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Indian Retail on the Fast-track
India’s GDP growth of 9.4% for 2006-07, was the highest ever in 18
years, reflecting the booming economy of the country.
India ranked first for the third consecutive year, on the Global Retail Development Index –
2007, conducted by AT Kearney across 30 emerging economies. India is ranked as the most
preferred retail destination for international investors.
India ranked first for the fifth time, on the Global Consumer Confidence Index – June 2007,
conducted by The Nielsen Company. Indians were judged the world’s most optimistic
consumers, with high financial confidence about their income for the next 12 months.
2
Indian Retail Revolution
Total Retail Sales
350
India’s retail market has more than doubled in size to 311.7
300
261.8
USD 311.7 billion in 2005-06. 250 230.3
205.4
USD billion
200 186.3
100
2000 and 2006, translating to an average annual growth
50
rate of 13.3%. 0
2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06
Source: Datamonitor
Market witnessing a migration from traditional retailing to
USD billion
43.8 billion out of the total retail sector revenues 300
250
200
projected at USD 460.6 billion in 2010-11. 150
100
43.8
50 16.5
Modern retailing outlets are increasingly matching up to 12.9
0
2005-06E 2006-07P 2010-11P
global standards and witnessing intense competition. Source: Crisil Research
3
Transition from Traditional to Modern Retailing
4
Growth Across Segments
growing verticals.
5
Increasing Penetration of Organized Retail
Organized Retail: Revenue by
Organized retail in India is largely restricted to the urban Verticals (USD million)
Consumer Durables 17.04 82.96 Footwear has the highest organized retail
Clothing and Textile 16.39 83.61 penetration, primarily due to players like Bata
6
Future Outlook
Retail sector revenues Changing Paradigm: The Confluence of Modern and Traditional Retail
pegged at USD 460.6
M&A,
billion by 2010-11 Consolidation,
High Investments,
Organized retail projected Technology Confluence of
Indian Retail
to grow to USD 43.8 billion Adoption,
Leveraging
Modern retail is expected
Growth Traditional
Range, Formats for
to adapt and imbibe from Portfolio, Modern Retail
Format Options,
the traditional formats Beginning of the
Rural-Urban ce
Entry, Growth, Sp a
Un-organized formats Retail Merge a il
Expansion, Ret
i ta
cap
converging to organized Top Line Focus Per
for Organized
formats, in the form of Retail
mushrooming village malls
2008
2005
2011
have already begun
formulating strategies for
the rural retail space
7
Advantage India
8
Advantage India
Gross Domestic Product
Fastest Growing Economy
1000 10
GDP growth rate of 9.4% posted in 2006-07 is 800 8
Growth rate %
highest ever in last 18 years. With the first quarter
USD billion
600 6
growth rate for 2007-08 estimated at 9.3%, the 400 4
economy is well poised to continue its growth story. 200 2
9
Advantage India
Potential Untapped Market
Source: EY Database
10
Advantage India
Abundant Availability of Skilled Labour Low Cost of Operations
Over 37,000,000 students were enrolled in about Existing players are increasingly turning to Tier II and
150,000 pre-college institutes and over 11,700,000 in Tier III cities for retail establishments and
14,000 higher education institutions in 2005-06. manpower sourcing
Retail Management is a sought after education These cities offer significant cost advantage in the
stream amongst students, with over 15 premier form of low-cost skilled resources and attractive
institutes offering specialized courses in Retail lease rentals/real estate prices.
Management.
With well-educated small town graduates turning to
Indian Institute of Retail, New Delhi; RPG Institute the urban cities for employment, these graduates are
of Retail Management, Mumbai; and The Retail ideal candidates for sales and marketing
Academy, Ahmedabad are some of the institutes executive roles in modern organized retail
focusing on the education needs of the retail sector. formats.
15000
10,743
10000
11
Policy
12
Policy and Regulatory Framework
Policy Framework
FDI up to 100% allowed under the automatic route for cash and carry wholesale trading and export trading
and FDI up to 51% is allowed, with prior Government approval for retail trade in ‘Single Brand’ products.
However, FDI in retailing of goods under multiple brands, even if the goods are produced by the same manufacturer,
is not allowed under the current guidelines.
13
Policy and Regulatory Framework
Indicative List of International Players and their Chosen Entry Route
14
Policy and Regulatory Framework
Related Liberalizations for Indian Retailing
Efforts are being made by the government to reduce impediments by introducing a single-window clearance
mechanism. This would reduce the entry and establishment timelines for new players in the market and
facilitate timely and hassle free approvals.
Government is expected to adopt a calibrated approach in land and rent reforms to improve the real estate
regulatory environment and facilitate easy access to retail space for international investors.
Government is releasing large tracts of undeveloped land for retail development in the Mumbai and NCR
regions. This is soon to be followed by other State Governments, with associated benefits for the Governments in
the form of access to impressive revenues from sale of land and tax collection from retail developments.
Solutions to problems related to lease rentals and pro-tenancy laws, which significantly deter international
investors, are being pursued by the Government, with initiatives such as Special Economic Zones (SEZs),
allotment of Government controlled land etc.
The Agricultural Produce Marketing Committee Act (APMC), which curtails direct sourcing of agricultural
produce (grocery, food grains etc) is proposed to be amended soon, with a Draft Model Act being legislated by
the Government. The new act promotes direct marketing to corporates by farmers, setting up of
farmers’/consumers’ market and contract farming.
Government is encouraging contract farming, as it provides incentives to both the farmers and the corporate
retailers, with the former gaining access to a larger market and the latter to a direct raw material procurement
source at competitive prices. The Government is currently pursuing development and modernization of eight
strategically located “mandis” with availability of cold storage, sorting and grading facilities.
15
Key Trends & Drivers
16
Metros Leading the Way
Delhi Mumbai
17
Emerging Retail Hubs
18
Emerging Retail Hubs
Potential Cities
19
Thrust Verticals across Geographies
Delhi and Mumbai offer an attractive market for luxury and lifestyle retailing with these cities being home to the
highest number of households belonging to the affluent category (with income greater than USD 24,000 per annum).
Delhi and Mumbai are home to the largest percentage of affluent households in the country, accounting for
over 30% of total retail revenues. The affluent household percentages are expected to double by 2010-11, projected
to trigger high growth in the luxury retailing segment.
Maturing Metros
k
M
ac
et
-tr
ro
st
the consuming class and the
s-
fa
in
retail formats.
-th
e
increasing standard of living across
th
e-
on
Consuming class accounts for over 60%
m
es
in
C
the food and grocery, consumer goods and The mushrooming lifestyle formats in these cities is
apparel verticals. stimulated by the increasing exposure of consumer
Players like Future Groups Food Bazaar, ITC base to international brands and willingness to
Choupal, Aditya Birla Nuvo group, Reliance Fresh spend for quality.
are aiming to tap the agri-produce and allied market These cities most often also serve as the test beds for
to gain the “first-mover” advantage. any innovative store formats.
20
Mall Space Availability
21
Evolving Consumer Behavior
Discounters
From a “saving” to a “spending” mindset, the
Cash and Carry
face of Indian consumerism is buoyant
Retailers are rapidly integrating and diversifying
Marked increase in the number of new entrants
their store formats to cater to emerging trends in
and player revenues across all the verticals. consumer behavior.
Increased consumer exposure to the latest Food Bazaar stocks staples in bulk; weighing and
packing them for customers in their presence
trends and brands driven by the mass media,
catering to the “touch and feel” mindset of buying
retail revenues are soaring staples whereas Reliance Fresh stocks fresh flowers
and vegetables.
22
Growing Urbanisation & Disposable Incomes Driving Retail
Disposable incomes are on the rise with the India’s urban population is estimated at 286
million, constituting 27.8% of the total population
economy providing new avenues of employment in
of as on 2001
IT/ITeS and other sunrise sectors like biotech,
The urban population is projected to increase to
hospitality etc.
468 million, constituting 33.4% of the total
Employers are offering attractive compensation projected population of 1,200 million by 2010-11.
packages and perquisites to the pool of skilled Indian Increase in number of young employed executives
professionals. and the thinning gender divide is stimulating
growth of modern retailing in urban areas.
National per capita income (NNP at factor cost) stood
at USD 717 for 2006-07, an increase of 11% over
Urbanization 1981 1991 2001
2005-06
Urban population (% to 23.3% 25.7% 27.8%
Personal Disposable Income total)
700 14
600 12 Urban population in 60.4% 65.2% 73.7%
Y-o-Y growth %
400 8
300 6
200 4
100 2
Source: Census India
0 0
2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05
Source: Reserve Bank of India
23
Easy Credit another Key Driver
24
Increasing Investment Activity
Recent VC/PE Deals (January – March 2007)
Target Acquirer/Investor Value in USD
million
Provogue (India) Fidelity, New Vernon, Blackstone, 33.24
Genesis Capital, Artis Capital and
Liberty International
Mudra Lifestyle SIDBI Venture Capital and State Bank 3.27
25
Key Players
26
Key Players
Pantaloons Retail India Limited
Pantaloon Retail India Limited (PRIL), a Future Group venture started its operations with Pantaloon Shoppe
in 1993 and has since emerged to be the retailing giant of India with over 5 million square feet of retail
space spread over 450 stores across 40 cities in India.
Pantaloons Retail has many firsts to its name in the Indian market, with discounted store formats like Brand
Factory etc. setting benchmarks for new players entering the market. Innovative store formats like Hometown-
a one stop shop for all the home requirements, Sports Bar- a sports theme restaurant complete with game
courts and screens for match viewing, Health City- a value segment targeted spa and beauty care venture etc.,
are hitting the market, consolidating the market position of PRIL.
The unique selling proposition of Pantaloon Retail is the dual approach to tap both the “value” segment and
“lifestyle and luxury” segment consumers, by establishing retail formats in each segment like Big Bazaar,
Fashion Station etc. aimed at value retailing while Central, Pantaloons captures the lifestyle segment consumers.
27
Key Players
Shoppers Stop, established in 1991 with its flagship store- Shoppers Stop, has now expanded to over 100 retail
outlets spread across 1.1 million square feet of built-up area, spanning the entire spectrum of retailing
verticals and formats.
Private labels account for more than 21% of their retail revenues, with Shoppers Stop clocking impressive
total number of transactions to customer footfalls ratio (conversion ratio) of 27%.
Strategic partnerships with international retailing players like Mothercare Plc of Britain and Leisure & Allied
Industries of Australia, are aiding Shoppers Stop in catering to niche markets.
Aggressive expansion plans are in pipeline for formats like Timezone, a leisure and entertainment format
venture and Brio- the coffee bar located strategically in their Crossword bookstores.
28
Key Players
29
Key Players
30
Key Players
31
Key Players
32
Players across Verticals
33
Players across Verticals
34
International Retailers
International retailers are fast expanding their business in India to tap the large consumer base. Reebok has set up
its largest store in the world in Hyderabad, Tommy Hilfiger and Levis have over 20,000 square feet of retail
space and stand-alone stores across major metros. The fast-food giants like Pizza Hut, McDonalds, Subway etc
are expanding at a fast pace, with these emerging Tier II and Tier III cities
35
Key Opportunities
36
Innovative Formats
37
India as the Sourcing Hub
Riding on the back of strong manufacturing With modern retail store formats growing in size,
industry, India is fast emerging as an important players are increasingly deploying advanced
global sourcing hub for top international brands Information Technology tools for managing their
Wal-Mart’s sourcing operations was estimated at supply chain, warehousing and logistics
USD 1 billion, Tesco’s around USD 100 million requirements.
and Marks & Spencer around USD 145 million Retail constituted 8% of IT export revenues in
Textiles dominated the sourcing scenario through 2005-06, and was also one of the key sectors driving
the 90’s, with the dawn of the new millennium the domestic IT expenditure.
ushering in wider markets for consumer goods, Apart from the industry giants, the small scale
and footwear. retailers are also embracing IT solutions to spruce
Unilever sources major chunk of their FMCG up their operations.
products from its wholly owned Indian subsidiary, Big league IT firms like IBM India, Oracle, SAP
Hindustan Lever Limited. are developing solutions for smaller retailers’
Adidas, Next and Calvin Klein are expected to requirements such as merchandising solutions,
follow suit, with Adidas opening its first office in store-level point of sale (POS) needs, collaboration
Bangalore. tools and hardware requirements.
38
Click-to-buy Phenomenon
Online Retailing
39
Emerging Rural Retailing
40
Resplendent Luxury Market
41
Leisure and Entertainment
Screens in Projected
Operator Multiplexes 2005-06 for
Entertainment retail is redefining Indian lifestyles with
2010-11
as many multiplexes, gaming zones etc.
Adlabs Cinemas 22 80 225
mushrooming as there are malls.
Cinemax 11 36 141
Huge entertainment and leisure opportunity is reflected
DT Cinema 3 6 NA
by fact that there exist 10 screens per million
E-City Ventures 25 95 1500
population in India compared to 40 screens in the
Inox Leisure Ltd 15 54 165
European market and 117 in the US.
M2K Cinemas 2 5 NA
Total leisure and entertainment revenues were pegged
PVR Ltd 21 82 208
at USD 8 billion for 2005-06, a 14% increase over
Prasad IMAX 2 5 NA
2004-05.
Pyramid Saimira 290 325 2000
Organized retail grew at an average rate of 30% over
Shringar 7 30 235
2004-05, and is expected to maintain pace for the
Waves Cinemas 3 13 200
coming years, with Indian players investing heavily in Source: CB Richard Ellis
this market.
Reliance Infotech’s Adlabs, Shopper’s Stop’s
Timezone have aggressive expansion plans in the
pipeline, with retailers exploring the JV option with
international giants
42
Cashing-in on the Transit Channels
43
Other Opportunities
154 Special Economic Zones are notified as on With tourists inflow increasing impressively with
Oct 3, 2007 spread over states and union territories each passing year, tourism holds the key to a
of India.
large retailing opportunity. In 2005-06,
SEZs offer ample retail opportunities, with a
approximately 4.45 million foreign tourists arrived
percentage of SEZ area earmarked for retailing in
the non-processing zone. in India, a 13.5% growth over 2004-05.
The size of the area in the retailing space is Retailing of regional handicrafts and artifacts
calculated considering various parameters like holds an opportunity to capture the interest of
type of SEZ, projected size of the residential foreign tourists, given the rich and diverse cultural
population in SEZ, and population in the catchment heritage of India
area.
The Indian Tourism Board’s initiatives like Dilli
IT/ITeS based SEZs offer impressive retailing
opportunities; the target segment for such SEZs Haat (a crafts bazaar located in Delhi) retails the
would be the urban population with high-disposable regional crafts of various states, attracting a
incomes. large number of tourists.
The concept is fast gaining traction in other
destinations in India such as Jaipur, Mumbai and
Hyderabad.
44