence Limits
Conditional on Survival to Transplant Discharge
2017 (N = 3,044)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2000-6/2011)
Statistically Significant Risk Factors for Developing CAV within 5 Years
Conditional on Survival to Transplant Discharge
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2000-6/2011)
Risk Factors for Developing CAV within 5 Years with 95% Confidence Limits
Conditional on Survival to Transplant Discharge
Donor age
2.5
Hazard Ratio for CAV within 5 Years
p < 0.0001
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Donor age (years)
2017 (N = 3,044)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2000-6/2011)
Risk Factors for Developing CAV within 5 Years with 95% Confidence Limits
Conditional on Survival to Transplant Discharge
Transplant center volume
2.5
Hazard Ratio for CAV within 5 Years
p = 0.0312
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
Transplant center volume
2017 (N = 3,044)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/1995-6/2006)
Statistically Significant Risk Factors for Developing CAV within 10 Years
with 95% Confidence Limits
Conditional on Survival to Transplant Discharge
2017 (N = 2,456)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/1995-6/2006)
Statistically Significant Risk Factors for Developing CAV within 10 Years
Conditional on Survival to Transplant Discharge
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/1995-6/2006)
Risk Factors for Developing CAV within 10 Years with 95% Confidence Limits
Conditional on Survival to Transplant Discharge
Donor age
2.5
Hazard Ratio for CAV within 10
p = 0.0105
2.0
1.5
Years
1.0
0.5
0.0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Donor age (years)
2017 (N = 2,456)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/1995-6/2006)
Risk Factors for Developing CAV within 10 Years with 95% Confidence Limits
Conditional on Survival to Transplant Discharge
BMI ratio
2.5
Hazard Ratio for CAV within 10
p = 0.0115
2.0
1.5
Years
1.0
0.5
0.0
0.80 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 1.05 1.10 1.15 1.20
BMI ratio (kg/m2)
2017 (N = 2,456)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/1995-6/2006)
Risk Factors for Developing CAV within 10 Years with 95% Confidence Limits
Conditional on Survival to Transplant Discharge
Donor BSA
2.5
Hazard Ratio for CAV within 10
p = 0.0021
2.0
1.5
Years
1.0
0.5
0.0
0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8
Donor BSA
2017 (N = 2,456)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/1995-6/2006)
Risk Factors for Developing CAV within 10 Years with 95% Confidence Limits
Conditional on Survival to Transplant Discharge
Transplant center volume
2.5
Hazard Ratio for CAV within 10
p < 0.0001
2.0
1.5
Years
1.0
0.5
0.0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90
Transplant center volume
2017 (N = 2,456)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2000-6/2011)
Statistically Significant Risk Factors for Developing Renal Dysfunction
within 5 Years with 95% Confidence Limits
Limited to Recipients without Severe Renal Dysfunction* Pre-Transplant
2017 (N = 2,983)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2000-6/2011)
Statistically Significant Risk Factors for Developing Renal Dysfunction
within 5 Years
Limited to Recipients without Severe Renal Dysfunction* Pre-Transplant
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2000-6/2011)
Risk Factors for Developing Renal Dysfunction within 5 Years with 95% Confidence Limits
Limited to Recipients without Severe Renal Dysfunction* Pre-Transplant
Donor height
5.0
Hazard Ratio for renal dysfunction
4.5
p = 0.0306
4.0
3.5
within 5 Years
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180
Donor height (cm)
2017 (N = 2,983)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/2000-6/2011)
Risk Factors for Developing Renal Dysfunction within 5 Years with 95% Confidence Limits
Limited to Recipients without Severe Renal Dysfunction* Pre-Transplant
Donor BSA
5.0
Hazard Ratio for renal dysfunction
4.5
p = 0.0079
4.0
3.5
within 5 Years
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.7
Donor BSA
2017 (N = 2,983)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/1995-6/2006)
Statistically Significant Risk Factors for Developing Renal Dysfunction
within 10 Years with 95% Confidence Limits
Limited to Recipients without Severe Renal Dysfunction* Pre-Transplant
2017 (N = 2,427)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/1995-6/2006)
Statistically Significant Risk Factors for Developing Renal Dysfunction
within 10 Years
Limited to Recipients without Severe Renal Dysfunction* Pre-Transplant
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/1995-6/2006)
Risk Factors for Developing Renal Dysfunction within 10 Years with 95% Confidence Limits
Limited to Recipients without Severe Renal Dysfunction* Pre-Transplant
Recipient weight (kg)
2.5
Hazard Ratio for renal dysfunction
p < 0.0001
2.0
within 10 Years
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70
Recipient weight (kg)
2017 (N = 2,427)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/1995-6/2006)
Risk Factors for Developing Renal Dysfunction within 10 Years with 95% Confidence Limits
Limited to Recipients without Severe Renal Dysfunction* Pre-Transplant
Estimated GFR
2.5
Hazard Ratio for renal dysfunction
p = 0.0100
2.0
within 10 Years
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
35 45 55 65 75 85 95 105 115 125
Estimated GFR
2017 (N = 2,427)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants (1/1995-6/2006)
Risk Factors for Developing Renal Dysfunction within 10 Years with 95% Confidence Limits
Limited to Recipients without Severe Renal Dysfunction* Pre-Transplant
Center volume: prev ped TXs within 1 yr
2.5
Hazard Ratio for renal dysfunction
p = 0.0243
2.0
within 10 Years
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Center volume: prev ped TXs within 1 yr
2017 (N = 2,427)
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Focus Theme
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Ischemic Time Distribution by Diagnosis
(Transplants: January 2004 – June 2016)
0-<2 hours 2-<4 hours 4-<6 hours 6+ hours
100%
80%
% of Transplants
60%
40%
20%
0%
CHD DCM Retransplant Other
80%
% of Transplants
60%
40%
20%
0%
<1 1-5 6-10 11-17
Recipient Age (Years)
2017 p < 0.0001
80%
% of Transplants
60%
40%
20%
0%
None ECMO VAD/TAH
* LVAD, RVAD, TAH, ECMO
2017 p = 0.0552
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Ischemic Time Distribution by Donor Age
(Transplants: January 2004 – June 2016)
0-<2 hours 2-<4 hours 4-<6 hours 6+ hours
100%
80%
% of Transplants
60%
40%
20%
0%
<1 1-5 6-10 11-17 18-34 35-49 50-65
Donor Age (Years)
2017 p < 0.0001
80%
% of Transplants
60%
40%
20%
0%
Anoxia Cerebrovascular/ Head Trauma Other
Stroke
2017 p < 0.0001
70%
3.0
60%
2.5
50%
2.0
40%
1.5
30%
20% 1.0
10% 0.5
0% 0.0
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Ischemic Time Distribution by Location
(Transplants: January 2004 – June 2016)
0-<2 hours 2-<4 hours 4-<6 hours 6+ hours
100%
80%
% of Transplants
60%
40%
20%
0%
Europe North America Others
80%
% of Transplants
60%
40%
20%
0%
1-4 5-9 10+
Average number of heart transplants per year
2017 p < 0.0001
75
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Kaplan-Meier Survival by Ischemic Time
(Transplants: January 2004 – June 2015)
100
75
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Years
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Kaplan-Meier Survival by Ischemic Time
Diagnosis = CHD
(Transplants: January 2004 – June 2015)
100
75
Survival (%)
50
No pair-wise comparisons were significant at p < 0.05.
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Years
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Percentage Experiencing Treated Rejection between Discharge
and 1-Year Follow-Up by Ischemic Time
(Transplants: January 2004 – June 2015)
50
40
within 1 year
30
20
10
0
0-<2 hours 2-<4 hours 4+ hours
Analysis is limited to patients who were alive at the time of the
follow-up. Treated rejection = Recipient was reported to (1) have at
least one acute rejection episode that was treated with an
2017 anti-rejection agent; or (2) have been hospitalized for
rejection.
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Freedom from Cardiac Allograft Vasculopathy
by Ischemic Time (Transplants: January 2004 – June 2015)
100
75
Freedom from CAV (%)
50
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Years
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Freedom from Severe Renal Dysfunction* by Ischemic Time
(Transplants: January 2004 – June 2015)
100
Freedom from Severe Renal
75
Dysfunction (%)
50
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079
Pediatric Heart Transplants
Length of Stay Distribution by Ischemic Time
(Transplants: January 2004 – June 2015)
0-7 days 8-10 days 11-14 days 15-21 days 22-28 days 29+ days
100%
80%
% of Transplants
60%
40%
20%
0%
0-<2 hours 2-<4 hours 4+ hours
2017
JHLT. 2017 Oct; 36(10): 1037-1079