Ano TPES_China TPES_USA TPES_China_ TPES_USA_1 GDP_China GDP_USA CO2_China

1972 6.01940481 7.41865112 5.96885486 7.36989664 6.04181302 8.5558474 -0.03624913

1973 6.05586954 7.45584264 6.01940481 7.41865112 6.11654975 8.61074401 -0.02040681
1974 6.08158241 7.43336904 6.05586954 7.45584264 6.13938658 8.60555895 -0.02091725
1975 6.18081902 7.41067747 6.08158241 7.43336904 6.22299285 8.60358022 0.11618175
1976 6.21448909 7.47658908 6.18081902 7.41067747 6.20716849 8.6560408 0.14071801
1977 6.30000127 7.50922885 6.21448909 7.47658908 6.28013925 8.70109633 0.25122554
1978 6.38029523 7.53810211 6.30000127 7.50922885 6.39048728 8.75522157 0.36095577
1979 6.39669029 7.53585309 6.38029523 7.53810211 6.46373747 8.78648464 0.36519851
1980 6.39362219 7.49813768 6.39669029 7.53585309 6.53890798 8.78403572 0.3292318
1981 6.38602913 7.47013866 6.39362219 7.49813768 6.58933905 8.8096495 0.31115443
1982 6.41684241 7.42754102 6.38602913 7.47013866 6.67491486 8.79035571 0.33740038
1983 6.45583908 7.42839041 6.41684241 7.42754102 6.77778895 8.83563936 0.37232189
1984 6.51478795 7.47040697 6.45583908 7.42839041 6.9187605 8.90571639 0.44551881
1985 6.53861988 7.48100564 6.51478795 7.47040697 7.04489378 8.94723006 0.43612363
1986 6.57373547 7.47943746 6.53861988 7.48100564 7.13051876 8.98174373 0.4714401
1987 6.6237705 7.52119274 6.57373547 7.47943746 7.2410661 9.01577541 0.52372211
1988 6.6765163 7.55969341 6.6237705 7.52119274 7.34753614 9.05695548 0.58249491
1989 6.69707437 7.57428781 6.6765163 7.55969341 7.38854305 9.09309968 0.60157999
1990 6.76927635 7.55749953 6.69707437 7.57428781 7.42686985 9.11211148 0.60360533
1991 6.74282674 7.56559461 6.76927635 7.55749953 7.5157421 9.11137028 0.64216963
1992 6.77626728 7.58546435 6.74282674 7.56559461 7.64866448 9.14630679 0.67217887
1993 6.83385295 7.60282291 6.77626728 7.58546435 7.77853052 9.17339523 0.74649836
1994 6.88010809 7.62133577 6.83385295 7.60282291 7.90120962 9.21297779 0.77449673
1995 6.95120732 7.63400701 6.88010809 7.62133577 8.00511211 9.23980451 0.87388415
1996 6.97863919 7.6559836 6.95120732 7.63400701 8.09977108 9.27706054 0.85819541
1997 6.97824254 7.66599586 6.97863919 7.6559836 8.18806365 9.32095332 0.85988968
1998 6.98322196 7.67446941 6.97824254 7.66599586 8.26351981 9.36449074 0.8818235
1999 7.0017698 7.70115332 6.98322196 7.67446941 8.3373974 9.41027834 0.83936649
2000 7.02982768 7.7290072 7.0017698 7.70115332 8.4188992 9.45038493 0.89392242
2001 7.06327066 7.71007278 7.02982768 7.7290072 8.49900254 9.4600975 0.93597571
2002 7.12750267 7.72132361 7.06327066 7.71007278 8.58637815 9.47780109 1.00485091
2003 7.25814641 7.72363748 7.12750267 7.72132361 8.68201196 9.50548223 1.14594107
2004 7.38685838 7.7440361 7.25814641 7.72363748 8.77833271 9.54264063 1.29324662
2005 7.48514722 7.74879254 7.38685838 7.7440361 8.88625196 9.57554541 1.4133257
2006 7.57494753 7.73928297 7.48514722 7.74879254 9.00598398 9.60186232 1.50616411
2007 7.64853023 7.75678194 7.57494753 7.73928297 9.13903984 9.61949174 1.5908869
2008 7.67507819 7.73066387 7.64853023 7.75678194 9.23120224 9.61657119 1.60715531
2009 7.73933221 7.68006552 7.67507819 7.73066387 9.32104132 9.58842353 1.66347145
2010 7.83845557 7.70310863 7.73933221 7.68006552 9.42211789 9.61342745 1.75112843
2011 7.90893535 7.69184754 7.83845557 7.70310863 9.513205 9.62931515 1.84026388
2012 7.94398505 7.67625169 7.90893535 7.69184754 9.58883427 9.65131167 1.85352853
2013 7.97547232 7.68676538 7.94398505 7.67625169 9.66354868 9.6679459 1.89119748
2014 7.9907513 7.70382365 7.97547232 7.68676538 9.73398536 9.69137389 1.89065413
2015 7.99741215 7.69087026 7.9907513 7.70382365 9.80088052 9.71700411 1.88603881
CO2_USA Año USA_GPD_Constantes_2010_BilTPES (Mtoe) CO2 (mill TonPob (mill)
3.07106699 1971 4 915.4 1 587.6 4 289.0 207.7
3.096898 1972 5 173.9 1 666.9 4 528.0 209.9
3.05496298 1973 5 466.0 1 730.1 4 691.1 211.9
3.00388396 1974 5 436.5 1 691.6 4 540.0 213.9
3.05235832 1975 5 425.3 1 653.7 4 355.8 216.0
3.07739521 1976 5 717.6 1 766.3 4 616.8 218.1
3.06462847 1977 5 982.0 1 824.9 4 781.6 220.3
3.05966436 1978 6 313.1 1 878.4 4 771.1 222.6
3.00456317 1979 6 513.0 1 874.2 4 800.3 225.1
2.98105001 1980 6 496.3 1 804.8 4 595.8 227.7
2.92342499 1981 6 661.1 1 755.0 4 533.9 230.0
2.90820076 1982 6 541.1 1 681.8 4 321.1 232.2
2.94297475 1983 6 840.9 1 683.3 4 294.5 234.3
2.94046795 1984 7 335.9 1 755.4 4 485.6 236.4
2.92332286 1985 7 641.8 1 774.2 4 514.3 238.5
2.94840479 1986 7 906.4 1 771.3 4 478.0 240.7
2.983437 1987 8 180.0 1 846.9 4 633.0 242.8
2.9868227 1988 8 521.6 1 919.4 4 842.0 245.1
2.95469671 1989 8 834.6 1 947.6 4 904.5 247.4

2.93360152 1990 9 001.2 1 915.0 4 803.1 250.2

2.93529732 1991 8 991.5 1 930.8 4 765.8 253.5
2.94579595 1992 9 308.2 1 969.5 4 837.7 256.9
2.94798532 1993 9 564.4 2 004.1 4 952.8 260.3
2.94601668 1994 9 949.8 2 041.3 5 024.1 263.5
2.96476263 1995 10 216.9 2 067.3 5 073.9 266.6
2.98419599 1996 10 602.3 2 113.3 5 230.5 269.7
2.97596315 1997 11 073.8 2 134.5 5 495.0 273.0
2.968844 1998 11 570.1 2 152.6 5 545.4 276.2
2.99479183 1999 12 120.0 2 210.9 5 563.9 279.3
2.97815876 2000 12 620.3 2 273.8 5 729.9 282.4
2.95619591 2001 12 746.3 2 230.7 5 702.2 285.2
2.96015173 2002 12 968.3 2 256.1 5 545.5 288.0
2.96501014 2003 13 339.3 2 261.3 5 610.7 290.6
2.95828479 2004 13 846.1 2 307.9 5 688.8 293.3
2.93098573 2005 14 332.5 2 318.9 5 703.2 296.0
2.93631661 2006 14 741.7 2 296.9 5 602.4 298.8
2.89580143 2007 15 018.3 2 337.5 5 686.7 301.7
2.8132567 2008 14 997.8 2 277.2 5 512.5 304.5
2.84835113 2009 14 617.3 2 164.8 5 120.7 307.2
2.81499546 2010 14 992.1 2 216.9 5 352.1 309.8
2.77246997 2011 15 224.6 2 186.8 5 128.2 312.1
2.7793595 2012 15 567.0 2 147.6 4 903.0 314.4
2.78434435 2013 15 853.8 2 184.6 5 038.5 316.6
2.74306336 2014 16 242.5 2 210.7 5 046.6 319.0
2015 16 710.5 2 187.4 4 928.6 321.3
2016 16 972.3 2 163.5 4 838.5 323.7
2017 17 348.6 2 155.2 4 761.3 326.0
Ln_GDP Ln_TPES Ln_CO2 Ln_Pob
8.50012984 7.36999006 8.36381716 5.33605621
8.55138281 7.41874189 8.41803211 5.34674556
8.60630383 7.45592698 8.45342042 5.3562985
8.60088358 7.43345139 8.4206783 5.36549927
8.59882682 7.41075294 8.37927256 5.37519044
8.65130686 7.47666206 8.4374633 5.38488948
8.69651108 7.50929581 8.47253482 5.39494032
8.7503864 7.53816764 8.47034111 5.40550671
8.78155699 7.53592224 8.47643584 5.4165714
8.77898622 7.49821005 8.43289575 5.42814315
8.80404682 7.47020989 8.41934236 5.43811409
8.78585344 7.42760922 8.37126123 5.44767659
8.83067327 7.42850608 8.36508761 5.45674318
8.90054084 7.4704338 8.40862261 5.4654999
8.94139147 7.48111786 8.41500834 5.47439447
8.97543201 7.479482 8.40694264 5.48348071
9.00944278 7.52123839 8.44096336 5.49241514
9.05036444 7.55979292 8.48508586 5.50150716
9.08643258 7.57435672 8.49791814 5.51095391
9.10511662 7.55748543 8.47701322 5.52218466
9.10403341 7.56566536 8.46921528 5.53548216
9.13865166 7.58552127 8.48420472 5.54877254
9.16580796 7.60295934 8.50770032 5.56176566
9.20530592 7.62131813 8.52200552 5.57388258
9.23179487 7.63400256 8.53186426 5.5857044
9.26882567 7.655997 8.56226894 5.59736214
9.31233733 7.66596569 8.61160195 5.60931794
9.35617635 7.67445446 8.62073162 5.62095868
9.40261358 7.70117123 8.62405001 5.63238672
9.44305937 7.72919804 8.65344893 5.64331742
9.45299325 7.71006041 8.64860198 5.65327834
9.47026027 7.72137787 8.62073816 5.66280422
9.49847067 7.72369338 8.63243962 5.67203722
9.53575578 7.7440959 8.64625067 5.68106641
9.5702849 7.74885813 8.64878624 5.69033581
9.59843468 7.73933047 8.63095922 5.69983469
9.61702254 7.75682485 8.64588821 5.70941989
9.6156558 7.73072122 8.61477586 5.71881229
9.58996097 7.68009989 8.54104452 5.7276292
9.61527547 7.70385969 8.5852481 5.73590756
9.6306648 7.69019182 8.54250571 5.74331724
9.65291094 7.67211134 8.49760462 5.75058336
9.67116418 7.68920542 8.52486839 5.75763283
9.69538814 7.70106313 8.52646302 5.76504376
9.72379003 7.69046616 8.50281241 5.77244685
9.73934065 7.67946777 8.48435512 5.7797183
9.76126859 7.67565273 8.46827638 5.78684523
Especificación del modelo
Ln GPD = Ln TPES + Ln CO2 + Ln Pob
Ln GDP = -8.07 + 0.55 TPES - 0.02 CO2 + 2.38 Pob
1% de aumento en la energía TPES produce un aumento del PIB en 0.55%
1% de aumento en la población produce un aumento en el PIB del 2.38%
Estadísticos
Resumen Menor a 0.01
Menor a 0.05
Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente de correlación múltiple 0.99837467738 Modelo de regresión lineal, asumien
Coeficiente de determinación R^2 0.99675199644 por eso el método de MCO
R^2 ajustado 0.99652539154
Error típico 0.02306607791
Observaciones 47

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados F
Regresión 3 7.0207996918 2.34026656 4398.63391496
Residuos 43 0.0228778899 0.00053204
Total 46 7.0436775817

Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad

Intercepción -8.0737726316 0.4017656512 -20.0957265 1.75780479E-23
TPES 0.55231344181 0.2471838921 2.23442328 0.03070549451
CO2 -0.0234925353 0.1803424393 -0.13026626 0.89696327906
Pob 2.38218175306 0.1140884033 20.8801393 3.93462578E-24

Análisis de los residuales

Observación Pronóstico para Y Residuos

1 8.51174041768 -0.011610581
2 8.56285703089 -0.011474223
3 8.6053203244 0.0009835057
4 8.61559385309 -0.014710276
5 8.62711606389 -0.028289246
6 8.68525638037 -0.033949516
7 8.72639945164 -0.029888377
8 8.76756834486 -0.017181949
9 8.79254310883 -0.010986115
10 8.80030303533 -0.021316819
11 8.80890916478 -0.004862344
12 8.80928939211 -0.023435951
13 8.83152805142 -0.000854786
14 8.87452265255 0.0260181825
15 8.90146205001 0.0399294163
16 8.92239312227 0.0530388886
17 8.96593993552 0.0435028486
18 9.00785640673 0.0425080349
19 9.03810260615 0.0483299746
20 9.05602915153 0.0490874732
21 9.09240729853 0.01162611
22 9.13468194072 0.003969715
23 9.17471322714 -0.008905266
24 9.21338166719 -0.008075747
25 9.24831756162 -0.016522692 Chart Tit
26 9.28752196477 -0.018696293 0.06
27 9.32034973551 -0.008012408 0.05
28 9.35255408551 0.0036222662
0.04
29 9.39445582613 0.0081577536
0.03
30 9.43528368073 0.0077756913
31 9.44855629238 0.0044369603 0.02

32 9.4781540371 -0.00789377 0.01

33 9.50115271068 -0.002682042 0
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21
34 9.53360601217 0.0021497658 -0.01
35 9.55825808183 0.0120268132
-0.02
36 9.57604270227 0.0223919752
-0.03
37 9.60818804448 0.0088344947
38 9.61687597806 -0.001220176 -0.04

39 9.61165275142 -0.021691782
40 9.64345771209 -0.028182239
41 9.65456409878 -0.023899301
42 9.66294206135 -0.010031116
43 9.68853597513 -0.017371792
44 9.7127018595 -0.017313716
45 9.72504013235 -0.001250102
46 9.73672110027 0.0026195513
47 9.75196938237 0.0092992068
-2.682299E-13
 Muyyyyy significativo
Significativo

elo de regresión lineal, asumiendo una distribución normal es válido,

so el método de MCO

Valor crítico de F
1.679629327214E-53

Significancia Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%Superior 95.0%

-8.88401029 -7.26353498 -8.88401029 -7.26353498
Significativo 0.05381961 1.05080727 0.05381961 1.05080727
No es significativo -0.38718773 0.34020266 -0.38718773 0.34020266
Muy significativo 2.15210056 2.61226295 2.15210056 2.61226295
 Chart Title

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