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Scope of Study
An Overview of macroeconomics and its impact on business An overview of growth and developmental economics National income accounting Various financial markets Indian economy : an overview The world economy : International monetory system Balance of payment India and the world
Chapter-1
Macroeconomics: An overview
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Macroeconomics
MACROECONOMIC QUESTION How many people are employed in the economy as a whole What government policies should be adopted to promote full employment and growth in the economy as a whole? What determines the overall trade in goods, services and financial assets between the our country. and the rest of the world?
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Having determined the cost, the school can then decide Fourth Outline whether or not to offer the course by weighing the costs Level and benefits.
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Ex.: Overall level of prices in the economy how high or how low they are relative to prices last year rather than the price of a particular good or service.
A distinctive feature of modern macroeconomics is that both its theory and policy implementation focus Third Outline on economic Level aggregates -- economic measures that summarize data across many different markets for goods, services, workers and assets. Fourth Outline Level Fifth Outline Level 1111 Sixth Outline
Macroeconomic Goals
Economic Growth
Economists monitor economic growth by keeping track of real gross domestic product (real GDP)
Total quantity of goods and services produced in a country over a year
Economic Growth
Although output has grown, rate of growth has varied over the decades Over long periods of time small differences in growth rates can cause huge differences in living standards Economists and government officials are very concerned when economic growth slows down Macroeconomics helps us understand a number of issues surrounding economic growth
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All nations commitment to high employment has been been written into law
With memory of Great Depression still fresh, the US Congress passed Employment Act of 1946 Indian Govt has also passed the employment act many times
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Business cycles
Fluctuations in real GDP around its long-term growth trend
Expansion
A period of increasing real GDP
Contraction
A period of declining real GDP
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Depression
An unusually severe recession
In the twentieth century, United States experienced one decline in output serious enough to be considered a depressionthe worldwide Great Depression of the 1930s
From 1929 to 1933, the first four years of Great Depression, U.S. output dropped by more than 25%
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Expansi on
Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005
Recessi on
The business cycle fluctuation of actual output around its longExpansi run trend. on Ti me 2020
Stable Prices
With very few exceptions, inflation rate has been positive During 1990s, inflation rate of US averaged less than 3% per year
An extreme case was the new nation of Serbiaprices rose by 1,880% in
August 1999 The inflation rate in India was last reported at 9.7 percent in October of 2010. It was 5.58 % in Jan 2008. The highest inflation rate is of Zimbabwe, As om Jan 1, 2009 the inflation is 533%.
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The term inflation is from the Latin term inflare, meaning to blow up or inflate The inflation rate is the percentage increase in the price of goods per year. For example, if the inflation rate is 2%, then a $1 candy will cost $1.02 this year.
The movie Cleopatra cost $44 million to make in 1963. With inflation taken into account, the same movie would cost $300 million to make today
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Stable Prices
Why are stable pricesa low inflation ratean important macroeconomic goal?
Because inflation is costly to society With annual inflation rates in the thousands of percent, the costs are easy to see
Purchasing power of currency declines so rapidly that people are no longer willing to hold it
Economists regard some inflation as good Price stabilization requires not only preventing inflation rate from rising too high
But also preventing it from falling too Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 dangerously close to turning negative low, where it would be
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How can we possibly hope to deal with all these markets at the same time? The answer is aggregationprocess of combining different things into a single category and treating them as a whole
Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 2424
Aggregation in Macroeconomics
Aggregation plays a key role in both micro- and macroeconomics In macroeconomics, we take aggregation to the extreme
Because we want to consider the entire economy at once, and yet keep our model as simple as possible
Must aggregate all markets into broadest possible categories
By aggregating in this way, can create workable and reasonably accurate models that teach us a great deal about how overall economy operates
Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 2525
Macroeconomic Controversies
Macroeconomics is full of disputes and disagreements
Modern macroeconomics began with publication of The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money by British economist John Maynard Keynes in 1936 Which held that the macroeconomy worked very well on its own
This new school of thought held that the economy does not do well on its own and needed guidance
Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005
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Macroeconomic Controversies
While some of the early disagreements have been resolved, others have arisen to take their place For examplethe controversy over the Bush administrations $330-billion ten-year tax cut Because of such political battles, people who follow the news often think that there is little agreement among economists about how the macroeconomy works
In fact, the profession has come to a consensus on many basic principles, and we will stress these as we go
Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005
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In general, the unemployment rate rises during recessions and falls during expansions. It moves in the direction opposite to aggregate output, which falls during recessions and rises during expansions.
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ECONOMICS IN ACTION: Has the Business Cycle Been Tamed? Has progress in macroeconomics made the economy more stable? Answer: Sort of
Clearly, nothing like the Great Depression the huge surge in unemployment that dominates the figure has happened since. But economists who argued during the 1960s that the business cycle had been completely tamed were proved wrong by severe recessions in the 1970s and early 1980s.
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Outline
No in fact, a burger is, compared with other consumer goods, a better bargain than it was in 1954. Burger prices have risen about 400 percent, from 15 cents to about 75 cents, over the last half century. But the overall consumer price index has increased more than 600 percent.
If McDonalds had matched the overall price level increase, a hamburger would now cost between 90 cents and a dollar.
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