Академический Документы
Профессиональный Документы
Культура Документы
I hope you will enjoy and profit from this overview of learning curves. As always, I enjoy your feedback
Duncan Williamson April 2001
Learning Curves 1
Learning curves are a vital aspect of the work of many business and commercial settings.
Duncan Williamson April 2001
The more we do a job, the quicker we do it the man who made 6 million boxes!
Learning Curves 2
Learning Curves 3
80% Learning Rate Batches Total Time 1 2 4 8 128 50.00 80.00 128.00 204.80 1,342.18 CAT
Learning Curves 4
80% Learning Rate Batches Total Time 1 2 4 8 128 50.00 80.00 128.00 204.80 1,342.18 CAT 50.00 40.00 32.00 25.60 10.49
Learning Curves 5
Batches 1 2 4 8 128 No Learning Total Time 50.00 100.00 200.00 400.00 6,400.00 CAT 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00
Learning Curves 6
Learning Curves 9
Learning Curves 10
Units 5 10 20 40 640 Average Cost/unit 80% No Learning Learning 10.00 16.00 25.60 40.96 268.44 10.00 20.00 40.00 80.00 1,280.00
Learning Curves 11
Learning curve: 80%
60.000
50.000
40.000
CAT
30.000
20.000
10.000
Batch Number
Learning Curves 12
Learning curve: 90%
60.000
50.000
40.000
CAT
30.000
20.000
10.000
Batch Number
Learning Curves 13
Learning curve: 60%
60.000
50.000
40.000
CAT
30.000
20.000
10.000
Batch Number
Its very difficult to calculate or predict the CAT for anything other than the CAT at the DOUBLING POINT: 1, 2, 4, 8, 16 128 Now it gets mathematical!
where Y = CAT or CAC a = time/cost of the 1st unit or batch X = cumulative production or batches produced b = learning exponent (rate)
and
= 10.48576
= 26.2141
= 35.4298
Learning Curves 21
75% hand assembly/25% machining = 80% learning 50% hand assembly/50% machining = 85% learning 25% hand assembly/75% machining = 90%
Learning Curves 22
Learning Curves 23
For the rest of this session, well look at ways of assessing our own learning rates
Duncan Williamson April 2001
Time Taken
5 6 7 8 9 10
Learning Curves 25
Activities:
Duncan Williamson April 2001
Jigsaw Finding numbers in a grid (a) and (b) Copying text (a) and (b)
Of course, everyone would like to think that they are The smartest person on the planet; but our Experiments can not confirm that we are. Heres why
eg all the sentences in the writing experiment had An average of 33 letters in them The number grids all had the SAME 20 numbers in them Each trial was designed to take about 1 minute
The observer will learn from the first guinea pig: we Found that the second person to carry out an Experiment had a much quicker 1st trial time than The first guinea pig.
CAT
trials
session 1 session 2