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Ambassador David Gross, US Coordinator for International Communications & Information Policy; Mr Michael Gallagher, Assistant Secretary, Department of Commerce & accompanying US Delegation.
5th February 2004 : New Delhi
35 30 25 20 15 10 5
0 34 0 88 12 1 88 17 44
3 58
55
De and
To a
GSM Mob e
W e ne
4
License fee (revenue share) reduced from provisional 15% to 12%, 10% & 8%. Limited BSOs). obility allowed to Basic Services (CD A spectrum allotted to
Rollout Obligations to cover Urban / Semi-Urban / Rural areas in equal proportion. New licenses awarded in Jul - Sep 2001 : Basic (25), S obile (17).
5
0.23
CD A WLL( ) launched in limited manner in few circles. Tariff for S cellular mobiles reduced.
8
0.1
6 4 2 0 Mar '01
0.05
10.53
Existing Operators expand service coverage. 3rd & 4th S Operator networks rollout - further tariff reductions.
Sep '01
Mar '02
Sep '02
Dec '02
GSM Mobile
WLL(M)
Tariffs closely regulated by TRAI between 1999-2002. Interconnection Usage Charges established on the principles of work done termination charges introduced. Calling Party Pays (CPP) for mobile tariffs free incoming calls ushered in. Access Deficit Charges (ADC) for cost-minus fixed line services. Forbearance allowed recently on all tariffs (except rural fixed line).
NLD
ILD
1.5
0.5
0 JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
2002
2003
9
Growth drivers
Declining entry costs and falling tariffs have lowered the bar in terms of affordability coupled with branding and advertising. High percentage of population owning two-wheelers are prospective mobile telephone users. Upper middle class that spends 6% of its income on telecom services. India lags behind other Asian economies (approx. 10 years) therefore India is poised for growth.
10
25
6 mn CDMA mobil phones 22% o tot l mobile market share Service coverage in over 1100 towns
20
15
10
CDM Mobile
12
Future Investments
US$ bn 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 2003 Wireline
* arket Analysts' Estimates
2004 Mobile
2005 Backbone
Total Total
13
Revenue Projections
US$ bn 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 2004 Fixed
* arket Analysts' Estimates
2005 Mobile
2007
14
Fixed
* arket Analysts' Estimates
GSM
CDMA
15
2005
2006
2007
References / Credits: Indian Telecommunications Statistics, 2002 ICICI Securities Report, 2002 organ Stanley Report, 2003 J TRAI Reports
17