year Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) Unemployment, tota

Official exchange rate

1991 4.35833333333302 3.66 2.75006666666667
1992 4.7672282999282 3.71 2.54738333333333
1993 3.53658536585388 4.11 2.574095
1994 3.72497055359286 3.655 2.62425666666667
1995 3.45057509584896 3.15 2.50440416666667
1996 3.48855945858916 2.52 2.5159425
1997 2.66251459711942 2.45 2.81319166666667
1998 5.27034200348766 3.2 3.924375
1999 2.74456130240608 3.43 3.8
2000 1.53474023697698 3 3.8
2001 1.41678473206102 3.53 3.8
2002 1.80787246281537 3.48 3.8
2003 1.08967632577284 3.61 3.8
2004 1.421271159374 3.54 3.8
2005 2.97507092684453 3.53 3.78709166666667
2006 3.6092356422439 3.32 3.66817695833333
2007 2.02735317779565 3.23 3.43756938226247
2008 5.44078221100772 3.32 3.33583333333333
2009 0.583308405623704 3.66 3.52450291070644
2010 1.62285235577031 3.39 3.22108691472175
2011 3.17447092151309 3.05 3.06000301052058
2012 1.66357102479204 3.1 3.08880086662188
2013 2.10501231233614 3.16 3.15090855009725
2014 3.14299050879107 2.88 3.27285974643047

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.437187703608865
R Square 0.191133088186793
Adjusted R Square 0.069803051414812
Standard Error 1.28177937213671
Observations 24

ANOVA
 df SS MS
Regression 3 7.7645333317576 2.58817777725253
Residual 20 32.859167176704 1.64295835883518
Total 23 40.623700508461

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat

Intercept 5.28576174882017 2.8931381378547 1.82699943692962
X Variable 1 -0.115022134738114 0.7607169963205 -0.15120226745881
X Variable 2 -0.729864564323088 0.6600679889343 -1.10574149414743
X Variable 3 0.021925213464101 0.0250832920425 0.874096327823311

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation Predicted Y Residuals Standard Residuals

1 3.22764035516217 1.1306929781708 0.945976476891478
2 4.57647308259807 0.1907552173301 0.159592349048234
3 3.51228339089859 0.0243019749553 0.020331864700266
4 3.20232628822637 0.5226442653665 0.437262095337978
5 3.50174114305628 -0.051166047207 -0.042807267762418
6 3.56488965627773 -0.076330197689 -0.063860458041118
7 3.30229248514201 -0.639777888023 -0.535260096408973
8 2.05846177394078 3.2118802295469 2.68716902147866
9 2.3830207287062 0.3615405736999 0.302477228358856
10 2.38750939494508 -0.852769157968 -0.713455888760707
11 2.36136809199403 -0.944583359933 -0.790270795176665
12 2.21031256609855 -0.402440103283 -0.336695175802302
13 2.28619925975722 -1.196522933984 -1.00105207289911
14 2.38326548296993 -0.961994323596 -0.804837403781393
15 2.30846173204084 0.6666091948037 0.557708086755779
16 2.52547863993045 1.0837570023135 0.906708231719506
17 2.57898346199459 -0.551630284199 -0.46151279159559
18 2.70017316348577 2.7406090475219 2.29288740742493
19 2.46207053065803 -1.878762125034 -1.57183674991265
20 2.70598019578987 -1.08312784002 -0.906181852992776
21 3.02227714322495 0.1521937782881 0.127330528241826
22 2.86873770319916 -1.205166678407 -1.00828372557056
23 2.7847448959484 -0.679732583612 -0.568687563368517
24 2.70397124783254 0.4390192609585 0.367298552115267
Broad money growth (annual %)
16.8771825011186
71.9121062599959
26.3624955122874
11.5083208186672
18.5254741222616
18.4846986454947
16.0355965133424
0.229557897177802
12.0988672196889
10.0477651051237
11.6359105759612
4.48402432914587
8.6271799396196
12.6871027279104
8.79316995043841
13.6310078113537
7.92253576816132
10.535425110552
7.73992812591865
7.34773605081976
14.6279382858505
8.84601972895075
7.39740068231736
6.30404808616764 X Variable 1 Res
4
3
Column 1 X Variable
2
Residuals

Column
1 2 4
0
Column 3 3
-1 2 Residuals 2 2.5 3
Column
-2 4 1
-3 0
-1 2.4 2.6 2.8
-2 X Variab3
-3
 F Significance F
1.57531550531048 0.226592

P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%

Upper 95.0%
0.0826627152832372 -0.749219 11.32074 -0.749219 11.32074
0.881330871095094 -1.70185 1.471806 -1.70185 1.471806
0.281962646106515 -2.106742 0.647013 -2.106742 0.647013
0.39244115629083 -0.030398 0.074248 -0.030398 0.074248
 X Variable 1 Residual Plot
4 Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4
3 X Variable
1 2 Residual Plot
2
1 -0.01039370671
4 1
0 3
-0.39891045574 0.108817 X Variable 3 Residual Plot
1
-1 2 2 2.5 3 0.234579 -0.538387 4
3.5 14.5
Residuals

-2 0.363329294879
1 4
-3 0 3
-1 2.4 2.6 2 2.8 3 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8 4 4.2
Residuals

-2 1 X Variable 1
-3 0
-1 0 10 X Variable
20 30 40 50 60 70 80
-2 2
-3
X Variable 3
Column1 Column2 Column3 Column4

Mean 2.817444 Mean 3.320208 Mean 3.275023 Mean 13.8609

Standard E 0.271282 Standard E 0.077015 Standard E 0.102388 Standard E 2.755233
Median 2.859816 Median 3.355 Median 3.304347 Median 11.02187
Mode #N/A Mode 3.66 Mode 3.8 Mode #N/A
Standard D 1.329003 Standard D 0.377297 Standard D 0.501598 Standard D 13.49783
Sample Var 1.766248 Sample Var 0.142353 Sample Var 0.251601 Sample Var 182.1914
Kurtosis -0.628508 Kurtosis 0.76261 Kurtosis -1.435672 Kurtosis 16.01876
Skewness 0.345944 Skewness -0.533753 Skewness -0.302497 Skewness 3.713261
Range 4.857474 Range 1.66 Range 1.419971 Range 71.68255
Minimum 0.583308 Minimum 2.45 Minimum 2.504404 Minimum 0.229558
Maximum 5.440782 Maximum 4.11 Maximum 3.924375 Maximum 71.91211
Sum 67.61866 Sum 79.685 Sum 78.60055 Sum 332.6615
Count 24 Count 24 Count 24 Count 24