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REGRESSION
Correlation and regression (linear)
are the most commonly used techniques
for investigating the relationship
between two quantitative variables.
Many hydrologic variables are related to
each other through cause and effect –
changes in the
values of one or more variables cause
changes in some other variable.
INTRODUCTION
WHAT IS CORRELATION?
The goal of a correlation analysis is to see whether two measurement
variables co vary, and to quantify the strength of the relationship between
the variables. If the change in one variable brings about a change in the
other variable, they are said to be correlated. Correlation is only concerned
with strength of the relationship. No causal effect is implied with correlation
• The second main use for correlation and regression is to see whether two
variables are associated, without necessarily inferring a cause-and-
effect relationship. In this case, neither variable is determined by the
experimenter; both are naturally variable. If an association is found, the inference
is that variation in X may cause variation in Y, or variation in Y may cause
variation in X, or variation in some other factor may affect both X and Y.
• The third common use of regression (linear) is estimating the value of one
variable corresponding to a particular value of the other variable.
CORRELATION
CORRELATION COEFFICIENT:
A) Pearson Product-Moment Correlation is one of the measures
of correlation which quantifies the strength as well as
direction of such relationship. It is usually denoted by
Greek letter ρ.
CONDITIONS
This coefficient is used if two conditions are satisfied
• the variables are in the interval or ratio scale of measurement
• a linear relationship between them is suspected
POSITIVE AND NEGATIVE CORRELATION
The coefficient (ρ) is computed as the ratio of covariance between the
variables to the product of their standard deviations. This formulation is
advantageous.
ρ (X,Y)=
In general,
• rs > 0 implies positive agreement among ranks
• rs < 0 implies negative agreement (or agreement in the reverse
direction)
• rs = 0 implies no agreement
Closer rs is to 1, better is the agreement while rs closer to -1 indicates
strong agreement in the reverse direction.
SIGNIFICANCE OF CORRELATION