practica 3

pureza(%) Hibrocarburos(%)
X Y XY X^2 Y^2 Y^
1 86.91 1.02 88.6482 7553.3481 1.0404 1.02066556180953
2 89.85 1.11 99.7335 8073.0225 1.2321 1.11760795143463
3 90.28 1.43 129.1004 8150.4784 2.0449 1.13178660025735
4 86.34 1.11 95.8374 7454.5956 1.2321 1.00187060871895
5 92.58 1.01 93.5058 8571.0564 1.0201 1.20762588465793
6 87.33 0.95 82.9635 7626.5289 0.9025 1.03451447461312
7 86.29 1.11 95.7819 7445.9641 1.2321 1.00022192862329
8 91.86 0.87 79.9182 8438.2596 0.7569 1.18388489128036
9 95.61 1.43 136.7223 9141.2721 2.0449 1.30753589845523
10 89.86 1.02 91.6572 8074.8196 1.0404 1.11793768745376
11 96.73 1.46 141.2258 9356.6929 2.1316 1.34446633259812
12 99.42 1.55 154.101 9884.3364 2.4025 1.43316532174489
13 98.66 1.55 152.923 9733.7956 2.4025 1.40810538429078
14 96.07 1.55 148.9085 9229.4449 2.4025 1.32270375533534
15 93.65 1.4 131.11 8770.3225 1.96 1.24290763870516
16 87.31 1.15 100.4065 7623.0361 1.3225 1.03385500257485
17 95 1.01 95.95 9025 1.0201 1.28742200128811
18 96.85 0.99 95.8815 9379.9225 0.9801 1.34842316482771
19 85.2 0.95 80.94 7259.04 0.9025 0.9642807025378
20 90.56 0.98 88.7488 8201.1136 0.9604 1.14101920879307
SUMA 1836.36 23.65 2184.0635 168992.05 29.0311 23.65
PROMEDIO 91.818 1.1825 109.203175

R= 251.356 0.62379677
402.9453397755

R^2= 0.38912241

B= 251.356 0.0329736
7622.9463999998

A= -1.8450701804752
 Chart Title
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2 f(x) = 0.012924060644183 x
R² = 0.972301053861089
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 100 102
 PRODUCCION PROMEDIOS FACTOR demanda no
PERIODO X CUATRIMESTRE REAL (Y) X CUATRI ESTACIONAL ESTACIONAL yd
1 III 100 132.833333 1.46349103478 68.329766034394
2 I 50 61.6666667 0.67941240009 73.593004769475
3 II 70 75.2 0.82851587816 84.488423028786
4 III 120 132.833333 1.46349103478 81.995719241273
5 I 53 61.6666667 0.67941240009 78.008585055644
6 II 72 75.2 0.82851587816 86.902377972466
7 III 127 132.833333 1.46349103478 86.77880286368
8 I 60 61.6666667 0.67941240009 88.311605723371
9 II 75 75.2 0.82851587816 90.523310387985
10 III 135 132.833333 1.46349103478 92.245184146432
11 I 65 61.6666667 0.67941240009 95.670906200318
12 II 79 75.2 0.82851587816 95.351220275344
13 III 150 132.833333 1.46349103478 102.49464905159
14 I 70 61.6666667 0.67941240009 103.03020667727
15 II 80 75.2 0.82851587816 96.558197747184
16 III 165 132.833333 1.46349103478 112.74411395675
17 I 72 61.6666667 0.67941240009 105.97392686805
SUMA 153 1543 17 1543
PROMEDIO 9 90.7647059 90.764705882353

FACTOR PRONOSTICO
pronosticos : X PERIODO PRONOSTICOESATCIOAL AJUSTADO
18 II 110.569354 0.82851588 91.6084654268
19 III 112.76987 1.46349103 165.037693738
20 I 114.970387 0.6794124 78.1123065705
 X^2 xyd
1 68.329766
4 147.18601
9 253.465269 b= 897.810704 2.20051643
16 327.982877 408
25 390.042925
36 521.414268 a= 70.960058
49 607.45162
64 706.492846
81 814.709793
100 922.451841 ecuacion de la recta
121 1052.37997 y= 70.960058+2.20051643
144 1144.21464
169 1332.43044
196 1442.42289
225 1448.37297
256 1803.90582
289 1801.55676
1785 14784.8107