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Agarwal Auto Data
Agarwal Auto Data
Dies HSP
6,000
6,000
9,000
6,000
6,000
6,000
9,000
9,000
6,000
9,000
6,000
6,000
6,000 3,000
6,000
9,000
6,000
6,000
6,000
9,000
6,000
6,000 3,000
6,000
6,000
9,000
693,000 45,000
4,529 294
AGARWAL AUTOMOBILES, SAGAR Monthly Summary
BHAGWANGANJ
SAGAR (M.P.) ( Sales figures are in litres)
2011 2012 2012 2012 2013 2013 2013 2014 2014 2014
2015 2015 2015 2016 2016 2016
17,150 77,661 104,597 10,846 102,289 132,146
15,201 71,273 119,503 9,064 97,823 133,871
11,550 64,078 112,798 10,626 108,273 140,204
9,505 81,857 140,505 7,158 118,033 143,070
10,110 111,832 184,527 7,558 104,723 142,884
11,296 122,617 206,393
10,944 104,650 137,973
13,905 100,541 128,200
15,029 110,441 185,919
14,145 126,279 232,151
11,367 137,375 223,190
11,287 112,993 160,290
4000
5000
3299.9
Axis Title
100541 128200 13905 3000
110441 185919 15029
126279 232151 14145
137375 223190 11367
112993 160290 11287
2000
102298 132146 10846
108273 140204 10626
118033 143070 7158
104723 142884 7558
1000
0
01/0402/0403/0404/0405/0406/0
Pet Dies HSP
3320 6563 546 01/08 2566 5273 509 01/09 3428 3805 821 01/10 4247
3754 4152 235 02/08 2819 3070 288 02/09 3721 4307 666 02/10 3204
3208 6358 296 03/08 2828 3614 378 03/09 4254 5138 411 03/10 3909
3221 4511 278 04/08 2958 4181 610 04/09 4335 6332 597 04/10 4552
4267 6017 354 05/08 2561 3932 641 05/09 3723 4653 305 05/10 3918
5107 5881 229 06/08 2027 4660 579 06/09 3316 4667 358 06/10 2818
5344 3676 129 07/08 2979 3984 398 07/09 3513 4548 477 07/10 3289
4375 5886 362 08/08 2968 4462 377 08/09 3000 3770 409 08/10 3676
4023 4263 342 09/08 3182 3501 415 09/09 3371 4599 393 09/10 3330
3218 3703 366 10/08 4036 4325 384 10/09 3435 6301 388 10/10 3104
2886 3105 298 11/08 3502 3124 219 11/09 3398 4478 304 11/10 3696
3782 3321 235 12/08 3224 4621 285 12/09 3172 4661 244 12/10 4803
3912 4192 306 13/08 3228 3450 373 13/09 2989 4167 220 13/10 4522
3354 4583 353 14/08 3020 3625 455 14/09 4623 7319 496 14/10 5003
4145 4779 255 15/08 3707 4076 385 15/09 3812 6959 457 15/10 3641
2653 2607 269 16/08 1542 2052 429 16/09 3912 3740 488 16/10 3725
3222 4140 610 17/08 4694 5770 379 17/09 3557 8875 344 17/10 3777
2790 3707 519 18/08 2655 2995 333 18/09 3490 5568 500 18/10 4423
2907 2609 390 19/08 3341 3500 378 19/09 3115 8802 528 19/10 5412
2691 4362 435 20/08 3434 4153 429 20/09 3221 4618 535 20/10 5585
3292 3103 417 21/08 3520 7225 656 21/09 3764 9839 486 21/10 5175
3155 4387 502 22/08 3512 3980 314 22/09 4081 10541 420 22/10 4066
3009 4324 249 23/08 2831 3001 270 23/09 4341 6461 514 23/10 4158
2485 3072 353 24/08 3328 4574 392 24/09 3658 9237 550 24/10 3167
2412 4891 419 25/08 3732 6521 556 25/09 3376 4735 586 25/10 3355
2684 3705 234 26/08 3280 3657 528 26/09 3768 6924 601 26/10 3795
3365 3908 263 27/08 3412 5536 553 27/09 3622 5109 668 27/10 4531
3322 5238 389 28/08 4567 4157 559 28/09 3599 9004 721 28/10 4602
2578 3761 399 29/08 4183 3612 412 29/09 4238 10409 751 29/10 4532
3154 4083 430 30/08 3416 3769 676 30/09 4609 6353 791 30/10 4233
3015 9086 482 31/08 3489 3800 745 31/10 4031
3375.8 4450.7 353.03 3243.3 4135.5 448.55 3681.4 6197.3 500.97 4073.5
-0.1741 -0.3531 -0.0624 -0.0393 -0.0708 0.2706 0.1351 0.4986 0.1169 0.1065
104650 137973 10944 100541 128200 13905 110441 185919 15029 126279
7488.7 456.29 4579.2 7439.7 378.9 3644.9 5170.6 364.1 3299.9 4262.8
0.2084 -0.0892 0.1241 -0.0066 -0.1696 -0.204 -0.305 -0.0391 -0.0947 -0.1756
232151 14145 137375 223190 11367 112993 160290 11287 102298 132146
Dei
10000
9000
8000
7000
15-Dec
16-Jan 6000
9000
8000
7000
15-Dec
16-Jan 6000
16-Feb
Axis Title
16-Mar
5000
16-Apr
16-May
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
424/0425/0426/0427/0428/0429/0430/04 01/0402/0403/0404/0405/0406/0407/0408/0409/0410/0411/0412/0413/041
2016
633 01/02 3698 4263 393 3/1 3806 5267 238 4/1 3215 5081 374
387 02/02 3478 4574 498 3/2 3951 4486 371 4/2 3563 4347 304
280 03/02 3563 4211 169 3/3 3229 5135 451 4/3 3120 3653 171
192 04/02 3576 7013 427 3/4 3675 5445 520 4/4 4297 5390 315
535 05/02 3267 4164 450 3/5 3531 4671 351 4/5 3590 5152 257
441 06/02 3713 3896 264 3/6 3017 3384 522 4/6 3384 5483 454
357 07/02 3338 4284 190 3/7 3661 3995 655 4/7 3978 5073 197
212 08/02 3201 4437 396 3/8 3566 5076 222 4/8 3573 3592 89
21 09/02 2889 4178 112 3/9 3136 4071 829 4/9 3239 4042 721
543 10/02 3603 4127 154 3/10 3489 5098 480 4/10 3434 4215 231
614 11/02 3476 4956 226 3/11 3389 5238 317 4/11 3338 5421 1060
352 12/02 3443 4555 256 3/12 3107 4329 108 4/12 3849 4657 423
910 13/02 3270 4584 289 3/13 3226 4534 179 4/13 3958 5197 212
1116 14/02 3342 4513 296 3/14 3634 4507 452 4/14 3914 3406 168
391 15/02 3169 4030 347 3/15 3162 4847 304 4/15 3936 5094 212
274 16/02 3421 4877 315 3/16 2902 4203 272 4/16 4459 4905 93
149 2/17 3525 4452 258 3/17 3305 4088 183 4/17 4035 3615 42
197 2/18 3357 4450 421 3/18 3839 4526 85 4/18 4765 5490 73
146 2/19 3440 4949 380 3/19 3456 5434 174 4/19 4432 3887 180
139 2/20 3251 4548 400 3/20 3276 3960 119 4/20 4609 5140 45
264 2/21 3433 3371 299 3/21 3707 6210 430 4/21 4556 6694 72
482 2/22 3077 5009 538 3/22 4903 4555 272 4/22 4818 4920 38
227 2/23 3312 5113 345 3/23 1430 449 55 4/23 3410 4049 95
138 2/24 3235 4462 211 3/24 3895 4625 148 4/24 3871 4610 52
160 2/25 3067 5380 502 3/25 3867 3272 331 4/25 4735 5581 67
164 2/26 3414 6244 252 3/26 4449 5133 420 4/26 4641 5107 138
363 2/27 3474 4436 200 3/27 3653 3567 204 4/27 3977 5087 314
279 2/28 3171 3717 227 3/28 2870 3565 64 4/28 3750 5060 254
158 2/29 3620 4988 249 3/29 3451 4783 730 4/29 3962 4653 195
281 3/30 3736 6226 166 4/30 3625 4469 312
441 3/31 3955 5525 974
349.87 3373.2 4613.1 312.55 3492.7 4522.7 342.77 3934.4 4769 238.6
-0.0391 0.0222 0.0822 -0.1067 0.0354 -0.0196 0.0967 0.1265 0.0545 -0.3039
10846 97823 133781 9064 108273 140204 10626 118033 143070 7158
15-Dec
16-Jan
15-Dec
16-Jan
16-Feb
16-Mar
16-Apr
16-May
409/0410/0411/0412/0413/0414/0415/0416/0417/0418/0419/0420/0421/0422/0423/0424/0425/0426/0427/0428/0429/0430/04
5/1 3316 4364 239
5/2 3961 5269 166
5/3 3704 4979 200
5/4 3306 3713 293
5/5 3699 5849 111
5/6 3327 4713 159
5/7 3642 3628 219
5/8 3793 5678 170
5/9 3556 3952 163
5/10 3390 4427 111
5/11 3307 3178 155
5/12 3385 4468 357
5/13 3335 4686 379
5/14 3050 5080 282
5/15 3176 3487 159
5/16 3823 4437 159
5/17 3264 4453 169
5/18 3261 5141 184
5/19 3131 5889 135
5/20 3503 5323 47
5/21 3242 3162 313
5/22 3072 2991 149
5/23 3559 4783 134
5/24 3227 5592 450
5/25 3050 4532 438
5/26 3080 4786 512
5/27 3430 5027 228
5/28 3346 4834 290
5/29 2757 5147 301
5/30 3323 4739 525
5/31 3708 4577 361
15-Dec
16-Jan
15-Dec
16-Jan
16-Feb
16-Mar
16-Apr
16-May
2009 Jan
MAD or
LOSS Rates 73 70 60 29.184
2323 6260
2009 Feb
2009 Mar HSP Petrol Diesel 3MONTHS MOVING AVG
2009 Apr 31616 31861 149389
2009 May 33098 33064 165037
2009 Jun 31780 33568 180344
2009 Jul 27186 28994 130538 32165 32831 164923 4979 3837
2009 Aug 27286 29333 113378 30688 31875 158640 3402 2542
2009 Sep 26818 29892 113739 28751 30632 141420 1933 740
2009 Oct 29399 33126 209108 27097 29406 119218 2302 3720
2009 Nov 28645 33732 182410 27834 30784 145408 811 2948
2009 Dec 28637 33220 137201 28287 32250 168419 350 970
2010 Jan 27850 32447 146026 28894 33359 176240 1044 912
2010 Feb 26478 31754 144851 28377 33133 155212 1899 1379
2010 Mar 29303 35581 168637 27655 32474 142693 1648 3107
2010 Apr 28238 36011 204371 27877 33261 153171 361 2750
2010 May 33479 42948 168354 28006 34449 172620 5473 8499
2010 Jun 31635 41452 204121 30340 38180 180454 1295 3272
2010 Jul 29053 39148 165381 31117 40137 192282 2064 989
2010 Aug 27918 37322 119496 31389 41183 179285 3471 3861
2010 Sep 25092 35216 116634 29535 39307 162999 4443 4091
2010 Oct 28734 39154 215199 27354 37229 133837 1380 1925
2010 Nov 31381 43104 189619 27248 37231 150443 4133 5873
2010 Dec 28907 42179 167819 28402 39158 173817 505 3021
2011 Jan 28295 45558 168677 29674 41479 190879 1379 4079
2011 Feb 26604 41215 179027 29528 43614 175372 2924 2399
2011 Mar 27291 45586 194278 27935 42984 171841 644 2602
2011 Apr 27827 45401 223372 27397 44120 180661 430 1281
2011 May 31074 49192 238000 27241 44067 198892 3833 5125
2011 Jun 25253 42026 177494 28731 46726 218550 3478 4700
2011 Jul 24507 39772 135318 28051 45540 212955 3544 5768
2011 Aug 24558 38536 99716 26945 43663 183604 2387 5127
2011 Sep 22725 36093 125061 24773 40111 137509 2048 4018
2011 Oct 26083 41383 188749 23930 38134 120032 2153 3249
2011 Nov 23984 41495 236523 24455 38671 137842 471 2824
2011 Dec 22773 40405 197639 24264 39657 183444 1491 748
2012 Jan 24045 42360 164944 24280 41094 207637 235 1266
2012 Feb 25105 42019 168544 23601 41420 199702 1504 599
2012 Mar 26953 43751 167551 23974 41595 177042 2979 2156
2012 Apr 30346 48873 181703 25368 42710 167013 4978 6163
2012 May 27564 46944 201045 27468 44881 172599 96 2063
2012 Jun 28008 48842 217812 28288 46523 183433 280 2319
2012 Jul 22535 38155 151861 28639 48220 200187 6104 10065
2012 Aug 21630 36350 110117 26036 44647 190239 4406 8297
2012 Sep 20602 38321 114250 24058 41116 159930 3456 2795
2012 Oct 20675 44878 203975 21589 37609 125409 914 7269
2012 Nov 22853 47397 203538 20969 39850 142781 1884 7547
2012 Dec 20708 45485 180126 21377 43532 173921 669 1953
Jan 20243 45400 173754 21412 45920 195880 1169 520
Feb 19210 41035 154222 21268 46094 185806 2058 5059
Mar 19415 46108 154496 20054 43973 169367 639 2135
Apr 21688 52999 186611 19623 44181 160824 2065 8818
May 25741 63387 208187 20104 46714 165110 5637 16673
Jun 18428 51630 197188 22281 54165 183098 3853 2535
Jul 20294 53212 106581 21952 56005 197329 1658 2793
Aug 18805 48501 115054 21488 56076 170652 2683 7575
Sep 19645 52732 126459 19176 51114 139608 469 1618
Oct 17626 55066 203420 19581 51482 116031 1955 3584
Nov 17558 53870 167745 18692 52100 148311 1134 1770
Dec 17652 51887 129916 18276 53889 165875 624 2002
Jan 16519 52099 103613 17612 53608 167027 1093 1509
Feb 16850 52036 106412 17243 52619 133758 393 583
Mar 17090 56911 136289 17007 52007 113314 83 4904
Apr 17301 61921 146829 16820 53682 115438 481 8239
May 20739 66445 149699 17080 56956 129843 3659 9489
Jun 20827 69795 165751 18377 61759 144272 2450 8036
Jul 17083 60251 121644 19622 66054 154093 2539 5803
Aug 21815 60853 90240 19550 65497 145698 2265 4644
Sep 21146 56184 114425 19908 63633 125878 1238 7449
Oct 27604 67258 174737 20015 59096 108770 7589 8162
Nov 24882 60163 173439 23522 61432 126467 1360 1269
Dec 19496 69133 131073 24544 61202 154200 5048 7931
Jan 17,150 77,661 104,597 23994 65518 159750 6844 12143
Feb 15,201 71,273 119,503 20509 68986 136370 5308 2287
Mar 11,550 64,078 112,798 17282 72689 118391 5732 8611
Apr 9,505 81,857 140,505 14634 71004 112299 5129 10853
May 10,110 111,832 184,527 12085 72403 124269 1975 39429
Jun 11,296 122,617 206,393 10388 85922 145943 908 36695
Jul 10,944 104,650 137,973 10304 105435 177142 640 785
Aug 13,905 100,541 128,200 10783 113033 176298 3122 12492
Sep 15,029 110,441 185,919 12048 109269 157522 2981 1172
Oct 14,145 126,279 232,151 13293 105211 150697 852 21068
Nov 11,367 137,375 223,190 14360 112420 182090 2993 24955
Dec 11,287 112,993 160,290 13514 124698 213753 2227 11705
Jan 10,846 102,289 132,146 12266 125549 205210 1420 23260
Feb 9,064 97,823 133,871 11167 117552 171875 2103 19729
Mar 10,626 108,273 140,204 10399 104368 142102 227 3905
Apr 7,158 118,033 143,070 10179 102795 135407 3021 15238
May 7,558 104,723 142,884 8949 108043 139048 1391 3320
Moving Average
24.5497
38510 2512 6242 30578
34385
45262
27681
89890 29631 31119 142071 232 2007 67037
37002 29261 31330 152024 616 2403 30386
31218 28519 31441 154920 118 1779 17719
30214 27995 31383 147729 145 1064 1703
10361 28106 31958 150310 1628 204 5459
25944 27971 32362 155556 1332 3219 13081
51200 28385 33310 164706 147 2701 39666 29008 32214
4266 28192 33791 163916 5287 9157 4438 28727 32560
23667 28998 35327 161573 2638 6125 42548 28758 33384
26901 29497 36699 172727 444 2449 7346 28746 34041
59789 29698 37816 175953 1780 494 56457 28902 34887
46365 29938 38744 171727 4846 3528 55093 28954 35553
81362 29236 38683 163060 502 471 52140 28811 35996
39176 29319 39207 164864 2063 3897 24755 28755 36499
5998 28969 39233 168408 62 2946 589 28983 37280
22202 28514 39354 162358 219 6204 6319 29006 38026
3655 28388 40422 162907 1784 793 16120 29043 39119
22437 28169 41071 172829 878 4515 21449 29053 39907
42711 28535 42799 185770 708 2602 37602 28886 40741
39108 28384 43841 187132 2690 5352 50868 28851 41524
41056 28333 44855 195196 3080 2829 17702 28651 42044
77637 27724 44830 196808 3217 5058 61490 28119 42092
83888 27093 43865 191248 2535 5329 91532 27740 42144
12448 26752 43419 178030 4027 7326 52969 27460 42245
68717 25991 41837 166494 92 454 22256 27263 42318
98681 25700 41167 160723 1716 328 75800 27042 42504
14195 24518 39884 160477 1745 521 37162 26426 42370
42693 24105 39614 163834 60 2746 1110 25915 42222
31158 24028 40045 168772 1077 1974 228 25560 41955
9491 24119 40626 180243 2834 3125 12692 25435 42022
14690 24824 41902 187325 5522 6971 5622 25407 41869
28446 25534 43151 186151 2030 3794 14894 25617 42159
34379 26131 44059 180238 1877 4783 37574 25325 41971
48326 27004 45465 183600 4469 7310 31739 25554 42539
80122 26752 44764 181419 5122 8414 71302 25390 42405
45680 26173 43819 171682 5571 5498 57432 25146 42223
78566 25114 42914 162798 4439 1964 41177 24969 42408
60757 23502 42248 166510 649 5149 37028 24518 42699
6205 22717 42324 166926 2009 3161 13201 24424 43191
22126 21501 41764 160645 1258 3636 13110 24252 43615
31584 21119 42972 164293 1909 1937 10071 23935 43868
14871 20715 43753 171644 1300 2355 17148 23444 43786
25787 20517 45051 178352 1171 7949 8259 22816 43982
43077 20686 46404 175458 5055 16983 32729 22094 44326
14090 21168 49069 176233 2740 2561 20955 21942 45696
90748 20788 50093 179076 494 3119 72495 21144 45929
55598 20796 51395 167881 1991 2894 52827 20957 47184
13149 20729 52640 161353 1084 93 34894 20722 48196
87389 20767 53744 156680 3141 1323 46740 20642 49397
19434 20090 54088 159482 2532 218 8264 20388 50246
35959 18726 52502 152741 1074 615 22825 19947 50785
63414 18597 52545 141529 2078 446 37916 19692 51319
27346 17968 52359 141035 1118 323 34623 19382 51877
22975 17642 52948 139594 552 3963 3305 19185 52794
31391 17216 53645 141233 85 8276 5597 18991 53694
19856 17162 54787 131801 3577 11658 17898 18626 54438
21479 17692 56883 128793 3135 12912 36958 18209 54693
32449 18221 59868 134766 1138 383 13122 18409 56206
55458 18315 61227 137771 3500 374 47531 18141 56793
11453 19143 62696 135075 2004 6512 20650 18392 57822
65967 19819 62575 131431 7786 4683 43306 18517 58110
46972 21536 63464 136083 3346 3301 37356 19349 59126
23127 22226 62417 140039 2730 6716 8966 19959 59650
55153 22004 62307 134260 4854 15354 29663 20113 61087
16867 22016 65209 131419 6815 6064 11916 20165 63218
5593 20913 66945 136296 9363 2867 23498 20028 64821
28206 19314 68261 136025 9809 13596 4481 19566 65418
60258 16297 70694 130319 6187 41138 54208 18917 67079
60450 13835 79306 132167 2539 43311 74226 18031 70862
39169 12469 88220 144721 1525 16430 6748 17237 75263
48098 11434 92718 150283 2471 7823 22083 16725 78963
28397 11218 97596 151733 3811 12845 34186 16066 82271
81454 11798 105323 163920 2347 20956 68232 15556 86792
41100 12572 112727 179194 1205 24648 43996 14434 91710
53463 12781 116984 185638 1494 3991 25348 13308 98145
73064 12780 115380 177954 1934 13091 45808 12624 101800
38004 12763 114986 176983 3699 17163 43112 12099 103852
1898 11956 114533 177928 1330 6260 37724 11587 106065
7663 11223 114172 170309 4065 3861 27239 11510 109748
3836 10058 112798 155462 2500 8075 12578 11315 112762
26.0201 26.65
3035 8238 30063 3171 8949 30116
39545
39512
16520
92690 28535 30509 132951 864 2617 76157
21047 28469 31082 152104 176 2650 30306
42663 28293 31769 160786 344 1451 23585
18229 28326 32277 155724 476 170 9698
4297 28285 32581 155237 1807 827 10386
24669 27820 32523 153677 1483 3058 14960
47431 28200 33443 157415 38 2568 46956 28376 32592
14186 28158 34214 168748 5321 8734 394 28257 33176
23714 29669 36831 170016 1966 4621 34105 28989 34774
26859 30422 38581 182172 1369 567 16791 29431 36015
59294 30296 39280 180074 2378 1958 60578 29478 36801
32261 29787 39139 163943 4695 3923 47309 29327 37175
89487 28403 38131 148202 331 1023 66997 28733 37124
23226 28259 38266 163099 3122 4838 26520 28721 37609
18163 28849 39380 170172 58 2799 2353 29125 38626
14305 28831 40221 170004 536 5337 1327 29113 39379
7146 28768 41994 171809 2164 779 7218 29004 40538
20569 28259 42221 176415 968 3365 17863 28629 40860
38445 28008 43511 182543 181 1890 40829 28358 41734
31717 27805 44254 193287 3269 4938 44713 28195 42451
48343 28574 45783 207820 3321 3757 30326 28537 43631
69991 27694 44975 202763 3187 5203 67445 28014 43628
66774 26775 43530 185194 2217 4994 85478 27458 43271
515 26051 42007 159042 3326 5914 33981 26969 42716
70427 24900 39914 143908 1183 1469 44841 26240 41770
83842 24926 39784 150267 942 1711 86256 26059 41626
4382 24436 39878 171924 1663 527 25715 25588 41471
44175 23938 40027 182542 107 2333 17598 25026 41168
19228 23920 40811 182859 1185 1208 14315 24739 41190
4642 24228 41375 182794 2725 2376 15243 24668 41199
14256 25038 42268 179167 5308 6605 2536 24902 41465
26253 26616 44260 177561 948 2684 23484 25662 42543
28797 27195 45344 181817 813 3498 35995 25961 43279
54344 27732 46710 192552 5197 8555 40691 26374 44336
71925 26455 44622 183484 4825 8272 73367 25910 43661
27731 24992 42218 163112 4390 3897 48862 25331 42730
84834 23400 40647 146703 2725 4231 57272 24632 42130
45114 22132 41208 158468 721 6189 45070 23971 42510
8676 21946 42679 169047 1238 2806 11079 23715 43232
18151 21372 43582 172819 1129 1818 935 23144 43585
26620 21013 44621 176564 1803 3586 22342 22527 43860
10554 20468 44068 173687 1053 2040 19191 21800 43424
28997 20096 44740 168787 1592 8259 17824 21180 43781
37679 20431 47011 171147 5310 16376 37040 21007 45169
5142 21875 51864 180498 3447 234 16690 21568 48101
92511 21092 52595 186485 798 617 79904 21027 49014
38664 20951 53487 165772 2146 4986 50718 20896 50134
540 20382 52660 150679 737 72 24220 20565 50337
84076 20073 52686 140709 2447 2380 62711 20399 51035
4706 19175 53064 154064 1617 806 13681 19935 51907
42840 18452 53002 156425 800 1115 26509 19500 52465
51163 18145 52826 149903 1626 727 46290 19147 52634
16657 17551 52699 139070 701 663 32658 18659 52754
26893 17232 52606 129178 142 4305 7111 18269 52779
25945 17074 53739 128234 227 8182 18595 17947 53412
13120 17099 56103 129833 3640 10342 19866 17687 54678
19244 18121 59434 134946 2706 10361 30805 18012 56525
35603 19017 63123 145506 1934 2872 23862 18415 58848
50782 18692 63232 141757 3123 2379 51517 18211 59471
1132 19692 63126 128177 1454 6942 13752 18776 60095
67171 20264 61265 122276 7340 5993 52461 19200 59843
32889 22488 62603 134650 2394 2440 38789 20598 61251
32963 23444 61660 145323 3948 7473 14250 21449 61410
47875 22664 63579 142761 5514 14082 38164 21378 62869
5393 21277 67966 134286 6076 3307 14783 20922 65419
3665 19330 69698 130881 7780 5620 18083 20158 66658
26839 16655 68879 124168 7150 12978 16337 18854 66544
56758 13853 72764 125448 3743 39068 59079 17306 69073
48495 12085 84517 140936 789 38100 65457 15951 75958
50150 11359 96892 162143 415 7758 24170 14915 83920
40339 10924 101586 160215 2981 1045 32015 13947 88441
41429 11630 103822 153906 3399 6619 32013 13513 91761
73463 12718 107492 163674 1427 18787 68477 13354 96095
23775 13389 113479 183168 2022 23896 40022 13137 102170
59675 13045 120521 195739 1758 7528 35449 12665 109195
61088 12618 119381 188496 1772 17092 56350 12354 111480
22830 12066 115641 175408 3002 17818 41537 12080 111555
2505 11009 110737 163091 383 2464 22887 11613 110627
6320 10629 108948 152313 3471 9085 9243 11465 110967
2303 9467 110052 144530 1909 5329 1646 10796 112242
e
26.1529 52.55
2730 7164 31908 9095 15113 58889
28437
α= 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.99 1.2 1.4
24.926 24.36 23.59 22.82 22.09 21.898 21.82
15499
15462
49651
17657
184
95371
25744
45466
8370
1091
23775
35972
35657
35410
38386
46269
3325
98532
24595
22046
638
10356
15355
29248
14920
60357
42780
36030
24985
63938
48413
38400
33079
3269
960
14142
19483
16962
65781
42402
3709
89762
461
23407
6606
19598
78
32116
21897
10780
90715
7566
11481
77076
34904
38178
26685
2532
29902
10839
2978
16082
43946
31843
23867
60551
692
42373
26900
14637
6559
27641
44298
22309
68197
10455
57614
46808
8493
62985
28774
1437
6347
2929
157
1.6 1.8
23.43 32.83
=
2009 Jan LINEAR
LOSS Rates 73 70 60 27.6767
MAD 2262 11386
2009 Feb
2009 Mar HSP Petrol Diesel
2009 Apr 1 31616 31861 149389
2009 May 2 33098 33064 165037 32004.18 19706.04 170692.8 1094 13358
2009 Jun 3 31780 33568 180344 31762.27 20597.06 170442.7 18 12971
2009 Jul 4 27186 28994 130538 31520.36 21488.08 170192.6 4334 7506
2009 Aug 5 27286 29333 113378 31278.45 22379.1 169942.5 3992 6954
2009 Sep 6 26818 29892 113739 31036.54 23270.12 169692.3 4219 6622
2009 Oct 7 29399 33126 209108 30794.63 24161.14 169442.2 1396 8965
2009 Nov 8 28645 33732 182410 30552.72 25052.16 169192.1 1908 8680
2009 Dec 9 28637 33220 137201 30310.81 25943.18 168942 1674 7277
2010 Jan 10 27850 32447 146026 30068.9 26834.2 168691.9 2219 5613
2010 Feb 11 26478 31754 144851 29826.99 27725.22 168441.8 3349 4029
2010 Mar 12 29303 35581 168637 29585.08 28616.24 168191.7 282 6965
2010 Apr 13 28238 36011 204371 29343.17 29507.26 167941.6 1105 6504
2010 May 14 33479 42948 168354 29101.26 30398.28 167691.5 4378 12550
2010 Jun 15 31635 41452 204121 28859.35 31289.3 167441.4 2776 10163
2010 Jul 16 29053 39148 165381 28617.44 32180.32 167191.2 436 6968
2010 Aug 17 27918 37322 119496 28375.53 33071.34 166941.1 458 4251
2010 Sep 18 25092 35216 116634 28133.62 33962.36 166691 3042 1254
2010 Oct 19 28734 39154 215199 27891.71 34853.38 166440.9 842 4301
2010 Nov 20 31381 43104 189619 27649.8 35744.4 166190.8 3731 7360
2010 Dec 21 28907 42179 167819 27407.89 36635.42 165940.7 1499 5544
2011 Jan 22 28295 45558 168677 27165.98 37526.44 165690.6 1129 8032
2011 Feb 23 26604 41215 179027 26924.07 38417.46 165440.5 320 2798
2011 Mar 24 27291 45586 194278 26682.16 39308.48 165190.4 609 6278
2011 Apr 25 27827 45401 223372 26440.25 40199.5 164940.3 1387 5202
2011 May 26 31074 49192 238000 26198.34 41090.52 164690.1 4876 8101
2011 Jun 27 25253 42026 177494 25956.43 41981.54 164440 703 44
2011 Jul 28 24507 39772 135318 25714.52 42872.56 164189.9 1208 3101
2011 Aug 29 24558 38536 99716 25472.61 43763.58 163939.8 915 5228
2011 Sep 30 22725 36093 125061 25230.7 44654.6 163689.7 2506 8562
2011 Oct 31 26083 41383 188749 24988.79 45545.62 163439.6 1094 4163
2011 Nov 32 23984 41495 236523 24746.88 46436.64 163189.5 763 4942
2011 Dec 33 22773 40405 197639 24504.97 47327.66 162939.4 1732 6923
2012 Jan 34 24045 42360 164944 24263.06 48218.68 162689.3 218 5859
2012 Feb 35 25105 42019 168544 24021.15 49109.7 162439.2 1084 7091
2012 Mar 36 26953 43751 167551 23779.24 50000.72 162189 3174 6250
2012 Apr 37 30346 48873 181703 23537.33 50891.74 161938.9 6809 2019
2012 May 38 27564 46944 201045 23295.42 51782.76 161688.8 4269 4839
2012 Jun 39 28008 48842 217812 23053.51 52673.78 161438.7 4954 3832
2012 Jul 40 22535 38155 151861 22811.6 53564.8 161188.6 277 15410
2012 Aug 41 21630 36350 110117 22569.69 54455.82 160938.5 940 18106
2012 Sep 42 20602 38321 114250 22327.78 55346.84 160688.4 1726 17026
2012 Oct 43 20675 44878 203975 22085.87 56237.86 160438.3 1411 11360
2012 Nov 44 22853 47397 203538 21843.96 57128.88 160188.2 1009 9732
2012 Dec 45 20708 45485 180126 21602.05 58019.9 159938.1 894 12535
Jan 46 20243 45400 173754 21360.14 58910.92 159687.9 1117 13511
Feb 47 19210 41035 154222 21118.23 59801.94 159437.8 1908 18767
Mar 48 19415 46108 154496 20876.32 60692.96 159187.7 1461 14585
Apr 49 21688 52999 186611 20634.41 61583.98 158937.6 1054 8585
May 50 25741 63387 208187 20392.5 62475 158687.5 5349 912
Jun 51 18428 51630 197188 20150.59 63366.02 158437.4 1723 11736
Jul 52 20294 53212 106581 19908.68 64257.04 158187.3 385 11045
Aug 53 18805 48501 115054 19666.77 65148.06 157937.2 862 16647
Sep 54 19645 52732 126459 19424.86 66039.08 157687.1 220 13307
Oct 55 17626 55066 203420 19182.95 66930.1 157437 1557 11864
Nov 56 17558 53870 167745 18941.04 67821.12 157186.8 1383 13951
Dec 57 17652 51887 129916 18699.13 68712.14 156936.7 1047 16825
Jan 58 16519 52099 103613 18457.22 69603.16 156686.6 1938 17504
Feb 59 16850 52036 106412 18215.31 70494.18 156436.5 1365 18458
Mar 60 17090 56911 136289 17973.4 71385.2 156186.4 883 14474
Apr 61 17301 61921 146829 17731.49 72276.22 155936.3 430 10355
May 62 20739 66445 149699 17489.58 73167.24 155686.2 3249 6722
Jun 63 20827 69795 165751 17247.67 74058.26 155436.1 3579 4263
Jul 64 17083 60251 121644 17005.76 74949.28 155186 77 14698
Aug 65 21815 60853 90240 16763.85 75840.3 154935.9 5051 14987
Sep 66 21146 56184 114425 16521.94 76731.32 154685.7 4624 20547
Oct 67 27604 67258 174737 16280.03 77622.34 154435.6 11324 10364
Nov 68 24882 60163 173439 16038.12 78513.36 154185.5 8844 18350
Dec 69 19496 69133 131073 15796.21 79404.38 153935.4 3700 10271
Jan 70 17,150 77,661 104,597 15554.3 80295.4 153685.3 1596 2634
Feb 71 15,201 71,273 119,503 15312.39 81186.42 153435.2 111 9913
Mar 72 11,550 64,078 112,798 15070.48 82077.44 153185.1 3520 17999
Apr 73 9,505 81,857 140,505 14828.57 82968.46 152935 5324 1111
May 74 10,110 111,832 184,527 14586.66 83859.48 152684.9 4477 27973
Jun 75 11,296 122,617 206,393 14344.75 84750.5 152434.8 3049 37867
Jul 76 10,944 104,650 137,973 14102.84 85641.52 152184.6 3159 19008
Aug 77 13,905 100,541 128,200 13860.93 86532.54 151934.5 44 14008
Sep 78 15,029 110,441 185,919 13619.02 87423.56 151684.4 1410 23017
Oct 79 14,145 126,279 232,151 13377.11 88314.58 151434.3 768 37964
Nov 80 11,367 137,375 223,190 13135.2 89205.6 151184.2 1768 48169
Dec 81 11,287 112,993 160,290 12893.29 90096.62 150934.1 1606 22896
Jan 82 10,846 102,289 132,146 12651.38 90987.64 150684 1805 11301
Feb 83 9,064 97,823 133,871 12409.47 91878.66 150433.9 3345 5944
Mar 84 10,626 108,273 140,204 12167.56 92769.68 150183.8 1542 15503
Apr 85 7,158 118,033 143,070 11925.65 93660.7 149933.7 4768 24372
May 86 7,558 104,723 142,884 11683.74 94551.72 149683.5 4126 10171
30091
5656 HSP
9901 40000 160000
39655 140000
35000
56564
120000
55953 30000
f(x) = − 241.914137459314 x 100000
39666
13218
25000
+ 32487.5556771546 f(x) = 891.0183
80000
31741
20000 R² = 0.800420715902238 R² = 0.7126408
15000 60000
22666
23591 10000 40000
445 20000
5000
36429
0 0
663 1 5 9 13 17
1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 53 57 61 65 69 73 77 81 85
36680
1810
47445
50057
48758
23428
1878
2986
13587
29088
58432
73310
13054
28872
64224
38629
25309
73334
34700
2255
6105
5362
19764
39356
56373
9328
50821
46438
43537
43350
20188
14066
5216
4692
27673
49500
38751
51606
42883
31228
45983
10558
27021
53074
50025
19897
9107
5987
10315
33542
64696
40261
20301
19253
22862
49088
33932
40387
12430
31842
53958
14212
23735
34235
80717
72006
9356
18538
16563
9980
6864
6800
Petrol Diesel
250000
160000
140000
200000
120000
f(x) = − 250.110335393179 x + 171193.4856361
100000 150000 R² = 0.0287650163449389
f(x) = 891.018321618945 x + 17923.9239398085
80000 R² = 0.712640854636923
100000
60000
40000 50000
20000
0
0 1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49
1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 53 57 61 65 69 73 77 81 85
=
Diesel
0.110335393179 x + 171193.485636115
7650163449389
17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 53 57 61 65 69 73 77 81 85
2009 Jan
LOSS Rates 73 70 60
MAD
2009 Feb
2009 Mar HSP Petrol Diesel HSP Petrol Diesel
2009 Apr 1 31616 31861 149389 31532.29 29630.68 135500.9
2009 May 2 33098 33064 165037 30235.25 26670.79 140350.7
2009 Jun 3 31780 33568 180344 29012.97 33427.73 151261.3
2009 Jul 4 27186 28994 130538 27513.87 31963.47 154207.5
2009 Aug 5 27286 29333 113378 27351.78 33450.39 167693.2
2009 Sep 6 26818 29892 113739 28065.25 34424.98 153414.3
2009 Oct 7 29399 33126 209108 27878.02 33744.9 167685.9
2009 Nov 8 28645 33732 182410 27311.85 34497.82 151592.7
2009 Dec 9 28637 33220 137201 29503.61 33667.56 139332.2
2010 Jan 10 27850 32447 146026 29563.84 31413.55 162435.6
2010 Feb 11 26478 31754 144851 29117.94 32524.79 159106.9
2010 Mar 12 29303 35581 168637 31697.17 34861.79 173039.6
2010 Apr 13 28238 36011 204371 28163.24 33490.17 185371.4
2010 May 14 33479 42948 168354 30583.29 34643.63 143171.5
2010 Jun 15 31635 41452 204121 28880.6 41278.79 171204
2010 Jul 16 29053 39148 165381 29403.39 43157.41 195368.3
2010 Aug 17 27918 37322 119496 27985.31 42560.79 176742.1
2010 Sep 18 25092 35216 116634 26258.98 40556.34 157319.2
2010 Oct 19 28734 39154 215199 27247.43 39885.52 172570.4
2010 Nov 20 31381 43104 189619 29920.52 44082.59 157583.8
2010 Dec 21 28907 42179 167819 29781.78 42747.26 170425.8
2011 Jan 22 28295 45558 168677 30036.22 44106.96 187632
2011 Feb 23 26604 41215 179027 29256.5 42215.44 196646.4
2011 Mar 24 27291 45586 194278 29520.78 44664.56 199350
2011 Apr 25 27827 45401 223372 27753.32 42222.86 202605.9
2011 May 26 31074 49192 238000 28386.31 39680.3 202399.8
2011 Jun 27 25253 42026 177494 23054.27 41850.39 148870.9
2011 Jul 28 24507 39772 135318 24802.56 43845.32 159854.2
2011 Aug 29 24558 38536 99716 24617.21 43945.19 147486.2
2011 Sep 30 22725 36093 125061 23781.89 41566.33 168685.8
2011 Oct 31 26083 41383 188749 24733.58 42156.16 151359.8
2011 Nov 32 23984 41495 236523 22867.78 42437.06 196563.6
2011 Dec 33 22773 40405 197639 23462.15 40949.36 200709
2012 Jan 34 24045 42360 164944 25524.68 41010.82 183479.5
2012 Feb 35 25105 42019 168544 27608.05 43038.96 185131.7
2012 Mar 36 26953 43751 167551 29155.16 42866.65 171925.2
2012 Apr 37 30346 48873 181703 30265.65 45451.81 164810.7
2012 May 38 27564 46944 201045 25179.9 37866.97 170972.6
2012 Jun 39 28008 48842 217812 25569.4 48637.91 182687.1
2012 Jul 40 22535 38155 151861 22806.78 42062.71 179396.8
2012 Aug 41 21630 36350 110117 21682.15 41452.35 162869.9
2012 Sep 42 20602 38321 114250 21560.16 44132.2 154103.6
2012 Oct 43 20675 44878 203975 19605.36 45716.46 163569.7
2012 Nov 44 22853 47397 203538 21789.41 48473.06 169151.3
2012 Dec 45 20708 45485 180126 21334.66 46097.8 182924
Jan 46 20243 45400 173754 21488.72 43954 193279.5
Feb 47 19210 41035 154222 21125.3 42031.07 169400.1
Mar 48 19415 46108 154496 21001.28 45176.01 158529.4
Apr 49 21688 52999 186611 21630.58 49288.99 169262.5
May 50 25741 63387 208187 23514.58 51130.57 177046.2
Jun 51 18428 51630 197188 16823.51 51414.26 165389
Jul 52 20294 53212 106581 20538.75 58661.8 125906.5
Aug 53 18805 48501 115054 18850.34 55308.95 170172.1
Sep 54 19645 52732 126459 20558.65 60728.56 170571.4
Oct 55 17626 55066 203420 16714.11 56094.8 163124.7
Nov 56 17558 53870 167745 16740.84 55093.01 139405.3
Dec 57 17652 51887 129916 18186.18 52586.05 131934
Jan 58 16519 52099 103613 17535.55 50439.63 115256.4
Feb 59 16850 52036 106412 18530 53299.11 116884.8
Mar 60 17090 56911 136289 18486.32 55760.64 139847.1
Apr 61 17301 61921 146829 17255.19 57586.43 133178.9
May 62 20739 66445 149699 18945.22 53597.28 127306.9
Jun 63 20827 69795 165751 19013.63 69503.35 139021.6
Jul 64 17083 60251 121644 17289.03 66421.71 143700.8
Aug 65 21815 60853 90240 21867.59 69394.77 133470.6
Sep 66 21146 56184 114425 22129.46 64704.03 154339.6
Oct 67 27604 67258 174737 26175.89 68514.59 140123.5
Nov 68 24882 60163 173439 23723.98 61528.88 144137.3
Dec 69 19496 69133 131073 20085.99 70064.4 133109
Jan 70 17,150 77,661 104,597 18205.38 75187.47 116351
Feb 71 15,201 71,273 119,503 16716.59 73003.06 131264.2
Mar 72 11,550 64,078 112,798 12493.68 62782.78 115742.8
Apr 73 9,505 81,857 140,505 9479.834 76126.88 127442.8
May 74 10,110 111,832 184,527 9235.554 90208.31 156925.3
Jun 75 11,296 122,617 206,393 10312.48 122104.6 173109.6 15847.57 85084.28
Jul 76 10,944 104,650 137,973 11075.99 115367.9 162990.6 14059.91 77659.38
Aug 77 13,905 100,541 128,200 13938.52 114653.7 189615.8 13957.56 75850.35
Sep 78 15,029 110,441 185,919 15727.97 127188.8 250772.7 13141.74 75875.36
Oct 79 14,145 126,279 232,151 13413.2 128638.3 186164.4 14252.01 86646.92
Nov 80 11,367 137,375 223,190 10837.98 140493.8 185483.1 13924.45 87170.95
Dec 81 11,287 112,993 160,290 11628.57 114515.3 162779.8 12655.16 88837.38
Jan 82 10,846 102,289 132,146 11513.44 99031.06 146995.8 12057.84 93909.55
Feb 83 9,064 97,823 133,871 9967.71 100197.5 147046.2 11422.71 89627.16
Mar 84 10,626 108,273 140,204 11494.18 106084.5 143864.3 11392.51 94599.15
Apr 85 7,158 118,033 143,070 7139.048 109770.5 129769.3 12117.13 100614.4
May 86 7,558 104,723 142,884 6904.285 84473.89 121511.3 12968.46 117097.3
87
33.8965
2362.21437 24817.782 24666.05
HSP
Jan 22,350
Feb 21,575
Mar 21,934
Apr 23,789
May 25,972
Jun 25,989
Jul 23,443
Aug 23,669
Sep 22,671
Oct 25,020
Nov 24,884
Dec 23,029
Jan 0.942029
Feb 0.909336
Mar 0.924468
Apr 1.002655
May 1.094683
Jun 1.095372
Jul 0.988083
Aug 0.997595
Sep 0.955559
Oct 1.054558
Nov 1.048812
Dec 0.970627
HSP
35000
20000
15000
10000
5000
0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
10000
5000
0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Petrol
160000
140000
120000
100000
f(x) = 884.251235738659 x + 18409.9541561081
80000 R² = 0.700683394992254
60000
40000
20000
0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 7
Deisel
300000
250000
200000
100000
50000
47,685 159,739
1.032898 0.898978
0.976302 0.910401
1.02063 0.974557
1.075271 1.102495
1.239708 1.17589
1.004196 1.192268
0.907098 0.846509
0.876911 0.676104
0.868323 0.741384
0.98166 1.247022
0.977801 1.20329
0.986707 0.984704
HSP
8674 x + 32337.6961662372
09 =
30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Petrol
38659 x + 18409.9541561081
92254
30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Deisel
3486917071 x + 171338.40125733
5238692566
0 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
SUMMARY HSP Petrol
SMA 3 MAD MAD
6 MAD MAD
12 MAD MAD
14 MAD MAD
WMA 3 MAD MAD
6 MAD MAD
12 MAD MAD
14 MAD MAD
EXP Smot C a 0.2 MAD MAD
0.4 MAD MAD
0.6 MAD MAD
0.8 MAD MAD
0.99 MAD MAD
Line MAD MAD
Trend & sea MAD MAD
142886