Вы находитесь на странице: 1из 175

:

................................................................................................................................... 3
I. ........................................................................................... 5
1. - ............................................................................ 6
2. : - ............................................ 16
3. ....................................................................................... 27
4. .............................................................................. 37
II. , ...... 49
.................................................................................................................................... 50
5. ..................................................................................... 52
6. ............................................................................. 66
7. ...................................................................................................... 78
8. ........................................................................ 89
9. ................................................................................ 102
10. ........................ 117
11. ............................... 130
III. .............................................................................. 140
.................................................................................................................................. 141
.................................................... 141
12. ...................................................................... 142
13. ........................................................................ 151
14. ............................................................. 161
15. ... .......................................................................................... 170

.
,



, .
1983 ,
Corporate
Decisions Inc. (CDI).

,

.
,
.
,

,
.
,

.
,
.
, ,
,

,
,
.

80-
,


, ,
.
,

,
.

,

. ,

, .
.


, .

. ,



. (
, ,

,
.

,

.)
, ,
,
,



, ,
,

,

,
.
- CDI,


. ,
,
CDI
.

,

,
,
,
,
,


,
,
.

.


- .
,
.


,

.

CDI ,
,
,
-

.

.
3

,
.

.

.
,

.
,

.
,


, .
,
CDI,

.
, , ,
, ,

.

, .
,

.

1. -
? ?
? ?
,
?
1984 1994 IBM DEC
55 ,
Microsoft, Intel, EDS Novell

80
1 .

IT-

.
10

Nucor


. 5
,
Nucor,
U.S.Steel, ,
Nucor. 20
,

,
- Nucor.
1983 1994 ,

,
-

100 .


? .

,

, ,

.

.
,
-,
.
,
,

, -
.

,
-

,
, .

-

,

.
,
,

,
, ,


, ,

.
, ,

,
- .
, , Nucor ,

,
. Nucor

.

.
-

.
Nucor

(
).
-.


, ,
, Corporate
Decisions, Inc.
,

Compustat,
,

Standard&Poor's,
,
McGraw-Hill,
. ,
Compustat,


,
. , ,

) ,
.

( ),
(- )
(23
3

).

Nucor
.

-
,
.

,
,
-
-,

.

-
,
,


.
,
,


-,
Nucor
.

-,

,

.

-,


1 .

,

.

.
,

-
.
,

-
. :

U.S.Steel
Bethlehe
m
Inland
Nucor


1994 .,
.
.

1994 .,
.
.

6,1
4,8

4,1
2,7

0,7
0,6

4,5
3,0

2,3
5,0

0,5
1,7

,
U.S.Steel, Bethlehem Inland
, Nucor
-

.

-,
/

-.

? ? ?

,
-

2 .


.
-
.
,
: ,


. ,

,

.
,


-,

. ,
-,
. ,
,
-

.
, USX U.S.Steel
Marathon Oil.
2
.
(, )

, .


.
,
-.

.
,

, -.
, DEC Bethlehem Steel,
.
,

.

,

;

.



: ,
.


.
20-

,

, GM,


. 1930-
, 1890-

(, Sears), 1920-
(
Sears).
, -

,
.
90- XX

.
. 60-
70-

,

.

,
.
,

.
, IBM, DEC,
U.S.Steel.
80- ,
.
.
. ,
, .
, .

.


, -

. ,
,
-,

, ,

, .

.
Microsoft EDS
.
.
,


, -.
-


.
, , DuPont.
.


-,


.

.

,
.
80-
. . . .
.


,

.
.

. 1987
1993 , ,
. ,
Microsoft Telecommunications Inc.,
, ,

,
.

-
, ,
, , ,

.

.
,

,
-
,
(. 1).

:
1. ,
,

,
.
2.

.

,
-,

.

DEC/Microsoft

Bethlehem/Nucor

USAir/Southwest

: CDI

. 1.
3. ,

,
,
(,
).
4.
.

,


.
5.


.
6.

,
,

.

IBM

,
.

, , ,
. 1983
IBM
1 . 1987-

. 1992
70%
1983 70
.

IBM
Microsof
t

1994 ., .
.
64
5

1994 :

. ,
.
,
,
.

.
.
,
. ,
. . :
. .
2 .
. .

.
- ,
.
.
:

?
?
?
?
,
?

.
,
,

- . ,

. .

, ,
,
:
?
,
?
,
,
,
,

1994 .,
. .
43
36

Microsoft,
,
, IBM,
?

,
,
.

IBM
, Fortune
, ,
1983,1984, 1985 1986 .


, 1994 .

10

,
, .

.
,
,
.

,

.

,
,
- ;

,
;
,
,
;

,
,
hub-and-spoke 1 ,

.
,
-,
-,
.
,

-,


.

,
,

-
,

. ,

,
.


.

.
,

.
, ,

.

,
:

? ?
?
?

:

,
-
-

?
,

, ,
.
,
.

,
.


-.
,

-
.
.


,
.

,
-,

-,
,
,

,
,

,
,
,

(,

. ,


. . .

11


,
,

, , IBM DEC,
,

Intel,
Microsoft, Novell, EDS (. 2).

10 IBM DEC 80 , ,
-, 80 .
: CDI .

. 2.

,
.

.
,
.

,
-
.

: , ,

, .


,
. . 3
, .

12

, .

.

.

,
,

, .
,

. 3.

, ,
,
.
,
.

,
.
, -

(. 4). ,

,
, .
,

.

. ,

-
.
2 ,
,
,
,
.
,


.

,

,
.

. 5.

, ,

.
,



.

,

-,
.
,
,

.

,
,
. ,

,


-.

. 4.

13

,
. ,
.
-
,

.

-,
,
.
, .
, ,
.

,
.

,
,

,

.

,
, ,



.
, .

,

,
.
,

,

-,
. .
. .

-
.
IBM,

1953 ,
10
.
30-

,

. & -
. ,
,

.

, Motorola

.

AT&T
-,

.


. , &,
IBM, Motorola
. ,
,

.
,
-
,
,
. , ,
,
, ,
.

,

.
.

-,
.
IBM
Lotus Notes.
Nucor ,

. :
?
-
?
?

-

.

,
-,
, .
,

. 50- XX

.
NBC,

,
. 50-
14

.
,
,
. , ,
.

,
,
, .


.
,
.

, .

.
,
, ,
,
. ,

,

.

.
-
.
.

-.
,
.
,

,
. ,

,

, ,
.

,
.
, .
, ,
,

.
,
.

,

.
,
,
, .



.
,

15

2. :
- : -?
- , ; -?
- -?
- , -
?
,

-
,

.

-.

.
, .
VAX,
.
, 1
2 , .
Lotus 1-2-3
.

.
VAX DEC

SmithKline

-.
1-2-3 Lotus 1
.

Xerox 11
.

Polaroid 2 .

.

,
, .

.


.
,

,

. 20 , 1930 1949 ,

40. 1950 1969
20, 1970 1980- 3 (.
6). ,

,
,
,
,
, .
,

.
,
.




.

,
.

, 1 (Cambridge, Mass.: MIT,


1989)

. 6.


, .. . . .
2
,
. . .

16

.
,
DRAM
,
1

.
. 7.

. ,
, ,
.

,

-.


,
.

,

Macintosh
Apple

Windows
Microsoft, Microsoft
, a Apple
.

Leica

Nikon

Canon.
Betamax Sony,
Xerox
Visicalc,

,
.

-,

.


:
1.

?
2.


?
3. ,

?
4.
,
?

, , ,
,
.
.

-.

-.

. 7. , -

.
Southwest Air United Airlines

,

Southwest (1,1) 3 ,
United Airlines (0,3). Intel
AMD,
Intel 1984
25
( AMD 2,4
).

Nucor,

Bethlehem
, Nucor
1989 ,
Bethlehem .
1

,

. , ,
, , . . .

17


.
-.

-

.

-,

.
-,
,
. -,
, .

-
. ,

-
-

.
-,
,

. ,



?

?


?

. ,
, .


? 6
?
?
, -
?
, ?
?
?
?

, ?

:
, ,

,
, .


?
? ?
?
/
:

?
?


?
?

? ?

? ?

, - ?
?

18

? ? ?

?

-
,
,
.


-,
,

. , -

,

.



.

-,
,
.


- EDS.

Nike .
-
,
.
10 , ,


.

United
Southwest Air.


.
-.

United
.

,
.
hub-and-spoke
.

.
Southwest Air .

,

,
.

.
Southwest Air
point-to-point

.

Southwest Air


.

-
. 15
United

,
a
Southwest,
,


-,

- ,
, ,

,
-
.

, .
-
.
15

.
-

Nucor.
-
Dell
.

19


United 0,3, Southwest
1,1 1 .
,
, , ,
. 8
-,
.


-.
,
.


,
.
50- 60- Toyota

,

. ,

-,

(

), 30
.
Toyota
,
. Toyota

-,

.
,

(
),

)
( )
-,


(. 9).

Toyota


- ,
,
-
.

.
.

. 8. -


50-, 60- 70- XX ,


.
Toyota, McDonald's
Carrefour

,
90-.
Toyota


1

1994 . 1992
1993 /
Southwest 2,0. ,
, - ,
United.
.

20

1.

,
,
. - .
. ( 5
.) .
,
, .
2.
8 .

,

4 . . ,
2 .
3.
,

.

.

4.


. .

5.
, .



.
, ,
Toyota.

CDI

. 9. Toyota
.

,
Toyota

,
.
, ,



. Toyota

.
,
Toyota
,

.

, .
,

.
,
. ,
.
Toyota
, ,
.
,
Toyota
- :
,
.

Toyota
:

, ,
. Toyota
,

.

,
-, Toyota


.

21

80-

Lexus.

,
, Toyota
Lexus ,
, .

,
Lexus .
,
Toyota Lexus.
Toyota

-,
(. 10).
,
,

60- 70-

,
. Toyota
,

,
.

-.

Toyota (, ,

30 .
- Toyota
,
( )
,
Toyota
.

Toyota

Toyota
-,
.

. 10. -

22

.
.

:
.
-
.

,
. McDonald's

. ,


,
,

.
McDonalds


,
.

McDonald's

Toyota
, McDonalds

-
.
50-.

,
,

-.
,
-
.
1954
,

,
,
.
,
.
,

.
,

15

-. ,

McDonald

.
McDonalds

-.


.

.


. ,
-

McDonald

,
.
,
,
. Xerox
Polaroid.
, ,
, ,
McDonald's...
,
McDonald's
,

:
McDonald's

.

,

.

McDonald's
. ,

,
McDonalds
23

,
.
McDonald's


, .

.

,



, McDonald's

.
McDonald's


-,

.

,
,
,
, McDonalds

,

.
- 30 ,
24
.
McDonald's
,

-.


(

).

1993

Carrefour

,
21,2
10
". ,
.

,
, -.
,
60- ,

petits
commergants
(
). ,
,

.
,
.


, .
,
,

.
- , .
Carrefour
,
,
.
, , ,


.
Carrefour 1993
10 000
,
500.

, Carrefour
,
, .

70-

80-

Carrefour
-,

.

,
,
. 1993 Carrefour,

Carrefour


1963

Carrefour 1 ,
,
.

, ,
30
1

, carrefour
. -,
. . .
2
Carrefour
Wal-Mart. .

24


(Le Clerc, Casino,
Hyper-U .), 114
,

.
Petits
commergants

. ,

,

Toyota

McDonalds,

. :
-

,
30 .

-.
, ,
,
. -



.

-

,
,

,
.

- .
-
, ,

.
:

,
-?

? ?

? ?

-

? ?

?

-
? ?
?

-
,
?

-? ,

?

-?
-
?
?

-?


-?

-
Toyota, McDonalds Carrefour ,
-
,
.
-

60- 70-

-.



-
.
80-
-.

,

- ,
.

-
80- .

.
Microsoft, Merck, Nordstrom, The
Home
Depot,
Federal
Express
,
(. 11).

25

- 20 .

. 11. -

-.
,
.
,

- ,
. -,

. -,

-, ,
,

.
-,

-
, ,
.
.
-.

,
,

-.

,
.

-,

26

3.
-?
?
-?

-
. ,
.

--
,
.
,

. .
, Advantage
Software, ,
. ,

.

. Advantage
Software 180 ,
300. 1986
200.
,
.
:
.
10
, ,
. .
Advantage Software
1985 20
. ,
IPO 1 , 27
.

.
Advantage
1986 .
.

:


.
,

-, Advantage.
, .

Advantage 495 ,
20
.

,
1988 70 .
1200
.
1989
Advantage - 70
.
. ,
Advantage
.

, .
,
.

,
,

.
,
Advantage.
.

.
-
Advantage
. ,
,

;
,

,
.

,
?

,

. (

Initial Public Offering (.)


. . .

27



,
.)

. - .

.
,

,
.
, Advantage


.

.
.

349 299.
200
.

Advantage, ,

100
. ,
,

.
Advantage,
90 , 80.

(- 20),
, - .
1990

.

,
,
. ,
Advantage ,
.
:
.

.
30% 5%.
.
50 . (

1.) .
1991 Advantage

.

.
99 .

,
,
,
495 .

.
, ,
,

-.
,
-.
1993


. Advantage
.
The
Wall Street Journal 1994 .
Portland Software Advantage
17 . The Wall Street
Journal , 3
,
Advantage .
30%
.

Advantage
, Portland
.

Advantage Software
,

. -

Advantage.

Advantage

,
,



( ,
)

-
.

-,
10 , , ,
28

, .

-
: ,
.


, -

. Advantage
-,

,
,
,
.


,

.
-

.
,
.

,
,

, Advantage
1983
1987 .

-
.

,
-.

-,

.


.

,
.
,
- ,
.

Advantage.
. ,

,

. ,

,
. Advantage .
-,
, ,
.
,

,

,
,

,
,

- Advantage .

.


, Advantage
.
- ,
.
-


, .
-

. 12.

,
.
.

.
, , -,
29

,
.

-,

-

.

()
(),

-.
/
,

-
.
/ (
,

2)

.

2,0 0,8, ,

.
0,8,

- .
,
-
. 13
,


.


: ,

.
,

, , GE
Plastics, -,

.

- DEC
Microsoft.
,
IBM,
,

IBM,

.
,

, (. 14).
?

: CDI .

. 12. -

-


-
,

.

:
? ,
,
-

,
. ,
,
. ,
,

-
.
, ,
,
.
, - Advantage
Software ,
.

30

,
,

-.
,
-

.
,

. 1995

. 13.

Mainframe (.) ,
,
, .
. .

. 14. :
31

.
:
,
, IPO

. ,

.

;
.

,
.

-;



.
,
,

.
-,
.

, ,
,
.
- ,
.

.

,

,
.
.

-.
.

-?
,

,
,

-. -

. ,


.
,

, ,
.
,

-. ,

-,

-.

-. Nucor, Bethlehem
Steel USAir ,
-.

-. , IBM
,

-,

-,
. 15


-.

: CDI .

. 15.
, 1994
,
-.

-,


. ,

/.

- 1 .

, ,

, EDS General Motors


,
GM.

32

-, ,
.
.

-.

-,

( ),
()
()
.

,

-.

-,

.

. ?
Montgomery Wards
, The Home Depot
. ?
United Southwest Air. ?
,

-.
(
?) ( ,
,
?).
, ,
-.
. ,
,
, ,
. ,
-,
,
.

,
.

.

- .

.

.

-,
.
.

,
, .


.
.

.
:

?
,
?

,
?

? ?
,
?
,

-,
.
Advantage
.

.
NBC, , 1955 1975
; IBM 1953- 1983-. ,
,

.
.


-
,
-,

,
.
Advantage Software ,

-
.
-
:
-,
33

.

( ,
) ,

.
.
.

. ,

, .
.

.
-
.

; ,
,

. Advantage Software
,
.

.

, ,

.

,

,

.
, ,

,
.
,

,

. ,

.

-

, .
,
,
.


,
-
.


-. ,
, ,

,

.

- ,
( ,
,
)?

,
,
?

?
. -

, ,
.

.
(, , ,
),
,

,
.
.
,
,
. Lotus
,
,
.
Dell ,

-.
,

34

-.

.
.
-.
,

?

?

.
?
?
?
,
,
?



,
-.

,
,
.
- , ,
.


(. 16).
.
Advantage Software,
, ,
.


, ,

.

-,


( 2 3),

. 16.

35

.
,

.
.


.
:
, ,
,
.
,

,
,
, .
Advantage Software,
,
-,
.
,
, ,

-.
,
,
.
,
?

? ,
?

- ,
?
-

.



, .

,
,

-.

,
II I.


-.
, 1973


.


-. ,

,
-
,
.

(

),

, .

,
-


.
(

)

.

-


.

, ,
, ,

- .
,

.

-
I II, III

-.
. -


.
,

36

4.

?
- ?
-

-?
,

-
.

:
-

,
, , ,
.
, , ,

.

-.


,

.
,
-

.


. Coke
Pepsi. GM
Ford Chrysler. U.S.Steel
Bethlehem, National, J&L, Inland, Republic
Armco. Siemens GE
Westinghouse.
3050.

-

.
,
, ,
. ? ,

-
,
,

...

-
,

.

,
- ,

,
,

.
,
.

.

. ,



.

,

-.


, , ,
.
:
,

...


.
:



?

, ,

37

, -,
.

.
? ? ,
?
,

, -
.
-

.
,

,
,
.

-

.

-,

,

.


. ,

-,

.
,

,
. ,

,
.

-.
.

-.

15
, ,

,

-
.



-,
,
.
,
-

.
,
,

-.


,
,

.
, -

.

, ,

Wall Street,

-.


: ,
,
.


.

, ,

.
,

,
.
,
,
,
,
, 10
.



.

Marcy's, Marshall Fields, May's.
, Sears,
Montgomery
Ward,
JC
Penney,

.

,

38

.
80- ,
,

, .
,

,

.

.
,

,
.
,
,
.


,
,
: ,
.
,

,
.

-

.

,
,

-.

, The Gap The Limited,


.

,

,
1000 . .

,
1 .
-,
,

; ,
4 .

(Super Store),
(Category Killer),

2 .
, The
Home Depot, Toys "R" Us, Circuit City,

.
,
. 1994

-
60 .

,
,

,
.

-,

.
Wal-Mart , ,

,
,
,
, -
.

10 000 . , Wal-Mart


.


.
, -

,
(, );


. . .

Private labels (.) ,


. , .

39

,

,
.
1994 70
.

,


-,

.
,
,
,
. ,
,

.
,

-
.
-

,
.
,
-

.

,

-

.
,
? (. 17.)
,
,
Sears, .

1015


,
.
,
-

,
,
,

- , ,
-

.

. 17. -
:

,
-,

.
.


.

Forbes, Fortune, Business
Week,
The
Wall
Street
Journal.

,
,

.
80-
.

,

. ,


, The
Economist. , ,
,
40


,

.

, .
,


(. . 18).



, . The
Economist, ,

3,5
2 ,




,
.

.
,


- ,


.
-
,

:
.

,
, The New
York Times. 80-, 1995
The Times
, .

,
,
, Business Day

The Wall Street Journal.
90- ,

.
,


. 18. :

-.


,
.

?

30 Wal-Mart


.

- .
,

,
,


41

.

,

, -. ,


1976
,

-.
.


-.
,

,

,
.

:
-

,
?


,
-,
.
,

,
(
),

.
70-
. 1979
13%.

5,25%,
, ,




.


1 ,
, Fidelity
Research

Management
Co

Merrill Lynch,
,

,

,
.
1979
10 .
1982 250
.
,


,
.
80-

.
,
,
.
70- 80-

.

,


. ,
,

,
.
50- 70-

. ,

,
.

Money market funds (.) ,



. . .

42

.


,

.
. ,
,
.

Dean
Witter, Shearson, Merrill Lynch.

,

,
.


.



,
,

.

.
:
,


.
, ,


,
19 1987 .
,
,
.

,
-

.
..

.
1975

.

. 1995

,


.
:
.
100


. ,
.

. .
Wall Street

,
.

,

,
,
.

,

.

,
.

-,

.
,

-,
,

.
:
-,

.

-,

,

.

, Microsoft
. ,
1994
43

Intuit,


, Microsoft ,

(. 19). Microsoft

, .
Microsoft Intuit

.
,

-,

,
. ,
-
,

,
,


,
.

. 19. :

-


.

,

-.


-
-

,


.
,

-
,

(value-added-reseller),
,

. ,

-,

. -

,

.
50-
.
,

.
,

,

ABC, CBS NBC.


, ,
.
70- Ampex Sony

(VCR). Betamax
Sony

.
, 1 976 ,

,
Matsushita
VHS,
Beta Sony.

44

,
,
.
Matsushita ,
,


, .

-

.
-


(, ),
-
.
-

.

, Blockbuster,
50% .
90-

,

20%
- (4 22;
, , ).
-


.

, , ,

, .

,
,
.

-:
.
,

.

.
-
,
.


.

.
,

.
,

.
,


:
-,

;
-,

.
, -,

,
.

, HBO, MTV, CNN, ESPN,

- .


,
.
,

.
6 11
, .
,

-,


:

,

,
45

,
,
.
-

.

.


.
,
, . 1985

700
.
3


,
,

-
.

-
,
.


, ,
.

ABC ESPN, ,

Turner Broadcasting System,
. ,
, TBS
,
,
.
.

80-

500
1000.

Fox.
1993

7
.
,
.
,
,
95% 50%.

40%. A Fox
6%
.
90-


-
(. 20).


;
(Fox, Time Warner,
UPN, PBS), 30 ,
10
Blockbuster
Nintendo Sega.
,
-,
.

.

. , -

( ,
),
.

. 20. :

Bell
.

-

.

,
Sprint MCI,
,

,
.
,

,
46

,

. ,
,
,
. ,


CD-ROM

.
,

-,


.

,
.
,
:

?
2010 ?


-?

?

, ?

-?
-

-

?
?
? ?
,
?
,
,
,
, .
. .

,

.

,

.
: -

,
.
-.

(,

).

.

,
.


.


.
,

-,
,

.

,
,

. ,
,

.
,
.
.
,

.
-,

:

? ?

.

.

,
.

,
47


,
.
,
.
,
, .


.
:

( ),

( ,
).


.

.

,
,

,
,
-,
.
,

.

.

( )

-.

-,

, ,
,

.

48

II
,

49




. ,
-

,
.
,

(. . 21).

,
. ,

,
- ,
,

,

.
,
. ,
,
.

,

,


.

.

. 21.
50

, -
, , .
,
,
,

,
, .
,


,
.

. ,

,

,
.

,
,
.

,

,
,
,
,
.

:

-?
-

?
?
?
?

?
?

?
- ?

?
?
-

-?

?
? ?

? ,
?

:
,
, ?


-?
:
-

?

?
,
?

-?


?

.

51

5.

-
?
?
,
-
.
,
.
,
, ,

.
,

,
.
.

, ,
.

, , ,
,
.
1960
,
.
U.S.Steel,
Bethlehem,
National,
Republic,
Armco,
Jones&Laughlin,
Inland,
Youngstown
Sheet&Tube

,
55
. 1993
, , 13
.
, 70- 450
000 , 135
000.

,

- ,
. -,

-
,

.
-,

-,

,
.

-
,
(. 22).

,
,
.

,
,

,

.
, ,
,

.

.


.

52

-,
.

. 22.

53

.
,

,
.

,
Duquesne Club,
,
.


.
.

5060-

.

,
,

.
-

.
.
- -
.

,


/- ,

60- -

,
.


.
-
.

.
30-

U.S.Steel.

.
.
1966 ,

. .

.
,
.
,
, ,
. .
. ,
1 Nippon Kokan

,
U.S.Steel.

,
,
.

Nippon
Kokan

54

. ,

.
,
5%,
.

.

.
,
U.S.Steel.
,

;
-
.
.

. ,

.

,

.
,

,
,
.

,

U.S.Steel

(,

)
.

,
.


.
(
).
( ).
( ).
.
- .
, ,
,

,
.
,
-
,
.

30%-

,
.
, ,

,

. 1971
(94 )

(110
).

55



.

.
.
.
.

.

,
,
,

.



( 40
300 ).

,

. 1974
,
, 30%.
7%.

, -


.


-.

,
.
,
3040% ,
,

.
.
,

,

.

,
-


,

.

-





,


- .
70-
.
1975 -
280
, 1%

,

35
.
, -
.
Nucor

1

(
, )

. 70- Nucor

, .
.


-,

.
,
.

Chief Executive Officer (.)


.

.
.

56


,
.
,
.
,

.

, ,
, , ,

,
.

.
,
.
-
.
,
,
.

,
, ,
, . 60-
20%
,

. 1973
50% .

20% .

.
,
. .
,
? -, ,
. ,

.

. 1973
,


20 ,
.
1973

,

.

,

,
.

:

,

,
.

,
.


.
1974 . Nucor
U.S.Steel. :
,

(111 ) -
(137
),
.
30%
,
,
7%.
50%
20%
.

.

(35
)
100 , (280 ).
?

57


?
- -
? ?

:
, ,
. 10

,

.

-.

,
,


. ,
.
.

,
.
.

,

, ,
.

.
,


,
.
,

, .



.
,
,
.


. 1975 4%

,
,
,
, ,
.

. -,

70-

,
.

Crown
Cork&Steel,
,

,

. 1978
Miller
Beer



.
. 70-


.


.


.


. GE Plastics, Dow
Chemical,
Borg-Warner

,
.

,

58

,
-
. -,

,
,

.
-,

,
,

. Oldsmobile
, Chevy

.

Modern
Plastics
( ) Iron Age
( ). 1982 :
ABS-
Dow ... 2,5
1980 .


,
.
, ,

, ,

-,

(. . 23).

. 23. U.S.Steel
1984 . Nucor
U.S.Steel.
:

(97 )

(77 ). 95%

40% .
95%
70%
.

15%

-
( 11 )
10
15% ,
(
15 )
9% .
,

- 35
,

.
?


?

-?


,
?

1980-

,
-
. -

. ( 1985 Nucor,

,

Bethlehem Steel,
). ,
,

,

.

.

59

?

.

,

40%.

.
-
.

, 80-
:
-.

70-
80- .
( 1983 70%),

-.

.
Nucor
-,
.

.

Nucor
Deli,
.
, 1988

.
: , ,

-?
: . ,
.

: -,
, 200
.
. .
.
.
,
(. 24).

. 24. ,

(
-
) ,
.

-
-.
:
-

.

-
.


.
.
,

. ,

,
.
: -
-,

:
?
: .
,
.
: . ?
,
, - .

:
.
.
. 16
-, 20.
?
: .
:
,

?
: .
60

,
, ,


.

,
,
.
, Nucor

.

,

.

. ,
,

( ),
. ,
,

Nucor.

Nucor
-
- . ,
-

-
-



- Nucor,

(. 25).
- -

Nucor.

,
-

.
, ,

,
90- .
.

-,

.

.

Tier
One , ,

,
.

.
Ford,
GM,
Chrysler

(. 26).

. 25. -
,
Quanex, -

,
,
-.
- 61


-?
,

90-?

-,
.



.
.

, .

-
GE. ,
,
.

-,




60- ,
.
90-
:
,
.
CEO-,
.


,
,

.

. GE Plastics

1,5
,

.

,
,
,
GE
Plastics

. 26.
Tier One ,


. ,
,
-

GM


20- .
1995 . CEO GE Plastics,
U.S.Steel Nucor. :


,

, . 60-

, , . 90-

(,
,
, )
( ,

).

.
(Ford, GM,
Chrysler).
Tier One.
?

62

-
GE Plastics
GE Plastics


- Nucor GE

Bethlehem
U.S.Steel
Nucor
GE Plastics

1994.,
..
1994 ., .
. 1
4,3
2,6
5,7
4,7
2,3
5,1
5,0
7,5

90-

,

,

. ,
,

-
,
.
?


-,
. ,

-,

.
.
1

0,6
0,8
2,2
1,5

U.S.Steel
Nucor. A LTV
-.
, 10 15
.
,
-

,
, .

,

,
.
:

-

-:

, -,
.

63


,
- . 90 :

,
.

-. , Nucor
,

.

, Nucor
-, ,
,

, ,
,

.
-,

,
(-),

.


, GE Plastics

,

(. 27).

. Nucor

,

.



.

-,

, .
,
,
,
,
.

,
,

-. - ,


,
:
-.
-;
. U.S.Steel
LTV .

, 15
. 70-
, Bethlehem,
,
Nucor,
500
,
Nucor
-

. , ,
.

-.

.

.

(
)

. 27.
Nucor
. -


.

.

,
64

20% 80%.
,
.
-

.
60- ,
,

1976
.

,
,
,


.

, GE, Dow
Borg-Warner
,
,
-.
,
.
-,
-.
-,


.




. -,

,

.

,
,
-:

, -

.

.


.

-

. ,
,


, ,
,
.
,
,
. ,

,
. ,


Sears, JC Penney
Montgomery Ward,
-,

,
.

,

,
,
, ESPN, Blockbuster Video
-
.

, Nucor. 60-

.
,
. ,

,
Toyota

Nissan


. 1986
,

. Toyota Lexus, Nissan Infiniti Honda


Acura
,

.
,

,
.
,

.
65

6.

- ,
?
?
- ,
?
-
?

90-
,
- 1 .
,
. 1992
,
4 ,
, Southwest
Airlines, .
?
?
-

,
1978 ,

,
,

,
:
-
,

. ,

.
.

-
-

, .
,


.
90-
-,

(. . 28).

,

.
,

,
.


,
.

. 28.

1:

1978
:

,

,
,

,
,

- 1903
.
. .

66

(CAB).

.
CAB
.

.

,
.


.

.
,
Southwest ,


.

.
290
, 11
(
): United, American, Delta, Eastern,
TWA, Western, Pan Am, Continental, Braniff,
Northwest National.
87%

-
(RPMs).


10
1960 30 1978-.

,
.
, CAB,

12%
,
7%.

,

.

,
.
, -,
,


.
,
.

Southwest,
PSA Air Florida


.
Southwest ,

CAB.
,
. ,

, .
, ,

,
,

. Southwest

-
.
1978

,

.
.
,

, .
1978 . American
Airlines ( ), Piedmont
( ) Southwest
(
).

.

.


.

,

.
?

-,

,
?

:

,

67


,

?

-.

,
(. 29).

2: PEOPLE
EXPRESS


.

CAB 1981 ,
1979 CAB
.


,
,
.

,
,

-
hub-and-spoke,
.

45% .

- ,

,
.
.
Southwest Airlines

-.
1971


. ,

,

.
, ,
. Southwest

.
20 ,
,

.
Southwest
.
,

,
,
, ,
,

. 29. -


, ,

. Southwest
,
,
. Southwest

hub-and-spoke 25%.
1979
,
.
.


. United
Airlines 1980 123 ,

.

-.

,

.


,
. World Airways
- 99 .
American.

.

,
.
68

1979- 1980
,
.

. -
LaGuardia American Airlines
,

99
,

,

-.
American Airlines
:

. ,
,

,

.
:
, .
.
American Airlines

. ,
,

,
hub-and-spoke.


.

-


,
.


.
Texas International Airlines

.


,
.
-
Southwest,

,
.

Texas International
-,
20 -
.

People Express.
-,
,
.
,

.
,

,

, .
,

.
,

.

. ,
. ,

-,

, .
-
Southwest, .

.
, ,


50 000 .
:

,
.

;
,
;
.
People
Express 30
1981 23
. 39-
, ,

.

American Airlines
LaGuardia
99 , People
23 35
. ,
69

- ,
, : ?
,
.
1983 People Express
(
) 73,5%.

53% 65%. 1985 People Express

,
1 .
American Airlines
5 .
United Airlines

-.

People United
Friendship Express,

People .
,
United

.
, .

People
Express.
,
,
Southwest Air. A Southwest
,

.


,
.

.
People Express .

. , ,
,
.
,
. 1984
United
American.
-
.
People.
American Airlines. 1985
American
.

,
American

, People.
;
,
30
, American
,

, , .
,
, ,
.
,
Frontier Airlines,
.

1985 .


American
.


The New York Magazine: American
, People Express
.
.
,

Frontier,


, CEO Texas Air.
80- ,
,
,
.

. Texas Air Continental
Eastern.
,
.
.
,
10 000 ,
.
,

.
,
People
Express

.
1988 . CEO American Airlines
Southwest. :

, People
Express .
,

,
70


, 10 .

, : 1)

; 2)
.
-,
hub-and-spoke,


.


,
.
?

People Express?
?
?
?
Southwest People?
?

?
-?

People Express ,

. -
,

,
, .
1982

52%

. 1991
46%,

75%.

.
,
,
, .

, (. 30).

-,
,
.

-. People Express ,

-.

,
hub-and-spoke,

,
American,
,
.
,


,
,

. .
,
-
- .

,
, ,
, .

. 30.

-,

. 1984 ,

, American Airlines

1,3
.
,
.
,

,

, .
1950 1973
13% ,
6%,

,

71


,
, .
,

People Express,
,

.
6,1% 1978
2,5% 1990-.

-


(. 31).
, .

.
. ,
- .

(
, )
.
80- ,

.

, ,
,


.
,
Braniff,
,

. 1983 Continental
Airlines
. ,
,
,

,
. ,
,

35%
,
20%.

- 5565%.
.
:


. ,
,
,
.

-


, ,
.

, American
Airlines
1981 .

, 11 . United

.
,

. 31. -


.

,
1981 Texas Air

Continental. Raider Carl Icahn 1985
TWA, Ozark Air. Tiny Allegheny


USAir.

72

. American
50%.

,

.
.
American
,
. 1992

4 , 1990, 1991
1992 10
.

.


(. 32). , ,
,
.
-

,
.
American

Southwest. (

Southwest.)
.
, -,


.

,
1993 the
New York Times Magazine.
,
.

,
,
,

.

.
-

.



,
.


. 1991 ,
,
93%

American
,
63% .

.

.

-.
.
.
.
,

American

. 1992

. CEO
Wal-Mart , ,
,
,

. ,

: , ,
7
21 .

,
40%.
,
,
Wal-Mart,

American

, Sears.
,

.
,

.
TWA American 20%,
. Northwest

73

.
People Express
-
,
. 1994
Southwest 50%
80 100
.
,
,

. -
,
1993 .

: .

. 32.

(
)
(
)

: SABRE

AMR
Corp.,

American,

, .
SABRE,
, ,

,
.
,
American,


SABRE.
American
. SABRE

.

,
American.
American

1993

SABRE

19,6%,
10,6%.

AMR,

14

, 1,5 ,

. AMR

,
.

Southwe America
st
n
68,4%
60,4%
10,2
13,3
1,6

$2,2
.
$5,3
.

$12,9
.
$5,0
.

.
Southwest
,
,
-
, Southwest .
2,2 ,


1994 ,

.
Southwest
.
1991 1993
84
.
1995

Southwest. Continental American
,
.
Continental, CALite,

.

, ,

, Southwest.
United, , U2
,

Southwest
- Southwest

74


Friendship Express,
.
.
24- Southwest

. People Express
.
, , , .
,

.
, Southwest
-.

,
.
Southwest
() ()
.
,

-.
Southwest

,
-.

, ,
- , .
1993
5,5%
0,4% 18
.
25% USAir.
,

. A USAir
53
. ,


.
USAir, ,

.

.
25% Qantas Airlines
,
49%

Deutsche , 49% GB Airways


49% TAT European
Airlines,

.
-
.
,
,

.
, ,
. ,
,
,

-
USAir.
,

.
,
People Express:
, ,
-.
,
- .
1995 ,


, ;
,
,

: British Airways

,
16 ,
. 1992


.
,

.


(19911993)
40% 50%,
.
.
,


.
.
British Airways (BA),
,
-,

,
.

.

.
.

. ,
12,5 ,
75

.

-,
.

-.
,


.
,
,
-

,
.
-
,

.
,
, -
,
-
,
.
People Express ,

American

.
Southwest -,

.

:


:

.
-
hub-and-spoke,

,

,

- point-to-point,
Southwest,
.

,
-

,

.
,

, .
,


.

,
Southwest

,
,

,

. British Airways

,
.

:
, ,
,

,
.



.

.

,
Southwest, People
. ,
American, United, Delta

, Southwest
. :
American , United
, Delta . 1978
American Southwest,

,

.

USAir


. 1978 ,
Allegheny,

,
hub-and-spoke.

76

,


.
USAir
Southwest.

- .
-,
,
.
-
,
.

.
Southwest



- Nucor.

,
, Southwest:
-
. Nucor
,

; , Southwest
.


, ,
,
. ,

People
Express?

Southwest? ,

?
British Airways
? -,

?


-
,
.
,

,

, ,
.
,

.


.




-.
,


,

.

77

7.

?
?
?
- ?
, ?
-?



( ,
, ), ,

,


.

, .
,
- 40

.

.
-,
( 1975 ), ,
1 (19751990
),

,

90-

,
(. 33).

,

Merck
.
Merck

-.

. Merck
,

,

,
-.


, ,

,
,
.
, ,

-
-.

,
,
XX
60 ,


:
80-
90- .

. 33.
1

Blockbuster products -, ,
1 . .,
Viagra.
100 . . .

78


,

.
,
,
.
50- 1000
,
,

2,75 .

Sandoz, Ciba-Geigy, Roche,


Bayer Hoechst,
Rhone Poulenc ,
,


50- ,

-,
,
.
-, 50- ,
.
,
Merck, Pfizer, Lilly,

,
,

-,


- ; ,


,
,

. ,
,

.
. 1957

Hoffman LaRoche .
, 500
,
. .

.
,

William S. Merrill.
, , 1962 Merrill
, ,
.
, .
.

, ,
, .
.

, ,
,

(FDA)

, .
,

.

. .
, ,
.

79

. ,
50-
,
.

.

.
60- FDA ,

-.

:
(

FDA
().
.
.
-

-.

,
.
, FDA,
60-
.
,

,
. 60- 70-

-
4% 7%,

, .


. 1962 1972


.

1
12 .

(
20%),
-
.


17 . 50-
,
34
13
14 .
, ()
,
.
.

.

(
), ,
,
.
:
.
,
.
70-
.
FDA ,
,

(. 34).
, FDA,

,

-,
.

. 1976
Roche
.
,
.
,

1984
.

30 , .
Merck Roche
. 60- Merck

.
, (
) (
), .
,

Merck

.

80

; -
.

.
(, , )
,

,
.
. ,

. ,

FDA,

,
,

.
. ,

-.

.

Merck

,
.

-
Merck.
-,

,
. ,
,
-

.

, (. 35).

.



.

( ):


.
,

. 34.

1978 .

-
Merck. :

1 1962
12 1972-, 50
1975-.

, .
,
, .

, .

.
-,
FDA,

.
?
-
?
-,

?
-
Merck
1978 ,

. ,
Merck .


25%, 40%.
Merck

,
.

,

81


,
,
. Merck

3040%
,
.
-, -
FDA
, ,
.
,
, ,
.
Merck
.

FDA


,
. , FDA
,
-


.

(
)
: CDI.

. 35.

.
.

,

,

, , .

Merck
,

,


FDA -

Merck,

,
,
FDA -
, ,

FDA

1986 Merck
. 11
(
30 )
,

Bristol Myers.

,
Merck

-.



.

,
Merck

,


.
-,

Merck

FDA,
,
.

Merck.
Merck
,
82

,

.
Merck


100
,

.
Merck
10 .
Merck .

-,

.


,
.
-
Merck.
(. 36 37).


.


. ,

10 .

-,

.

10 .

:
, ,
(Health
Maintenance
organizations,

HMO),

.


.

,

.
,

.


. .
?

-,

?

?
-
?

: CDI

. 36.

Merck,
.

Merck 1979
FDA.

. 80-

.
.
Merck ,

.
1991 ,

, ,
2700 .

- Merck
CDI

. 37.
1989 . ,

.
:


.
83

.
.
,
,
(,
, ).


.
Merck .

,
.

- 30%
, .
-
.

1992

Merck
16 ,

100

. ,

-
,
.

.

,
(. 38).


,

(generic)
,
.
,

,

106


,
.


.
General
Motors,
,

18 .

. 38.



(..
, )
-

, ,
,

, .

.



50% ,
(. 39).

. ,

1995

67% .
,


.



, , .

. 39.



84

- Merck.

,

PhD 1

. ,

, .
, (
)

:

.


(7% 1990 )
.


.
80-

(150%

45%
).
,

,
.
,


,
.

(Pharmacy benefit manages, PBM),



.
-

.

,

.
,
500

,
.

.
,

. Merck,

,

,


.

90-

,
,
.
(..
),

.

.

,


.

(
)
:
,
..

Medco Containment Systems.

33 .
Medco

.
Merck,

,
Medco.
1993 Merck Medco
6 .
, Wall
Street. Merck

, Medco
, ,
,
, .
! Medco

MBA (Master of Business Administration)


-. PhD
(Doctor of Philosophy) ,


;
. . .

85

.
Merck .


Merck

.
Medco, Merck ,
,
, 6
.
.



,
.
,


.

,
Medco.
.

.
,

,
.
,
.


.

.
Merck

,


.
.

, 50%

,
(25% ,
15% , 10%

).

, ,

,
. Medco
Merck
.

Merck


.
.

Medco ,
Merck
, ,
,


, ,
. Merck

.

FDA

.

, Merck

,

,
.
Medco Merck
,
,

.

Medco,
Merck



. Merck 80-,
,
-.
-
,

Merck
-
.

Medco

,
, Merck

-.

. ,
86

Merck ,


.
Merck
.
Merck

40 ,
. 50-
.
, FDA,

.
Merck ,
,

. 80-


, Merck
. Merck ,

,
,
.
Medco, Merck
,
,

FDA
.

70-, 90- ,

.
.
,
. Merck

-,

. Merck
.

Merck
,
,

. U.S.Steel
United
Airlines
Merck


.

,
Merck. ,
,
,

.
.



. Merck,
Medco,
: Lilly, Smith-Kline Beecham,
Pfizer ,
.

.
,
-

.
-,

.
, Merck
(
),
. -,
.

, . Merck,
,
2 (
),

.
, Merck

,
,


-
Merck? , ,

Merck?
Merck
. ,
,

87


-
,
.

,

,
.

.
,
. Procter&Gamble
,

.
. P&G,
, ,

(Wal-Mart, Target, CVS),


,

, .
, Merck
,

.
,

.

,
.
,

FDA
. Merck

,

.

;

, ,
.



.
,



-.
, ,

Merck
,
. Merck ,

( ,
,

,
)
.



,
.
Merck
( ,
)

).


.
, , ,
, .
Merck-Medco


,

88

8.


? ?
-
?
,
?
?

,
.
.
,
.

?

. .
,
.


(. 40). 1987

90%
8 .

1
.
Procter & Gamble (P&G)
2-3
,
,
.

,
.

-,

.

80-

.
Starbucks Coffee Co.,


. ,
-,
, ,
,

latte macchiato, espresso


con panna.
,
. :
.
,

. ,
,
.

.
. ,
1,7 ,
.
1986
.
Starbucks.
,
.
4 .
1987
Starbucks.

,
, Maxwell
House General Foods Folgers
Procter&Gamble.

. 40.


, ,
.
,
,
, .

-,
89

60% .
.
.

Maxwell House,
Folgers Nescafe Nestle
.
,
- .

90

- -

-

- ,

,


( )
,

, ,
.
.
, -

. 1985
Maxwell House
Private Collection.
.

-,

. General Foods
,
.
Folgers Gourmet Supreme
French Roast, .
. Folgers ,

.

, ,
, ,

Folgers.

,

,
.

.
3-4%
. , ,
,

.
,
.

.
-
,
, .
.
,
, 5%
.
1988 .
Folgers.
.

.

.

. ,
.
,

,
, .
.
?

-,
?
,
?

1988 Folgers
. Maxwell
House 26,4%,
Folgers.
, General Foods

.
.
. 1988
General Foods 40

.
P&G
,
.

91

1 ,
, .
,
1962 3,1 ,
1,67 .
,
.

General Foods.


. 10

.
-
.
,

,
Starbucks,

,
, .
1988 Starbucks
10 .
,
5
.
: ,
P&G, General Foods Nestle,

( ,
..).
,

.

,
,
.
, ,
,
.
,

,
:
Haagen-Danz,
TCBY, Perrier,
Mrs.Fields. .

, ,

. ,
.


. .
,

,
.
. ,

, - ,
. Millstone Coffee
,
,
Starbucks, 1981
3080% . 1990
30 .
Brothers Coffee Co.
.
1985
100% ,
1990 18
.
22 .

,
-.

-.

.
80
100% , ,
. 6

10 . ,
, 80-
,

.
-,

, .

40 000
,
6
,

1,95
. ,
, ,

(. 41).

- (baby boomers)
,
1946 1964 . . .

92


.
.
,

16
2 , 13, ,

.
,
.
,

-,

, ,

.
.
1990
717 ,
13,5%
5,3 .
25%.
1991
.
800
,
4,5 ,

.
, ,
17,7%. ,

30%.

-
;

. ,

,
. 1992 150
, 40,
. -
,

-
,

.

,
.
,
, .
-

.
Starbucks

,
-
.

. 41.


-,
,

.
,
Maxwell House, Folgers
.

;
,
,
-
.
-
,
.

.
-

.
,
,

.


.
1 . Phillip Morris,
Kraft, General
Foods,
Maxwell House 100
. Maxwell House
Folgers ,
1

Loss leader ; ,

. . .

93

16 = 448 ; 13 = 364 . . .


.
Folgers Maxwell
House -
.
-
. Starbucks

. 1988 ,
26 ,

Pepsi,

.
.
- baristas,
25

, , .
baristas
Starbucks.
, ,
,
. 1991
Bean Stock,

.
60%,

.
,

,

,

.
Starbucks


-. ,

, ,
.

,
.
Starbucks

,

.
Starbucks
:

. -
?

1992 .
P&G. .


.
. ,
.

. ,
.
, ?
?
,
?
,

?

, Starbucks.

-

.

.
,
. ,


,
.
?

-?

-,
, .
1992 Starbucks
28 .
, Starbucks,

Millstone Brothers
,
.
-
.
1992 1993
, 10

, ,
.

. Starbucks 1992
94

90 .

6 .
,

,

. 1992

. 2,1
17 ,
35,7 . ,
115

500
.
.
Starbucks

,
.
.
.
Starbucks.
: Barnie's
, Coffee Beanery .

.
,
.

La Creme
Coffee.
.

.
Boyer Brothers,
Brothers Gourmet Coffees,

; ,
,

. 1991
30 .

2500 .


. ,
,

,


).

1992

Brothers

Specialty Coffee -,
Nicholas
Coffee Co. Elkin Coffee.

Gourmet Coffees
of America (GCA).
,
.

GCA

, 130 100
.

.
GCA
,

, .
GCA
. Gloria Jeans,
,
180 , Hillside,
, Chock
Full O'Nuts .
1993

Brothers
Gourmet Coffees.
200
.
130
.

,
- Brothers,
,

Starbucks.

. ,

,
USA Today: ,
,
.
,

.
Brothers



.
Starbucks
1993 41 ,
97%
. 60%.


4 .

1
.

95



(. 42).
1993 .
Brothers, Starbucks P&G.
.

,
.
.
Starbucks

-,
.
Brothers .
, General
Foods P&G,

.
?

,
?
?
,
?

,
,
, .

,

80- .
.

,
.

-
. ,


,
.

. -

.
. ,


,
.

-,

,
.
,

(. 43).



-,
.

. 43.
:
Starbucks

280
,

, 180 Gloria
Jean's,
,
,

. Starbucks .
. ,
Brothers

,
,
.

. 42. : Folgers (P&G)

,

.
,

. ,
96


.
Brothers
30%.

, ,

.
Millstone
.


.
,

- 3,99
.
Stop&Shop
-
.
,
,
?
.


.
: -
?
,

- Coca-Cola.
,

Pepsi. Coke
,
.

Pepsi ,
2:1, 3:1
4:1.

,
, ,

.
,

.
.
?

?
- Starbucks ,

.
200 1989
5000 1994-,

.

. -,
, -
55 100
1994 .
, Starbucks,
Brothers, Timothy's New World
Coopers
1015% ,

230
1 .
1994 Starbucks
425 . ,
200
-. ,
,
Starbucks, .
Starbucks
Darker Roast,

Brownish,
.
Meridian
.
Pepsi
.
( Starbucks
,
Delta Airlines).
, Starbucks,
, .

(. . 44).
1993
: ,

,
,
,

. :
,

Starbucks,


.
, ,

.

97

2393 1 . . .

.
.
Starbucks;
27,5
32,5 .

,

.
1994
285
(
158 ),
,
, .

1995
.
Folgers, Maxwell House, Nestle, Chock Full
O'Nuts, Starbucks Brothers

.
,

.

.
,
,
,
, ,
.
.

.

.
,
, Brothers,
,

,
.
,
,
, .
, ,

.
.
Starbucks,
,
.

: CDI .

. 44. Starbucks
, 1994 Brothers
80
.
, Seattle's Best Coffee,

.
,
-.
, McDonalds Dunkin Donuts,
,
.
,
,


-. Starbucks...

, , Hambrecht &
Quist, Business Week
1994
.

,

.

,

,

.
- Starbucks


98


. ,
,
. 1988
1993
,
( )

(. 45).

.


,
:
,
,
.

P&G?
,
.
,

,
,
:

,

.

: CDI

. 45.
.


-?
.

,
, ,
, ,

.

.
,


,
(. 46)- Starbucks,
GCA

,
. ,
,

. 46.
P&G
.
,

,
,
""
.
(P&G
),

( Mountain
Blend). ,

-,

DSD (Direct Store Delivery


) ,
, ,
(
Wal-Mart
).

,
.

99


.

. P&G
,

-,

,

.
, ,

.

:

.
P&G . P&G
50100

, .
,
,
,
500 1 .

.


. ,

,
Mountain Blend
,
P&G .

11,5 .

( , Pepsi)
, .
Mountain Blend
,
, ( ),
P&G

.

.

-.
,


. P&G

,

Wal-Mart Target.
?

, .
, P&G,
- . 1994

,
,
.
,
Starbucks

Millstone.

Starbucks,
, ,
10 .

,
P&G.
,

. (, ),
,
,
.

.

1991 , Starbucks,
1994
.
1994 .
,

Starbucks ,
. 1991 1994
, , 1991

,
.
36
.

Starbucks.
-,

,

.
,
McDonalds 50-.
McDonalds Starbucks
. , .
,
,
-
. .
-
,

100

;
-
McDonalds.

Starbucks
,

,
.

,
Starbucks

. ,

(
),


. ,
-

.
,
, ,


-,
. ,

.


.
-

101

9.

?
? ,
-?

, , ?

?

XX .

- .

(ENIAC).
80-


,
, ,
, ,
,
.

(. 47).


?
. -,
, .
.
,
. ,


-.
. :

,
.

,
, ,
, .


.

-
( IBM), , , -
.
-
(Digital
Equipment
. 47.
Corporation (DEC), Prime Wang),

. Prime ;


. ,

,

, Microsoft,

Intel, Novell, EDS Hewlett-Packard.
10 100 .
IBM, DEC Data General
. ,
102

-,

.
,


, ,

.

,
-


.

-,
. -,

,
-.

,

,

.

, ,
,

,
.

- ,
.

,
,

.

.
,

,
.

.
: IBM

-, IBM.

,
IBM
.

-
,

,
.

:
.
, ...
.

. , ,
,
. ...
,
.

,
,
.
.
,
.

,
,

. ,
.
1993 Fortune
, Intel
1984 , ,

103

.
,
IBM 19521953 :

-,

-
,

-
,
. ,
.
IBM
.
- ,

, .

, -
, ,
.
IBM ,

-
.
1952 IBM
. 1959
,
70% .

.

- IBM,
, ,
. ,
, .

, .

IBM
-
(, ,
)

60-

,
,
.
,

.
, IBM
360.
5
,
1966 .
,
- , IBM
, -
.
360
,

.

IBM,

.

, 360


. .

. 1960 IBM

1,4

,
11,3 ,
8:1
( , Microsoft

104

1 ). 1970 IBM
37
, 13% .
IBM
. 60- IBM

,
. 1959

, 1964
,

,
-.
IBM ,
.
,
IBM
,
.

(,

),
IBM .
,
.

,
IBM
-,

. IBM ,

,

.
, , .
. (
,

.)
,
,
.
,
: ,
,


.
: DEC
-
IBM ,

:
-,
-.
IBM
,
1

1995 . . .


Digital Equipment
Corporation (DEC),
.
IBM
DEC .


,
.

IBM

DEC

.


,
. ,
,
1-
.
DEC
,
IBM, -
. IBM
,
DEC . ,
IBM 100%

,
DEC

30%
,

30%

. ,
,
,

,

.
, DEC,
-

.

DEC.
.
,
-: Data General, Wang
Prime. 70-

7,5 .

.

70-

105

- .
,
Commodore Pet Altair,
70- .


1977- Apple .
c 1976
Apple
,


. c
,
.

,
, .
c ,

, ,

.
, -

.
1980 . IBM
DEC. .
Apple
:

.

,
-,
,

.


.
?

, ,
?


?
-,

?
:

()
,

,
IBM

DEC 70-. IBM


,
-.


, IBM
Apple, -
.
1953 .
, -
-
,


.
.
IBM,
.

, IBM


.

.
:

,
IBM
.
,
,
.
Intel,
Microsoft. (
, Microsoft,
,
IBM, .
,
86-DOS,
Seattle Computer, 50 000
.)
,
, IBM
-.

IBM,

,
. ,

106

, IBM ,

-,


,
,
.

-,



-,

3000

IBM
,
.

11 .
1981 .

.
1984
12
. IBM 37% .

.
IBM .

-,



.
, GM,
, IBM

,
. 1985

IBM

130
(. 48).
,

, -

-,

.
,
,

Apple, IBM
.

1985
.

. 48.

, IBM
Microsoft Intel,
.
,

IBM DEC
. IBM
- IBM

, IBM
Intel Microsoft.
107

,
IBM,

. IBM
,
80-
,
. IBM
,

.


Microsoft Intel.

,
.
, IBM,

. ,
,

. Intel,
Microsoft,

MS-DOS

-
;

. ,


,
.

MicrosoftIntel,

.
. ,

-
. ,
IBM DEC,
,

. -

,

.
80-
2

.
,
IBM,

VAX.

.

Wang.


MTST IBM.

,
,
. ,
175
,
.
10
170
,
.
:
,
,
.

.
, ,

.

, .

.
. 80- IBM
80% ,
,
. ,
80% ,
,
. 1990
.

108

-
.

.

,
,
.
-

,
.

. 49.


90-
: IT-
.
IT-
-

- -,

IT
:


.
,
(. 50).

. 50.

,
: , ,

IT

-
,
(. 49). IT-
.

,
, ,
- . -

,
.

.
,

1990 . IBM
.
DEC. ?


.

?
80- ,
?


? ? ,
,

Microsoft
.
,
-,
?
109

.
,

,

.
Microsoft

Microsoft. 80-

,


, Microsoft
,
,

,

Microsoft,
.
MS-DOS Microsoft
.
, Microsoft

(
)

(,
).

- Microsoft

IBM

(
),
MS-DOS 100
,

.


( ,
),

Windows,
Microsoft

DOS,

,
Microsoft IBM,
OS/2. Microsoft
, OS/2,
Windows DOS.

Windows 3.0,
OS/2 ,

Windows.
,

Excel Windows,

Lotus 1-2-3,
Word Windows,

WordPerfect.
FoxPro
Access,
DBase Ashton-Tate,

Windows .
Microsoft
.
- Microsoft

,

,




Microsoft

Microsoft
,
Windows

.
Windows ,

Windows.
, Microsoft
,
,


Windows

Microsoft

110


.
-
Microsoft

-
DOS, FoxPro
Intuit.
1986 Microsoft

1994

35 .
Intel

Microsoft


Intel. ,
,

. ,
Intel

, Intel

DOS.
DOS

,
Intel - ,

. Intel
,
.

,

.
- Intel

.

10%

-
.

,

AMD 1 .


Windows-Intel,
.

.
1984 Intel
27
.
Compaq
Microsoft Intel


, IBM.
Compaq
, , ,
.
Compaq

. ,

( )
(Microsoft
Intel). ,


.
,
,
.

-,
,
Compaq

,
Fortune

:
,

. 80- Compaq
12
18 69.
80-


.
Compaq
5,5
.

.
Compaq ,

.

1992

,
Compaq

1995 . . .

111


.

, Compaq ,

. 19911993
Compaq
15%,
52%,
3,33 7,2
.
1994 Compaq IBM
( Compaq
8% 1993 10,3% 1994 , a IBM
10,8% 8,5%)
10,3
.

,
, ,
IBM, .
Novell
80- ,





, .
,
Novell ,

.

,
90-
. ,


,

. ,
,


.


,
Novell.

, Novell

-,

- Novell
.

,
Novell

,

IT,
IBM DEC,
.
,
,
,
.


-, Novell
IT-
.

- Novell


. -,

Novell

,

Novell
.
,

,
Novell

. ,

Netware
Novell, 70%
1 .
,
Novell, ,

-,
.
Microsoft,


, ,
.

Novell

,

,

.
, Novell
1

112

1995 . . .

Banyan,
IBM DEC ,

Novell.

Novell

-
. 1984
6,2
.

,
Novell,


.
IT
,

.
,

,
,

Novell. ,

,
,

. , ,
,

.

,
IT
-.

-,
.
EDS,

,
(. 11). Arthur Andersen,
IT-

-,
,
ISSC, IBM,


IBM.

,

.

1985 100
.

,
-.
: CDI .

. 51.

,
. 1984
, EDS,

16
. 10%
GM,
25%
.
,

-, IBM
ISSC
.

1980

100
.

,
(. 51).
,


.



-,

113

?
Microsoft
,

:
Warp IBM
Apple
Macintosh,

.
Novell
,


.

, Novell

Microsoft.
Intel ,

.

IBM, Apple Motorola,

,

Intel.

; ,


.

,
Compaq. ,

.

Harvard Business Review,

. 1995
IBM Lotus ,

.
:

,
.
80-

.
,

.

,

.
Microsoft,
Intel

Compaq
,

. EDS Novell
, ,

.


?
-,


(,
).
,

- (
-). -, ,
,

IBM

,
IBM
,

Intel,
Microsoft.
,
,

,
:

,
, ,

.

1985


,
.
10

.

114

?

, DEC

,
.
DEC, a IBM


. ,
, IBM

,
,
Apple Motorola.
Intel Microsoft
IBM ,

.
,



IT-

.
IBM, EDS 1989

Kodak.

, ,
DEC.


, DEC.

- ,

,

.

,
, IBM, DEC
- ,
,

.


.

,

.
,

Apple.
80-
Macintosh

Windows
Microsoft. Apple


.
,

,
.
80-
, Microsoft

Apple


,
.
, ,
Apple 1994
Macintosh.



,

(
),
(

),

(
),

(
). ,

,
, ,


.
AT&T
,

-,
,

.

, ,
,
?

115

.

:

;

; ,
,
( )
, ,

,
...
,
-.

. . ,

116

10.

?

!
? ?
, ?
XX ,
.

, ,

, .
. , . .
,

,
.

-.
.
, , ,
.

.

.

,

.


.
. ,
,


.

.
. 52.
, ,

. ,
,
. 1983
,
.
-.
(. 80-
,
52).

70-

.

, 500

.

117


IBM
.

Dell Gateway
2000. , IBM,

,

,
, :
.

,

2.
, ,

.
-,

, Wal-Mart,
The Home Depot, Medco, Costco Charles
Schwab,
,



.
,

,

.

,
, , ,
.

, ,
.
,
.

-,


.
Nordstrom

EDS

,
,

-,

.

,
,
,
.

.
,
.

,

,
.

.

,


,
, ,
.

,
,

.

Wal-Mart
, Wal-Mart


,


.
.
1970

25% ,
1990 34%,

-
Wal-Mart

118


,
.
Wal-Mart
,
,

.
10 000


. Wal-Mart

:
.
,
Wal-Mart ,
,
,
2 .
1000 ,


.

Wal-Mart
. 1970

.
1978
.
,

. 1984 Wal-Mart
.

,
Wal-Mart
.

- Wal-Mart

-

-

Wal-Mart




, ,

,

Wal-Mart
,
. 1983

-: Sam's Clubs. Wal-Mart


, ,

,
,
. Sam's
Clubs

, ,
.
. ,
,

.
Wal-Mart,

-
.
, Sears, JC
Penny Mays ,
Wal-Mart
,

(. . 53).

CDI .

. 53. - Sears Wal-Mart Aldi


Aldi


. 7080-

,

,
,
,

119


.
-
,

.
90-

1 .
1980 -

Aldi. 1948
,

.
,


,
,
Aldi.

,
.
,
,
- .

Aldi, ,

, .
- Aldi
,
.
,
Aldi ,

. 800
. ,

600
,


( ,
, ).



(. . 54).

.
,
;
,
, .

,
3,5%
6% .
.

.
, .
. ,
Aldi,
.

Aldi
- 2500
,
1900 . Aldi

.
1979 Aldi
. 80-

, ,
,
.
,

, Aldi

. , Aldi
.
1988 , Aldi
, 1994
74%.


, Lidi & Schwarz KwikSave.

. ,
,
The Economist, ,
,

,
.

,

. 1990

Carrefour ,
Europe Discount
.
, Continent,

Dia.

,
. .

120

. 54. -

121

Charles Schwab

-

,
,
-
Wall Street

. 1990
Schwab
1,5 ,

(. . 55).

CDI ,
Dow-Jones.

. 55. Charles Schwab



,
-,
,

.
,

,

,
.

,
,
,
.

Pitney Bowes,

. ,
.
.
. , ,
.
Charles Schwab
.
Schwab

.
Schwab

, . Schwab



,
,
.
,

75 , Schwab 39
.

.
1980


. 90-
14% .

20%.

,
Schwab

. 80-

.

,
,
,
.

-
,
,

. , Forbes,
Fortune, Business Week The Economist,
,
,


: -,
122

. 44%
, Schwab

.
Schwab

-. ,
,
, Schwab

,

. 1989
; 1993
StreetSmart Windows,

; 1994

Custom
Broker,

,

.
,
Schwab OneSource


. OneSource,
Wal-Mart,
The New York Times,


.
, Schwab

.
OneSource 6,4%

,
.
- Charles Schwab



Charles Schwab


(,
, )

(
, , ,
, )

(OneSource)
(
)
(
)






.
Schwab 90%

, 22 400
. 1994
38 000
.

,
. 1994 ,

30%, Schwab .

20%, Schwab
.
W.W.Grainger

Wal-Mart



.

Wal-Mart ,


(, , ).
,

. ,

, ,

,

.

, .

,
.
80-

123

,
.

,
,
.
.

:

.
,
.

.

,

.

W.W.Grainger.

1100
73 000

,

. 1983 1993 2
.

. ,

,
.
, Grainger

.
Grainger

.


300 ,


,
.
20
.

.
Grainger
,

,

,
.
,

,

,
.
Grainger
,
, .
Grainger
,


,
100 000
, 50 .

-

,
.
-
,
.
,

12% ;
46%.
Grainger

20 .
Dell Computer
1990 .
,
. Macintosh
Apple Windows Microsoft
,
.

, .

1600 500
1989 1992.

124

-,

14% , Apple
. 24%, Compaq 20% (
).
. Computerland ,
. Radio Shack

.

.
IBM 150 000

,
-,

2 . Dell
.
40 000
80-
,
Dell Computer 2
, 4
.

, .

.

, .
:

.
,
,

,
Dell ,

, ,
,

.
.

,
: IBM ,
1983 . IBM Apple

,
,
, -
, .
, , ,
. ,
Wal-Mart
Dell
.
,
80- Wal-Mart
.
, ,

.


, .
:
. ,
, .
Wal-Mart
,
.

,
.
,
90% Wal-Mart P&G
.
,
Dell

,
, .


Schwab
. ,
Dell
125

. OneSource


. Schwab
,
25 (25
100 )
,
.
Schwab,
,

. Schwab,
, ,
:
OneSource
25
.

.

Schwab,
. Schwab

, ,
.

.
OneSource

,
,

. (
Charles Schwab
,

.)

Schwab,
,
.
, Schwab
.

Grainger
.
,

1900

130 , Grainger ,

Dell


,

.
,
,
. :
,
. IBM, DEC HP

. Compaq
, . Apple
,
15% 10%. HP
.
,

.
IBM DEC
!

.
:

-

,
,
.

.
,

-.


,

2.
,

- ,

126

,
,

,

(. . 56).

,
,
.

-,

.
.

.

.
Wal-Mart C D,
Aldi
, Grainger



.


. Corporate Decisions
Inc.

. 56.
.

,
.

.
,
Wal-Mart Dell

/
.


.
Schwab Wal-Mart
,

:
,



.
. ,

.

,
, ,
.



.

,

.

,

-.

-


.
, , Speedplast, ,

A.Schulman,

.


.
Speedplast
, Dell Computer
.

127

500
Schulrnan .

,


.
5%- ,

, -
Dell

Speedplast . ?
, ( !),


,
,

.
, Dell
Speedplast,
,
,
, ,

.
1993 Merck
Medco. Merck ,


.
, .

ArgEvo,


2,3
,
,

.

Stefes,
.
,



,
ArgEvo .
Stefes,
,


.

,

, .
,
NECX

200 .

- ,
NECX. ,
,
.
NECX


.
,
N Dell
,

.
- NECX

,

,
.
:
,

.
,
,

.



.
CommerceNet, 1994 ,

,
,

.


,

,
,

.
-,

128

?

,
,



?

?
,


? ,

,
.
,

.

129

11.

,
, , ?

?

?

-


.

.

.

,


.
.


,

.
,
,


(. 57).

. 57.

-,
,
.
.

, Hewlett-Packard EDS,

.
,
,
.

.
-

.
HEWLETT-PACKARD

Hewlett-Packard (HP)

90- .
,
,
, General Electric,
Ford Citicorp,

.

,
Business Week,

. , HP


70% ( 26 ),
IBM DEC
50 (. 58).

HP,

,
,

,


130

(Global
Account
Management, GAM).


, GAM
-
. HP
.
10 HP ,
,
. Sun, DEC Apollo


. ,

,
,
,

,

.

Hewlett-Packard
-
.

IBM DEC.
: CD/ .

. 58.



. ,
-


.

.


,

.
.
,


. ,
,
,
.


.
,

.

.


.

. ,

,
,

.

.


. Hewlett-Packard
,

.
80-
,
,

,
- .

()

,
131

,

.

, 90- HP
-,
. -,

,



.
, HP

,
.

, HP


.
-,


, ,
.
,
HP

.
-,

CIO .

, HP
,
.

, HP

, GAM

.
HP,


,
.

HP




,
.
, HP
100

. ,
, ,
,

HP.
-
HP
. GAM

HP GAM
,
.
GAM

. ,


HP
,
,

- GAM Hewlett-Packard


,
.


.
Hewlett-Packard

.
1 .

,
, , ..,
. . .

132

-, ,
, .
.

, .


.
-

HP? -,

. ,

,

. ,

HP :
70% ,
. HP
,

.
.
- HP
.


,

HP
.

1,0, IBM DEC

0,7

0,4
, HP,
Sun, 0,6.
HP
. 1994 IBM

.
IBM


, ,
1994
HP.
EDS: .

-,
.

,


. ,

Sloan
Management Review,
,


Nike,

,
2,5


-
. Nike

.
,

. ,

Nike,


-.

. 80-

.
,

133

.
, 1989 12

,
.

.

,
.

,
, . 1962
, ,
IBM ,

Electronic Data Systems (EDS).


,
IBM

,
,
, EDS
.
:

.

, ,
,
, IBM.

1989 Eastman ,
Kodak no IT- .
EDS

, IT
. ,

,

. .

,
EDS


, . 1964 1969

EDS 100
, 5,3 ,

-, (time-shared), Medicare,
.
Medicaid
Blue Cross/Blue Shield. Co EDS

.
Federal .
Express,

- , EDS
, .

, EDS

-,

, Williams-Sonoma. .

,
, :

,
,

.
. EDS :


, ,
Medco PCS,
,
, ,
. Customized . ,
Transportation
Inc


134

,
General Motors, EDS
Saab, Caterpillar, Chausson
Cummins Engine.
1-
First Fidelity Bancorp EDS
.
EDS

. 90-
IT-

;
,
,

, ,


.

, ,

,
. EDS

,

,

,

.

- EDS,

,

EDS

,
,



,

( / )

135

IT-, EDS
. -,

30%

. ,

. -,

, IT-
.
General Motors
EDS 1984 . EDS
70 GM,

,
17 /
GM

. , EDS

Saturn,

.
,
EDS GM

. GM 1984
EDS,
IT 10%
. EDS

GM
EDS 947
1984 3,4 1985-,
EDS
, IT.
GM
,
EDS.
3 3
1985 10
1994-, GM
71% 34%.
EDS 3,5
19
(. . 59). 1994 EDS

, Xerox
IT-
10
3,2 .

1700
IT-

150

Xerox EDS,
Xerox IT

25%.

-
EDS


.
,

,
,

,
EDS

,

. EDS
,

CDI .

. 59.

,

.
, EDS
,
.

-
EDS

, EDS

.


EDS
,
136

.



.
EDS IT-
,
CSC, Arthur Andersen IBM.
,

EDS,

-


.
:
-

-,

,
,

.



. 2


.

,

,

,
,

,

.

,
,

,

.
(GAM)
-

,
.
, , GAM

.


,
.

.
Hewlett-Packard EDS
,
-

.
.
, HP, EDS

.

. ,

,
,

. HP
GAM,

8
.
.


,
.
GAM Hewlett-Packard
.
, IBM, HP
,
IBM,
? EDS ,
,
,

.
.

-,

.
.

.

,
, ,
,
.
EDS

137


.
,


, Ford ABB



Ford, .

,
Ford

ABB

,
,

. HP

,


,
.

.
,

,
,

,

. ,
EDS
,

.
,

, 80-

HP,

EDS
IBM. ,
,


.
.
,


. EDS
:
IO 1 , CFO 2 .

, EDS
-,

.

.
,

, Ford,
,
GE
,
.

-,
,
HP EDS
,
.

.


, ,
1

Chief Information Officer (.)


. . .
2
Chief financial officer (.) . .
.

138


,
,


,
.

.

-,
,

.

Ford

Mondeo/Contour, ,

,
Ford
,
.

,

Xerox,
Whirlpool,
Hyundai Unilever,

.

,
, .
, ,
,
,
;

.
,
,

.

-,

139

III

140


,
,
.
.
,

.
12

,
,
, ,
,
, .

.

,

. 13

, , ,
.

14

,
,
.
:
? ,

,

.

.
.


141

12.
,
?

,
?

, ?


,
,
.

,
.

.
.
,


(.
. 60).


.

-
,
.

. 60.

:

:


.
,

.
,
,
.
, ,

.

,
.


, ,
,
, ,
, .


. ,


,
. Folgers

-

.
, , ,
,
.

.
,

,
.
,
:
.

.

142

,
.


.
,
(. 61). :


.

-, 10
. 1995
- LTV
,
,
1985 .


,

,


.

.




.

. ,

,
-

,

.

. 61.

.
,
,
:
,

.


.

,
,



-. 20-

GM
, ,
, Ford
.
GM. ,

.


, Wal-Mart
80-
,

60

.
.
,


.


: ,
, .

.

, (. 62).

(,

),
.
,
.

,
, ,
143

. 62.
.



.

.
,

.
,
,
,
.

: ,
________ (

). ,
.
, ____ .


__..
/.


(/)


80-
90- .


.
80-
/

: ,
, ,

IBM, Computervision
Intergraph,
,
. ,

,
.
80-
.
,
.

.
Autodesk

,
,
.
,

.
,
,

-,

(
)

.
200
1,2 .

,

.

-,

.
, SDRC,

.
-
1988 1993 400 .

144

.
Parametric
Technology
Corporation
, SDRC,

-,

, 1989 1993
1 .
,

,
-.
,
,

.
/

(. . 63).

(. 64). :
,
.
,


- .

. 64.

.

:
.

.

.

(
,
,

Autodesk).


.


( SDRC, ).

.

. 63.
.


; ,
. -.
-,

,
. ,

,
.
.
.
/ ,
145

, (. 65).
,
360
.

,
,

,
.

. 65.

, . ,
,


.
. 1948

; 1994
629 .

,
,
.

.
:
.

(

1 ).

,
.
-,

,
,
.
, ,
. P&G, Nestle
General Foods , Starbucks

. ,
Starbucks , .
IBM, DEC HP , Microsoft
,
. JC Penny, Sears
,
Wal-Mart ,
. ,
TCI ,

.
-

,

, Iris-Lotus,
Lotus-AT&T JetForm-Moore
.

.

(
)
,

,

,
,

.
.

. ,
, , , , ,
, , ,

.
(

),
. 70-

929 ,
66% .
1993 12,6

64%
.
. , 1
,
( ). . .
146

. ( )

.


,
.
,

, ,
,

.


,
. ,

, .
.

-

.
,

,

.
500
629

,

.
,
,
-.
.

-,

, ,
.
-,
-
,
.

,
,
,
,
,

,
,
.

:
,

.
?

,

? ,

.

-,

,
,
. Wall Street ,

,

,

.

.

,

.


(
).

-


.

:
(
-)

/? ?

? ? ?
?


? ?

147


. ,

.
. :
,
.
,

.


.
,
.
,


.
,
,
,
.


(DEC 16
; Bethlehem Steel
16 ).

,
,
, ,
,
,
.
.

,
, ,

:

,
.
,

.

. ,

,
20
(

,
, ).
(
, ,
), ,
. ,
,
,
,
.

.


:
.


,

:
,

, ,
.
.

.



.
Merck Medco

,
.

.

1000 2000 .
30 000
100 000 .

, .
(
),
,
, .

,

, Wal-Mart, The
Home Depot, Dell, Grainger Charles Schwab,

.
,
,
. ,

148

, -,
, ,

.
EDS
19
; EDS
,
Johnson Controls, Honeywell, Federal
Express, Ryder, UPS .
-
-,
.
.

,
,
.


,
.


-.


-.
,



.

:
.

,


.

.

. ,

,
.

,
,
.
Merck
,
-

-

. 90- CEO
Merck

,

. ,
Merck, SmithKline Beechham Eli Lilly

.


.


, IBM

.

,



. IBM
,

Microsoft
Intel.
,
EDS Hewlett-Packard
,

.
/.

.
.

-
,

.
Starbucks


.

,



,
.


149

.

, -,
,
.


.
,

(.
66).

.
.


.
-
, , ,
.


,
.
?

1. ? ,
? ,
?
2. ?
3.
, - ,
?
4.
?
5. ,
?
-
6. -
?
7. ?
8. ?
9. , ?

10. ,
. ?
?
11. ?
? ?
12. (,
, , )?
? ? ?
. 66.

150

13.

?
?
?

-
,
. IBM
,
. P&G

,
,
.

,
,

.

.

,

?

,

. -,
,



. -,
,
,
. ,


.

,

,
, ,
, .
.

, .
.

.

(, ,

-)


.
. ,
.
.

.
:
?.
,
, .
,

,
GE,
.
,

GE.
GE , :
Lexan

GE .

,
.
,

,
GE. ,
,

.

.
,


.
,

.
,

.
151

-.
-
,

-
,

,

.



,

.
,

.
.


Intel,
.
,
,

.
,
Intel
,

.
90- Intel

. ,
27
, .
1985 Intel

DRAM

.

, Intel

, ...
,
Intel,
,
,
,
.

. .

Intel,

,
,
. 1985
.


Intel

.
,
,

, .
, .
,
Intel -,

, ,
,
.
, ,
-, ,
, ,
. ,
,

,
.



. ,

, .


.
,

DRAMS
, Intel
,
.
,
. .

- ,
.
,
, .

152

Intel

.
,
,
.
. . .
,
Intel, ,
,
,
.

,

-.

,

- Intel.
"Intel Inside"
,
.
Intel
,

.

Intel

90- :

- ,
.
, ,
.

.

, Intel
,
.

,
.
100
, .
, ,
,
,
. ,

,
.

,
Intel

.

,


.
,
Intel.
, ,
,
. ,

,
.
,

.


,
,
.
, ,
[]
[,

],
.
, ,
. .

.
, .

CEO,


,
,
,
. ,

.
,

,
, ,
,
,
.

153

,
.
20 .

.
, .
,

:

,

;

( ,

),

,

.

.
70-
,
Northrop Grumman,

-
,

.



70- ,

.

, ,

,

.

:
,
,

,

,

,
:
.

.

.

. ,
, .


,
,

.
, ,
,
.

,
.

.
,
, ,
. ,
:

.
,

, ,

,
.

.
,

,

,

2020 .

154

,
.
,
,

,
.

,
, :

,

.
,
.
: 1


.
,
,

,
,
Corporation.

,
,

,
,
,

.
-,

.
, ,
,
.

,
.

,
.



.
1902 15
, 80
000 .
,

.
1

, .

. .

.


,

, ,
, ,

. 1993 The
Financial
Times


.
-
50
Forbes,
,
, .

,
.

;

.

15%


.

- ,

,

.
:

25%
,
.
,

.
,
,
.
,

.
,

. ,

.
,

,
80-,

155

1992 ,


.
, .. .

,
. ,

,

,
,
.

], ,
.


. 60 000
30 .
28-
Forbes-500, 11-

80-
. 10 11

Forbes ,

Toyota

.
?
.

, ,

,
.

, .
,
,
.
, .
Royal Dutch Shell

-
- Royal Dutch Shell

.

, Shell

.
100 ,

.

3,5
,

50
000


,
. ,


. Shell
- ,
.

Shell

.

.
, Shell,

.
.

Exxon ( Standard Oil
Trust, ,
Standard Oil of
New Jersey). Shell
,
,
,
,
. ,

Shell
,
.
,
,

,
.

. Shell

,

. 1979
Shell 60%
,

Shell
:

[ ]
10

156

.
Shell

,

.



Shell 60-
.
,

,
,
,

.

.
,
,
.

: , 90%

,
.
70- Shell
, ,
,
.

:

,

,
.

. ,
, .


.
, ,
,

. Shell


,
,
, ,
.
:

""
?


.

,

,
.
,
.

,
,
,

. 90-
,

Shell,
.
,
.

,
,

157

.

,

,
. -,

,
,
. ,
. ,
,
, ,
.

,
,

.
Shell

. 1973

,
,



.
,

Shell

,

.
Shell

,

,
,
,
.
, 1970- Shell

. 1979
, , .
, Shell
.
80- Shell ,
.


. -,

, . -,

.
, Shell

,

,

.


.


-,
:
;
;
;
.


Shell.

,
.
1980- Shell Exxon

. 1980
1994

22 58
.

,

, Shell
,
, .


,
. ,
,

.


.
,


,

158

,
.


(
. .),
,
.


.

,
.

,

. ,

,

. ,

, ,
,
, , ,
,


,
.

, .

,
, .
.
.

.
,
.

,
.



.

,
. .

. ,

,
,

(,
, ,
).

,
.
,

.


.
,

,
.

.

,
.
, ,
.
,
.



.
,

.


, ,


-,
.

. ,
.
,
.

159


.


. ,
,

( ),
( ),


, ,

.

,
,
-.

)
.

,

, .

160

14.

-?
,
-?


.
,


-.
,


-.

.

,
,
.

: -

.


.
.
-,
-,

-. ,
. -
. (
) ,

.
,
.
-
,
,
.


- .

,

,
. ,
,

.
IBM
,

.
-,

.

-,
(. 67).
,


, :

-
.
, ,
,
,

(
, ,
,
-).

:
-

.
-,
161

. 67. -

.

,

. ,
. ,

.
,

,
. ,

. ,



.

.


,
.
.


-. EDS
,

),




. GE

. Arrowhead Ionics (,
)

.

GE,

:
, ,

-
.

. -,
, (,

).

-
(

).
,

(
People Express).
, ,
,
,
.

-.
,

.

.

.
,
,
.

162

,
.

(
)
,
.
.


.


,
, , .,

. ,
,



,

.

:

.

,

,
.

,

.


(
-

). Coca-Cola
,
(
Pepsi 1:1),
( 2:1),
(3:1)
(4:1),

, .
,
,

. Coca-Cola
,

.


.
- Microsoft,

,
.
Microsoft

.
- Microsoft
, .
.
-

, ,

.

.
.

.
,


.


Kansas City Southern

,

.
..Hanna,
,


,
.
-

,
-.

163

-
,

.

,
,
,
.

,
,
,

.
IBM
,

.
,

,
, ,
, .

.
, Honda,
Acura,
. Toyota
Nissan, Lexus Infinity
Toyota

.

-
,
, , .
,

:
, .


-.
.

-.


,
.

,

-
.

.

-.

. ,
,

.
,
Toyota, .


-,

.

, ,
.

.
,

.

.

-

.
.


, ,
. ,
,
.

-.
, ,
,
,
. ,
,

164


.
,
.
,
,

.
,

,
.
,
, ,
.



GE, Dow
Borg-Warner.

.
. -,

. -,

.


,


,


.

GE, Dow .
.
. , 10
,
.

.

-
.
,
:

P&G,

Ford.

.
,

(Ivory Coke 100 ,


Tide 50).

,

.
.

.
80-
.

.

,
.

2030% ,
.
90-
100% .

,
,
.
(1991 1993 )
.

.

,
,

. P&G
,
, ,

. P&G ,


. ,

,
,


.
,
,
,

.
1987 P&G Wal-Mart

165

.

,
.
,
. P&G
,
Wal-Mart.
P&G
.

.
-
-
P&G

-.

. P&G
.
,



.
P&G

, ,
.

. P&G
,
,

,
.
.
,

,

. ,

P&G,

.

- P&G


.
,
, P&G
. 1991 1994
9
,
.
.


. 70-

, . ,
,
. 1980
1983
,
.
80- Chrysler
Ford
(GM
).


, Ford.

,

.

,
,

.
-
,

. P&G Ford ,

-
.


,
.
.

-,


-,

-.

.

.
(
)
.


, , ,
:

166

?

?


.

-,


.

,

.

-.
,
. :

,

.
.
,

-.
, .

,
(,
10%).
,
-


.

.
,



, -
,

.

-,
, ,

(
).

(. 68). ,
,

.
, ,
.

. 68.


, .
30%,
-
30%, 40%,
40%
.
70%,
,

60%,
30%
-
20%.

.


,
.
,

,
- .


-, :

167


-? ,


.
:



,

.
,

-,

.
,

.
1030%
.

. 100%

, .

,

.
1030%
.
-
.

-.

-
.
-


.
-
:

,

( 68
),

, ,
,
(
,
) ,

,
.
- ,


-
.

-

,
, .

,
, .

-,
,
,
.

.

.



,
.

, ,
.

. -,
,
,
.

. ,
,

.
,

.

,
,

.
,
;

-
, .
-
?

168

.


.

-,

, .


,
(. . 69).

. 90-
, , ,

.
.

,



,
.
,
-

. ,

-.
: GDI

. 69. - ?

169

15. ...
?

.


.

IBM.
,

,

.

Intel;

Microsoft;
EDS
;
Novell

;
Dell
.

IBM,


( 1983
IBM 111
).

.
1953 ;
50-


1959 ;
1964
360- ,
- ;
60-
;
1981
.
Intel
.
1985
DRAM ;
80-


.
, IBM Intel
,

. ,
Intel
,
.
1995 Intel
.
.

RISC,
IBM-Motorola;

.
Merck
10 ,

33 :
1978
,


;
1990
- (
,
)

Medco
.
Merck

.
Glaxo
80-
.
,



.
Nucor
80- ,
-
.

( );

.

-. ,
,
Nucor.

.


,

. ,
170


.
,


. ,

,
.
,
,


, .

.

,
,
.
.

,
-.
,
,
,

-.
,

. ,

,
.

.


,

.
,

.
.
,

-.


.
, ,
80% -

. ( 10 000
) .
55%
,
.

,


,
.



.
,
,

,
.
, ,
, .
Ford
Mondeo. ,
, 200
, 700
(

).



( ).
200
2
.

.
20% 80%
. Wal-Mart,
Target
.

, Kodak, P&G Campbell


:
20 ( 20%) 80%
.

,

.

, .

10 .
: GE, Pratt&Whitney
Rolls-Royce.
, :

-

. ,

,
.

171

,
.

,
.
,
Wal-Mart.
(,
),
,
.

. Merck
.

,
. ,


.
Microsoft
TCI .

,

,
.
,
,
.
Intel


IBM:
.




. ,

,


- Intel,
,
, .

,
HP

, a IBM DEC
;
Ford
, a
GM Chrysler ;
Merck

Nucor

, .

,


,

.

,



.
: ,
,

.
,


.

.

,

,
.


.

, .

,

,

-,


,

200

(.
70).

: ,
.

,
.

.
,

172

.
,
.

, ,
,

: CDI

. 70.

, , ,
70- 80- (
)
,

,
,
. Merck
- ,
. ,


.
, ,
GE, ,
,

.
,
, .

.

GE Capital,
,

.
. , ,
. -,
,

.
Microsoft

,

( ),

, ,

,
.
Novell
(
).
,
,
,

IBM 60-
).
,


Novell.


Ford.
:
,
.
.

Taurus 80- ,

,
. 90-
Ford
.

. ,

,

.
,

.
,

,
.

173

.

,
.
,
, (
) ?
.


?


? ? ?
,
, ?

?

?

,

.
:
,
, ,
,
.
,
. , ,
...

.
, ,

.

...
,
,
.
Discount Drug
25 ,
,
.
,
Save ,
... -

. , ,
Sam's Clubs.
1983 ,

10 , 217

.

.
,
Microsoft Novell
.
,
Notes , Microsoft
Lotus.

,
,
,
.
,


(, ,
),

(
).

,

.
, :
- ? ,

?
,
Merck .
,
,
,


.
Merck
Medco ,


.

, ,
. ,

,
, :
-
?
DRAM: -
? :
,
,
? ,
, :

174


?
(3000 )?
(
),
,
?.


,

.
,

,
, ,

.
:
GM Taurus
Ford?

-,
-?
Folgers
, Brothers,
, Starbucks?
Apple Microsoft (

)?
IBM Dell?
, ,
?.

,
.

.
,

.

,

. -
,
, -.
, .

,
.
- ,
:
, .

, 10 20 . ,
,
, ,
,

-.
, ,
, .
:

?

.
( )
,
.
,
-
,
,
.

, .

,
, .
-
.
.
,


(
,
).

175

Вам также может понравиться