Semana Demanda Periodo Error ABS ERROR CUADRATICO

1 92 128.945 -36.945 36.945 1364.933025

2 80 125.2505 -45.2505 45.2505 2047.60775025
3 105 120.72545 -15.72545 15.72545 247.2897777025
4 121 119.15291 1.847095 1.847095 3.41175993902498
5 99 119.33761 -20.3376145 20.3376145 413.61856355061
6 120 117.30385 2.69614695 2.69614695 7.26920837599422
7 50 117.57347 -67.5734677 67.57346775 4566.17354308456
8 190 110.81612 79.18387903 79.18387903 6270.08669815849
9 117 118.73451 -1.73450887 1.734508873 3.00852103207688
10 99 118.56106 -19.561058 19.56105799 382.634989535763
11 128 116.60495 11.39504781 11.39504781 129.847114649286
12 119 117.74446 1.255543031 1.255543031 1.57638830333278
13 113 117.87001 -4.87001127 4.870011272 23.7170097881465
14 72 117.38301 -45.3830101 45.38301014 2059.61760979245
15 85 112.84471 -27.8447091 27.84470913 775.327826546289
16 105 110.06024 -5.06023822 5.060238217 25.6060108147472
17 109 109.55421 -0.5542144 0.554214395 0.307153596150932
18 96 109.49879 -13.498793 13.49879296 182.217411266981
19 98 108.14891 -10.1489137 10.14891366 103.000448484918
20 109 107.13402 1.865977706 1.865977706 3.48187279816659
21 85 107.32062 -22.3206201 22.32062006 498.210080080308
22 103 105.08856 -2.08855806 2.088558058 4.36207476323918
23 124 104.8797 19.12029775 19.12029775 365.585785951323 200
24 114 106.79173 7.208267973 7.208267973 51.9591271663861 180
25 97 107.51256 -10.5125588 10.51255882 110.513893039869 160
26 89 106.4613 -17.4613029 17.46130294 304.897100435982 140
27 144 104.71517 39.28482735 39.28482735 1543.2976600847 120
100
28 94 108.64366 -14.6436554 14.64365538 214.436642979154
80
29 105 107.17929 -2.17928984 2.179289845 4.74930422762628
60
30 113 106.96136 6.03863914 6.03863914 36.4651626593303
40
31 96 107.56522 -11.5652248 11.56522477 133.75442407971 20
32 125 106.4087 18.5912977 18.5912977 345.636350286946 0
33 118 108.26783 9.732167933 9.732167933 94.7150926728056 0 5 10
34 97 109.24105 -12.2410489 12.24104886 149.843277203996 Dem
35 135 108.01694 26.98305603 26.98305603 728.085312480255
36 147 110.71525 36.28475042 36.28475042 1316.5831132618
37 110 114.34372 -4.34372462 4.343724619 18.8679435680541
38 103 113.90935 -10.9093522 10.90935216 119.013964492929

S0 128.945 MAD-ECM 18.00631101 648.729184002734

Alfa 0.10 Desviación 22.50788876 25.4701626222279
 gráfico Demanda Vs periodo
200
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

Demanda Linear (Demanda) Periodo

Semana Demanda Periodo Error ABS ERROR CUADRATICO
1 92 128.945 -36.945 36.945 1364.933025
2 80 124.27469 -44.2746925 44.27469252 1960.24839767125
3 105 118.67782 -13.6778207 13.67782075 187.082780344656
4 121 116.94877 4.051225906 4.051225906 16.4124313437404
5 99 117.4609 -18.4608994 18.46089943 340.804807871977
6 120 115.12721 4.872787852 4.872787852 23.7440614459899
7 50 115.74319 -65.7431931 65.74319314 4322.16744361442
8 190 107.43244 82.56756412 82.56756412 6817.40264433462
9 117 117.87 -0.87000287 0.87000287 0.756904994161623
10 99 117.76002 -18.7600237 18.76002369 351.93848874739
11 128 115.38852 12.61147662 12.61147662 159.04934261452
12 119 116.98277 2.01722913 2.01722913 4.06921336460118
13 113 117.23777 -4.23777372 4.23777372 17.9587260995361
14 72 116.70207 -44.7020664 44.70206642 1998.27474193504
15 85 111.05117 -26.0511693 26.05116927 678.663420188661
16 105 107.75798 -2.75797748 2.757977476 7.60643976026858
17 109 107.40933 1.590665177 1.590665177 2.53021570621212
18 96 107.61041 -11.6104147 11.61041468 134.80172913562
19 98 106.14271 -8.14271387 8.142713871 66.3037891780324
20 109 105.11337 3.886626433 3.886626433 15.105865027187
21 85 105.60469 -20.6046915 20.60469149 424.553311231013
22 103 103 -2.2239E-06 2.223907E-06 4.94576229674321E-12
23 124 103 20.99999806 20.99999806 440.999918403349
24 114 105.65466 8.345337128 8.345337128 69.6446517831652 200
25 97 106.70962 -9.70961727 9.709617275 94.2766676235868 180
26 89 105.4822 -16.4822009 16.48220089 271.662946306106 160
27 144 103.39865 40.60135429 40.60135429 1648.46996988782
140
28 94 108.53116 -14.5311618 14.53116185 211.154664707082
120
29 105 106.69424 -1.69424227 1.69424227 2.87045686820268
30 113 106.48007 6.519931024 6.519931024 42.5095005622829 100
31 96 107.30427 -11.3042693 11.30426934 127.786505419147 80
32 125 105.87527 19.12473089 19.12473089 365.755331627369 60
33 118 108.29287 9.707127054 9.707127054 94.2283156361951
40
34 97 109.51997 -12.5199745 12.51997453 156.74976229068
35 135 107.93729 27.06270596 27.06270596 732.390053771624 20

36 147 111.35836 35.64164335 35.64164335 1270.32674062716 0

0 5 10
37 110 115.8639 -5.86390364 5.863903641 34.3853659141739
38 103 115.12263 -12.1226333 12.12263329 146.958237939902 D
39 PRONÓSTICO 113.59018
S0 128.945 MAD-ECM 17.91228546 647.488864973072
Alfa 0.12641 Desviación 22.39035683 25.4458025020449
 gráfico Demanda Vs periodo
200
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

Demanda Linear (Demanda) Periodo

 SEMANA DEMANDA pronostico Error Abs Cuadratico
1 17 88.7642 -71.7642 71.7642 5150.1004
2 132 81.58778 50.41222 50.41222 2541.39193
De
3 43 86.629002 -43.629002 43.629002 1903.48982
gr
4 40 82.2661018 -42.2661018 42.2661018 1786.42336
5 127 78.0394916 48.9605084 48.9605084 2397.13138 160
6 17 82.9355425 -65.9355425 65.9355425 4347.49576 140
7 96 76.3419882 19.6580118 19.6580118 386.437427
8 138 78.3077894 59.6922106 59.6922106 3563.16001 120

9 64 84.2770105 -20.2770105 20.2770105 411.157153 100

10 56 82.2493094 -26.2493094 26.2493094 689.026244
11 122 79.6243785 42.3756215 42.3756215 1795.6933 80

12 143 83.8619406 59.1380594 59.1380594 3497.31007 60

13 57 89.7757466 -32.7757466 32.7757466 1074.24956
40
14 70 86.4981719 -16.4981719 16.4981719 272.189676
15 79 84.8483547 -5.84835471 5.84835471 34.2032528 20
16 115 84.2635192 30.7364808 30.7364808 944.731249
0
17 108 87.3371673 20.6628327 20.6628327 426.952655 0 5 10 1
18 48 89.4034506 -41.4034506 41.4034506 1714.24572
DEMANDA
19 67 85.2631055 -18.2631055 18.2631055 333.541023
20 85 83.436795 1.56320503 1.56320503 2.44360995
21 66 83.5931155 -17.5931155 17.5931155 309.517712
22 48 81.8338039 -33.8338039 33.8338039 1144.72629
23 22 78.4504235 -56.4504235 56.4504235 3186.65032
24 91 72.8053812 18.1946188 18.1946188 331.044154
25 61 74.6248431 -13.6248431 13.6248431 185.636349
26 74 73.2623588 0.73764124 0.73764124 0.5441146
27 82 73.3361229 8.66387712 8.66387712 75.0627667
28 115 74.2025106 40.7974894 40.7974894 1664.43514
29 19 78.2822595 -59.2822595 59.2822595 3514.3863
30 132 72.3540336 59.6459664 59.6459664 3557.64131
31 30 78.3186302 -48.3186302 48.3186302 2334.69003
32 93 73.4867672 19.5132328 19.5132328 380.766254
33 41 75.4380905 -34.4380905 34.4380905 1185.98208
34 64 71.9942814 -7.99428143 7.99428143 63.9085356
35 77 71.1948533 5.80514671 5.80514671 33.6997283
36 26 71.775368 -45.775368 45.775368 2095.38431
37 37 67.1978312 -30.1978312 30.1978312 911.909007
38 39 64.178048 -25.178048 25.178048 633.934103
MAD-ECM 32.7408898 1444.24453
DESVIACIÓN 40.9261123 38.0032173
alfa 0.10
 Demanda Vs periodo
gráfico

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

DEMANDA Linear (DEMANDA) pronostico

 semana demanda pronostico Error Abs Cuadratico
1 17 88.7642 -71.7642 71.7642 5150.1004
2 132 83.7907157 48.2092843 48.2092843 2324.13509
3 43 87.1317704 -44.1317704 44.1317704 1947.61316
4 40 84.0733002 -44.0733002 44.0733002 1942.45579 gráfico D
5 127 81.0188821 45.9811179 45.9811179 2114.2632 160
6 17 84.2055179 -67.2055179 67.2055179 4516.58164
7 96 79.5479646 16.4520354 16.4520354 270.669469 140
8 138 80.6881423 57.3118577 57.3118577 3284.64903
9 64 84.6600339 -20.6600339 20.6600339 426.837002 120
10 56 83.2282287 -27.2282287 27.2282287 741.37644
100
11 122 81.341227 40.658773 40.658773 1653.13582
12 143 84.1590076 58.8409924 58.8409924 3462.26239 80
13 57 88.2368731 -31.2368731 31.2368731 975.742239
14 70 86.0720597 -16.0720597 16.0720597 258.311104 60
15 79 84.9582155 -5.95821553 5.95821553 35.5003323
16 115 84.5452925 30.4547075 30.4547075 927.489209 40
17 108 86.6558993 21.3441007 21.3441007 455.570634
20
18 48 88.1351125 -40.1351125 40.1351125 1610.82725
19 67 85.3536232 -18.3536232 18.3536232 336.855485 0
20 85 84.0816595 0.91834048 0.91834048 0.84334924 0 5 10 15

21 66 84.1453034 -18.1453034 18.1453034 329.252035 demanda

22 48 82.8877769 -34.8877769 34.8877769 1217.15698
23 22 80.4699445 -58.4699445 58.4699445 3418.73441
24 91 76.4177938 14.5822062 14.5822062 212.640738
25 61 77.4283864 -16.4283864 16.4283864 269.891881
26 74 76.2898477 -2.28984769 2.28984769 5.24340246
27 82 76.1311541 5.86884594 5.86884594 34.4433527
28 115 76.5378835 38.4621165 38.4621165 1479.33441
29 19 79.2034289 -60.2034289 60.2034289 3624.45285
30 132 75.0311423 56.9688577 56.9688577 3245.45075
31 30 78.979263 -48.979263 48.979263 2398.9682
32 93 75.5848463 17.4151537 17.4151537 303.287578
33 41 76.7917711 -35.7917711 35.7917711 1281.05088
34 64 74.311289 -10.311289 10.311289 106.322682
35 77 73.5966843 3.40331566 3.40331566 11.5825575
36 26 73.8325448 -47.8325448 47.8325448 2287.95234
37 37 70.5175993 -33.5175993 33.5175993 1123.42946
38 39 68.1947245 -29.1947245 29.1947245 852.331936
MAD-ECM 32.6248032 1437.80909
DESVIACIÓN 40.7810039 37.9184532
alfa 0.0693
 gráfico Demanda Vs periodo

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

demanda Linear (demanda) pronostico