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Contents
4. Clients main challenges regarding Channel Strategy 5. DCs Channel Strategy approach and methodology
Contents
4. Clients main challenges regarding Channel Strategy 5. DCs Channel Strategy approach and methodology
Introduction
The wireless industry globally is facing significant changes: High license cost that have to be recovered. Constant pressure by the stock market. Slow growth due to market saturation. Falling ARPU as consequence of decreasing tariffs and commoditization of voice services. The challenge for the operator is to capitalize on GPRS/UMTS technology by launching mobile data services to generate additional revenue streams to stop ARPU decrease. Data services are far more complex than voice services, thus the sales and service organizations of the operator have to adapt to that increasing complexity. Due to market saturation, the marketing focus of the operator shifted from customer acquisition to customer retention. Todays distribution channels are poorly prepared for selling and servicing data services, as their traditional function was mere dispatching of products to cope with high growth rates. The future distribution channel must be able to sell complex services and play a important role in customer retention.
4. Clients main challenges regarding Channel Strategy 5. DCs Channel Strategy approach and methodology
The Spanish mobile market has experienced a strong growth in the past three years and is now entering a maturity stage
Evolution of Total Mobile Subscribers Spanish Market (Un: 1000 subs)
120 CAGR = 490% Penetration rate (%)
24.052
100 80 60 40 20 0
Alternative Stage
Complementary Stage
15.005
7.051 2.996 944 Dec-95 Dec-96 Dec-97 Dec-98 Dec-99 Dec-00 4.337
USA
Substitution Stage
India
Saturation Stage
The mobile starts to substitute the fixed telephony for voice communication
Mobile telephony dominates and extends itself to data and video services
According to EMC, by February 2001, the total Spanish mobile market reached 25.847 thousand subscribers and a market penetration of aprox. 63%. The high growth rate verified since 1999 is related to the entry of the 3 rd GSM operator Amena.
As a result of the penetration of low-end market segments and decreasing tariffs, ARPU is constantly eroding
Summary ARPU Assumptions
70 60
ARPU (EUR per month)
50 40 30 20
ARPU and MOU have constantly decreased due to the penetration of lowend market segments. The market converged into a mass market where sales volume is key to success.
Fierce competition and the consequent reduction of voice tariffs had an additional negative impact on the ARPU.
High market growth rates have so far offset the ARPU decrease. Thus the total revenue of each operator is still increasing.
2002
2003
2004
2005
Vodafone EMEA
Despite the entrance of a 3rd operator in 1998, Client was able to maintain its market share. However, recently Clients market share is decreasing
100%
Amena was able to capture significant market share right from its launch in 1998. Despite the entrance of Amena, Client was able to maintain and even increase its market share during 1998.
80%
In 1999 however, Amena gains caused equal losses in market share of both, Client and Telefnica Mviles Espaa, thus Clients market share suffered a decrease by 4 % points.
This trend is partly due to the fact that Client started shifting its focus on retaining its valuable customers rather than acquiring additional lowend customers.
20%
The entry of a 4th player, combined with the launch of GPRS / UMTS services, is slowly leading the Spanish mobile operators to change their market approaches
Client has structured its short-term strategy around three main axes:
Focus on high value market segments Being the market challenger and Spains first convergent operator (wireless, wireline, Internet), Client has adopted a positioning rather similar to Telefnica Mviles, targeting all market segments with main focus on high usage customers. This is a different market approach from the other two alternative operators (Amena and Xfera), which have chosen to focus on young dynamic customers mainly through the launch of innovative products with competitive pricing schemes Retention policies Costumer retention has made Client and Telefnica Mviles Espaa adopt a variety of loyalty programs mainly based on the accumulation of points - with the objective of decreasing churn, while keeping its most valuable clients. On the other hand, Amena and, after Fall 2001, xfera will still be mainly focused on customer acquisition.
Adding value through data services UMTS service launch in 2003 (after an initial postponement) will allow all four operators to offer a broad variety of rather complex solutions to their end customers. The early launch of GPRS this year represents a way of dealing with UMTS delays and a test bed for UMTS applications, while locking in the client.
In conclusion, the operators are facing a unseen series of challenges to which are being forced to react accordingly
KEY ISSUES
ARPU is decreasing Market growth is slowing down Voice services become a commodity Data services get more and more complex Investments in licenses reached exorbitant levels Capex requirements for infrastructure are enormous New technologies are not mature, causing significant delays
Develop new products and services based on 2.5G/ 3G technologies Focus on customer profitability and retention
Key issues (I) - Develop new products and services based on 2.5G/3G technologies
Mobile Portals
Within the 2.5G/ 3G value network, the operators ability to extract value and maintain ownership of the customer is threatened by a variety new market enablers and competitors. While costs associated with advanced wireless services are clear and substantial, the revenue generated by these services and who captures this revenue is less clear.
Distribution Channels
Internet Direct / indirect
Customers
Consumers Corporate MVNO 3rd Parties
Application Providers
Horizontal applications (e.g. E-mail, CRM) Vertical applications (e.g. Mobile banking, Telemetry) Customized mobile internet services
Financial institutions Browsers Mobile wallets OS (e.g. EPOC/Palm/Symbian) Internal OSS Gateways
There are still no proven economic models, product profitability is the overarching issue.
10
The churn rate was very high in 1999, mainly due to the entry of the 3rd new entrant, Amena. It has subsequently decreased. The first challenge would be to keep churn low through customer retention to minimize churn-off to the
%
37,2
35
32
30
25
4th new entrant, xfera. Another associated challenge would be to retain the most valuable customers to turn around ARPU decrease.
20
15
1999A
2000E
2001E
2002E
2003E
Churn Client
Churn Telefnica
11
Key issues (III) - Conversion of distribution channels from dispatchers to customer service centers
Distribution Channels
The distribution channel strategy in the past was designed to achieve a broad coverage of the population to support strong subscriber growth.
Own shops Sales Force Contact Center Web Channels Agents Franchises Small retailers Major Retailers
The basic function of a distribution channel was to dispatch handsets or pre-paid packs and activate basic voice service.
Given the low level of growth, the current distribution channel network is overdimensioned. Due to the complexity of future data services, distribution channels have to convert from mere dispatchers of handsets to customer service centers that offer a wide range of services ranging from technical assistance, product configuration, installation and maintenance, training, help desk, etc. The products offered will have to include PDAs, handheld computers, PCs, software,
12
4. Clients main challenges regarding Channel Strategy 5. DCs Channel Strategy approach and methodology
13
4. Clients main challenges regarding Channel Strategy 5. DCs Channel Strategy approach and methodology
14
As in other european countries, strong client / service orientation will be key factors to effectively address the future challenges of the Spanish mobile market
Non exhaustive MARKET ISSUES
Market saturation / massification Maturity stage for mobile voice Data traffic growth Increased product complexity Increased product variety Increased Competition Individualised / non-standard customer needs
Heavy competition
Lower tariffs Lower product differentiation / commodity
INTERNAL ISSUES
High churn rates Lower voice MoU Decreasing ARPU Strong weight of SAC on cost structure Lower operational margins
Increased replacement of SAC by SRC Different costumer profiles Decrease on churn rates Expected increase on value per subscriber
time
CLIENT ACQUISITION STAGE CLIENT RETENTION STAGE
Internal process efficiency & cost control Broad scope of service offer
Therefore, client-related activities, mostly developed by the distribution channels, are gaining overall importance in the process of achieving competitive advantage
Non exhaustive
TRANSACTION / DELIVERY
SERVICING / MAINTENANCE
Costumer care Customer monitoring Detection of cross-selling opportunities Training and technical support Customer training Help Desk Maintenance
Product configuration
Installation
Problem/complaints handling
Customer retention
16
Own Shops
5 5
5 5
5 5
Directly owned and managed by the mobile operator; High initial investment associated; high maintenance costs; Location is a key issue central/ commercial urban areas; Promotes operators brand awareness, allows end-to-end servicing. Directly employed and coordinated by the mobile operator; Covers almost all distribution activities; High set-up and maintenance costs associated; Personalizes client / channel relationship; Generally suited to high value customers.
Sales Force
Contact Centers
Directly owned or outsourced to a 3rd party (specialist); Lower operational costs than previous 2 channels; Generally focused on after-sales activities; Problems regarding staff turnover and training; Can be combined with other channels, namely web, media and mailing concept of contact center; Less personalized contact, though allowing a proactive behavior towards the costumer in terms of monitoring, promotion; campaigns, etc. Directly owned by the operator or by a V-Partner; Bi-directional, interactive, personalized low-cost channel; Increasing spectrum of activities; may allow self-provisioning; Constraints regarding information availability, customer usage (depending on Internet penetration rate).
Web Channels
3
Legend: from
4
17
DESCRIPTION
Independent sales representative; Low cost, good time-to-market; Allows broad coverage of disperse customers; Exclusivity is a major issue, as generally distributes services of multiple operators; Risk of lack of control - alignment with operators sales & marketing and commission strategy can be a major issue. Exclusive distribution of the service of a single operator; Works as an extension of the operators own shops, acquiring costumers and giving technical support; Close relationship operator / channel: investment sharing, strong level of control, transversal branding / promotion.
Agents
Franchises
Small Retailers
(Kiosks; Gas Stations; Stationary Shops)
1 2
Legend: from
5 5
1 2
18
Generally non-exclusive agreements; Broad coverage, low cost and good time- to-market; Limited range of activities, focus on selling pre-paid products; Requires strong distribution relation management efforts.
Major Retailers
(Store-within a-store; Department Stores; Supermarkets; Electronic Shops)
Generally non-exclusive agreements; Strong channel negotiation power; risk of lack of control; Broad coverage, high sales rotation ideal for fast growing markets with standardized products/services; Main focus on selling activities to mass market.
Channel mix choices often reflect a specific mobile operators strategic positioning, service offering and life-cycle stage
Mass Market Strategic Positioning Niche player
Direct channels
Own Shops Sales Force Contact Centres Web Channels Agents Franchises
Indirect channels
Small Retailers
Major Retailers
Product differentiation
More important Less important
+
Average channel cost per costumer Costumer loyalty Average revenue per costumer
19
Costumer-related costs, including the ones directly related to distribution channels, have a strong impact on the total cost structure of a mobile operator
Other 10% MS support other than biling 10% Interconnection Fees 26%
Costumer service, Biling and other MS support represent aprox. 42% of the total operating costs in a standard mobile operators cost structure.
Biling 10%
Therefore, distribution is one of the areas where cost reduction and process efficiency would have a major impact on overall business profitability.
20
4. Clients main challenges regarding Channel Strategy 5. DCs Channel Strategy approach and methodology
21
The changes in the Spanish mobile market are shaping the evolution of both distribution channel roles and mix
GPRS / UMTS Non-standardized costumer needs Increase on Internet penetration and usage Non-standardized complex solutions Commoditization of voice needs
COMPETITION
22
Technology is changing the economics of distribution channels, while allowing role sharing by broadening the range of activities performed by non-physical channels
Illustrative
Impact of technology in channel mix and distribution costs (Financial Services / Banking system France)
Tranfers 5-7%
Information requests 10 - 20 %
Sales
Internet has broadened the channel mix, by increasing the usage potential of a set of nonphysical low-cost channels, namely the web. Additionally, IT improvements mostly related to internal systems integration - have contributed to a overall decrease in channel costs,
2-5%
- 82 %
- 37 %
- 33 %
- 15 %
23
As a result, overall customer-related costs will tend to decrease in the folowing years, while investments will shift from acquisition to susbcriber retention
% of Revenues
Profitability
2004
2005
0%
20% Increase
40%
60%
80% Decrease
100%
SRC's
No Change
The slow down on mobile market growth will result on a major shift from customer acquisition effords to costumer retention Non-physical channels will play a major role on achieving profitability, while maintaining high standards of customer service for basic customer needs
24
As the voice market matures, the link between channel strategy and Customer Value Management will need to increase
Illustrative Client Profitability Mobile Market -
CLIENT VALUE
CLIENTS PROFITS
PROFITABLE NON-PROFITABLE
Low Usage, No Features
Profitable
30% 280%
Non-profitable
70%
Pre-paid
-180%
Web
The alignment between client needs/value and channel capabilities/cost results on the migration of less attractive segments to lower cost channels
Effective segmentation and continuous assessment of client/channel profitability will become major issues
25
The introduction of GPRS / UMTS services will change competition, increasing the complexity of distribution channel activities, by incorporating a strong technical component into the sales process Illustrative
UMTS Services and Business Model Wireless Unique Solutions
Enterprise
+
COMPLEXITY / COSTUMIZATION
Distribution channel Main activities Customization Technical Advice Installation Complex Service Maintenance Complex Service Assurance Training
Consumer
Field sales & service Wireless POS Inv. management Location based services ASP Services Personalization Telemetry< (customized services)
Wireless Extensions
Enterprise Extensions
CRM/ERP/SCM Custom legacy applications High-speed dial-up
Consumer Extensions
Mobile advertising Personalization (customized information) M-wallet
Enterprise Extensions
Consumer Extensions
In a first stage, enhanced need for control on the sales/ after-sales process will increase the importance of direct channels, as well as the pressure for tighter links with indirect channels.
26
Channel strategy will need to be lifecycle timed, as it will have to support simultaneously two product lines at different lifecycle stages GSM and GPRS/ UMTS mobile services
Product Lifecycle /Distribution Channel Relation
Illustrative
Own channels
Mobile data services (introduction)
Specialized distribution
The mobile operators service portfolio will be composed of multiple products, with different characteristics, in different stages of the product lifecycle (GSM voice services and GPRS/UMTS complex solutions).
As voice services become commoditized, channels with wider coverage/activity scopes and lower distribution costs become essential for maintaining profitability. However, due to their specific characteristics, these channels are not sufficient for the selling
Non-physical channels
Mass distribution
Mobile voice services (today)
and servicing GPRS/UMTS services. That gap has to be covered by specialized distribution channels.
Operators will need to assure the alignment from their market segment and product strategies with their distribution channel strategy
27
Channel Strategy is evolving towards a more clear definition and separation of roles and responsibilities
Channels
Sales Process
Parallel initiatives on different channels Multiple points of contact with the client
TIME
Target segments
Channels
Sales Process
Target segments
The effective integration of different channels will become one of the major issues for a mobile operator
28
Own Shops
Web Channels
Contact Centres
Possibilities of channel overflow , due to the increasing demand related with mass customer migration Leveraging of economies of scale to increase non-traditional functions as opening client accounts and new service subscription Level of authonomy to trigger real-time responses to sales leads Increase in the level of complexity of information/servicing/technical support required by the customers Function as application Help Desk Integration with web channels Sales of complex solutions Teaming with consultants and system integrators to provide entreprise solutions Important role in cross-selling, up-selling and costumer retention Focus on corporate costumers and SME
Sales Force
29
Agents
Franchising
Small Retailers
(Kiosks; Gaz Stations; Station Shops)
Major Retailers
(Store-within a-store; Department Stores; Supermarkets; Electronic Traders)
30
These changes are generating a new set of challenges regarding distribution channels, which must be taken into account during channel strategy definition
Non-standardized costumer needs Increase on Internet penetration and usage Non-standardized complex solutions Commoditization of voice needs
GPRS / UMTS
COMPETITION
Channel integration Information sharing Single customer profiling Channel relationships Performance measurement Commissions
Increased technical complexity on sales process Training Up-selling Cross-selling Bundling Customer / Channel profitability
Customer ownership Exclusivity Channel conflict Customer care as diferentiation factor Customer satisfaction index
31
4. Clients main challenges regarding Channel Strategy 5. DCs Channel Strategy approach and methodology
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Client needs to develop a channel strategy, which effectively addresses the following key points
How should Client manage sales process and distribution mix changes related to the decline in market growth? How can Client shift effectively from an acquisition-centric to a more customer retention approach? What is the right economic model for each channel in the light of a customer retention philosophy? What will be Clients most profitable service/channel/segment combination? How can Client avoid channel canibalisation and manage channel conflict? How should the flow of single customer information be oriented? How should Client face more complex GPRS / UMTS products selling and servicing? What type of skill set should Client develop in its distribution channels? What will be the right size of each channel in the future? Will Clients own shops play a major role? How can channel performance be measured and controled? How should the commissions Model be designed in the future?
33
4. Clients main challenges regarding Channel Strategy 5. DCs Channel Strategy approach and methodology
34
To help Client defining the most suitable Channel Strategy for facing the future challenges of the Spanish mobile market, we would recommend an approach structured around three stages
STAGE 1
External Market Analysis Market Demand Competitors Technology
STAGE 2
STAGE 3
Gap Analysis Identification and evaluation of strategic options for Clients future channel strategy
Internal Assessment
&
35
Activities
Analysis of Market Demand evolution Market segmentation: Identification of independent segment clusters in terms of potential for revenue / profitability generation (Market Vs. Client) Characterization of customer service and channel needs, expectations and preferences (Market Vs. Client) Characterization of customer purchase behaviour and usage of services / distribution channels (Market Vs. Client) Segment profiling, size and evolution match between customer potential and customer characteristics (Market Vs. Client) High level analysis of segment profitability evolution (Client) Benchmark on competitors channel strategy Identification of the corresponding competitors activities regarding channels policies Analysis of competitive advantages International telecom channel strategy case studies and identification of best practices
MARKET DEMAND COMPETITION TECHNOLOGY
Integrated analysis of changes in the mobile distribution value chain related with automation and technological integration Analysis and quantification of cost reductions associated with technological changes Evaluation of process efficiency improvements associated with technological changes Introduction of GPRS / UMTS services - Analysis of impacts on the distribution value chain
36
Activities
Identify channel mix characteristics (ability to meet client needs) Match channel characteristics against customer needs Economics of each channel - Analysis of main indicators: - contribution margin - channel profitability - Productivity - KPIs Channel / Product / Client match analysis Identify constraints and strenghts of each channel Detection of channel conflicts Analysis of relationship with other players of the distribution value chain: - Indirect channels (namely commissions, reporting, planning and control, etc.) - Manufacturers
AS-IS DISTRIBUTION
37
Activities
From the conclusions of the first workshop, identification of the major dimensions to structure scenario development and modeling on Market evolution and channel strategy Characterization of Clients strategic positioning and objectives (short and long-term) Analysis of the impacts of strategic positioning and objectives on distribution strategy Identification of key variables within the chosen dimensions relevant for scenario building Structuration of relationships and hierarchies between the identified key variables (cause/effect, hierarquisation) Scenario structure Development of qualitative/quantitaive scenarios on Market evolution (2001-2006) Identification of main strategic options regarding Clients distribution channels (mix and role trends) Identification of emerging issues / risks associated to each option
SCENARIO DEVELOPMENT
38
Activities
Definition of detailed channel strategy, in the light of strategic guidelines, focusing on the following points:
RECOMMENDED CHANNEL STRATEGY
- Channel mix - Definition of each channels roles and activities - Channel/Service/Customer alignments - Channel relationship management - Performance measurement and rewards - Control, reporting and planning - Channel conflit resolution mechanisms - Order management and Service provisioning
- etc.
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Activities
Comparison between Clients AS-IS channel strategy and the recommended TO-BE channel strategy Gap identification and analysis Identification of additional issues related to the new channel strategy, namely on the related areas: - Organisational Structure - IT Systems Elaboration of a Road-map for implementation, including: - Sequence of activities to develop - Roles and responsabilities of each intervenient in the process - Deadlines to fulfil Identification of possible drivers and inhibitors of the change process
GAP ANALYSIS
40