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Contingency
• If you have bigger organization you need to define who is involve on the planning and do
the monitoring.
• The crisis happen internal or external is both short and long term
A Short Term Crisis – by its nature, a short term crisis would not be one that would typically
Planning
cut the company off from its normal funding on an individual basis but rather could lead to
systemic risk that affects us along with the market in general. the plan of these kinds of
situations would be to replenish the funding through the most likely sources that could exist
in this situation.
(con’t)
• At this time, you can visualize several short term scenarios that would revolve around
events like Weather Related issues – Hurricanes, Tornados, Floods -, Acts of War, and PR
situations that could reflect badly on our institution leading to withdrawal of funding
sources and serious loss of business.
Longer Term Crisis – unlike the former situation, this kind of
event could cut off from several normal funding sources. all
funding sources, the raising of tier one share capital or
subordinated debt are the most credit sensitive but not to
think that these facilities would be entirely unavailable in this
event due to the single shareholder situation.
• Longer term events are seen as ones that severely impact on
the institution and could lead to failure. By the nature of this
Contingency
event, the situation as one involving significant losses
brought on by improper controls. To guard against the latter, Planning
in addition to our systems and controls, our investment
policy for own funds limits the amount of risk we can take
without Board approval, and with proper analyzation.
(con’t)
• In your contingency plan you need to set a priority level and
type of risk that can assess the priority of funding, and you
need to define the left over capital on how you can use on
the next project or next year operations.
AYALA LAND, INC.
PROJECTED STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME
Current Year 2nd Year Proj 3rd Year Proj 4th Year Proj
INCOME
Rental income
129,414,974
33,581,920
135,885,723
35,261,016
142,680,009
37,024,067
149,814,009
38,875,270
EXPENSES
162,996,894 171,146,739 179,704,076 188,689,279
Costs and Expenses and Other Charges 101,079,130 106,133,087 111,439,741 117,011,728
Projected
Opex (con’t)
Financial
Statements
BALANCE SHEET
Long Term Debt 149,446,949 150,168,631 130,369,877 Long Term Debt 22% 26% 24% Long Term Debt 115% 115% 100%
Other Liabilities 1,018,769 1,590,415 773,648 Other Liabilities 0% 0% 0% Other Liabilities 132% 206% 100%
Deferred Long Term Deferred Long Term Deferred Long Term
7,818,459 3,543,791 4,356,530 1% 1% 1%
Liability Charges Liability Charges Liability Charges 179% 81% 100%
Deferred Revenue 27,474,581 20,406,315 19,542,253 Deferred Revenue 4% 4% 4% Deferred Revenue 141% 104% 100%
Total Non-current Total Non-current Total Non-current
207,814,758 197,105,739 175,546,637 31% 34% 33% 118% 112% 100%
Liabilities Liabilities Liabilities
Total Liabilities 448,599,285 381,728,976 363,749,808 Total Liabilities 67% 67% 68% Total Liabilities 123% 105% 100%
Gross Profit 61,917,764 50,586,711 41,134,084 Gross Profit 151% 123% 100%
Total Total
Operating 8,846,845 6,872,607 6,888,377 Operating 128% 100% 100%
Expenses Expenses
Operating Income or Operating Income or
53,070,919 43,714,104 34,245,707 22% 128% 100%
INCOME
Loss Loss
Income from Continuing Operations Income from Continuing Operations
Interest Interest
8,927,458 7,730,454 6,952,183 128% 111% 100%
Expense Expense
STATEMENT
Incom e Income
45,201,029 37,990,640 32,663,447 138% 116% 100%
Before Tax Before Tax
Incom e Tax Income Tax
11,984,440 9,824,981 8,231,662 146% 119% 100%
Expense Expense
Net Income 29,240,880 25,304,965 20,908,011 Net Income 140% 121% 100%
Net Income Applicable Net Income Applicable
29,240,880 25,304,965 20,908,011 140% 121% 100%
To Common Shares To Common Shares
Basic EPS 1.98 1.71 1.43 Basic EPS 138% 120% 100%
Diluted EPS 1.98 1.71 1.43 Diluted EPS 138% 120% 100%
Basic Average Shares 14,730,049 14,721,881 14,588,347 Basic Average Shares 101% 101% 100%
Diluted Average Shares 14,731,015 14,788,878 14,589,543 Diluted Average Shares 101% 101% 100%
Summary
Debt Ratio (Ayala Land, Inc.) 0.67 0.67 0.68
S
o Debt Ratio (Industry) 0.57 0.56 0.64
l
v Interest coverage ratio (Ayala Land, Inc.) 6.77 6.58 6.54
Financial
e
n
Interest coverage ratio (Industry) 0.57 0.56 0.64
c
y
Debt-to-equity ratio (Ayala Land, Inc.) 2.40 2.29 2.46
P Debt-to-equity ratio (Industry) 1.1 1.29 0.79
Ratio
r
o
Profit margin (Ayala Land, Inc.) 17.94% 18.27% 17.76%
f
i
Profit margin (Industry) 2.10% 7% 3.80%
t ROE (Ayala Land, Inc.) 15.61% 15.17% 14.16%
a
b ROE (Industry) -3.70% -2.10% -7.90%
i
l Gross margin (Ayala Land, Inc.) 37.99% 36.52% 34.95%
i
t
Gross margin (Industry) 0.20% 1.70% 0.30%
y
Asset turnover (days) (Ayala Land, Inc.) 1,498 1,513 1,664
A
c Asset turnover (days) (Industry) 3091 2717 2697
t
i Receivables turnover (days) (Ayala Land, Inc.) 175 259 302
v
i
Receivables turnover (days) (Industry) 34 38 12
t
y
Inventory turnover (days) (Ayala Land, Inc.) 379 260 321
Inventory turnover (days) (Industry) 16 10 24
Liquidity Ratio
• As shown in the chart, Ayala Land, Inc.
(ALI) exhibited a strong growth over
the past three years in its current
ratio. Current Ratio shows how the
company’s current assets cover its
current short-term liabilities. Typically,
a ratio higher than 1 is advised for it
implies that the current assets of the
company are enough to pay for its
short-term obligations as they fall due.
Clearly, ALI has shown that except in
2016 where the ratio is valued at 0.80.
However, obtaining a close to one
value has a positive implication. Ratio
is stronger than the industry average.
Liquidity Ratio