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ORACLE ADVANCED SUPPLY CHAIN PLANNING (ASCP)

Project: Egyplast Prepared by: Amr El-Mehelmi Version:1 Date 10/1/2012

Planning Cycle
Generate/Update Forecasts Run Data Collection Sales Orders

Launch Plans MRP-MPS

Release PRs / Production Orders

Run Simulation/ Re-plan

Review exceptions/ recommendations

Define Forecasts Options


Forecast Sets Forecast names Bucket Type Forecast Level Consumption options

Generating/Updating Forecasts
Generate forecasts based on historical shipped sales orders data or issues to WIP (starting 3 months history) One year history for accurate forecasts. 1. Statistical Forecast 2. Focus Forecast Enter forecasts manually.

Focus Forecast
The following five simple forecasting models are provided: 1. Forecast=actual demand in same period last year. FD{t}=AD{t}last year 2. Forecast=actual demand in previous period this year. FD{t}=AD{t-1}this year 3. Forecast=(actual demand in previous period this year)+(actual demand 2 periods ago this year)/2. FD{t}=(AD{t-1}+AD{t-2})this year /2

4. Forecast=(actual demand in same period last year) x (actual demand in previous period this year) / (actual demand in previous period before same period last year).
FD{t}=(AD{t}last year x AD{t-1}this year) / (AD{t-2}last year)

5. Forecast=(actual demand in previous period this year) x (actual demand in previous period this year) / (actual demand 2 periods ago this year).
FD{t}=SQR (AD{t-1}this year) / (AD{t-2}this year)

To Choose best forecast method: APE=absolute percentage error for each calculation=(|AD {t-1}-FD {t-1}|) / AD{t-1}

Statistical Forecast
Calculates forecasts for only one coming period. Exponential smoothing forecast; factor ( alpha)
ESF{t}=ESF{t-1}+ x(AD{t-1}-ESF{t-1}+. ESF{t}= x AD{t-1}+(1- )x ESF{t-1}+SQR(1- )x ESF{t-2}+ Forecasts error=AD-FD (for each n where n=t)

To calculate ( alpha): MAD=mean absolute deviation=|Forecasts errors|/n Trend smoothing forecasts; factor ( beta)
TEF{t}=B{t} + R{t} where B is base forecast, R is tend index. B{t}= x AD{t-1} + (1- ) x TEF{t-1} R{t}= x (B{t}-B{t-1})+(1- )x R{t-1}

Data Collection
Request types: 1. Standard collection unscheduled Complete Refresh Net Change Refresh Targeted Refresh 2. Continuous collection scheduled Snapshot Threshold (%)

Data Collection continued


Data Collected: 1. ASL (Supplier Capacities) 2. BOM/Routings/Resources 3. Bill of Resources 4. Forecasts 5. Items 6. MDS 7. On Hand 8. PO Receipts

Data Collection continued


9. PO/PR 10. Reservations 11. Resources Availability 12. Safety Stock 13. Sales Orders 14. Sub inventories 15. Work In Process 16. Notes (Attachments)

View Collected Data


Collected data can be viewed in the collection workbench. Workbench is the same as Planning workbench except that: 1. Cannot view actions nor recommendations. 2. Only the vertical display plan type is available. 3. Displays static data only which means; 4. Cannot display any data based on planning calculation.

Define Plan Options


Main Options Aggregation Organizations Constraints Optimization Decision Rules

Material Requirements Plan (MRP)


Manufacturing plan type. Plans raw materials, packing materials. Long aggregate planning period. Recommends Purchases in planner workbench.
Demand Schedules FCST Supply Schedules MPS

MPS

Master Production Schedule (MPS)


Production plan type. Plans finished products. Short aggregate planning period. Recommends Batches in Planner workbench.
Demand Schedules Supply Schedules

FCST
MRP

MRP

Workbench Plan Preferences


Material Plan Capacity Plan Supplier Plan Allocated ATP Gantt Other

Workbench Actions
Actions view displays both recommendations and exceptions grouped as follows: 1. Late sales orders and forecasts. 2. Supply problems for late sales orders and forecasts. 3. Material and resource capacity. 4. Reschedules. 5. Item exception. 6. Shortages and excess. 7. Substitutes and alternates used. 8. Recommendations.

Workbench Query Properties


Exceptions Summary/Details Horizontal/Vertical/Enterprise Plans Supply/Demand/On Hand Items/Substitutes Resources/Capacity/Requirements/Gantt Chart Components/Operations/Where Used KPIs

Workbench Plan Display Types


Horizontal Plan Type Vertical Plan Type Enterprise Plan Type

Gantt Chart

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