Storm Surge

Modeling, Simulation and

Early Warning System in the Philippines Using
ADCIRC + Swan
Vena Pearl Boñgolan
System Modeling and Simulation Laboratory
Department of Computer Science, College of Engineering
UP Diliman
RCND 2019
25-26 November, Kuala Lumpur
 With:

• Joshua F. Rayo, M.S.

• Alezon M. Valerio, B.S.
• Andrea Carla Dioso and Brent Zaguirre

• Michael Tyrone Garcia and Alezon Maxine Valerio, 2018

• Jerry Agluba and Leandro de Torres, 2017
• Camille Grace Bacister and Christelle Anne Divina, 2016
• Gwenevere Kay Gutierrez and Ace Irish Talibong, 2015
• Tricia Mae Esguerra, Ryan Anthony Jacinto and Joshua Frank Rayo, 2014
Abstract
We design and implement an accurate and time-critical early
warning system, as well as simulate predicted storm surge
occurrences using a cluster-based and task-parallel
computation of the coupling of both the Advanced Multi-
Dimensional Circulation (ADCIRC) Model and the Simulating
Waves Nearshore (SWAN) Model. The early warning system
includes a Django-powered website that shows the maximum
elevation of the storm surge, as well as inland inundation, in
the form of an animation superimposed over a clickable map.
A text-messaging module has also been implemented to warn
local government units of a storm surge threat.
Show it!
• http://surgemodel.herokuapp.com
 Introduction
Storm Surge
A storm surge is the sudden rise of sea water generated by an
approaching storm, over and above the astronomical tides.

Factors Affecting Storm Surge

➢ Bathymetry ➢ Angle of approach to coast
➢ Storm intensity ➢ Central Pressure
➢ Forward Speed ➢ Coastal Features
➢ Storm size
 Product A
• Feature 1
• Feature 2
• Feature 3
 Salzer, W.
Assessment on
Early Warning Efforts in Leyte
for Typhoon Haiyan/Yolanda. 2014.
Objectives
• Deploy a web application containing
a clickable map showing a time series
visualization of storm surge and
inland inundation animation
• Deploy an SMS warning system that
alerts locals of the maximum height
and earliest time of the incoming
surge
Modeling and Simulations
• Input Files
Grid and Boundary Information File (fort.14)
Model Parameters and Information File (fort.15)
Single File Meteorological Forcing (fort.22)
SWAN Control File (fort.26)
Advanced Multi-Dimensional Circulation (ADCIRC) (UNC)

ADCIRC is a system of computer programs designed for solving time-

dependent, free surface circulation and transport problems in two and three
dimensions by utilizing finite element method in space, which can be run on
highly flexible, irregularly spaced grids.

Simulating Waves Nearshore (SWAN) Model

The Simulating WAves Nearshore (SWAN) model is a numerical wave model used to obtain
realistic estimates of wave parameters in coastal areas, lakes, and estuaries from given
wind, bottom, and current conditions.
Output Files
• Maximum Elevation at All Nodes in the Model Grid
(maxele.63):
This file would then be visualized online and would also
be used in the generation of warnings and notification
• Elevation Time Series at All Nodes in the Model Grid
(fort.63):
Time Series visualization requires this file. Also, this file
was used to pinpoint the location and time of the
earliest surges.
Early Warning System
• Input Files
ADCIRC Files: fort.14,fort.15,fort.63 and maxele.63
Shape Files
Neighbor Files

• Output Files
Keyhole Markup Language (KML) Files
Time Series File
Warnings and Notification Files
Early Warning System Outline
 Max Elevation
surgemodel.herokuapp.com
View SMS Warnings
Sample SMS Warning
 References
• G. Agluba, L. De Torres. Storm Surge Modeling, Simulation
and Early Warning System in the Philippines. 2018
• C. G. Bacister, C. A. Divina. Storm Surge Early Warning System
in Eastern Visayas, Philippines Using ACIRC + SWAN. 2017
• J. Soria, et al. Repeat Storm Surge Disaster of Typhoon
Haiyan and it’s 1987 Predecessor in the Philippines. 2016
• J. W. Cannon, et al. Application of SWAN+ADCIRC to tide-
surge and wave simulation in Gulf of Maine during Patriot's
Day storm. 2016