i TTF F¨(ti) (estiamcion de probabilidad) X Y X2

1 3 0.00749464668094218 1.098612289 -4.88980721 1.206948961

2 7 0.0182012847965739 1.945910149 -3.99709267 3.786566308
3 8 0.0289079229122056 2.079441542 -3.52900843 4.324077125
4 10 0.0396145610278373 2.302585093 -3.20841631 5.30189811
5 12 0.050321199143469 2.48490665 -2.96362418 6.174761058
6 19 0.0610278372591006 2.944438979 -2.76510566 8.669720902
7 20 0.0717344753747323 2.995732274 -2.59779595 8.974411855
8 23 0.082441113490364 3.135494216 -2.45296018 9.831323978
9 25 0.0931477516059957 3.218875825 -2.32507875 10.36116158
10 28 0.103854389721627 3.33220451 -2.21044021 11.1035869
11 31 0.114561027837259 3.433987204 -2.10642849 11.79226812
12 36 0.125267665952891 3.583518938 -2.01113007 12.84160798
13 37 0.135974304068522 3.610917913 -1.92310283 13.03872817
14 38 0.146680942184154 3.63758616 -1.84123278 13.23203307
15 42 0.157387580299786 3.737669618 -1.76464137 13.97017418
16 44 0.168094218415418 3.784189634 -1.69262341 14.32009119
17 46 0.178800856531049 3.828641396 -1.62460416 14.65849494
18 51 0.189507494646681 3.931825633 -1.56010892 15.45925281
19 52 0.200214132762313 3.951243719 -1.49874102 15.61232692
20 54 0.210920770877944 3.988984047 -1.44016552 15.91199372
21 56 0.221627408993576 4.025351691 -1.38409693 16.20345623
22 57 0.232334047109208 4.043051268 -1.33028991 16.34626355
23 61 0.243040685224839 4.110873864 -1.27853195 16.89928393
24 62 0.253747323340471 4.127134385 -1.22863774 17.03323823
25 64 0.264453961456103 4.158883083 -1.18044462 17.2963085
26 65 0.275160599571734 4.17438727 -1.13380899 17.42550908
27 70 0.285867237687366 4.248495242 -1.08860337 18.04971182
28 72 0.296573875802998 4.276666119 -1.04471399 18.28987309
29 74 0.30728051391863 4.304065093 -1.00203888 18.52497633
30 76 0.317987152034261 4.33073334 -0.96048616 18.75525126
31 77 0.328693790149893 4.343805422 -0.91997276 18.86864554
32 85 0.339400428265525 4.442651256 -0.8804232 19.73715019
33 87 0.350107066381156 4.465908119 -0.84176866 19.94433532
34 95 0.360813704496788 4.553876892 -0.80394618 20.73779474
35 96 0.37152034261242 4.564348191 -0.76689788 20.83327441
36 97 0.382226980728051 4.574710979 -0.73057043 20.92798054
37 99 0.392933618843683 4.59511985 -0.69491447 21.11512644
38 102 0.403640256959315 4.624972813 -0.65988418 21.39037352
39 104 0.414346895074947 4.644390899 -0.62543688 21.57036682
40 107 0.425053533190578 4.672828834 -0.59153265 21.83532932
41 111 0.43576017130621 4.709530201 -0.55813408 22.17967472
42 113 0.446466809421842 4.727387819 -0.52520592 22.34819559
43 114 0.457173447537473 4.736198448 -0.49271489 22.43157574
44 116 0.467880085653105 4.753590191 -0.46062945 22.5966197
45 118 0.478586723768737 4.770684624 -0.42891955 22.75943179
46 125 0.489293361884368 4.828313737 -0.39755654 23.31261355
47 125.3 0.5 4.830710862 -0.36651292 23.33576743
48 127 0.510706638115632 4.844187086 -0.33576222 23.46614853
49 128 0.521413276231263 4.852030264 -0.30527887 23.54219768
50 129 0.532119914346895 4.859812404 -0.27503802 23.61777661
51 130 0.542826552462527 4.86753445 -0.24501548 23.69289163
52 146 0.553533190578158 4.983606622 -0.21518751 24.83633496
53 150 0.56423982869379 5.010635294 -0.1855308 25.10646605
54 152 0.574946466809422 5.023880521 -0.15602225 25.23937549
55 154 0.585653104925054 5.036952602 -0.12663892 25.37089152
56 158 0.596359743040685 5.062595033 -0.0973579 25.62986847
57 160 0.607066381156317 5.075173815 -0.06815616 25.75738925
58 169 0.617773019271949 5.129898715 -0.03901045 26.31586083
59 183 0.62847965738758 5.209486153 -0.00989716 27.13874598
60 187 0.639186295503212 5.231108617 0.01920785 27.36449736
61 196 0.649892933618844 5.278114659 0.04832936 27.85849436
62 206 0.660599571734475 5.327876169 0.077492996 28.38626447
63 209 0.671306209850107 5.342334252 0.106725405 28.54053526
64 222 0.682012847965739 5.402677382 0.136054469 29.18892289
65 223 0.692719486081371 5.407171771 0.165509542 29.23750657
66 223.7 0.703426124197002 5.410305868 0.195121727 29.27140959
67 224 0.714132762312634 5.411646052 0.224924189 29.28591299
68 225 0.724839400428266 5.416100402 0.254952522 29.33414357
69 236 0.735546038543897 5.463831805 0.285245182 29.85345799
70 241 0.746252676659529 5.484796933 0.315843999 30.0829974
71 244 0.756959314775161 5.497168225 0.34679479 30.2188585
72 258 0.767665952890792 5.552959585 0.378148096 30.83536015
73 259 0.778372591006424 5.556828062 0.409960087 30.87833811
74 260 0.789079229122056 5.560681631 0.442293674 30.9211802
75 266 0.799785867237687 5.583496309 0.475219889 31.17543103
76 282 0.810492505353319 5.641907071 0.508819637 31.8311154
77 304 0.821199143468951 5.717027701 0.543185911 32.68440574
78 319 0.831905781584582 5.765191103 0.578426682 33.23742845
79 322 0.842612419700214 5.774551546 0.614668668 33.34544555
80 324 0.853319057815846 5.780743516 0.652062398 33.4169956
81 340 0.864025695931478 5.828945618 0.690789078 33.97660701
82 344 0.874732334047109 5.840641657 0.731070179 34.11309497
83 383 0.885438972162741 5.948034989 0.77318109 35.37912023
84 391 0.896145610278373 5.96870756 0.817471204 35.62546994
85 435 0.906852248394004 6.075346031 0.864394443 36.9098294
86 484 0.917558886509636 6.182084907 0.914557637 38.21817379
87 532 0.928265524625268 6.276643489 0.968801136 39.39625349
88 559 0.938972162740899 6.326149473 1.028341877 40.02016716
89 640 0.949678800856531 6.461468176 1.095048893 41.75057099
90 656 0.960385438972163 6.486160789 1.172035761 42.07028178
91 872 0.971092077087794 6.770789424 1.265154327 45.84358942
92 1263 0.981798715203426 7.141245122 1.38785891 50.9973819
93 1306 0.992505353319058 7.17472431 1.58792134 51.47666892
XY
-5.37200229
-7.77798319
-7.33836673 Ʃx 441.70868944769
-7.38765157 Ʃy -52.7620641358609
-7.36432944 Ʃ x2 2213.75941243786
-8.14168488 n numero de datos 93
-7.78230117 ƩXY -123.145916341812
-7.69124246
-7.48413979
-7.36563884 b(pendiente) 1.10023457188663 si β es mayor que 1 la
-7.23344848 a(intercepto) -5.79295951579512 maquina esta en la vejes,
-7.2069227 β(pendiente) 1.10023457188663 si beta es menor que 1
-6.94416647 α(parametro de vida) 193.485784118124 esta en la infacia , si beta
-6.69764289 es cercano a 1 se
encuentra en la madures
-6.59564644 MTTF (horas) 186.683738054132
-6.40520797 n´ 1.90889708935908
-6.22002673 Γ 0.964844724407043
-6.13407623
-5.92189105
-5.74479728 MTTF
-5.57147694 x y
-5.37843031 186.683738054132 0
-5.25588359 186.683738054132 1%
-5.07075306
-4.90933117
-4.73295783
-4.62492623
-4.46789294
-4.31284056
-4.15960945
-3.99618266
-3.91141322
-3.75926151 0.6000000000%
-3.66107193 Densidad de fallas
-3.50038897 0.5000000000%
-3.34214858
-3.19321529
-3.0519464 0.4000000000%
-2.90477334
-2.76413084 0.3000000000%
-2.6285493
-2.48285207
0.2000000000%
-2.33359551
-2.18964361
-2.04623992 0.1000000000%
-1.91952772
-1.77051795
0.0000000000% MTTF
-1.62649502 0 200 400 600 800
 0.1000000000%

0.0000000000% MTTF
0 200 400 600 800
-1.4812223
-1.33663319
-1.19262127
-1.07240992
-0.92962716
-0.78383712 Probabilidad de fallas
-0.63787424
-0.49288362 120.000%
-0.34590436
-0.20011967 100.000%
-0.0515591
0.100478351 80.000%
0.255087905
0.412873088 60.000%
0.570162789
0.735058402 40.000%
0.894938525
1.055668226 20.000%
1.217210099
1.380848455 0.000%
0 200 400 600 800
1.558531697
1.732340199
1.906389301
2.099841094 Probabilidad de fallas y m
2.278077717 todo empírico
2.459454306
2.653388497 120.000%
2.870713105
3.105408902 100.000%
3.334740358
80.000%
3.549435909
3.769405477 60.000%
4.026571971
4.26991894 40.000%
4.598908176
4.879246554 20.000%
5.251495348
5.653872967 0.000%
0 200 400 600 800
6.080819346
6.505444421
7.075623572
7.602012394
8.566093535
9.911040672
11.39289784
 t R(t)(confiabilidad) F(t)(probabilidad de falla) f(t) distribucion de weibull λ tasa de fallas
1 99.70% 0.304% 0.3344342867% 0.00335455515
50 79.80% 20.199% 0.3962200647% 0.0049651282
100 61.65% 38.353% 0.3281067623% 0.00532235795
150 46.97% 53.033% 0.2603453425% 0.00554312295
200 35.45% 64.552% 0.2022409298% 0.00570528958
250 26.56% 73.438% 0.1549694352% 0.00583433586
300 19.79% 80.214% 0.1175686562% 0.00594193811
350 14.67% 85.334% 0.0885006825% 0.00603446131
400 10.82% 89.176% 0.0661945540% 0.00611577226
450 7.96% 92.043% 0.0492430229% 0.00618840255
500 5.83% 94.170% 0.0364608787% 0.00625410313
550 4.26% 95.742% 0.0268849268% 0.00631413723
600 3.10% 96.899% 0.0197505173% 0.00636944713
650 2.25% 97.748% 0.0144606661% 0.00642075505
700 1.63% 98.368% 0.0105551365% 0.00646862716
750 1.18% 98.821% 0.0076826374% 0.0065135158
800 0.85% 99.149% 0.0055772123% 0.00655578825
850 0.61% 99.388% 0.0040388834% 0.00659574699
900 0.44% 99.560% 0.0029181639% 0.00663364412
950 0.32% 99.685% 0.0021038801% 0.00666969211
1000 0.23% 99.774% 0.0015137257% 0.00670407172
1050 0.16% 99.839% 0.0010870126% 0.00673693802
1100 0.12% 99.885% 0.0007791564% 0.00676842513
1150 0.08% 99.918% 0.0005575128% 0.00679864984
1200 0.06% 99.942% 0.0003982531% 0.00682771445
1250 0.04% 99.959% 0.0002840328% 0.00685570916
1306 0.03% 99.972% 0.0001941657% 0.00688589135

R(t)(confiabilidad)
ad de fallas 120.00%

100.00%

80.00%

60.00%

40.00%

20.00%

0.00%
0 800 1000 1200 1400 0 200 400 600 800
 20.00%

0.00%
0 800 1000 1200 1400 0 200 400 600 800

λ tasa de
0.008

dad de fallas 0.007

0.006

0.005

0.004

0.003

0.002

0.001

0
0 200 400 600

800 1000 1200 1400

bilidad de fallas y me
todo empírico

600 800 1000 1200 1400

 R(t)(confiabilidad)

0 600 800 1000 1200 1400

0 600 800 1000 1200 1400

λ tasa de fallas

400 600 800 1000 1200 1400

i TTF (µ-x) (µ-x)2
1 3 193.09 37282.2117 µ MTTF 196.0860215
2 7 189.09 35753.52353 σ 225.7018228
3 8 188.09 35376.35149
4 10 186.09 34628.0074 ∑(µ-x) 0.00
5 12 184.09 33887.66331 Ʃ(µ-x)2 4737542.092
6 19 177.09 31359.45901 σ2 50941.31282
7 20 176.09 31006.28697 σ 225.7018228
8 23 173.09 29958.77084
9 25 171.09 29270.42675
10 28 168.09 28252.91063
11 31 165.09 27253.3945
12 36 160.09 25627.53428
13 37 159.09 25308.36224
14 38 158.09 24991.1902
15 42 154.09 23742.50202
16 44 152.09 23130.15794
17 46 150.09 22525.81385
18 51 145.09 21049.95364
19 52 144.09 20760.78159
20 54 142.09 20188.43751
21 56 140.09 19624.09342
22 57 139.09 19344.92138
23 61 135.09 18248.23321
24 62 134.09 17979.06116
25 64 132.09 17446.71708
26 65 131.09 17183.54503
27 70 126.09 15897.68482
28 72 124.09 15397.34073
29 74 122.09 14904.99665
30 76 120.09 14420.65256
0.012
31 77 119.09 14181.48052
32 85 111.09 12340.10417
33 87 109.09 11899.76009
0.01
34 95 101.09 10218.38374
35 96 100.09 10017.2117
36 97 99.09 9818.039658
0.008
DENSIDAD DE FALLLAS

37 99 97.09 9425.695572
38 102 94.09 8852.179443
39 104 92.09 8479.835357
0.006
40 107 89.09 7936.319228
41 111 85.09 7239.631056
42 113 83.09 6903.28697
0.004
43 114 82.09 6738.114927
44 116 80.09 6413.770841
45 118 78.09 6097.426755
0.002
46 125 71.09 5053.222453
47 125.3 70.79 5010.660841
0
0 200 400

HORA
 0.002

48 127 69.09 4772.878367

0
49 128 68.09 4635.706324 0 200 400
50 129 67.09 4500.534281
51 130 66.09 4367.362238 HORA
52 146 50.09 2508.60955
53 150 46.09 2123.921378 f(t) d
54 152 44.09 1943.577292
55 154 42.09 1771.233206
56 158 38.09 1450.545034 0.12
57 160 36.09 1302.200948
58 169 27.09 733.652561
59 183 13.09 171.2439588 0.1
60 187 9.09 82.5557868
61 196 0.09 0.007399699
62 206 -9.91 98.28696959 0.08
63 209 -12.91 166.7708406

TASA DE FALLAS
64 222 -25.91 671.5342814
65 223 -26.91 724.3622384
0.06 0.055
66 223.7 -27.61 762.5318083
0.0503644
67 224 -27.91 779.1901954
0.04526903099
68 225 -28.91 836.0181524 0.040320576586694
69 236 -39.91 1593.125679 0.04 0.0355429025538136
70 241 -44.91 2017.265464 0.0309630454791945
0.0266111797907501
71 244 -47.91 2295.749335 0.0225200988712157
72 258 -61.91 3833.340733 0.0187241359603965
0.020.0152573601314829
73 259 -62.91 3958.16869 0.0121509516023773
0.00948035550544126
74 260 -63.91 4084.996647
75 266 -69.91 4887.964389 0
76 282 -85.91 7381.211701 0 200 400
77 304 -107.91 11645.42675 H
78 319 -122.91 15107.84611
79 322 -125.91 15854.32998
80 324 -127.91 16361.98589 λ(fall
81 340 -143.91 20711.23321
82 344 -147.91 21878.54503
83 383 -186.91 34936.83536
84 391 -194.91 37991.45901
85 435 -238.91 57079.88912
86 484 -287.91 82894.45901
87 532 -335.91 112838.2009
88 559 -362.91 131706.5558
89 640 -443.91 197059.6203
90 656 -459.91 211520.8676
91 872 -675.91 456859.7063
92 1263 -1066.91 1138305.438
93 1306 -1109.91 1231909.04
 t (horas) R(t) Confiabilidad F(t) probabilidad de falla f(t) densidad de falla
1 81% 19% 0.00764403876742153
50 74% 26% 0.00900708319252607
100 66% 34% 0.0101437711515885
150 58% 42% 0.0108768024374779
200 49% 51% 0.0111042585806507
250 41% 59% 0.010793552828718
300 32% 68% 0.00998908722258175
350 25% 75% 0.00880184503043408
400 18% 82% 0.0073842800540015
450 13% 87% 0.00589833084976745
500 9% 91% 0.00448576613878668
550 6% 94% 0.00324810945718289
600 4% 96% 0.00223929449505763
650 2% 98% 0.0014698678733353
700 1% 99% 0.00091861157131941
750 1% 99% 0.00054660305481604
800 0% 100% 0.00030966970906671
850 0% 100% 0.00016703670962173
900 0% 100% 8.5785059251705E-05
950 0% 100% 4.1946710958835E-05
1000 0% 100% 1.9528581573025E-05
1050 0% 100% 8.6562544820336E-06
1100 0% 100% 3.6532202798448E-06
1150 0% 100% 1.4679397569704E-06
1200 0% 100% 5.6160004594197E-07
1250 0% 100% 2.0456558171804E-07
1306 0% 100% 6.2273502732484E-08

90%

80%

70%

60%
CONFIAVILIDAD

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

200 400 600 800 1000 1200 0%

0 200
HORAS DE TRABAJO
 30%

20%

10%

200 400 600 800 1000 1200 0%

0 200
HORAS DE TRABAJO

f(t) densidad de falla

120%
0.106057634797103
0.100249026945104
0.0944756556733568 100%
0.0887424037787387
0.0830549875943542
0.0774201152640518

PROBABILIDAD DE FALLA
80%
0.0718456741403756
0.0663409505429344
0.0609168838093576
0.0555863538313569 60%
0.0503644962476619
0.0452690309995738
0.0403205765866944 40%
0.0355429025538136
0.0309630454791945
0.0266111797907501
0.0225200988712157
0.0187241359603965 20%
52573601314829
9516023773
544126
0%
0 200
200 400 600 800 1000 1200

HORAS DE TRABAJO

λ(fallas/horas)tasa de fallas
 λ(fallas/horas)tasa de fallas mttf
0.00948035550544126 105.4812765
0.0121509516023773 82.29808107
0.0152573601314829 65.54213779
0.0187241359603965 53.40700378
0.0225200988712157 44.4047784
0.0266111797907501 37.57819112
0.0309630454791945 32.29656465
0.0355429025538136 28.13501229
0.0403205765866944 24.80123264
0.0452690309995738 22.09015696
0.0503644962476619 19.85525667
0.0555863538313569 17.99002689
0.0609168838093576 16.41581016
0.0663409505429344 15.07364594
0.0718456741403756 13.91872248
0.0774201152640518 12.9165398
0.0830549875943542 12.04021611
0.0887424037787387 11.26857012
0.0944756556733568 10.58473734
0.100249026945104 9.975159166
0.106057634797103 9.428835575
0.111897297133071 8.936766353
0.117764421508985 8.491528997
0.123655912498464 8.086956619
0.129569094490183 7.717889856
0.135501647322653 7.37998408
0.142166621246164 7.033999903

90%

80%

70%

60%
CONFIAVILIDAD

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

0%
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200

HORAS DE TRABAJO
30%

20%

10%

0%
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200

HORAS DE TRABAJO
R(t) Confiabilidad

120%

100%
PROBABILIDAD DE FALLA

80%

60%

40%

20%

0%
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200

HORAS DE TRABAJO

F(t) probabilidad de falla

120%

100%

80%

60%

40%

20%

0%
0 200 400 600 800 1000

R(t) Confiabilidad f(t) densidad de falla

λ(fallas/horas)tasa de fallas F(t) probabilidad de falla
 800 1000 1200

f(t) densidad de falla

F(t) probabilidad de falla
i TTF MTTF 196.0860215
1 3 λ 0.005099803
2 7
3 8
4 10
5 12
6 19
7 20
8 23
9 25
10 28
11 31
12 36
13 37
14 38
15 42
16 44
17 46
18 51
19 52
20 54
21 56
22 57
23 61
24 62
25 64
26 65
27 70
28 72
29 74
30 76
31 77
32 85
33 87
34 95
35 96
36 97
37 99
38 102
39 104
40 107
41 111
42 113
43 114
44 116
45 118
46 125
47 125.3
48 127
49 128
50 129
51 130
52 146
53 150
54 152
55 154
56 158
57 160
58 169
59 183
60 187
61 196
62 206
63 209
64 222
65 223
66 223.7
67 224
68 225
69 236
70 241
71 244
72 258
73 259
74 260
75 266
76 282
77 304
78 319
79 322
80 324
81 340
82 344
83 383
84 391
85 435
86 484
87 532
88 559
89 640
90 656
91 872
92 1263
93 1306
t R(t)(confiabilidad) F(t)(probabilidad de falla) f(t) densidad λ(t)tasa de fallas
1 0.994913179327155 0.00508682067284472 0.00507386081 0.0050998025883
50 0.774924146878499
100 0.600507433415369
150 0.465347710533602
200 0.360609177587114
250 0.279444759298252
300 0.216548491698865
350 0.167808655187569
400 0.130038978960055
450 0.100770344831572
500 0.078089373499258
550 0.060513341139189
600 0.046893249257053
650 0.036338711174883
700 0.02815974475586
750 0.021821666181251
800 0.016910136048974
850 0.01310407275135
900 0.010154662397474
950 0.007869093095202
1000 0.006097950253507
1050 0.004725448897906
1100 0.003661864455828
1150 0.002837667189417
1200 0.002198976825884
1250 0.001704040240804
1306 0.001280708062326
R(t)(confiabilidad)
1.2
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
0 200 400
0.006
0.005
0.004
0.003
0.225075853121501 0.00395196017 0.0050998025883
0.399492566584631 0.00306246936 0.0050998025883
0.534652289466398 0.00237318146 0.0050998025883
0.639390822412886 0.00183903562 0.0050998025883
0.720555240701748 0.00142511311 0.0050998025883
0.783451508301135 0.00110435456 0.0050998025883
0.832191344812431 0.00085579101 0.0050998025883
0.869961021039945 0.00066317312 0.0050998025883
0.899229655168428 0.00051390887 0.0050998025883
0.921910626500742 0.00039824039 0.0050998025883
0.939486658860811 0.00030860609 0.0050998025883
0.953106750742947 0.00023914631 0.0050998025883
0.963661288825117 0.00018532025 0.0050998025883
0.97184025524414 0.00014360914 0.0050998025883
0.978178333818749 0.00011128619 0.0050998025883
0.983089863951026 8.6238356E-05 0.0050998025883
0.98689592724865 6.6828184E-05 0.0050998025883
0.989845337602526 5.1786774E-05 0.0050998025883
0.992130906904798 4.0130821E-05 0.0050998025883
0.993902049746493 3.1098342E-05 0.0050998025883
0.995274551102094 2.4098857E-05 0.0050998025883
0.996338135544172 1.8674786E-05 0.0050998025883
0.997162332810583 1.4471542E-05 0.0050998025883
0.997801023174116 1.1214348E-05 0.0050998025883
0.998295959759196 8.6902688E-06 0.0050998025883
0.998719291937674 6.5313583E-06 0.0050998025883
600 800 1000 1200 1400
f(t) densidad
 f(t) densidad
0.006

0.005

0.004

0.003

0.002

0.001

0
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400
 F(t)(probabilidad de falla)
1.2

0.8

0.6

0.4

0.2

0
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400

λ(t)tasa de fallas
0.006

0.005

0.004

0.003

0.002
0.006

0.005

0.004

0.003

0.002

0.001

0
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400