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•Intra-firm Factors
Factors Contributing to Growth of
Financing Engineering
Environmental Factors
•Price Volatility
•Tax Asymmetries
•Technological Advances
•Regulatory change
•Increased Competition
•Transaction Costs
Factors Contributing to Growth of
Financing Engineering
Price volatility:
•If the demands and the supplies for a thing change rapidly over
short period of time then market clearing price can change
dramatically.
•If demand increases and supply remains unchanged then price increases.
•If demand decreases and supply remains the same then the price
decreases.
•If supply increases and demand remains unchanged the price decreases.
•If supply decreases and demand remains the same even then price
increases.
Factors Contributing to Growth of Financing
Engineering
Price Volatility
Factors Contributing to Growth of Financing
Engineering
Magnitude of Price
Change
•For CAPM Model the risk free rate of return and market risk
premium keeps changing and hence the expectation of
investor from investment in any given company keeps
changing.
Factors Contributing to Growth of Financing
Engineering
Globalization of Markets
• Currency exchange rate: companies operating on global basis selling their goods and
services in various economies face of risk of ultimate profits because of currency
volatilities i.e. when profits in one economy are converted back to mother currency
then devaluation or accretion happens because of exchange rate volatilities.
• Debt capital markets: different economies offer different interest rates on debt and
hence the loan taken in one economy to fund operations in another economy can
create a risk of interest rate loss/gain as well as currency exchange loss/gain.
• Equity risk factor for companies operating in many countries would be difficult to
judge as in different economies the cost of equity would be different .
Factors Contributing to Growth of Financing
Engineering
Tax asymmetries
•Tax asymmetry exist if two firms are subject to different effective Tax Rate, which is
cleverly exploited by Financial Engineers.
• Liquidity
•Risk Aversion
•Agency costs
Asset-Liability Management:
•The financing maturity that is the choice of long term, medium term and
short term debt is completely dependent upon how long term asset cash
flows are.
•Second we examine the choice between fixed and floating rate debt, as how
this choice will affect the way inflation effects cash flows of assets financed by
debt.
Financial Engineering Processes and
Strategies
Asset Liability Management:
Y= Yield
•For firms with most of cash flows coming from future projects the
convertible debt would be better option as convertible debt can be used at
lower interest rate. This is because of the fact that later on this convertible
debt can be converted into equity when high growth rate in equity happens.
Financial Engineering Processes and
Strategies
Special Financing situations:
Hedging Concepts:
• Short Hedging
•Long hedging
Financial Engineering Processes and
Strategies
Short Hedging:
•A hedge who holds the commodity/asset and is concerned about the decrease in its
price might consider hedging with short position in futures.
•If the spot price and futures price move together, the hedge will reduce some of the
risk. For example, if the spot price decreases, the futures price also will decrease. Since
the hedger is short the futures contract, the futures transaction produces a profit that
at least partially offsets the loss on the spot position. This is called short hedge
because hedger is short in futures.
•Another type of short hedge can be used in anticipation of future sale of asset. For
example you want to sell wheat in the market and anticipate that its price may go down
in the near future (when wheat is ready to be sold) and so for this you can take short
hedge position in futures contract so as to hedge the risk of fall in price of wheat.
Financial engineering processes and
strategies
Long Hedging:
•Another type of long hedge can be when we sell short the asset and fear that in near
future that the market will go up. Rather than close out the short position, one might
buy a futures contract and earn a profit on the long position in futures contract that
will at least partially offset the loss on the short position in the stock.
Financial engineering processes and strategies
Cross hedging is a scenario of imperfect hedging because of two issues:
Asset mismatch: this arises when the firms wishes to hedge against a particular
asset but no futures contracts of similar specification regarding that asset are
available. (for e.g. no futures contract on copper coins……..so we hedge copper
futures).
Maturity mismatch: underlying assets maturity may not match the futures
expiration date (remember futures are standardized contracts traded on
exchanges). For examples are traders needs jute during particular months of
the year (say august) and there is no jute futures contract available maturing
in august then there is mismatch in maturity date.
Hedge Ratio:
To develop minimum variance hedge model we take Portfolio prices and determine monthly
return on it. Also we take Futures contract prices and determine monthly return on.
Once the data on returns for portfolio and futures contract is developed, we run regression
analysis to find regression coefficient i.e. slope of the line (also know as Beta).
This beta is similar to the one developed in CAPM and because of the that futures contract is
based on marked index, the beta will be very close probably close enough for our purpose.
So the minimum variance hedge ratio for a stock index futures contract where Beta is beta of
stock portfolio is :
The assets of the acquired company are used as collateral for the
borrowed capital, sometimes with assets of the acquiring company.
Given the proportion of debt used in financing a transaction, a financial buyer’s interest in an
LBO candidate depends on the existence of, or the opportunity to improve upon, a number of
factors. Specific criteria for a good LBO candidate include:
•Divestible assets
• Synergy opportunities
• Black-Scholes
• Binomial Model
Determination of Value of Financial
Instruments
Binomial Model
•Remember ------------Risk less portfolio will give risk free rate of return.
V = h * S - Cu
Vu = h * Su – Cu Or
Vd = h * Sd – Cd
As model based on fact that risk less portfolio will give risk free rate of return then:
(h * S – C) * (1+r)
First we find the values of call Option Cu and Cd at end of the period. Then
we find the value of call option at the beginning of the period.
Determination of Value of Financial
Instruments
Two Period Binomial Model:
First we find the values of Cu2, Cud and Cd2 then find the values of Cu, Cd and
then eventually C.
Determination of Value of Financial
Instruments
Binomial Model - Put Option
•The Black–Scholes model of the market for a particular equity makes the
following explicit assumptions:
•The risk-free interest rate exists and is constant and same for all maturity dates.
•It is possible to borrow and lend cash at a known constant risk-free interest rate.
•The price follows a Geometric Brownian motion with constant drift and
volatility.
Determination of Value of Financial
Instruments
•There are no transaction costs.
•The stock does not pay a dividend (see below for extensions to
handle dividend payments).
•P = C + Ke^(-rt)- S
Determination of Value of Financial
Instruments
Put Call Parity is a relationship between European Put and
Call Options have identical assets, strike prices and time to
maturity.
(if we know either call or put then the other one can be
valued from put-call parity equation.
Option Time Value
Option Time Value
•Black-Scholes
•Binomial Model
Option Time Value
•Option value “Likelihood” finishing in the money.
•Intrinsic value:
For a call option: value = Max [ (S – K), 0 ]
For a put option: value = Max [ (K – S), 0 ]
•time value
•While this can be a fairly simple exercise for companies in certain sectors, it
may prove challenging for others whose peers are not readily apparent.
Relative Valuation
•For a target with no clear, publicly traded comparables, the banker seeks
companies outside the target’s core sector that share business and financial
characteristics on some fundamental level.
•In this case, the list of potential comparables could be expanded to include
manufacturers of related building products such as decking, roofing, siding,
doors, and cabinets.
Relative Valuation
Identify Key Characteristics of the Target for
Comparison Purposes :
Sector Size
Products and Services Profitability
Customers and End Markets Growth Profile
Distribution Channels Return on Investment
Geography Credit Profile
Relative Valuation
Step 1……………Sector:
•Within the industrials sector, for example, there are numerous sub-
sectors, such as aerospace and defense, automotive, building products,
metals and mining, and paper and packaging. For companies with
distinct business divisions, the segmenting of comparable companies
by sub-sector may be critical for valuation
Relative Valuation
Products and Services
•A company’s products and services are at the core of its business model.
Accordingly, companies that produce similar products or provide similar
services typically serve as good comparables. Products are commodities or
value-added goods that a company creates, produces, or refines.
Customers:
•A company’s customers refer to the purchasers of its products and services. Companies
with a similar customer base tend to share similar opportunities and risks. For example,
companies supplying automobile manufacturers abide by certain manufacturing and
distribution requirements, and are subject to the automobile purchasing cycles and
trends.
•End Markets
•A company’s end markets refer to the broad underlying markets into which it sells
its products and services. For example, a plastics manufacturer may sell into several end
markets, including automotive, construction, consumer products, medical devices, and
packaging. End markets need to be distinguished from customers. For example, a
company may sell into the housing end market, but to retailers or suppliers as opposed to
homebuilders
Relative Valuation
Customer and End Markets
End Markets
•For example, companies with under $5 billion in equity value (or enterprise
value, sales) may be placed in one group and those with greater than $5
billion in a separate group. This tiering, of course, assumes a sufficient
number of comparables to justify organizing the universe into sub-groups.
Relative Valuation
Growth Profile
•The most commonly used ROI metrics are return on invested capital
(ROIC), return on equity (ROE), and return on assets (ROA). Dividend
yield, which measures the dividend payment that a company’s
shareholders receive for each share owned, is another type of return
metric.
Relative Valuation
Credit Profile
•Operating (debt-free)
•Equity
Relative Valuation
Operating (debt-free) multiples (TEV = enterprise value).
•“Apples to Apples”
Since the general public owns common stock and not other
types of securities, analysts speak in P/E ratios