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Distributions
Suppose, a researcher intends to study the
employment status of graduates of the program
Bachelor in Secondary Education, Major in
Mathematics, in the Philippines (from 2007-2015). He
wants to know the average duration it takes (after
graduation) for the said teachers to secure a
permanent position in the Department of Education.
Questions:
1. Would it be feasible for the researcher to
survey 100% of the group?
2. What are the possible obstacles that the
researcher would face as he goes along the
research?
3. Is it valid to select representatives from the
group to answer the survey?
SAMPLING
• means selecting a particular group or
sample to represent the entire
population.
SAMPLING
•is a process used in statistical analysis
in which a predetermined number of
observations (sample) are taken from
a larger population.
Population
Population
Sample
Sample
A B
Sampling Techniques
• Random Sampling
- is a sampling technique in which the subjects of the population get
an equal opportunity to be selected as a representative sample.
a. Simple Random Sampling
b. Stratified Random Sampling
c. Cluster Random Sampling
d. Multistage Random Sampling
• Non-Random Sampling
a. Simple Random Sampling
• Each individual in the sample is
randomly chosen
A sampling distribution is a
probability distribution of a statistic
obtained through a large number of
samples drawn from a specific
population.
Suppose, a researcher intends to study the
employment status of graduates of the program
Bachelor in Secondary Education, Major in
Mathematics, in the Philippines (from 2007-
2015). It is known that the population standard
deviation is 15. What is the probability that the
average duration of 40 samples is less than 3
years?
10 Samples of Sample Size 40
Sample # Sample Mean
1 5.11
2 4.17
3 3.02
4 2.89
5 4.17
6 5.09
7 8.4
8 6.43
9 2.61
10 3.49
Find:
4 2.89
45 .38
¿
5 4.17 10
6 5.09
7 8.4
8 6.43
9 2.61
10 3.49
Standard Error of the Mean
σ
σx̅ =
√𝒏
Where:
σ
n is the sample size
b) Find the Standard Error of the Mean
σ
σ x ̅ =
√𝒏
𝐆𝐢𝐯𝐞𝐧 :
σ
σ x ̅ =
√𝒏
40
15
¿
√ 𝟒𝟎
σ x ̅ = 𝟐 . 𝟑𝟕
Z-value for the Sampling Distribution of the
Sample Mean
x−μ
𝒛=
σx̅
Where:
𝐆𝐢𝐯𝐞𝐧 :
x − μ
𝒛=
𝜎 𝑥̅
3 − 4 . 54
¿
2 . 37
𝒛=− 𝟎 .𝟔𝟒𝟗𝟕𝟗 𝒐𝒓 − 𝟎 .𝟔𝟓
𝑨𝒓𝒆𝒂=. 𝟐𝟓𝟕𝟖
𝒑 ( 𝒙<𝟑 ) =𝟐𝟓 . 𝟕𝟖 %
1
Example # 2
Assume that a school district has 8,000
incoming SHS students. In this district, the
average grade of a 10th grader is 80, with a
standard deviation of 20. Suppose you draw a
random sample of 50 students. What is the
probability that (a)the average grade of a
sampled student will be greater than 83? (b)the
average grade is between 75 to 81?
Central Limit Theorem
- states that “given a sufficiently large
sample size from a population with a
finite level of variance, the mean of all
samples from the same population will
be approximately equal to the mean of
the population.”
1. The average time it takes a group of college
students to complete a certain examination is 46.2
minutes. The standard deviation is 8 minutes.
Assume that the variable is normally distributed.
What is the probability that a randomly selected
college student will complete the examination in
less than 43 minutes?
2. The average number of milligrams (mg) of
cholesterol in a cup of a certain brand of ice
cream is 660 mg, and the standard deviation
is 35 mg. Assume the variable is normally
distributed . If a cup of ice cream is selected ,
what is the probability that the cholesterol
content will be more than 670 mg?
Estimation of
Population
Parameters
Solve for the Average
8 13 14 6 7
9.6
10 13 11 9 14
11.4
9 17 7 10 15
11.6
15 12 8 14 7
11.2
Point Estimate
- A single sample mean to represent a
plausible value for the population mean.
Ex. A recent study found that tv watching is good for the emotional wellbeing. The
population mean of the hours spent by “happy” people in watching tv shows annually
is 75 hrs (per month). Five samples of size 50 have the ff. sample means:
Confidence Interval
- Interval estimator for the population
mean
- Associated with the confidence level
Getting the average using EXCEL
Confidence Level
- Level of assurance that the resulting confidence
interval contains the population mean
Ex. Carlo works as a manager in an authentic bag factory.
He wants to know the average production of all the
workers in the different branches. He randomly selects a
sample of 30 workers and checks to see the average
number of bags being made in a month. He reports that
the population mean is between 40 and 47 bags with
95% level of confidence.
Margin of Error
2.5% on 2.5% on
each tail each tail
x̄
Margin of Error at Different
Confidence Level
At 90% confidence level ± 1.645σ x
x̄
x̄
x̄
Confidence Interval ( is known)
𝑥 ± 𝑧 𝑎 𝜎𝑥 ̅
´
2
Where:
n= 65
𝑥 ± 𝑧 𝑎 𝜎𝑥 ̅
´
2
=
(3.721042)
=
´𝑥 ± 7 . 29
= 3.721042
= 1.960
2) If the sample mean is P75, what is the 95% confidence
interval?
𝑥 ± 𝑧 𝑎 𝜎𝑥 ̅
´
2
´𝑥 ± 7 . 29
67.71<
75 ±7 . 29
75+7 . 29=82 . 29
75 −7 . 29=67 .71
Example # 2
2. The equatorial radius of the planet Jupiter is measured
40 times independently by a process that is practically
free of bias. These measurements average x¯ = 71492
kilometers with a standard deviation of = 28 kilometers.
Find a 90% confidence interval for the equatorial radius of
Jupiter.
3. The operations manager of a large production plant
would like to estimate the mean amount of time a
worker takes to assemble a new electronic
component. Assume that of this assembly time is 3.6
minutes. After observing 120 workers assembling
similar devices, the manager noticed that their
average time was 16.2 minutes. Construct a 98%
confidence interval for the mean assembly time.
ConfidenceInterval
( is unknown)
´𝑥 ± 𝑡 𝑐 𝑠 𝑥̅
Where:
A population proportion,
generally denoted by and in some
textbooks by is a parameter that
describes a percentage value
associated with a population.
Sample Proportion
Denoted by (p-hat)
A point estimate used for the
population proportion
Example:
Standard Deviation of Sample
Proportion
=
Where:
is the standard error of the mean
p is the population proportion
n is the sample size
Standard Deviation of Sample
Proportion
=
=
= 0.016395
Distribution of the Sampling
Distribution
If the sampling
distribution is normal
Confidence Interval for Population
Proportion
𝑝 ± 𝑧 𝑎 𝜎 𝑝̂
^
2
Obt aina95% confidenceinterval¿thepreviousexample.
𝑝 ± 𝑧 𝑎 𝜎 𝑝̂
^
0.0331926= 0.19
2
0.0331926= 0.13
(0.016935)
0.0331926
Solve the following: