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Nr.

Cheltuieli PIB yaj xiyi x^2 u u^2 y-ymed

1 0.67 6.07 1.470588 4.0669 36.8449 -0.80 0.64


2 0.55 10.53 4.411765 5.7915 110.8809 -3.86 14.91
3 0.65 11.74 7.352941 7.631 137.8276 -6.70 44.93
4 1.56 19.28 10.29412 30.0768 371.7184 -8.73 76.28
5 2.14 21.34 13.23529 45.6676 455.3956 -11.10 123.11
6 1.35 22.56 16.17647 30.456 508.9536 -14.83 219.82
7 1.6 24.23 19.11765 38.768 587.0929 -17.52 306.87
8 1.4 25.07 22.05882 35.098 628.5049 -20.66 426.79
9 1 27.96 25 27.96 781.7616 -24.00 576.00
10 1.58 27.97 27.94118 44.1926 782.3209 -26.36 694.91
11 1.08 40.55 30.88235 43.794 1644.303 -29.80 888.18
12 3.13 52.02 33.82353 162.8226 2706.08 -30.69 942.09
13 5.23 58.11 36.76471 303.9153 3376.772 -31.53 994.44
14 3.83 63.43 39.70588 242.9369 4023.365 -35.88 1287.08
15 4.78 66.72 42.64706 318.9216 4451.558 -37.87 1433.91
16 1.93 67.37 45.58824 130.0241 4538.717 -43.66 1906.04
17 4.59 77.28 48.52941 354.7152 5972.198 -43.94 1930.67
18 5.64 102.05 51.47059 575.562 10414.2 -45.83 2100.44
19 6.45 116.37 54.41176 750.5865 13541.98 -47.96 2300.33
20 7.48 119.89 57.35294 896.7772 14373.61 -49.87 2487.31
21 11.55 124.55 60.29412 1438.553 15512.7 -48.74 2375.99
22 8.99 141.38 63.23529 1271.006 19988.3 -54.25 2942.55
23 5.9 154.25 66.17647 908.5325 23793.06 -60.29 3634.46
24 13.74 169.78 69.11765 2332.777 28825.25 -55.38 3066.68
25 5.8 186.73 72.05882 1081.167 34868.09 -66.27 4391.56
26 5.1 212.18 75 1086.362 45020.35 -69.88 4883.21
27 9.3 250.12 77.94118 2313.61 62560.01 -68.69 4718.48
28 19.23 261.81 80.88235 5034.606 68544.48 -61.65 3801.01
29 16.28 395.92 83.82353 6445.578 156752.6 -67.54 4562.13
30 30.23 535.37 86.76471 16184.24 286621 -56.53 3196.17
31 33.92 655.69 89.70588 22241 429929.4 -55.79 3112.06
32 38.95 815.4 92.64706 31759.83 664877.2 -53.70 2883.37
33 61.94 1040.85 95.58824 64470.25 1083369 -33.65 1132.20
34 181.63 2586.8 98.52941 469840.5 6691534 83.10 6905.71
total 499.15 8491.37 1700 630457.8 72103364 -1200.85 1442040.72 1700.00
media 14.68088235 249.7462 50 18542.88 62373.15 -35.32 1247.44
ВЫВОД ИТОГОВ

Регрессионная статистика
Множеств 0.989675
R-квадрат 0.979457
Нормирова0.978815
Стандартн 4.709269
Наблюден 34

Дисперсионный анализ
df SS MS F Значимость F
Регрессия 1 33835.76 33835.76 1525.699 1.422E-28
Остаток 32 709.6709 22.17721
Итого 33 34545.43

Коэффициенты
Стандартнаяt-статистика
ошибка P-Значение
Нижние 95%
Верхние 95%
Нижние 95,0%
Y-пересеч -2.026121 0.913903 -2.216997 0.03385 -3.887681 -0.164561 -3.887681
Переменна0.066896 0.001713 39.0602 1.422E-28 0.063407 0.070384 0.063407

ВЫВОД ВЕРОЯТНОСТИ

Персентиль Y
1.470588 0.55
4.411765 0.65
7.352941 0.67
10.29412 1
13.23529 1.08
16.17647 1.35
19.11765 1.4
22.05882 1.56
25 1.58
27.94118 1.6
30.88235 1.93
33.82353 2.14
36.76471 3.13
39.70588 3.83
42.64706 4.59
45.58824 4.78
48.52941 5.12
51.47059 5.23
54.41176 5.64
57.35294 5.79
60.29412 5.89
63.23529 6.45
66.17647 7.48
69.11765 8.99
72.05882 9.25
75 11.55
77.94118 13.74
80.88235 16.28
83.82353 19.23
86.76471 30.23
89.70588 33.92
92.64706 38.95
95.58824 61.94
98.52941 181.63
200
180
160
140
120
100

Y
80
60
40
20
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Персентиль выборки

Верхние 95,0%
-0.164561
0.070384
Nr. Cheltuieli PIB yaj xiyi x^2 u u^2

1 0.67 6.07 1.470588 4.0669 36.8449 -0.80 0.64


2 0.55 10.53 4.411765 5.7915 110.8809 -3.86 14.91
3 0.65 11.74 7.352941 7.631 137.8276 -6.70 44.93
4 1.56 19.28 10.29412 30.0768 371.7184 -8.73 76.28
5 2.14 21.34 13.23529 45.6676 455.3956 -11.10 123.11
6 1.35 22.56 16.17647 30.456 508.9536 -14.83 219.82
7 1.6 24.23 19.11765 38.768 587.0929 -17.52 306.87
8 1.4 25.07 22.05882 35.098 628.5049 -20.66 426.79
9 1 27.96 25 27.96 781.7616 -24.00 576.00
10 1.58 27.97 27.94118 44.1926 782.3209 -26.36 694.91
11 1.08 40.55 30.88235 43.794 1644.303 -29.80 888.18
12 3.13 52.02 33.82353 162.8226 2706.08 -30.69 942.09
13 5.23 58.11 36.76471 303.9153 3376.772 -31.53 994.44
14 3.83 63.43 39.70588 242.9369 4023.365 -35.88 1287.08
15 4.78 66.72 42.64706 318.9216 4451.558 -37.87 1433.91
16 1.93 67.37 45.58824 130.0241 4538.717 -43.66 1906.04
17 4.59 77.28 48.52941 354.7152 5972.198 -43.94 1930.67
18 5.64 102.05 51.47059 575.562 10414.2 -45.83 2100.44
19 6.45 116.37 54.41176 750.5865 13541.98 -47.96 2300.33
20 7.48 119.89 57.35294 896.7772 14373.61 -49.87 2487.31
21 11.55 124.55 60.29412 1438.553 15512.7 -48.74 2375.99
22 8.99 141.38 63.23529 1271.006 19988.3 -54.25 2942.55
23 5.89 154.25 66.17647 908.5325 23793.06 -60.29 3634.46
24 13.74 169.78 69.11765 2332.777 28825.25 -55.38 3066.68
25 5.79 186.73 72.05882 1081.167 34868.09 -66.27 4391.56
26 5.12 212.18 75 1086.362 45020.35 -69.88 4883.21
27 9.25 250.12 77.94118 2313.61 62560.01 -68.69 4718.48
28 19.23 261.81 80.88235 5034.606 68544.48 -61.65 3801.01
29 16.28 395.92 83.82353 6445.578 156752.6 -67.54 4562.13
30 30.23 535.37 86.76471 16184.24 286621 -56.53 3196.17
31 33.92 655.69 89.70588 22241 429929.4 -55.79 3112.06
32 38.95 815.4 92.64706 31759.83 664877.2 -53.70 2883.37
33 61.94 1040.85 95.58824 64470.25 1083369 -33.65 1132.20
34 181.63 2586.8 98.52941 469840.5 6691534 83.10 6905.71
total 499.15 8491.37 1700 630457.8 72103364 -1200.85 1442040.72
media 14.6808823529412 249.7462 50 18542.88 62373.15 -35.32 1247.44
xaju (x-xaj)^2

1.47 21.15
4.41 37.43 ВЫВОД ИТОГОВ
7.35 19.25
10.29 80.75 Регрессионная статистика
13.24 65.69 Множеств 0.939684
16.18 40.75 R-квадрат 0.883007
19.12 26.14 Нормирова0.879351
22.06 9.07 Стандартн 166.2623
25.00 8.76 Наблюден 34
27.94 0.00
30.88 93.46 Дисперсионный анализ
33.82 331.11 df SS MS F Значимость F
36.76 455.62 Регрессия 1 6676371 6676371 241.5198 1.828E-16
39.71 562.83 Остаток 32 884581.1 27643.16
42.65 579.51 Итого 33 7560952
45.59 474.45
48.53 826.60 Коэффициенты
Стандартнаяt-статистика
ошибка P-Значение
Нижние 95%
Верхние 95%
51.47 2558.28 Y-пересеч 138.7514 29.39462 4.720299 4.472E-05 78.87653 198.6263
54.41 3838.82 Переменна 0.00039 2.508E-05 15.54091 1.828E-16 0.000339 0.000441
57.35 3910.88
60.29 4128.82
63.24 6106.60
66.18 7756.95 ВЫВОД ВЕРОЯТНОСТИ
69.12 10132.91
72.06 13149.48 Персентиль Y
75.00 18818.35 1.470588 6.07
77.94 29645.55 4.411765 10.53
80.88 32734.81 7.352941 11.74
83.82 97404.21 10.29412 19.28
86.76 201246.71 13.23529 21.34
89.71 320338.02 16.17647 22.56
92.65 522371.81 19.11765 24.23
95.59 893519.80 22.05882 25.07
98.53 6191490.52 25 27.96
1700.00 8362785.08 27.94118 27.97
30.88235 40.55
33.82353 52.02
36.76471 58.11
39.70588 63.43
42.64706 66.72
45.58824 67.37
48.52941 77.28
51.47059 102.05
54.41176 116.37
57.35294 119.89
60.29412 124.55
63.23529 141.38
66.17647 154.25
69.11765 169.78
72.05882 186.73
75 212.18
77.94118 250.12
80.88235 261.81
83.82353 395.92
86.76471 535.37
89.70588 655.69
92.64706 815.4
95.58824 1040.85
98.52941 2586.8
Нижние 95,0%
Верхние 95,0%
График нормального
78.87653 198.6263
распределения
3000
0.000339 0.000441
2500
2000
1500
Y

1000
500
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Персентиль выборки
(xi -
x)
2
(xi - x)
Nr ui (xi - x) (yt - y)
(yt - y)
2 (yˆ t - y)
1 -0.8 -243.68 59378.08 -14.02 265.682 3416.125
2 -3.86 -239.22 57224.38 -14.14 256.045 3382.306
3 -6.7 -238.01 56646.94 -14.04 253.461 3341.397
4 -8.73 -230.47 53114.66 -13.13 237.656 3025.818
5 -11.1 -228.41 52169.38 -12.55 233.427 2866.296
6 -14.83 -227.19 51613.56 -13.34 230.94 3030.463
7 -17.52 -225.52 50857.55 -13.09 227.557 2951.808
8 -20.66 -224.68 50479.38 -13.29 225.865 2985.748
9 -24 -221.79 49189.11 -13.69 220.092 3036.057
10 -26.36 -221.78 49184.67 -13.11 220.072 2907.29
11 -29.8 -209.2 43763.04 -13.61 195.814 2846.975
12 -30.69 -197.73 39095.64 -11.56 174.93 2285.54
13 -31.53 -191.64 36724.42 -9.46 164.32 1812.709
14 -35.88 -186.32 34713.72 -10.86 155.323 2023.229
15 -37.87 -183.03 33498.58 -9.91 149.886 1813.628
16 -43.66 -182.38 33261.07 -12.76 148.823 2326.959
17 -43.94 -172.47 29744.58 -10.1 133.089 1741.756
18 -45.83 -147.7 21814.16 -9.05 97.6054 1336.52
19 -47.96 -133.38 17789.2 -7.96 79.5961 1061.557
20 -49.87 -129.86 16862.63 -7.21 75.4502 936.1485
21 -48.74 -125.2 15674.08 -3.14 70.1322 393.0055
22 -54.25 -108.37 11743.23 -5.7 52.544 617.5916
23 -60.29 -95.5 9119.52 -8.8 40.8044 840.2821
24 -55.38 -79.97 6394.59 -0.95 28.612 75.89731
25 -66.27 -63.02 3971.04 -8.9 17.768 560.7884
26 -69.88 -37.57 1411.22 -9.57 6.31436 359.4752
27 -68.69 0.37 0.14 -5.44 0.00063 -2.03327
28 -61.65 12.06 145.54 4.54 0.65119 54.7804
29 -67.54 146.17 21366.79 1.59 95.6037 232.5454
30 -56.53 285.62 81580.97 15.54 365.026 4438.846
31 -55.79 405.94 164790 19.23 737.339 7806.658
32 -53.7 565.65 319964 24.26 1431.65 13723.26
33 -33.65 791.1 625845 47.25 2800.29 37380.35
34 83.1 2337.05 5461821 166.94 24438.4 390150
Total 0.00 0 7560952 0 33830.8 505760
(uˆ i -
uˆ i-1 uˆ i - uˆ uˆ i-1 )
i-1
2

- - - ВЫВОД ИТОГОВ
2.28 -0.42 0.175
1.86 0.02 0.00036 Регрессионная статистика
1.88 0.41 0.16455 Множеств 0.939684
2.29 0.44 0.19554 R-квадрат 0.883007
2.73 -0.87 0.7597 Нормирова0.879351
1.86 0.14 0.01912 Стандартн 166.2623
2 -0.26 0.06563 Наблюден 34
1.74 -0.59 0.35202
1.15 0.58 0.33562 Дисперсионный анализ
1.73 -1.34 1.79959 df
0.38 1.28 1.64547 Регрессия 1
1.67 1.69 2.86501 Остаток 32
3.36 -1.76 3.08304 Итого 33
1.6 0.73 0.5328
2.33 -2.89 8.37222 Коэффициенты
-0.56 2 3.98845 Y-пересеч 138.7514
1.44 -0.61 0.36832 Переменна 0.00039
0.83 0.13 0.01746
0.96 0.51 0.26476
1.48 3.76 14.1247
5.24 -3.69 13.5849 ВЫВОД ВЕРОЯТНОСТИ
1.55 -3.96 15.6886
-2.41 6.81 46.3922 Персентиль Y
4.4 -9.08 82.5155 1.470588 6.07
-4.68 -2.37 5.62817 4.411765 10.53
-7.06 1.59 2.53496 7.352941 11.74
-5.46 9.2 84.604 10.29412 19.28
3.73 -11.92 142.104 13.23529 21.34
-8.19 4.62 21.3634 16.17647 22.56
-3.56 -4.36 18.995 19.11765 24.23
-7.92 -5.65 31.9582 22.05882 25.07
-13.58 7.91 62.559 25 27.96
-5.67 16.28 265.034 27.94118 27.97
-10.61 8.33 832.092 30.88235 40.55
33.82353 52.02
36.76471 58.11
39.70588 63.43
42.64706 66.72
45.58824 67.37
48.52941 77.28
51.47059 102.05
54.41176 116.37
57.35294 119.89
60.29412 124.55
63.23529 141.38
66.17647 154.25
69.11765 169.78
72.05882 186.73
75 212.18
77.94118 250.12
80.88235 261.81
83.82353 395.92
86.76471 535.37
89.70588 655.69
92.64706 815.4
95.58824 1040.85
98.52941 2586.8
ионный анализ
SS MS F Значимость F
6676371 6676371 241.5198 1.828E-16
884581.1 27643.16
7560952

Стандартнаяt-статистика
ошибка P-Значение Нижние 95%
Верхние 95%
Нижние 95,0%
Верхние 95,0%
29.39462 4.720299 4.472E-05 78.87653 198.6263 78.87653 198.6263
2.508E-05 15.54091 1.828E-16 0.000339 0.000441 0.000339 0.000441

ЕРОЯТНОСТИ