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XII 2011
7 2011

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ATmin ATi ATmax

ACmin ACi ACmax

...
CRmin CRi CRmax

AT k AT
i
Ri

min( AT )

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min( AC )

k AC

ATDi

min( ATD)

k ATD

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max( MTQ)

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MESSAGE

MESSAGE (Model for Energy Supply Strategy Alternatives and

their General Environmental Impacts)
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MESSAGE

MESSAGE,

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ConCriM - ,
ParSAM - ,
NESI - -

, :
, SQ/.
, SQ



(1. , 2. ,
3. , 4. )

100 000

10 000

4
2

1 000
cost, bil$

uranium
consumption, t

snf,kt

SQ production
capacities, 1000
SQ


,
I: U ( )
( )

III: U-Pu ( )
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II: U-Pu ( )
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IV: U-Pu-Th ( )
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*, 106SQ

**, 106SQ/

4.1 6.2

33 362

II

2.2 4.3

455 664

III

3.0 5.1

302 370

IV

1.9 4.0

420 480
* SQ
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specific countermeasures probability increment

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0.8

0.6

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10

100

110

additional cost

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