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DIRECT INVESTMENT
Presented at An Asian-wide Workshop on Social Inclusiveness in Asias Middle Income Countries (MICs)
13 September 2011, Jakarta, Indonesia
Prepared and Presented Mr. Vathana ROTH by: Research Associate Cambodia Development Resource Institute (CDRI)
CONTENTS
Analytical
Analytics Overview: Main Macro Indicators of China and Cambodia A Look at Chinas Development and Poverty Reduction Experiences Lessons: Growth-oriented Poverty Reduction Lessons: Poverty Reduction Targeting Implications for Chinas ODA and Direct Investment in Cambodia
ANALYTICAL FRAMEWORK
Sustained and Inclusive Growth
Firms
Individuals
Income redistribution
Raising the pace and enlarging the size of economy through investment and productive employment opportunity
Poverty reduction
Equality of opportunity
Structural reform
Economic diversification
Business competitivenes 3 s
Cambodia
9.0 1820 13 30% 68.2% (2004) 43.1% (2007) 0.494 (124) 0.05 17 2947 11.8 22.7 6.3 113
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Electric power consumption (kWh per capita, 2455 2008) Sources: World Bank Open Data 2011; WDI 2011; Dollar 2008; UNDP
Services
Manufacture
Agriculture
Source: Gulati and Fan 2007 cited in Fan et al. 2010
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Cambodia
Agriculture, 39%
Services, 40%
Industry, 21%
Cambodia
Agriculture, 70.3%
In Cambodia, agriculture continues to play an important role in the overall economy: job creation and income source for majority of rural households.
INDUSTRIALISATION
Output Growth, annual % change
Note: Chinas data are from 1990-2009 while those of Cambodia are from 19902008 Source: ADB 2010
In Cambodia, industrial diversification and competitiveness should be the two key areas of further reform for a more viable private sector development.
sector remains crucial for poverty reduction in China. Chinas government expenditure for agriculture = about 9% a year of total national expenditure. Spending was made to support agriculture production, capital construction, science and technology promotion funds, rural relief funds, and others. China is moving from labour-intensive and family-based agriculture with traditional techniques capital and commercial- based, through increased output and capital formation.
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for Cambodian smallholder agriculture: low productivity, insufficient irrigation system, poor rural infrastructure, lack of research and development, difficult access to finance and limited access to market information. government expenditure for economic services (agriculture, industry, and services) = 8.6% (1994-2009); compared to defence (34.8%) and general public services (15.4%).
Cambodias
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Two underlying roles that a 21st century government should ensure are (Evans 2010): capacity to provide basic public goods such as education, health, and infrastructure (road, bridge, school) and strong and able institutions for facilitation and coordination work. Chinas government expenditure =14.7% to GDP, compared to 6.6% per annum to GDP in Cambodia. The current border conflict with Thailand will further increase governments budget to cover military expenses which means even less money for social and economic development activities. Corruption remains an important issue demanding immediate and serious solutions.
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CONSTRAINTS
Human capital improvement remains an important issue for Cambodia Mismatch of required skills since many young graduates are being trained Cambodia is also lagging behind in the field of research and development The number of researchers is very low with only 17 researchers per million people compared to 1071 in China Cambodia also faces resource constraints due partly to corruption, insufficient revenue collection mechanism, weak institutional arrangement and governance.
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Battambang I Battambang II Battambang III Kamchay Kirirom III Sambour Stung Cheay Areng (Lower) Stung Russey Chrum (Middle) Stung Russey Chrum (Upper) Stung Russey Chrum Stung Atay Stung Tatay Lower Sre Pok II Lower Sesan II
Unknown Unknown Unknown Construct Feasibility Study Feasibility Study Feasibility Study Feasibility Study Unknown Unknown Feasibility Study Construct Pre Feasibility Study PreFeasibility Study
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FURTHER COOPERATION
More support through training staff and civil servants who work for poverty reduction institutions. Collaborate in research and exchange programmes aimed at providing further strategies and plans for poverty reduction. Continue the current expenditure of Chinese ODA on transportation and infrastructure and Chinese investors should expand their interests in agrobusiness. Consider transferring technological and managerial know-how to Cambodian counterparts. Commit to implement international standards in projects to ensure cooperation for long-term growth.
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REFERENCES
Chinas National Bureau of Statistics (1996), Statistical Yearbook (China: Beijing) Chinas National Bureau of Statistics (2010), Statistical Yearbook (China: Beijing) Council for the Development of Cambodia (2010), Aid Effectiveness Report and Database, (Phnom Penh: CDC) Dollar, David (2008), Lessons from China for Africa, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 4531 Guimbert, Stephane (2010), Cambodia 1998-2008: An Episode of Rapid Growth, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 5271, (Washington DC: World Bank)
Ianchovichina, Elena & Susanna Lundstrom (2009) What is Inclusive Growth? PREMD, http://siteresources.worldbank.org/INTDEBTDEPT/Resources/4689801218567884549/WhatIsInclusiveGrowth20081230.pdf (accessed August 2011) Kobayashi, Shintaro, Katsuhiro Saito, Hajime Tanji, Wenfeng Huang & Minoru Tada (2008), Economic Structure of Cambodia and Strategies for Pro-Poor Growth: Results from a Computable General Equilibrium Analysis, 19 Studies in Regional Science, 38(1), pp. 137-154 Middleton, Carl & Sam Chanthy (2008), Cambodias Hydropower Development and Chinas Involvement (Phnom Penh: RCC)
REFERENCES (CONT.)
Montalvo, Jose, G. & Martin Ravallion (2010), The pattern of growth and poverty reduction in China, Journal of Comparative Economics, 38, pp. 2-16 National Institute of Statistics (2008), Statistical Yearbook 2008 (Phnom Penh: MOP) Ravallion, Martin (2009), Are There Lessons for Africa from Chinas Success Against Poverty? World Development, 37(2), pp. 303-313 United Nations Development Programme (2010a), The Real Wealth of Nations: Pathways to Human Development, Human Development Report (New York: UNDP) World Bank (2009), Poverty Profile and Trend in Cambodia: Findings from the 2007 CSES (Phnom Penh: World Bank) World Bank (2010a), Doing Business 2011: Making a difference for entrepreneurs, http://www.doingbusiness.org/reports/globalreports/doing-business-2011 (accessed May 2011) World Bank (2010b), Worldwide Governance Indicators, http://info.worldbank.org/governance/wgi/index.asp (accessed June 2011) World Bank (2011), World Bank Open Data, http://databank.worldbank.org/ddp/home.do?Step=2&id=4&DisplayAggre gation=N&Sdmx upported=Y&CNO=2&SET_BRANDING=YES (accessed May 2011) World Bank (2011), World Development Indicators (Washington DC:
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