Ano População M.A M.

G K(A) Total K(A) Iterado

1960 6788375 129146 K Total K Iterado 1.019025 K total K Iterado 6788375 6788375
1961 6917521 142855 510796 170180 1.020651 1.025818 1.021984 7299171 7204229.5
1962 7060376 149431 661529 1.021165 1.028337 7809967 7620084
1963 7209807 153832 415854.5 1.021336 1.025156 8320763 8035938.5
1964 7363639 160515 1.021798 8831559 8451793
1965 7524154 165489 1.021994 9342355 8867647.5
1966 7689643 169828 1.022085 9853151 9283502
1967 7859471 176058 1.022401 10363947 9699356.5
1968 8035529 182401 1.022699 10874743 10115211
1969 8217930 193746 1.023576 11385539 10531065.5
1970 8411676 211214 1.02511 11896335 10946920
1971 8622890 237695 1.027566 12407131 11362774.5
1972 8860585 263083 1.029691 12917927 11778629
1973 9123668 280553 1.03075 13428723 12194483.5
1974 9404221 299511 1.031849 13939519 12610338
1975 9703732 315478 1.032511 14450315 13026192.5
1976 10019210 344365 1.03437 14961111 13442047
1977 10363575 377553 1.036431 15471907 13857901.5
1978 10741128 386716 1.036003 15982703 14273756
1979 11127844 285743 1.025678 16493499 14689610.5
1980 11413587 226428 1.019838 17004295 15105465
1981 11640015 261812 1.022492 17515091 15521319.5
1982 11901827 261501 1.021972 18025887 15937174
1983 12163328 262895 1.021614 18536683 16353028.5
1984 12426223 253842 1.020428 19047479 16768883
1985 12680065 229732 1.018118 19558275 17184737.5
1986 12909797 54996 1.00426 20069071 17600592
1987 12964793 -8021 0.999381 20579867 18016446.5
1988 12956772 130832 1.010098 21090663 18432301
1989 13087604 215855 1.016493 21601459 18848155.5
1990 13303459 257716 1.019372 22112255 19264010
1991 13561175 255706 1.018856 22623051 19679864.5
1992 13816881 389373 1.028181 23133847 20095719
1993 14206254 706619 1.04974 23644643 20511573.5
1994 14912873 681957 1.045729 24155439 20927428
1995 15594830 484723 1.031082 24666235 21343282.5
1996 16079553 442171 1.027499 25177031 21759137
1997 16521724 401471 1.0243 25687827 22174991.5
1998 16923195 414698 1.024505 26198623 22590846
1999 17337893 430612 1.024836 26709419 23006700.5
2000 17768505 452211 1.02545 27220215 23422555
2001 18220716 474230 1.026027 27731011 23838409.5
2002 18694946 491808 1.026307 28241807 24254264
2003 19186754 507657 1.026459 28752603 24670118.5
2004 19694411 516703 1.026236 29263399 25085973
2005 20211114 524868 1.025969 29774195 25501827.5
2006 20735982 544531 1.02626 30284991 25917682
2007 21280513 565058 1.026553 30795787 26333536.5
2008 21845571 591089 1.027058 31306583 26749391
2009 22436660 637063 1.028394 31817379 27165245.5
2010 23073723 686698 1.029761 32328175 27581100
2011 23760421 727190 1.030605 32838971 27996954.5
2012 24487611 764120 1.031204 33349767 28412809
2013 25251731 786973 1.031165 33860563 28828663.5
2014 26038704 804542 1.030898 34371359 29244518
2015 26843246 853247 1.031786 34882155 29660372.5
2016 27696493 872948 1.031518 35392951 30076227
2017 28569441 854437 1.029907 35903747 30492081.5
2018 29423878 861717 1.029286 36414543 30907936
2019 30285595 892644 1.029474 36925339 31323790.5
2020 31178239 898833 1.028829 37436135 31739645
2021 32077072 892446 1.027822 37946931 32155499.5
2022 32969518 38457727 32571354
K(G) Iterado K(G) Total erro
6788375 6788375 0 7524154 7689643 7859471 8035529 8217930 8411676
6959142.15398 6963633.96084 0.006017 1000000
7134205.09611 7143417.67221 0.010457 f(x) = 2.54598328149815E-10 x² + 0.0229425252735154 x − 14943.746427892
7313671.89047 7327842.9519 0.014406
7497653.31958 7517029.63369 0.018199 800000
7686262.9528 7711100.64511 0.021545
7879617.21641 7910182.08743 0.024705
8077835.46547 8114403.31751 0.027784 600000
8281040.05755 8323897.03187 0.030553
8489356.4282 8538799.35296 0.033029
8702913.16841 8759249.91756 0.034623
400000
8921842.104 8985391.9675 0.03467
9146278.37694 9217372.44279 0.032243
9376360.52885 9455342.07706 0.027696
200000
9612230.58644 9699455.49548 0.022119
9854034.14924 9949871.3153 0.015489
10101920.4795 10206752.2488 0.008255
0
10356042.5941 10470265.2093 -0.000727 5000000 10000000 15000000 20000000 25000000
10616557.3595 10740581.419 -0.011598
10883625.5879 11017876.521 -0.021947
11157412.1372 11302330.693 -0.022445 -200000
11438086.0123 11594128.7643 -0.017348
11725820.4694 11893460.3362 -0.014788
12020793.1233 12200519.9048 -0.011718
12323186.0568 12515506.9879 -0.008292
12633185.9332 12838626.2542 -0.003697
12950984.1114 13170087.6563 0.00319
13276776.7639 13510106.5676 0.024064
13610764.9985 13858903.9216 0.050475
13953154.9817 14216706.3559 0.066135
14304158.0665 14583746.3592 0.075221
14663990.9223 14960262.4226 0.081322
15032875.6695 15346499.1945 0.088008
15411040.0158 15742707.6392 0.084807
15798717.3971 16149145.2007 0.059401
16196147.1217 16566075.9694 0.038559
16603574.5177 16993770.8536 0.032589
17021251.0848 17432507.7561 0.030235
17449434.6494 17882571.7543 0.031096
17888389.5235 18344255.2858 0.031751
18338386.6683 18817858.3379 0.032073
18799703.8613 19303688.643 0.031776
19272625.8676 19802061.8784 0.0309
19757444.6156 20313301.8714 0.029744
20254459.3779 20837740.8096 0.028437
20763976.9552 21375719.457 0.027354
21286311.8659 21927587.3752 0.02654
21821786.5408 22493703.1506 0.025435
22370731.5214 23074434.6275 0.02404
22933485.6642 23670159.147 0.022143
23510396.3501 24281263.7921 0.018925
24101819.6987 24908145.6394 0.014368
24708120.7878 25551212.017 0.009005
25329673.8792 26210880.7693 0.003087
25966862.6497 26887580.5282 -0.002759
26620080.4275 27581750.9921 -0.008314
27289730.4355 28293843.2111 -0.014686
27976226.04 29024319.8803 -0.020764
28679991.0059 29773655.6406 -0.025282
29401459.758 30542337.3866 -0.029193
30141077.6497 31330864.5838 -0.033266
30899301.2375 32139749.5922 -0.036717
31676598.5631 32969518 -0.039216
 8622890 8860585 9123668 9404221 9703732 10019210 10363575 10741128 11127844 11413587

52735154 x − 14943.746427892 População Moçambique

35000000

30000000

25000000

20000000

15000000

10000000

5000000
20000000 25000000 30000000 35000000

0
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
 11640015 11901827 12163328 12426223 12680065 12909797 12964793 12956772 13087604 13303459

ambique

2000 2010 2020

13561175 13816881 14206254 14912873 15594830 16079553 16521724 16923195 17337893 17768505
18220716 18694946 19186754 19694411 20211114 20735982 21280513 21845571 22436660 23073723
23760421 24487611 25251731 26038704 26843246 27696493 28569441 29423878 30285595 31178239
32077072
 3500000

3000000
População Moçambique
35000000 2500000

30000000
2000000

População
25000000
1500000

20000000

1000000
15000000

500000
10000000

5000000
1

0
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020
 População Real x Modelo Arimético x Modelo Geométrico
35000000

30000000

25000000

20000000
População

15000000

10000000

5000000

0
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030

Anos

População K(A) Iterado K(G) Iterado K(G) Total

2030
Ano População K(A) IteradK(G) Iterado 415855 1.02268 Erro (A) Erro (G)
1960 6788375 6788375 6788375 0.00% 0.00%
1961 6917521 7204230 6942335 4.14% 0.36%
1962 7060376 7620085 7099788 7.93% 0.56%
1963 7209807 8035940 7260811 11.46% 0.71%
1964 7363639 8451795 7425486 14.78% 0.84%
1965 7524154 8867650 7593896 17.86% 0.93%
1966 7689643 9283505 7766125 20.73% 0.99%
1967 7859471 9699360 7942261 23.41% 1.05%
1968 8035529 10115215 8122392 25.88% 1.08%
1969 8217930 10531070 8306608 28.15% 1.08%
1970 8411676 10946925 8495001 30.14% 0.99%
1971 8622890 11362780 8687668 31.77% 0.75%
1972 8860585 11778635 8884704 32.93% 0.27%
1973 9123668 12194490 9086209 33.66% -0.41%
1974 9404221 12610345 9292285 34.09% -1.19%
1975 9703732 13026200 9503034 34.24% -2.07%
1976 10019210 13442055 9718562 34.16% -3.00%
1977 10363575 13857910 9938979 33.72% -4.10%
1978 10741128 14273765 10164395 32.89% -5.37%
1979 11127844 14689620 10394924 32.01% -6.59%
1980 11413587 15105475 10630681 32.35% -6.86%
1981 11640015 15521330 10871785 33.34% -6.60%
1982 11901827 15937185 11118357 33.91% -6.58%
1983 12163328 16353040 11370521 34.45% -6.52%
1984 12426223 16768895 11628405 34.95% -6.42%
1985 12680065 17184750 11892137 35.53% -6.21%
1986 12909797 17600605 12161850 36.34% -5.79%
1987 12964793 18016460 12437681 38.96% -4.07%
1988 12956772 18432315 12719768 42.26% -1.83%
1989 13087604 18848170 13008252 44.02% -0.61%
1990 13303459 19264025 13303279 44.80% 0.00%
1991 13561175 19679880 13604998 45.12% 0.32%
1992 13816881 20095735 13913559 45.44% 0.70%
1993 14206254 20511590 14229119 44.38% 0.16%
1994 14912873 20927445 14551835 40.33% -2.42%
1995 15594830 21343300 14881871 36.86% -4.57%
1996 16079553 21759155 15219391 35.32% -5.35%
1997 16521724 22175010 15564567 34.22% -5.79%
1998 16923195 22590865 15917572 33.49% -5.94%
1999 17337893 23006720 16278582 32.70% -6.11%
2000 17768505 23422575 16647780 31.82% -6.31%
2001 18220716 23838430 17025352 30.83% -6.56%
2002 18694946 24254285 17411487 29.74% -6.87%
2003 19186754 24670140 17806379 28.58% -7.19%
2004 19694411 25085995 18210228 27.38% -7.54%
2005 20211114 25501850 18623236 26.18% -7.86%
2006 20735982 25917705 19045611 24.99% -8.15%
2007 21280513 26333560 19477566 23.74% -8.47%
2008 21845571 26749415 19919317 22.45% -8.82%
2009 22436660 27165270 20371087 21.08% -9.21%
2010 23073723 27581125 20833103 19.53% -9.71%
2011 23760421 27996980 21305598 17.83% -10.33%
2012 24487611 28412835 21788809 16.03% -11.02%
2013 25251731 28828690 22282979 14.17% -11.76%
2014 26038704 29244545 22788357 12.31% -12.48%
2015 26843246 29660400 23305197 10.49% -13.18%
2016 27696493 30076255 23833759 8.59% -13.95%
2017 28569441 30492110 24374308 6.73% -14.68%
2018 29423878 30907965 24927118 5.04% -15.28%
2019 30285595 31323820 25492465 3.43% -15.83%
2020 31178239 31739675 26070634 1.80% -16.38%
2021 32077072 32155530 26661916 0.24% -16.88%
2022 32969518 32571385 27266608 -1.21% -17.30%
2023 32987240 27885015
2024 33403095 28517447
2025 33818950 29164223
2026 34234805 29825667
2027 34650660 30502113
2028 35066515 31193901
2029 35482370 31901379
2030 35898225 32624902
2031 36314080 33364835
2032 36729935 34121549
2033 37145790 34895426
2034 37561645 35686855
2035 37977500 36496232
2036 38393355 37323967
2037 38809210 38170474
2038 39225065 39036181
2039 39640920 39921521
2040 40056775 40826942
2041 40472630 41752897
2042 40888485 42699852
2043 41304340 43668285
2044 41720195 44658682
2045 42136050 45671541
2046 42551905 46707371
2047 42967760 47766694
2048 43383615 48850043
2049 43799470 49957962
2050 44215325 51091008
 População Real x Modelo Arimético x Modelo Geométrico
35000000

30000000

25000000

20000000
População

15000000

10000000

5000000

0
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2

Anos

População K(A) Iterado K(G) Iterado K(G) Total

2020 2030