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.2
1. ...5
1.1. 5
1.2. .....12
2. : ,
17
3.
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3.1. : .24
3.2. 37
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"Information Reusability, Competition, and Bank Asset Quality" (Chan, Greenbaum, Thakor,
1986),
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8
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Thakor, 2000).
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"Competition and Regulation in the Banking Sector: A Review of the Empirical Evidence on the
Sources of Bank Rents" ,
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(market power hypothesis Carbo-Valverde et al., 2009)
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(Claessens, Laevine, 2005; Demirg-Kunt A., Laeven L., Levine R., 2004; Rajan,
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Berger A. N., Klapper L. F., Turk-Ariss R., 2009) ,
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2005).
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10
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. . "Credit Rationing in Markets with Imperfect Information" (Stiglitz,
Weiss, 1987).
"The International Handbook of Competition" ,
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( too big to fail)
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Weigand, 2004).
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11
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Lehman Brothers Bear Stearns.
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12
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Institutions, and the Cost of Financial Intermediation" (Demirg-Kunt, Laeven, Levine, 2004).
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"The economics of property rights: a review of evidence" (De Alessi, 1980).
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" Politicians and Banks: Political Influences on Government-Owned Banks in Emerging
Markets" 43 ,
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(Din, 2005).
17
, ,
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of Banks" ,
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(La Porta, Lpez-de-Silanes,
Shleifer, 2000).
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(development view) (political view).
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"Government Ownership of Banks, Institutions, and Financial Development".
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Shirley, 2005; Otchere, 2005). , . ,
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2005; p. 2070)
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. "Do Privatized Banks in Middle- and Low-Income Countries Perform
Better Than Rival Banks?"
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2005). ,
Bank of China Hong Kong (Chen, Li, Moshirian, 2005).
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21
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. . , . . "Market Power in the Russian
Banking Industry", ,
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(Fungacova, Poghosyan, 2009),
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, i- t :
Marginit = it + 1*staff_costsit + 2*staff_costs_stateit + 3*loss_provisionsit +
4*loss_provisions_stateit + 1*state_ownershipit + 2*top5_concentrit + 3*gdp_growthit +
4*rating_russiait + 5*cb_ref_rateit + 6*libor
i
("bank-specific" ), i ,
,
, ("non-bank specific" ).
Marginit , ,
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staff_costsit
. ,
, ,
, , (Fungacova, Poghosyan, 2009;
Glushkova, 2010 etc.), ,
,
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:
,
27
-
.
,
Margin
staff_costs
staff_costs_state
loss_provisions
loss_provisions_state
state_ownership
top5_concentr
gdp_growth
rating_russia
cb_ref_rate
libor
:
(loss_provisions*state_ownership)
,
:
(loss_provisions*state_ownership)
-, :
"1" , "0"
5
(
2003 )
,
,
Fitch .
0 AAA 8,5 B- .
,
.
LIBOR
loss_provisionsit i- t-
.
, , ,
. ,
.
. , ,
.
(
, ) .
28
state_ownershipit
top5_concentrit. ,
,
. state_ownershipit dummy- ,
"1" (
) "0" . ,
" " 7 .
.
, ,
,
dummy-,
dummy. ,
,
, , , ,
. , staff_costsit,
loss_provisionsit state_ownershipit, staff_costs_stateit
loss_provisions_stateit ,
staff_costsit loss_provisionsit dummy state_ownershipit.
. ,
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. ,
dummy-,
.
SCP structure-conduct-performance 1- ;
,
(, HHI), ,
: - ,
.
29
. " " ,
gdp_growthit,
rating_russiait, cb_ref_rateit liborit.
( 2003 ),
Fitch, LIBOR (
).
" "
(environmental factors) . rating_russiait
, .
,
. ,
,
.
, LIBOR ,
, , ,
,
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- .
, ,
STATA 8.
Random-effects GLS regression
Group variable: bank_id
Number of obs
Number of groups
=
=
144
24
R-sq:
6
6.0
6
within = 0.4481
between = 0.2293
overall = 0.3331
Coef.
staff_costs
staff_cost~e
loss_provi~s
loss_provi~e
state_owne~p
top5_conce~r
gdp_growth
rating_rus~a
cb_ref_rate
libor
_cons
-1.407269
2.898686
1.383372
3.26087
-.1920835
-2.555035
-3.033642
.2138313
-5.381927
.5055989
1.541938
Wald chi2(10)
Prob > chi2
Std. Err.
.5750211
.7606021
.4117408
1.368298
.0679056
1.934621
3.099778
.059404
2.070113
1.036452
1.082776
z
-2.45
3.81
3.36
2.38
-2.83
-1.32
-0.98
3.60
-2.60
0.49
1.42
30
P>|z|
0.014
0.000
0.001
0.017
0.005
0.187
0.328
0.000
0.009
0.626
0.154
=
=
97.56
0.0000
-.2802483
4.389438
2.190369
5.942684
-.0589911
1.236752
3.041811
.330261
-1.32458
2.537007
3.66414
, 5%- gdp_growthit,
top5_concentrit liborit .
,
.
,
, ,
,
, ,
.
.
,
,
, , , .
, ,
.
,
.
LIBOR , , ,
- ,
. , , ,
, LIBOR.
,
LIBOR
.
, , 2 4
, ,
-,
, .
:
Marginit = it + 1*staff_costsit + 2*staff_costs_stateit + 3*loss_provisionsit +
4*loss_provisions_stateit + 1*state_ownershipit + 2*rating_russiait + 3*cb_ref_rateit
31
STATA 8.
Random-effects GLS regression
Group variable: bank_id
Number of obs
Number of groups
=
=
144
24
R-sq:
6
6.0
6
within = 0.4151
between = 0.2311
overall = 0.3198
Wald chi2(7)
Prob > chi2
margin
Coef.
Std. Err.
staff_costs
staff_cost~e
loss_provi~s
loss_provi~e
state_owne~p
rating_rus~a
cb_ref_rate
_cons
-1.163366
2.88727
1.313677
3.079186
-.1934892
.14206
-3.302767
.2926317
.5542663
.7619968
.4154947
1.379267
.0680711
.0342684
1.058128
.0633165
sigma_u
sigma_e
rho
.09546092
.08678713
.54748577
-2.10
3.79
3.16
2.23
-2.84
4.15
-3.12
4.62
P>|z|
=
=
88.43
0.0000
0.036
0.000
0.002
0.026
0.004
0.000
0.002
0.000
-2.249708
1.393784
.4993225
.375872
-.3269062
.0748951
-5.37666
.1685336
-.0770242
4.380757
2.128032
5.782499
-.0600723
.2092248
-1.228873
.4167298
, ,
R2
32%. ,
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dummy-
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1,7 .
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2 . ,
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("significantly overstaffed relative to their rivals" Otchere, p. 2089).
33
1.
9%
8%
8,2%
7,2%
7%
6,8%
6%
5,2%
5%
4%
3%
5,8%
4,0%
3,7%
4,4%
4,8%
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2%
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
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2004
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2006
2007
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2004
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62.1%
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10%
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55%
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56.4%
56.1%
53.9%
50.9%
52.5%
50%
48.6%
49.7%
45%
44.5%
40%
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
4 ,
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37
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50%
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,
2007 ,
30-40% .
.
2008
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2008
, .
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18%
16%
14%
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
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18.7%
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7.4%
7.6%
2003
2004
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2005
2006
2007
2008
,
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6.66%
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6.62%
6.60%
6.70%
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6.09%
5.96%
2005
2006
5.84%
5%
4%
2003
2004
2007
2008
, 2007
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40
,
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[11, . 10].
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41
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7.
5.0%
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3.0%
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2.92%
3.70%
3.22%
2.65%
2.88%
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2.41%
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2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
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(Claessence, Laevine,
2005; Demirg-Kunt A., Laeven L., Levine R., 2004 etc.). ,
44
,
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(Berger A.
N., Klapper L. F., Turk-Ariss R.; Schaek, 2006 etc.).
.
.
.
,
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F., Shleifer A., 2000; Bonin J. P., Hasan I., Wachtel P., 2000a etc.).
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Levine R., 2003). ,
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48
:
1.
12 1993 . ( ,
30.12.2008 N 6- 30.12.2008 N 7-)
2.
3.
4.
. . .
// 6 (145), 2007
5.
. . // . .,
2007. - 7.
6.
..
,
http://www.cfin.ru/bandurin/article/sbrn03/01.shtml
7.
..
, http://www.cfin.ru/bandurin/article/sbrn08/03.shtml
8.
9.
. . //
, 11/2009, . 4 14
10.
. . . .:
, 2001
11.
, -
- , 2009,
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