Ejemplos de prob.

N = 40
N1 = 25 a) p(x >= 3) = p(3) + p(4) + p(5) + ….. + p(18)
N2 = 15 b) p(x < 5)
n = 18 18 c) p(x <= 5)
Max(0;18 – 15) = 3 d) p(7 < x <= 10)
Mín(18; 25) = 18
p = 0.625 0.625
E[x] = µ = 11.25 11.25 11.25
Hiperg. Binomial Poisson
x h(x) b(x) p(x)
0 0 2.1506E-08 1.3007E-05
1 0 6.4518E-07 0.00014633
2 0 9.1401E-06 0.00082312
3 2.0286E-08 8.1245E-05 0.00308669
4 1.6736E-06 0.00050778 0.00868132
5 4.9203E-05 0.00236966 0.01953298
6 0.00071071 0.00855711 0.03662433
7 0.00578721 0.02444887 0.05886053
8 0.02864669 0.05602867 0.08277263
9 0.09018404 0.10375679 0.10346578
10 0.18552145 0.15563518 0.11639901
11 0.2529838 0.18864871 0.11904444
12 0.22955937 0.18340846 0.11160416
13 0.13773562 0.14108343 0.09658052
14 0.05366323 0.08397823 0.07760935
15 0.01311768 0.03732366 0.05820701
16 0.00189197 0.01166364 0.04092681
17 0.00014309 0.00228699 0.02708392
18 4.2397E-06 0.00021176 0.01692745
19 0.01002283
20 0.00563784
21 0.00302027
22 0.00154446
23 0.00075544
24 0.00035411
25 0.00015935
26 6.895E-05
27 2.8729E-05
28 1.1543E-05
29 4.4779E-06
30 1.6792E-06
31 6.0939E-07
32 2.1424E-07
33 7.3036E-08

1 1 1

1
 0.3
VARIABLES ALEATORIAS DISCRETAS
Binomial e Hiperg. asimetría negativa, Poisson asimetría positiva
0.25

0.2

h(x)
0.15
b(x)
p(x)
0.1

0.05

0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
 positiva

h(x)
b(x)
p(x)

25 30 35
 N = 40
N1 = 15
N2 = 25
n = 18 18
Max(0;18 – 25) = 0
Mín(18; 15) = 15 0.3
p = 0.375 0.375 VRIABLES ALEATORIA
E[x] = µ = 6.75 6.75 6.75 Binomial, Hiperg. y Poisson
Hiperg. Binomial Poisson 0.25
x h(x) b(x) p(x)
0 4.2397E-06 0.00021176 0.00117088 0.2
1 0.00014309 0.00228699 0.00790344
2 0.00189197 0.01166364 0.0266741
3 0.01311768 0.03732366 0.06001673 0.15
4 0.05366323 0.08397823 0.10127823
5 0.13773562 0.14108343 0.13672561
0.1
6 0.22955937 0.18340846 0.15381631
7 0.2529838 0.18864871 0.14832287
8 0.18552145 0.15563518 0.12514742 0.05
9 0.09018404 0.10375679 0.09386057
10 0.02864669 0.05602867 0.06335588
0
11 0.00578721 0.02444887 0.03887747
0 5 10
12 0.00071071 0.00855711 0.02186858
13 4.9203E-05 0.00236966 0.01135484
14 1.6736E-06 0.00050778 0.00547465
15 2.0286E-08 8.1245E-05 0.00246359
16 9.1401E-06 0.00103933
17 6.4518E-07 0.00041267
18 2.1506E-08 0.00015475
19 5.4978E-05
20 1.8555E-05
21 5.9641E-06
22 1.8299E-06
23 5.3704E-07
24 1.5104E-07
25 4.0781E-08
26 1.0587E-08
27 2.6469E-09
28 6.3808E-10
29 1.4852E-10
30 3.3417E-11
31 7.2762E-12
32 1.5348E-12
33 3.1394E-13

1 1 1

1
VRIABLES ALEATORIAS DISCRETAS
nomial, Hiperg. y Poisson Asimetría positiva

h(x)
b(x)
p(x)

5 10 15 20 25 30 35
 Ejemplos de prob.
N = 40
N1 = 15 a) p(x >= 3) = p(3) + p(4) + p(5) + ….. + p(18)
N2 = 25 b) p(x < 5)
n = 18 18 c) p(x <= 5)
Max(0;18 – 25) = 0 d) p(7 < x <= 10)
Mín(18; 15) = 15
p = 0.375 0.375 Bimomial
E[x] = µ = 6.75 6.75 a) p(x >= 3) = 1 – p(x < 3) = 1 – p(0) – p(1) – p(2) = 1 – 0.0141
Hiperg. Binomial Poisson b) b(x < 5) = b(0) + b(1) + b(2) + b(3) + b(4) =
x h(x) b(x) p(x) c) b(x <= 5) = b(0) + b(1) + b(2) + b(3) + b(4) + b(5) =
0 4.2397E-06 0.00021176 0.00117088 d) b(7 < x <= 10) = b(8) + b(9) + b(10) =
1 0.00014309 0.00228699 0.00790344
2 0.00189197 0.01166364 0.0266741 Hiperg.
3 0.01311768 0.03732366 0.06001673 a) h(x >= 3) = 1 – h(x < 3) = 1 – h(0) – h(1) – h(2) =
4 0.05366323 0.08397823 0.10127823 b) h(x < 5) = h(0) + h(1) + h(2) + h(3) + h(4) =
5 0.13773562 0.14108343 0.13672561 c) h(x <= 5) = h(0) + h(1) + h(2) + h(3) + h(4) + h(5) =
6 0.22955937 0.18340846 0.15381631 d) h(7 < x <= 10) = h(8) + h(9) + h(10) =
7 0.2529838 0.18864871 0.14832287
8 0.18552145 0.15563518 0.12514742 Poisson
9 0.09018404 0.10375679 0.09386057 a)
10 0.02864669 0.05602867 0.06335588 b)
11 0.00578721 0.02444887 0.03887747 c)
12 0.00071071 0.00855711 0.02186858 d)
13 4.9203E-05 0.00236966 0.01135484
14 1.6736E-06 0.00050778 0.00547465
15 2.0286E-08 8.1245E-05 0.00246359
16 9.1401E-06 0.00103933
17 6.4518E-07 0.00041267
18 2.1506E-08 0.00015475
19 5.4978E-05
20 1.8555E-05
21 5.9641E-06
22 1.8299E-06
23 5.3704E-07
24 1.5104E-07
25 4.0781E-08
26 1.0587E-08
27 2.6469E-09
28 6.3808E-10
29 1.4852E-10
30 3.3417E-11
31 7.2762E-12
32 1.5348E-12
33 3.1394E-13

1 1 1

1
0) – p(1) – p(2) = 1 – 0.0141624 = 0.98583761
0.135464285
(2) + b(3) + b(4) + b(5) = 0.27655
0.315420636

= 1 – h(0) – h(1) – h(2) = 0.99796

0.068820211
(2) + h(3) + h(4) + h(5) = 0.20656
0.304352183
 N = 40
N1 = 15
N2 = 25
n = 18 18
Max(0;18 – 25) = 0
Mín(18; 15) = 15
p = 0.375 0.375
q= 0.625
E[x] = µ = 6.75 6.75
Hiperg. Binomial Poisson
x h(x) x h(x) x² h(x) b(x) x b(x) x² b(x) p(x)
0 4.2397E-06 0 0 0.00021176 0 0 0.00117088
1 0.00014309 0.00014309 0.00014309 0.00228699 0.00228699 0.002287 0.00790344
2 0.00189197 0.00378395 0.00756789 0.01166364 0.02332729 0.046655 0.0266741
3 0.01311768 0.03935303 0.1180591 0.03732366 0.11197098 0.335913 0.06001673
4 0.05366323 0.21465292 0.85861167 0.08397823 0.33591294 1.343652 0.10127823
5 0.13773562 0.68867811 3.44339055 0.14108343 0.70541717 3.527086 0.13672561
6 0.22955937 1.37735622 8.26413733 0.18340846 1.10045079 6.602705 0.15381631
7 0.2529838 1.77088657 12.396206 0.18864871 1.32054094 9.243787 0.14832287
8 0.18552145 1.4841716 11.8733728 0.15563518 1.24508146 9.960652 0.12514742
9 0.09018404 0.81165634 7.3049071 0.10375679 0.93381109 8.4043 0.09386057
10 0.02864669 0.28646695 2.86466945 0.05602867 0.56028666 5.602867 0.06335588
11 0.00578721 0.06365932 0.70025253 0.02444887 0.2689376 2.958314 0.03887747
12 0.00071071 0.00852852 0.10234226 0.00855711 0.10268526 1.232223 0.02186858
13 4.9203E-05 0.00063964 0.00831531 0.00236966 0.03080558 0.400473 0.01135484
14 1.6736E-06 2.343E-05 0.00032802 0.00050778 0.00710898 0.099526 0.00547465
15 2.0286E-08 3.0429E-07 4.5643E-06 8.1245E-05 0.00121868 0.01828 0.00246359
16 9.1401E-06 0.00014624 0.00234 0.00103933
17 6.4518E-07 1.0968E-05 0.000186 0.00041267
18 2.1506E-08 3.8711E-07 6.97E-06 0.00015475
19 5.4978E-05
20 1.8555E-05
21 5.9641E-06
22 1.8299E-06
23 5.3704E-07
24 1.5104E-07
25 4.0781E-08
26 1.0587E-08
27 2.6469E-09
28 6.3808E-10
29 1.4852E-10
30 3.3417E-11
31 7.2762E-12
32 1.5348E-12
33 3.1394E-13

1 6.75 47.9423077 1 6.75 49.78125 1

E[x] = 6.75 6.75

V[x] = E[x²] – (E[x])² = 2.37980769 4.21875

E[x] = n * N1/N = 6.75 6.75
4.21875
V[x]= npq*(N-n)/(N-1) = 2.37980769
 x p(x) x² p(x)
0 0
0.007903 0.007903
0.053348 0.106696
0.18005 0.540151
0.405113 1.620452
0.683628 3.41814
0.922898 5.537387
1.03826 7.267821
1.001179 8.009435
0.844745 7.602706
0.633559 6.335588
0.427652 4.704174
0.262423 3.149075
0.147613 1.918968
0.076645 1.073032
0.036954 0.554309
0.016629 0.266068
0.007015 0.119263
0.002786 0.05014
0.001045 0.019847
0.000371 0.007422
0.000125 0.00263
4.026E-05 0.000886
1.235E-05 0.000284
3.625E-06 8.7E-05
1.02E-06 2.549E-05
2.753E-07 7.157E-06
7.147E-08 1.93E-06
1.787E-08 5E-07
4.307E-09 1.249E-07
1E-09 3.008E-08
2.256E-10 6.992E-09
4.911E-11 1.572E-09
1.036E-11 3.419E-10

6.75 52.3125 52.3124999999

6.75

6.75
6.75
6.75
 CPA 331
Examen 1er parcial
Mayo 15 2023, horas 16:00
Ambiente de exámenes