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Chapter 9

Debt Valuation
and Interest
Slide Contents

• Principles Applied in This Chapter


• Learning Objectives
1. Overview of Corporate Debt
2. Valuing Corporate Debt
3. Bond Valuation: Four Key Relationships
4. Types of Bonds
5. Determinants of Interest Rates
• Key Terms

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Learning Objectives

1. Identify the key features of bonds and


describe the difference between private and
public debt markets.
2. Calculate the value of a bond and relate it
to the yield to maturity on the bond.
3. Describe the four key bond valuation
relationships.

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Learning Objectives (cont.)

4. Identify the major types of corporate


bonds.
5. Explain the effects of inflation on interest
rates and describe the term structure of
interest rates.

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Principles Applied in This Chapter

• Principle 1: Money Has a Time Value.

• Principle 2: There is a Risk-Return Tradeoff.

• Principle 3: Cash Flows Are the Source of


Value

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9.1 OVERVIEW OF
CORPORATE DEBT

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Corporate Borrowings

• There are two main sources of borrowing for


a corporation:

1. Loan from a financial institution (known as


private debt since it involves only two parties)

2. Bonds (known as public debt since they can be


traded in the public financial markets)

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Borrowing Money in the Private
Financial Market

Financial Institutions provide loans to


finance firm’s day-to-day operations
(working capital loans) or it might be used
for the purchase of equipment or property
(transaction loans). Loans may or may not
be secured by a collateral.

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Borrowing Money in the Private
Financial Market (cont.)

• Advantages of Private Debt Placement


– Speed
– Reduced costs
– Financing flexibility
• Disadvantages of Private Debt Placement
– Interest costs
– Restrictive covenants
– The possibility of future SEC registration

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Floating-Rate Loans

In the private financial market, loans are


typically floating rate loans i.e. the interest
rate is adjusted based on a specific
benchmark rate. The most popular benchmark
rate is the London Interbank Offered Rate
(LIBOR), rate at which banks offer to lend in
the London wholesale or interbank market

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Floating-Rate Loans (cont.)

For example, a corporation may get a 1-year


loan with a rate of 300 basis points (or 3%)
over LIBOR with a ceiling of 11% and a floor
of 4%.

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Table 9-1 Types of Bank Debt

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CHECKPOINT 9.1:
CHECK YOURSELF
Calculating the Rate of Interest on a
Floating-Rate Loan
Consider the same loan period as above but change
the spread over LIBOR from .25% to .75%. Is the
ceiling rate or floor rate violated during the loan
period?

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Step 1: Picture the Problem

• The graph on the next slide shows the


LIBOR index (series 1), LIBOR plus the
spread of 75 basis points (series 2), the
ceiling rate (series 3), and the floor rate
(series 4).

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Step 1: Picture the Problem (cont.)

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Step 2: Decide on a Solution
Strategy

• We have to determine the floating rate for


every week and see if it exceeds the ceiling
or falls below the floor.

• Floating rate on Loan


= LIBOR for the previous week + spread of .75%

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Step 2: Decide on a Solution
Strategy

The floating rate on loan cannot exceed the


ceiling rate of 2.5% or drop below the floor
rate of 1.75%.
– If the floating rate falls below the floor,
the rate will be reset at the floor rate.
– If the floating rate exceeds the ceiling, the
rate will be reset at the ceiling rate.

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Step 3: Solve
LIBOR LIBOR + Loan
Spread Rate
(.75%)
2/29/2008 1.98%
3/7/2008 1.66% 2.73% 2.50%
3/14/2008 1.52% 2.44% 2.41%
3/21/2008 1.35% 2.27% 2.27%
3/28/2008 1.60% 2.10% 2.10%
Ceiling
4/4/2008 1.63% 2.35% 2.35% Violated

4/11/2008 1.67% 2.38% 2.38%


4/18/2008 1.88% 2.42% 2.42%
4/25/2008 1.93% 2.63% 2.50%
5/2/2008 2.68% 2.50%

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Step 3: Solve (cont.)

The table shows the ceiling is violated during


the first week and last two weeks of the loan
period. The floor rate is never violated.

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Step 4: Analyze

• The ceiling is the maximum rate charged on


the loan while floor is the minimum rate
charged on the loan. If the ceiling or floor
rates are violated, the loan rate is reset to
the ceiling rate or the floor rate.

• If there were no ceiling, the loan rate would


have been 2.73% during the first week of
the loan, and 2.63% and 2.68% during the
last two weeks of the loan.

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Borrowing Money in the Public
Financial Market
Corporations engage the services of an
investment banker while raising long-term
funds in the public financial market. The
investment banker performs three basic functions:
– Underwriting: assuming risk of selling a
security issued. The client is given the money
before the securities are sold to the public.
– Distributing
– Advising

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Corporate Bonds

• Corporate bond is a debt security issued


by corporation that has promised future
payments and a maturity date.

• If the firm fails to pay the promised future


payments of interest and principal, the bond
trustee can classify the firm as insolvent and
force the firm into bankruptcy.

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Basic Bond Features

• The basic features of a bond include the


following:
– Bond indenture
– Claims on assets and income
– Par or face value
– Coupon interest rate
– Maturity and repayment of principal
– Call provision and conversion features

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Bond Ratings and Default Risk

Bond ratings indicate the default risk i.e. the


probability that the firm will make the bond’s
promised payments. Rating agencies use
borrower’s financial statements, financing
mix, profitability, variability of past profits,
and make judgments about the quality of the
firm’s management in order to determine
ratings.

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Table 9.3 Interpreting Bond Ratings

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9.2 VALUING CORPORATE
DEBT

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Valuing Corporate Debt

The value of corporate debt is equal to the


present value of the contractually promised
principal and interest payments (the cash
flows) discounted back to the present using
the market’s required yield to maturity on
similar risk.

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Table 9.2 Bond Terminology

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Valuing Bonds by Discounting Future
Cash Flows

Step 1: Determine bondholder cash flows,


which are the the amount and timing of the
bond’s promised interest and principal
payments to the bondholders.
•Annual Interest = Par value × coupon rate
•Example 9.1: The annual interest for a 10-year bond
with coupon interest rate of 7% and a par value of
$1,000 is equal to $70, (.07 × $1,000 = $70). This
bond will pay $70 every year and $1,000 at the end
of 10-years.

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Valuing Bonds by Discounting
Future Cash Flows (cont.)
Step 2: Estimate the appropriate discount rate
on a bond of similar risk. Discount rate is the
return the bond will yield if it is held to
maturity and all bond payments are made.

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Valuing Bonds by Discounting
Future Cash Flows (cont.)
Step 3: Calculate the present value of the
bond’s interest and principal payments from
Step 1 using the discount rate in step 2.

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Calculating a Bond’s Yield to
Maturity (YTM)

We can think of YTM as the discount rate that


makes the present value of the bond’s
promised interest and principal equal to the
bond’s observed market price.

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CHECKPOINT 9.2:
CHECK YOURSELF
Calculating the Yield to Maturity on a
Corporate Bond
Calculate the YTM on the Ford bond where the
bond price rises to $900 (holding all other things
equal).

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Step 1: Picture the Problem

YTM=?

Years 0 1 2 3… 11
Cash flow -$900 $65 $65 $65 $1,065

• Purchase price = $900


• Interest payments = $65 per year for years 1-11
• Final payment = $1,000 in year 11 of principal.

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Step 2: Decide on a Solution
Strategy

We can use equation 9-2a to find YTM. YTM is


the rate that makes the present value of all
future expected cash flows equal to the
current market price. We can also solve for
YTM using a calculator and a spreadsheet.

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Step 3: Solve

Using a Mathematical Equation

•It is cumbersome to solve for YTM by hand


using the equation. It is more practical to use
the financial calculator or the spread sheet.

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Step 3: Solve (cont.)

Using a Financial
Calculator Using an Excel
Spreadsheet
N = 11
I/Y = 7.89 = RATE(nper,
PV = -900 pmt,pv,fv)
PMT = 65
= RATE (11,65,-
FV = 1,000
900,1000)
= 7.89%

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Step 4: Analyze

The yield to maturity on the bond is 7.89%.


The yield is higher than the coupon rate of
interest of 6.5%. Since the coupon rate is
lower than the yield to maturity, the bond is
trading at a price below $1,000. We call this a
discount bond.

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Using Market-Yield-to-Maturity Data

Market-yield-to-maturity data is regularly


reported by a number of investor services and
is quoted in terms of credit spreads or
spreads to Treasury bonds. Table 9-4
contains some examples of spreads.

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Table 9-4 Corporate Bond Spread
Tables

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Using Market Yield to Maturity Data
(cont.)

• The spread values reported in table 9-4


represent basis points over a US Treasury
security of the same maturity as the
corporate bond.
• For example, a 30-year Ba1/BB+ corporate
bond has a spread of 275 basis points over a
similar 30-year US Treasury bond.
• Thus this corporate bond should earn 2.75%
over the 4.56% earned on treasury yield or
7.31%.

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Promised versus
Expected Yield to Maturity

The yield to maturity calculation assumes that


the bond performs according to the terms of
the bond contract or indenture. Since
corporate bonds are subject to risk of default,
the promised yield to maturity may not be
equal to expected yield to maturity.

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Promised versus Expected Yield to
Maturity (cont.)

• Example Consider a one-year bond that


promises a coupon rate of 8% and has a
principal (par value) of $1,000. Further
assume the bond is currently trading for
$850. What is the promised yield to
maturity?

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Promised versus Expected Yield to
Maturity (cont.)

Promised YTM
= {(Interest year 1 + Principal) ÷ (Bond Value)} – 1

= {($80+$1,000) ÷ ($850)} – 1

= 27.06%

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Promised versus Expected Yield to
Maturity (cont.)

The yield of 27.06% is based on the


assumption of no default. Assume there is a
40% probability of default on this bond and if
the bond defaults, the bondholders will receive
only 60% of the principal and interest owed.
What is the expected YTM on this bond?

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Promised versus Expected Yield to
Maturity (cont.)
YTMdefault
= {(Interest year 1 + Principal)} ÷ (Bond Value)}
–1

= {($80+$1000) × .60} ÷ ($850)} – 1

= -23.76%

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Promised versus Expected Yield to
Maturity (cont.)

= (27.06 × .60) + (-23.76 × .40)


= 6.73%

The financial press quotes promised yield and


not expected YTM.

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CHECKPOINT 9.3:
CHECK YOURSELF

Valuing a Bond Issue


Calculate the present value of the AT&T
bond should the yield to maturity for
comparable risk bonds rise to 9% (holding
all other things equal).
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Step 1: Picture the Problem

i= 9%
Years 0 1 2 3… 20

Cash flows $85 $85 $85 $1,085

PV of all
Cash flows
=?

$85 annual
interest $85 interest
+ $1,000
Principal

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Step 2: Decide on a Solution
Strategy

• Here we know the following:


– Annual interest payments = $85
– Principal amount or par value = $1,000
– Time = 20 years
– YTM or discount rate = 9%
• We can use the above information to
determine the value of the bond by
discounting future interest and principal
payment to the present.

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Step 3: Solve

Using a Mathematical Formula

= $ 85{ 1-(1/(1.09)20] ÷ (.20)} + [


$1,000/(1.09)20
= $85 (9.128) + $178.43
= $954.36

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Step 3: Solve (cont.)

Using a Financial Using an Excel


Calculator Spreadsheet

– N = 20 = PV (rate, nper, pmt, fv)


– 1/y = 9.0
= PV (.09,20,85,1000)
– PMT = 85
– FV = 1000
= $954.36
– PV = 954.36

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Step 4: Analyze

• The value of AT&T bond falls to $954.36


when the yield to maturity rises to 9%. The
bonds are now trading at a discount as the
coupon rate on AT&T bonds is lower than
the market yield.
• An investor who buys AT&T bonds at its
current discounted price will earn a
promised yield to maturity of 9%.

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Semiannual Interest Payments

Corporate bonds typically pay interest to


bondholders semiannually. We can adapt
Equation (9-2a) from annual to semiannual
payments as follows:

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CHECKPOINT 9.4:
CHECK YOURSELF
Valuing a Bond Issue That Pays Semiannual
Interest
Calculate the present value of the AT&T bond
should the yield to maturity on comparable bonds
rise to 9% (holding all other things equal).

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Step 1: Picture the Problem
40
6-month
periods
i= 9%
Periods 0 1 2 3… 40

Cash flow

$42.5 $42.5 $42.5 $1,042.50


PV=?

$42.50
$42.5 interest
Semiannual
+ $1,000
interest
Principal

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Step 2: Decide on a Solution
Strategy
• Here we know the following:
– Semiannual interest payments = $42.50
– Principal amount or par value = $1,000
– Time = 20 years or 40 periods
– YTM or discount rate = 9% or 4.5% for 6-months
• We can use the above information to
determine the value of the bond by
discounting future interest and principal
payment to the present.

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Step 3: Solve

Using a Mathematical Formula

= $ 42.5{[1-(1/(1.045)40] ÷ (.20)} +
$1,000/(1.045)40
= $42.5 (18.40) + $171.93
= $954

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Step 3: Solve (cont.)

Using a Financial Using an Excel


Calculator Spreadsheet

– N = 40 = PV (rate, nper, pmt, fv)


– 1/y = 4.50
= PV (.045,40,42.5,1000)
– PMT = 42.50
– FV = 1000
= $954
– PV = 954

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Step 4: Analyze

Using semi-annual compounding we get a


value of $954 for AT&T bonds. This is very
close to the value of $954.26 found using
annual compounding.

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9.3 BOND VALUATION:
FOUR KEY RELATIONSHIPS

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Bond Valuation:
Four Key Relationships

• First Relationship The value of bond is


inversely related to changes in the yield to
maturity.

YTM = 12% YTM rises to


15%
Par value $1,000 $1,000
Coupon rate 12% 12%
Maturity date 5 years 5 years
Bond Value $1,000 $899.44

Bond
Value
Drops

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Figure 9-1 Bond Value and the Market’s Required
Yield to Maturity (5-Year Bond, 12% Coupon
Rate)

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Bond Valuation: Four Key
Relationships (cont.)

• Second Relationship: The market value of a


bond will be less than the par value
(discount bond) if the market’s required
yield to maturity is above the coupon
interest rate and will be valued above par
value (premium bond) if the market’s
required yield to maturity is below the
coupon interest rate.

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Bond Valuation: Four Key
Relationships (cont.)

• Third Relationship As the maturity date


approaches, the market value of a bond
approaches its par value. That’s because at
maturity the bond will be taken away and the
investor will receive the par value of the
bond.

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Table 9-5 Bond Prices Relative to
Maturity Date

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Figure 9-2 Value of a 12% Coupon
Bond during the Life of the Bond

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Bond Valuation: Four Key
Relationships (cont.)

Fourth Relationship Long term bonds have


greater interest-rate risk than short-term
bonds.

•While all bonds are affected by a change in


interest rates, the prices of longer-term bonds
fluctuate more when interest rates change
than do the prices of shorter-term bonds (see
Table 9.6)

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9.4 TYPES OF BONDS

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Table 9-7 Types of Corporate Bonds

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9.5 DETERMINANTS OF
INTEREST RATES

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Determinants of Interest Rates

As we observed earlier, bond prices vary


inversely with interest rates. Therefore in
order to understand how bond prices
fluctuate, we need to know the determinants
of interest rates.

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Inflation and Real versus Nominal
Interest Rates

• Quotes of interest rates in the financial press


are commonly referred to as the nominal
(or quoted) interest rates. Real rate of
interest adjusts for the effects of inflation.

• Real Rate of Interest (approximation)


≈ Nominal interest rate – Inflation premium

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Fisher Effect: The Nominal and Real
Rate of Interest

• The relationship between the nominal rate


of interest, rnominal , the anticipated rate of
inflation, rinflation , and the real rate of interest
is known as the Fisher effect.

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CHECKPOINT 9.5:
CHECK YOURSELF
Solving for the Real Rate of Interest
Assume now that you expect that inflation will be
5% over the coming year and want to analyze
how much better off you will be if you place your
savings in an account that also earns just 5%.
What is the real rate of return in this
circumstance?
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Step 1: Picture the Problem

• Let us assume that the prices of goods and


services today is $1.00 per unit.
• With a 5% inflation, these goods and
services will cost $1.05.
• Thus, $10,500 expected in the savings
account at the end of the year will buy you
only 10,000 units (10,500/1.05) at the end
of the year.

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Step 1: Picture the Problem (cont.)

Year 0 Year 1

Savings Account Balance $10,000.00 $10,500.00

Price Index (5% inflation) $1.00 $1.05

Purchasing Power (units) 10,000.00 10,000.00

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Step 2: Decide on a Solution
Strategy
Step 3: Solve
We can estimate the real rate of interest by
using equation 9-4b.

rreal = {(1+.05) ÷ (1+.05)} – 1 = 0%

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Step 4: Analyze

Here the nominal rate of interest is equal to


the expected rate of inflation. Therefore, the
real rate of return is equal to zero i.e. there is
no increase in purchasing power from
investing the savings at 5%.

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CHECKPOINT 9.6:
CHECK YOURSELF
Solving for the Nominal Rate of Interest
If you anticipate that the rate of inflation will now
be 4% next year, holding all else the same, what
rate of return will you need to earn on your
savings in order to achieve a 2% increase in
purchasing power?

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Step 1: Picture the Problem

• Let us assume that the prices of goods and


services today is $1.00 per unit.
• If the expected rate of inflation is 4% and
you want to be able to purchase 2% more,
you will need to earn a nominal rate of
interest on your savings that will allow you
to buy 10,200 units at $1.04 each.

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Step 1: Picture the Problem (cont.)

Year 0 Year 1

Savings Account Balance $10,000.00 $10,608

Price Index (5% inflation) $1.00 $1.04

Purchasing Power (units) 10,000.00 10,200.00

Real rate (% increase in 2%


purchasing power)

Interest rate of
6.08% solved
in step 3

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Step 2: Decide on a Solution
Strategy
Step 3: Solve
We can use the Fisher model found in
equation 9-4a to determine the nominal rate
of interest.

rnom=.02 + .04 + (.02 × .04) = .0608 or 6.08%

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Step 4: Analyze

In order to achieve a 2% increase in


purchasing power in the face of a 4% rate of
inflation, you must earn a 6.08% rate on your
savings.

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Interest-Rate Determinants –
Breaking It Down

The nominal return or interest rate on a note


or bond can be thought of including five basic
components:

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Interest Rate Determinants (cont.)

• The inflation premium

• Default–risk premium

• Maturity-risk premium

• Liquidity-risk premium

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The Maturity-Risk Premium and the
Term Structure of Interest Rates

• The relationship between interest rates and


time to maturity with risk held constant is
known as the term structure of interest
rates or the yield curve.

• Figure 9-3 illustrates a hypothetical term


structure of U.S. Treasury Bonds.

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Figure 9-3 The Term Structure of
Interest Rates or Yield Curve

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The Shape of the Yield Curve

By reviewing equation 9-5, we can gain


insight into the shape of the yield curve for US
Treasuries. Since there is no default risk or
liquidity risk and the real-risk free rate of
interest is unlikely to change, the shape of the
yield curve is driven by inflation premium and
maturity risk premium.

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The Shape of the Yield Curve (cont.)

During periods when inflation is expected to


subside, the inflation premium should
decrease over longer maturities, resulting in a
downward sloping Treasury yield curve as
shown in Figure 9.5. The reverse is also true
as shown in Figure 9.4

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Figure 9.4
Treasury
Yield Curve
during
Period of
Increasing
Inflation

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Figure 9.5
Treasury
Yield Curve
during
Period of
Decreasing
Inflation

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Shifts in the Yield Curve

• The yield curve changes over time as


expectations regarding each of the four
factors that underlie interest rates change.
• Figure 9-6 shows the yield curve one day
before 911 attack and again two weeks
later. Investors shifted their funds to the
safety of Treasuries, pushing up the prices
and bringing down the yields.

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Figure 9-6 Changes in the Term Structure
of Interest Rates around September 11,
2001

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Shifts in the Yield Curve (cont.)

• The yield curve is generally upward


sloping but it can assume different shapes
i.e. downward sloping or flat.

• Figure 9-7 illustrates different shapes of


yield curves at different dates, observed
within a span of only 13 months.

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Figure 9.7 Historical Term Structure of
Interest Rates for Government Securities

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Key Terms

• Amortizing bond
• Basis point
• Bond rating
• Bond indenture
• Call provision
• Collateral
• Conversion feature

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Key Terms (cont.)

• Convertible bond
• Corporate bond
• Coupon interest rate
• Credit spread
• Current yield
• Debenture
• Default-risk premium

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Key Terms (cont.)

• Discount bond
• Eurobonds
• Fisher effect
• Floating rate
• Floating rate bonds
• Inflation premium
• Interest rate risk

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Key Terms (cont.)

• Junk (high-yield) bond


• LIBOR
• Liquidity-risk premium
• Maturity-risk premium
• Mortgage bond
• Nominal (or quoted) interest rate
• Non-amortizing bond

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Key Terms (cont.)

• Par or face value of a bond


• Private market transaction
• Premium bond
• Real rate of interest
• Recovery rate
• Secured bond
• Spread to Treasury bonds

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Key Terms (cont.)

• Subordinated debentures
• Syndicate
• Term structure of interest rates
• Transaction loan
• Unsubordinated debentures
• Yield curve
• Yield to maturity
• Zero coupon bond

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