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Research Design
y Definition A framework or blueprint for conducting the marketing research project y Components Information needed Data collection methods Measurement and scaling procedures Sampling process and sample size Data analysis procedures
RELIABILITY
y 3 main questions:
y Will the measures yield the same
Unit of Analysis
y The unit of analysis refers to the level of
aggregation of the data collected during the subsequent data analysis. Individual Dyads Groups Organizations Cultures
Causal Research
Single Cross-Sectional
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Multiple Cross-Sectional
Designed to generate basic knowledge, gain insights, clarify relevant issues uncover variables associated with a problem, uncover information needs, and/or define alternatives for addressing research objectives. A very flexible, open-ended process. y DESCRIPTIVE RESEARCH (who, what, where, how) Designed to provide further insight into the research problem by describing the variables of interest. Can be used for profiling, defining, segmentation, estimating, predicting, and examining associative relationships. y CAUSAL RESEARCH (If-then) Designed to provide information on potential cause-and-effect relationships. Most practical in marketing to talk about associations or impact of one variable on another.
Secondary data are data previously collected & assembled for some project other than the one at hand y PILOT STUDIES A collective term for any small-scale exploratory research technique that uses sampling but does not apply rigorous standards FOCUS GROUP INTERVIEWS Unstructured, free-flowing interview with a small group of people PROJECTIVE TECHNIQUES Indirect means of questioning that enables a respondent to project beliefs and feelings onto a third party or an inanimate object Word association tests, sentence completion tests, role playing
MARKETING
Knowledgeable people with varying points of view Unstructured and informal interviews Respondent free to choose issues to be discussed y Focus Groups 8 to 10 people at one time Relatively homogeneous groups Multiple, heterogeneous groups Group dynamics Moderator is key Relies on general topical guide with plenty of time for interaction
how participants feel about a product, concept, idea, organization, etc.; How it fit into their lives; Their emotional involvement with it
y May be conducted alone or as part of a broader project y May be use to define issues or to confirm findings
How many people? How many groups? Characteristics of participants y Discussion guide and outline Ground rules Agenda Guiding questions y Qualified Moderator Controls flow Stimulates discussion y Analysis and Report
y y y y y
Use only first names in introductions Avoid job titles and positions, unless necessary State your purpose and establish position as an objective, unbiased party Encourage everyone to participate; no right or wrong answers Use an ice breaker to get everyone comfortable State ground rules, procedural details Ask for permission to tape if possible Ensure confidentiality/anonymity Report to contain summary of group, not individuals Use write-down method to allow for both introverts and extroverts to have input, and to lock people into their own opinions (avoids too much group think)
Break the concept into components that are easier to understand Use the confusion as a discussion point (ask for their interpretation, then attempt to resolve) y Dead Subject (no discussion initiative) Play one person off the other. Use projective techniques
What color do you most closely associate with . ? Why? What animal does ______ remind you of? Why? What type of people might use? Why?
Assert leadership role and take charge Promise more discussion time later Suggest that everyone wants to hear all opinions, which is easier done one at a time Use write-down techniques to quiet the group down
Leverage his/her energy to you benefit Ask the rest of the group to respond to (agree/disagree with) what the talkative member said Call on someone else specifically when asking questions Say, Dont let Ed do all the talking, Id like to hear from someone else. y Silent Members Call on them by name (John, how do you feel about) Reinforce the value of their responses Do this several times in a row and they will open up voluntarily Probe their short answers for more detailed ones
Tell me more about That is interesting, why do you feel that way/
Depth Interviews
y One-on-one interviews that probe and elicit detailed answers to
questions, often using nondirective techniques to uncover hidden motivations. y Advantages No group pressure Respondent is focus of attention and feels important Respondent is highly aware and active Long time period encourages revealing new information Can probe to reveal feelings and motivations Discussion is flexible and can explore tangential issues y Disadvantages Much more expensive than focus groups Do not get the same degree of client involvement; clients do not want to observe single interviews Are physically exhausting for the moderatorreduces the number of people that can be interviewed in a given time period. Moderators do not have other group members to help obtain reactions and to stimulate discussion
Experiments
An experiment is defined as manipulating (changing values/situations) one or more independent variables to see how the dependent variable(s) is/are affected, while also controlling the affects of additional extraneous variables.
y Independent variables: those over which the researcher
has control and wishes to manipulate i.e. package size, ad copy, price. y Dependent variables: those over which the researcher has little to no direct control, but has a strong interest in testing i.e. sales, profit, market share. y Extraneous variables: those that may effect a dependent variable but are not independent variables.
Experimental Design
An experimental
experimental setting such that a change in the dependent variable may be solely attributed to a change in an independent variable. Symbols of an experimental design: O = measurement of a dependent variable X = manipulation, or change, of an independent variable R = random assignment of subjects to experimental and control groups E = experimental effect
Types of experiments
Two broad classes: Laboratory experiments: those in which the independent variable is manipulated and measures of the dependent variable are taken in a contrived, artificial setting for the purpose of controlling the many possible extraneous variables that may affect the dependent variable
Field experiments: those in which the independent
variables are manipulated and measurements of the dependent variable are made on test units in their natural setting
Conclusive Research
y Provide specific information that aids the decision maker in y
y y y
evaluating alternative courses of action Sound statistical methods & formal structured research methodologies are used to increase the reliability of the information Data sought tends to be specific & decisive Also more structured & formal than exploratory data Results conclusive
Descriptive Research?
y Can involve collecting quantitative information y Can describe categories of qualitative information
such as patterns of interaction when using technology in the classroom. y Involves gathering data that describe events and then organizes, tabulates, depicts, and describes the data. y Uses description as a tool to organize data into patterns that emerge during analysis. y Often uses visual aids such as graphs and charts to aid the reader
I keep six honest serving men, (they taught me all I knew), their names are what and why, and when, and how, and where and who --Rudyard Kipling
Sales Studies
Market
Descriptive Research Designs CROSS-SECTIONAL DESIGNS Involves collection of information from sample of respondents only once Could have a single cross-sectional design (only one sample) or multiple cross-sectional design (many samples of respondents) Most popular design in marketing research Example: Sample surveys Relative disadvantages compared with longitudinal design - Can not detecting change, large amount of data collection, accuracy, data soon outdated Relative advantages over longitudinal design Representative sampling, low response bias, low cost, fast data collection Quick Snapshot
Sample Surveyed at T1
Longitudinal Design
Sample Surveyed at T1
Time
T1
T2
questions on each panel measurement. y Discontinuous panels vary questions from one panel measurement to the next.
They
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Causal Research
y Objective: Used to understand which variables are
causes (independent variables), and which variables are the effects (dependent variables) y Causality may be thought of as understanding a phenomenon in terms of conditional statements of the form If x, then y. y Causal studies are conducted through the use of experiments.
Independent variable manipulated in a relatively
controlled environment
Concomitant variation Extent to which the cause and effect vary together as hypothesized If X is supposed to cause Y, then the two variables must move together. Time order of occurrence / Logical Time Sequence For causality to exist, the cause must either precede or occur simultaneously with the effect If X is supposed to cause Y, then changes in X must precede changes in Y. Elimination of other possible causes If X causes Y, no other factor could have reasonably caused the change in Y at that moment. Must hold all other variables constant.
Market test (test marketing) Advertising response (recall, affect, attitude toward ad elements) Promotional design (consumer response to promotional deals, incentives, tie-ins Store layout and design Product positioning Color tracking and package design
Experiments
y An experiment is defined as manipulating an independent variable to
y y
see how it affects a dependent variable, while also controlling the effects of additional extraneous variables. Independent variables are those variables which the researcher has control over and wishes to manipulate. For example: level of ad expenditure; type of ad appeal; price; product features, etc. Dependent variables are those variables that we have little or no direct control over, yet we have a strong interest in. Examples would be return on investment, net profits, market share, customer satisfaction. Extraneous variables are those variables that may have some effect on a dependent variable yet are not independent variables. Extraneous variables must be controlled through proper experimental design.
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experimental setting such that a change in a dependent variable may be attributed solely to the change in an independent variable. y LABORATORY EXPERIMENTS are those in which the independent variable is manipulated and measures of the dependent variable are taken in a contrived, artificial setting for the purpose of controlling the many possible extraneous variables that may affect the dependent variable. (Contrived Setting) y FIELD EXPERIMENTS are those in which the independent variables are manipulated and the measurements of the dependent variable are made on test units in their natural setting. (Non Contrived Setting)
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Test Marketing
y TEST MARKETING is the phrase commonly used to indicate an
experiment, study, or test that is conducted in a field setting. y Uses of test markets To test sales potential for a new product or service To test variations in the marketing mix for a product or service TYPES OF TEST MARKETS y Standard Test Market: the firm tests the product and/or marketing mix variables through the companys normal distribution channels. y Controlled Test Markets: conducted by outside research firms that guarantee distribution of the product through prespecified types and numbers of distributors. y Electronic Test Markets: a panel of customers have agreed to carry identification cards that each consumer presents when buying y Simulated Test Markets: a limited amount of data on consumer response to a new product is fed into a model containing certain assumptions regarding planned marketing programs, which generate likely sales volume.
y Order of the variables In descriptive designs, variables are not logically ordered
COMPLETELY CERTAIN
ABSOLUTE AMBIGUITY
Exploratory Research (Unaware of Problem) Our sales are declining and we dont know why. Would people be interested in our new product idea?
Descriptive Research (Aware of Problem) What kind of people are buying our product? Who buys our competitors product? What features do buyers prefer in our product?
Causal Research (Problem Clearly Defined) Will buyers purchase more of our products in a new package? Which of two advertising campaigns is more effective?
EXPLORATORY
DESCRIPTIVE
CAUSAL
PURPOSE
ID PROBLEMS, GAIN INSIGHTS, DISCOVER IDEAS FLEXIBLE, VERSATILE, NON STRUCTURED, FRONT END RESEARCH SECONDARY DATA HIGH SMALL. NONREPRESENTATIVE RELAXED LOW PRELIMINARY/ TENTATIVE
DESCRIBE THINGS / MKT CHARACTERISTICS PRIOR STRUCTURED FORMULATION OF HYPOTHESIS SURVEYS SOME LARGE. REPRESENTATIVE FORMAL MEDIUM CONCLUSIVE
CHARACTERIST ICS
MANIPULATIVE. INDEPENDENT VARIABLES EXPERIMENTS LITTLE REPRESENTATIVE HIGHLY CONTROLLED HIGH CONCLUSIVE. HELP DECISIONS