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Example
Descriptive Statistics
Example
Inferential Statistics
Example:
Inferential Statistics
Example:
Norris wants to use the sample data to make an
inference about the average hours of useful life for the
population of all lightbulbs that could be produced with
the new filament. Adding the 200 values in the table
and dividing the total by 200 provides the sample
average lifetime for the lightbulbs: 76 hours.
Variables
d. Percentiles
e. Quartiles
Descriptive Statistics: Numerical
Measures
Measures of Central
- Is a single value that attempts to describe a set of data by
identifying the central position within that set of data
a. Mean A measure of central location
provided by the value in the middle
b. Median when the data are arranged in
c. Mode ascending order
d. Percentiles
e. Quartiles
Descriptive Statistics: Numerical
Measures
Measures of Central
- Is a single value that attempts to describe a set of data by
identifying the central position within that set of data
a. Mean
b. Median
c. Mode
d. Percentiles
e. Quartiles
Descriptive Statistics: Numerical
Measures
Measures of Dispersion
- Is a way of describing how spread out a set of data is.
When a data set has a large value, the values in the
set are widely scattered; when it is small the items in
the set are tightly clustered.
Descriptive Statistics: Numerical
Measures
Measures of Dispersion
a. Range
b. Variance
c. Standard Deviation
Descriptive Statistics: Numerical
Measures
Measures of Dispersion
a. Range Is the difference between maximum and minimum
b. Variance
c. Standard Deviation
Descriptive Statistics: Numerical
Measures
Measures of Dispersion
a. Range Is a measure of variability that utilizes all the data and
is based on the difference between the value of each
b. Variance observation and the mean
c. Standard Deviation
Descriptive Statistics: Numerical
Measures
Measures of Dispersion
a. Range
b. Variance
c. Standard Deviation
a. Compute the mean price for models with a DVD player and the mean price of models without a
DVD player. What is the additional price paid to have a DVD player included in a home theater
unit?
b. Compute the range, variance and standard deviation for the two samples. What does this
information tell you about the prices for models with and without a DVD player?
Summarizing Quantitative Data
Frequency Distribution
- Is a tabular summary of data showing the number (frequency) of items in
each several nonoverlapping classes.
Summarizing Quantitative Data
Example
Summarizing Quantitative Data
Example
Summarizing Quantitative Data
Example
Summarizing Quantitative Data
Example
Summarizing Quantitative Data
Scatter Diagram
- Is a graphical presentation of the relationship between two quantitative
variables
Trendline
- Is a line that provides and approximation of the relationship.
Summarizing Quantitative Data
Example
Summarizing Quantitative Data
Review of Probability
Probability
- Is a numerical measure of the likelihood that an event will
occur
- Probability values are always assigned on a scale from 0 to 1
Review of Probability
Terms:
Experiment – is a process that generates well-defined outcomes
Sample space – is the set of all experimental outcomes
Sample Point – experimental outcome
Event – is a collection of sample points
Probability of an event – is equal to the sum of the probabilities
of the sample points in the event
Review of Probability
Review of Probability
Example:
Review of Probability
Example:
Review of Probability
Example:
Many students accumulate debt by the time they
graduate from college. Shown in the table is the
percentage of graduates with debt and the average
amount of debt for these graduates at four universities
and four liberal arts colleges.
Review of Probability
Example:
Review of Probability
Example:
a. If you randomly choose a graduate of Morehouse College, what is the
probability that this individual graduated with debt?
b. If you randomly choose one of these eight institutions for a follow-up study on
student loans, what is the probability that you will choose an institution with
more than 60% of its graduates having debt?
c. If you randomly choose one of these eight institutions for a follow-up study on
student loans, what is the probability that you will choose an institution whose
graduates with debts have an average debt of more than $30,000?
d. What is the probability that a graduate of Pace University does not have debt?
Review of Probability
Example:
To investigate how often families eat at home, Harris
Interactive surveyed 496 adults living with children
under the age of 18. The survey results are shown in
the table.
Review of Probability
Example:
Review of Probability
Example:
a. The probability the family eats no meals at home
during the week.
b. The probability the family eats at least four meals at
home during the week.
c. The probability the family eats two or fewer meals
at home during the week.
Random Variables
Random Variables
- Is a numerical description of the outcome of an
experiment
1. Discrete Random Variables – finite number or
infinite sequence
2. Continuous Random Variables – interval or
collection of intervals
Random Variables
Probability Distribution
- Describes how probabilities are distributed over the
values of the random variable.
- For a discrete random variable x, the probability
distribution is defined by a probability function,
denoted by f(x)
Probability Distributions
Probability Distributions
Example
As an illustration of a discrete random variable and its probability
distribution, consider the sales of automobiles at DiCarlo Motors in
Saratoga, New York. Over the past 300 days of operation, sales data
show 54 days with no automobiles sold, 117 days with 1 automobile
sold, 72 days with 2 automobiles sold, 42 days with 3 automobiles sold,
12 days with 4 automobiles sold, and 3 days with 5 automobiles sold.
Suppose we consider the experiment of selecting a day of operation at
DiCarlo Motors and define the random variable of interest as x the
number of automobiles sold during a day.
Probability Distributions
Example
Probability Distributions
Example
Expected Value
Example
Binomial Probability
Distribution
Example
Suppose that 80% of adults with allergies report
symptomatic relief with a specific medication. If the
medication is given to 10 new patients with allergies,
what is the probability that it is effective in exactly
seven?
Binomial Probability
Distribution
Example
n = 10
p = 0.80
x=7
Poisson Probability
Distribution
Example
Suppose that we are interested in the number of arrivals at the
drive-up teller window of a bank during a 15-minute period on
weekday mornings. If we can assume that the probability of a
car arriving is the same for any two time periods of equal
length and that the arrival or nonarrival of a car in any time
period is independent of the arrival or nonarrival in any time
period, the Poisson probability function is applicable.
Poisson Probability
Distribution
Example
Suppose these assumptions are satisfied and an analysis of
historical data shows that the average number of cars
arriving in a 15-minute period of time is 10; in this case, the
following probability function applies.
Example
If management wanted to know the probability of
exactly five arrivals in 15 minutes, we would set x = 5
and thus obtain
Continuous Probability
Distribution
Example:
The succeeding data represent the amount of soft
drink in 10,000 1-liter bottles filled on a recent day.
Normal Probability
Distribution
Example:
Normal Probability
Distribution
Example:
Normal Probability
Distribution
Standard Normal
Probability Distribution
Example:
Suppose the GrearTire Company developed a new steel-belted
radial tire to be sold through a national chain of discount stores.
Because the tire is a new product, Grear’s managers believe that
the mileage guarantee offered with the tire will be an important
factor in the acceptance of the product. Before finalizing the tire
mileage guarantee policy, Grear’s managers want probability
information about x = number of miles the tires will last.
Standard Normal
Probability Distribution
Example:
From actual road tests with the tires, Grear’s engineering group
estimated that the mean tire mileage is μ = 36,500 miles and that
the standard deviation is σ = 5000. In addition, the data collected
indicate that a normal distribution is a reasonable assumption.
What percentage of the tires can be expected to last more than
40,000 miles? In other words, what is the probability that the tire
mileage, x, will exceed 40,000?
Standard Normal
Probability Distribution
Example:
Standard Normal
Probability Distribution
Example:
The area under the standard normal curve to the left of z = 0.70 is
0.7580