Multi-Hazard Risk Assessment, Mapping and Land Use

PROMOTION OF ENERGY EFFICIENT COOKING, HEAT AND HOUSING TECHNOLOGY (PEACH)
Nasir uddin GIS analyst-WWF-Pakistan
MULTI-HAZARD RISK ASSESSMENT, MAPPING

AND LAND USE PLANNING
GOAL
land use mapping for four selected villages of GilgitBaltistan and Chitral, Pakistan
Objectives
Literature review Field survey of study area Procurement of High Res. Images Image enhancement and digitize topographic layers Quantification of risk Multi-Hazard Risk Assessment mapping Land use mapping
MULTI-HAZARD RISK ASSESSMENT (MHRA)
When an area exposed to more than one hazard it is called multihazard

NATURAL PHENOMENA WHICH MAY BE HAZARDOUS

Hydrologic Flood Erosion Geologic Land sliding Avalanches Seismic Fault ruptures Epicenter Ground shaking
Information Need to Multi-Hazard Study Area

Earthquake Epicenter Type of Fault lines Seismic Zone Geologic formations Intensity Magnitude Acceleration Displacement Land sliding Inventories Slope Geologic formations Path Type Velocity Displacement River floods Channel Flood way Flood Plain Elevation Volume Velocity Rate of Raise Slope
Location
Severity
Likelihood Recurrence interval of Historical seismicity occurrence
Earthquake recurrence Rainfall pattern Bank cutting rate
Historical return period Flood record Design event
METHODOLOGY

Equipment Questioner Historical data collection Extract information form satellite data and existing data set GPS survey Geological survey Spatial analysis Hydrological analysis Risk probability Develop layer Overlaying Hazard Risk Map at Village level Land use Mapping
Equipment
GPS Compass Range Finder
QUESTIONER
Open and Close ended Question format will be designed related to study area that will be entertain during filed work
Historical data collection

Accesses disaster management department and management agencies (NDMA, GSP) By contact local people Visual Interpretation
Extract information
Extract landmark and linear features with area extent i.e. Settlement, roads network , facilities , flood plans, channel, Boundary extent, vegetation and study area extent
GPS survey
Identify risky areas i.e. landsilding, faults, flood and note their location Extract flood plain extent Elevation Flood ways Element at risk
Geological survey
Identification of riskier fault line Calculation of Strike angle and dip angle Rock structure classification Physical interpretation and identification of risky areas on the base of slop, nature of material, and orientation Predict the hazard direction with volume and define its velocity
Spatial analysis
Generate specific interval of contour Classification of slope Reclassification of Image data
HYDROLOGICAL ANALYSIS

Extract Dem using rig line Delineate water shad form DEM Delineate catchment area from water shad Calculate flow direction on the base of slop
Risk probability
Calculate numerical risk probability on the base of historical data by dividing total event with annual number of days that fall in interval of 0 to 1 and express it in percentage
Develop layer
Define datum and projection system Cerate Layer (Point, Line. Polygon) Enter attribute data and update all layers
Symbol Point Line Earthquake Epicenter site Faults Flood Flood site Flood route, Elevation Landslide Land slide site
Direction of sliding
Polygon
Seismic intensity area
Flood prone area
Landslide prone area
Overlaying
Overlay the set of layer Classification of data Apply cartographic techniques High light Risky areas Quantification of risk areas
HAZARD RISK Mapping Assign Value 1
Level High
Earthquake
Landslide
Flood plain
Moderate
low
Seismic zone Active Fault Ground shaking Nature of geological material
Type of landslide Location Likelihood Nature of material Slope Velocity Rainfall
Area extent Depth Volume Bank erosion rate Time interval Raising of debris Rainfall
HAZARD RISK MAP
Land Use Planning

Divide the study area in to zones level Determine risk level on base of slope, probability of likelihood event in history, Flood plan extent and depth, land sliding volume and their vulnerability, terrain model , bank erosion rate, ground shake value and faults pass though an area and distance form epicenter
For Zone 1: It can be allowed to be used for: Big buildings Big factories Residential areas Agricultural activities
For Zone 2: It can be allowed to be used for: Agricultural activities like: rice plantation, bean plantation, corn plantation, etc.
For Zone 3: In Zone 4 very limited activities can be allowed like: Fishing activities Pumping water for irrigation purposes
Thank

Multi-Hazard Risk Assessment, Mapping and Land Use

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PROMOTION OF ENERGY EFFICIENT COOKING, HEAT AND HOUSING TECHNOLOGY (PEACH)

Nasir uddin GIS analyst-WWF-Pakistan