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Маркетинговые Исследования. Практ. Рук. - Малхотра Н.К, Пер с Англ - 2002 -3-е Изд -960с
Маркетинговые Исследования. Практ. Рук. - Малхотра Н.К, Пер с Англ - 2002 -3-е Изд -960с
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2002
88.575
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681.3.07
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info@williamspublishing.com, http://www.williamspublishing.com
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"", 2002. 960 .: . . . .
ISBN 5-8459-0357-2 (.)
100 . ,
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88.55
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Prentice Hall, Inc.
Authorized translation from English language edition published by Prentice Hall, Inc., Copyright 2002.
All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced, in any form or by any means, electronic or
mechanical, including photocopying, recording or by any information storage retrieval system, without written
permission from the Publisher.
Russian language edition published by Williams Publishing House according to the Agreement with R&I
Enterprises International, Copyright > 2002.
ISBN 5-8459-0357-2 (.)
ISBN 0-1303-3210-0 (.)
"", 2002
Prentice Hall, Inc. Upper Saddle River, 2000
I.
1.
2.
1
1
II.
3.
4. :
5, :
6. :
7. - :
8. :
9. :
10.
11. :
12. :
2
2
III. ,
13.
14.
15. ,
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
21.
3
3
IV. ,
22.
23.
24.
4
4
25
26
60
95
102
111
112
145
191
226
270
315
338
369
408
443
476
485
499
500
519
552
604
640
685
717
747
815
823
843
844
867
888
913
921
926
942
16
17
17
17
18
19
21
22
24
25
1.
:
Internet
Internet
26
26
27
31
33
35
37
39
44
46
48
51
52
53
54
55
56
56
57
2.
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60
60
62
63
64
69
73
74
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89
90
91
92
92
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95
97
100
102
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106
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112
112
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118
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141
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142
145
145
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149
149
154
155
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178
178
180
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191
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215
216
217
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226
226
228
229
236
245
247
248
254
256
257
258
259
262
263
264
265
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270
270
271
272
277
277
278
282
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284
285
287
290
292
296
298
298
299
302
303
305
306
308
309
310
311
312
8. :
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315
315
316
317
323
324
329
330
330
331
333
334
334
335
336
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338
338
340
340
341
346
358
359
359
360
361
363
363
364
365
365
10.
369
369
370
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10
372
374
375
386
389
391
395
396
397
398
400
401
402
403
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408
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410
412
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12.
443
419
423
434
435
438
438
439
440
440
445
445
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453
453
454
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462
463
464
467
468
468
470
470
473
2
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476
478
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485
485
487
489
492
497
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499
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500
500
501
502
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507
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509
511
512
513
515
516
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519
519
521
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522
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528
530
532
537
539
542
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547
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549
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552
558
562
562
568
580
580
582
589
595
598
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601
601
16.
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604
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606
608
609
609
614
616
617
622
623
625
627
628
629
630
633
634
635
637
637
17.
,
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640
640
642
646
648
649
649
650
651
659
660
661
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667
669
670
671
672
672
674
678
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679
681
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18.
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18
685
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686
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700
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713
714
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720
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734
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747
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750
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764
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775
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3.3. Pepsico
3.4. Matsushita
3.5. Pampers
3.6. Daimler/Chrysler
823
823
826
829
778
779
787
788
790
791
791
792
793
803
804
806
809
810
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863
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864
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867
867
869
870
875
878
880
881
882
884
884
884
885
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24.
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888
888
889
890
895
899
904
904
906
90S
908
909
910
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4
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913
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921
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index. html www. dupree. gatech. edu.
Web- DuPree, Faculty, Naresh . Malhotra,
Marketing Research: An Applied Orientation, Third Edition. Web-
http://www.dupree.gatech.edu/facuity/faculty_nmalhotra.shtml.
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22
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(1999 .) " " (1999 .).
1987 , Journal of Marketing Research
1980 1985 , .
Journal of Health Care Marketing, Journal of'the Academy of Marketing Science (JAMS)
23 1995 .
JAMS 1986 1995 .
" " Marketing Educator ( 1997 .)
.
75 ,
Journal of Marketing Research, Journal of Consumer Research, Marketing Science, Journal of Marketing,
Journal of Academy of Marketing Science, Journal of Retailing, Journal of Health Care Marketing,
, . , . .
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(1994-1996 .) 1990 1992 . , Decision Science
Journal Journal of Health Care Marketing, .
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110,3
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38
36,5
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25
26
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28
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25
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27
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29
31
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Diagnostic Research International Inc,
32
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33
30
34
31
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37
37
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40
41
42
43
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46
45
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48
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(altavista.digital.com/) Infoseek(guide.infoseek.com/).
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marketingtools .com/directory/index.htm. , , Burke Marketing
Research www.burke.com. 1.6. " "
[34].
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Internet
AAPOR
ESOMAR
(www.esomar.nl)
1.
53
MRS ()
(www.mar ketresearch.org.uk:)
MRSA (www.mrsa.com.au)
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(www.prnrs-aprm. com)
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Info (www.researchinfo.com/) Marketing Research Roundtable (www.drgutah.com/
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. Burke , , , . Burke .
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1997 Infratest Burke 50% Burke, . Burke 40 . Burke 50 . Infratest Burke .
Burke , : Burke Marketing Research, Burke Customer Satisfaction Associates, Training
and Development Center, Burke Strategic Consulting Group.
Web- www. burke, com.
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I.
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INTERNET
1. Web- , 1.3. " ". , . . 1.4.
?
56
I.
1. Wendy Marx, "More Companies Look to Redesigns to Drive Net Leads", Business Marketing, June
1997, p. 27, 38; Lotus Web-, www. lotus . com.
2.
1.
57
mation for Better Marketing Decision", Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science, Spring 1996,
p. 179-181.
12. Ian P. Murphy, "Keynote Speaker Emphasizes Urgency of Strategic Research", Marketing News,
January 6, 1997, p. 6; N.K. Malhotra, "Shifting Perspective on the Shifting Paradigm in Marketing
Research", Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science, Fall 1992, p. 379387.
13. . Thomas T. Semon, "Marketing Research Needs Basic Research", Marketing News,
March 14, 1994, p. 12. "New Marketing Research Definition Approved", Marketing News, January 2,1987.
14. . L. McTier Anderson, "Marketing
Science: Where's the Beef?", Business Horizons, JanuaryFebruary 1994, p. 816; Alvin J. Silk,
"Marketing Science in a Changing Environment", Journal of Marketing Research, November 1993,
p. 401404; Frank M. Bass, "The Future of Research in Marketing: Marketing Science", Journal of
Marketing Research, February 1993, p. 16.
15. Jerry W. Thomas, "How, When, and Why to Do Market Research", Nation's Restaurant News, May
12, 1997, p. 84, 136.
16. Barry de Ville, "Intelligent Tools for Marketing Research: Case-Based Reasoning", Marketing
Research: A Magazine of Management & Applications, Summer 1997, p. 3840.
17. Ellen Neuborne, "! Cereal for dinner", Business Week, November 24,1997, p. 105-106.
18. Terrence V. O'Brien, Denise D. Schoenbachler, Geoffrey L. Gordon, "Marketing Information Systems for Consumer Products Companies: A Management Overview", Journal of Consumer Marketing,
May 1995, p. 16-36.
19. R.P. Mohanty, S.G. Deshmukh, "Evolution of a Decision Support System for Human Resource
Planning in a Petroleum Company", International Journal of Production Economics, September 1997,
p. 251-261.
20. Jae-Hycon Ahn, Kazuo J. Ezawa, "Decision Support for Real-Time Telemarketing Operations
Through Bayesian Network Learning", Decision Support Systems, September 1997, p. 1727.
21. Ian P. Murphy, "FedEx Practices What It Preaches About Segments". Marketing News, March 17,
1997, p. 14; Linda Grant, "Why FedEx Is Hying High", Fortune, November 10, 1997, p. 155-160;
Web-, www. fedex. corn/acct_num.htm.
22. Judann Pollack, "Oscar Mayer Plans Taco Bell-Branded Lunchables Product", Advertising Age, July
21, 1997, p. 3, 37; Charlie Etmekjian, John Grede, "Marketing Research in a Team-Oriented Business: The Oscar Mayer Approach", Marketing Research: A Magazine of Management & Applications,
December 1990, p. 6-12.
23. , ,
The GreenBook International Directory of Marketing Research Companies and Services (New
York Chapter: American Marketing Association, annually). Web-, www.greenboolc.org.
24. Jack Honomichi, "Honomichi 50 1998 Business Report on the Marketing Research Industry",
Marketing News, , 1998, p. H1-H21.
25. . Cyndee Miller, "Small World After
All", Marketing News, January 6, 1997, p. 1, 22; Ira Temowitz, "Nielsen Rates Expected to Rise",
Advertising Age, January 22, 1996, p. 37; Mike Penford, "Continuous Research Art Nielsen to A D
2000", Journal of the Market Research Society, January 1994, p. 1928.
26. Cyndee Miller, "Study Firms Add Researchers but Continue to Outsource", Marketing News, June 9,
1997, p. 1,7,
27. James H. Fouss, "Faster and Smarter", Marketing Research A Magazine a Management &
Applications, Winter 1996, p. 1617; Thomas C. Kmnear, Ann R. Root, 1994 Survey of Marketing
Research (Chicago: American Marketing Association, 1995).
28. Ralph W. Giacobbe, Madhav N. Segal, "Rethinking Marketing Research Education A Conceptual,
Analytical, and Empirical Investigation"', Journal of Marketing Education, Spring 1994, p. 43-58.
58
I.
29. Barbara Baumann, John Duncan, Stephen E. Forrer, Zandy Leibowitz, "Amoco Primes the Talent
Pump", Personnel Journal, February 1996, p. 79-84; "AMR Interviews Abdul Azhan, On Today and
the Future of Marketing Research at a Major Corporation", Applied Marketing Research, Spring
1989, p. 3-8.
30. Chad Kaydo, "Marriott", Sales & Marketing Management, October 1997, p. 61; Sanjit Sengupta,
Robert E. Krapfel; Michael A. Pusaten, "The Mamott Experience", Marketing Management, Summer 1997, p. 33
31. Kenneth Wylie, "Research-Eager Marketers Driving New Globalization", Advertising Age, October
30, 1995, p. 2829; E.H. Demby, "ESOMAR Urges Changes in Reporting Demographics, Issues
Worldwide Report", Marketing New, January 8, 1990, p. 2425.
32. David Kilburn, "Thai Recipe for Haircare Growth", Marketing Week, April 10, 1997.
33. Diane K. Bowers, "Sagging Banned, At Last", Marketing Research A Magazine of Management &
Applications, Fall-Winter 1995, p. 40.
34. Worldopimon 2 (Winter 1998), www. worldopinion.com.
35. Barry De Ville, "Internet for Market Research", Marketing Research A Magazine of Management &
Applications, Summer 1995, p. 3638.
36. David A Cohen, "Database of Marketing Research, Search Software, Version 1.0", Journal of
Marketing Research, May 1994, p. 316317.
Marketing News Marketing Research A Magazine of Management & Applications
.
1.
59
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1. Marketing News ,
Ian Murphy, "Aided by Research, Harley Goes Whole Hog", Marketing News, December 2, 1996,
p. 16-17.
2, Patrick Butler, "Marketing Problem: From Analysis to Decision", Marketing intelligence & Planning,
1994, p. 4-12.
92
I.
3.
David Smith, Andy Dexter, "Quality in Marketing Research: Hard Frameworks for Soft Problems",
Joumalofthe Marketing Research Society, April 1994,p. 115132.
4.
Berend Wierenga, Gerrit H. van Bruggen, "The Integration of Marketing Problem Solving Modes
and Marketing Management Support Systems", Journal of the Marketing, July 1997, p. 2137.
5.
Mary J. Cronin, "Using the Web to Push Key Data to Decision Makers", Fortune, September 29,
1997, p. 254.
6. Merrilyn Astin Tarlton, "Quick Marketing Audit", Law Practice Management, September 1997,
p. 18, 63; Leonard L. Berry, Jeffrey S. Conant, A. Parasuraman, "A Framework for Conducting a
Services Marketing Audit", Journalof the Academy of Marketing Science, Summer 1991, p. 255268.
7. Saviour L. S. Nwachukwu, Scott J. Vitell, Jr., "The Influence of Corporate Culture on Managerial
Ethical Judgments", Journal of Business Ethics, June 1997, p. 757776.
8.
Ellen Neuborne, Stephanie Anderson Forest, "Look Who's Picking Livi's Pocket", Business Week,
Septembers, 1997, p. 68, 72.
9.
Ruth Winett, "Guerilla Maketing Research Outsmarts the Competition", Marketing News, January
2, 1995, p. 33; J. Scott Armstrong, "Predition of Consumer Behavior by Experts and Novices",
Journal of Consumer Research, September 1991, p. 251256.
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Cyndee Miller, "McDonald's Shifts Strategy as Competitors Get Stranger", Marketing News 31,
April 28, 1997, p. 1, 10.
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Isabelle Sender, "Just Do It, Abroad", Chain Store Age, October 1997, p. 121-124.
Jeff Jensen, "Reebok and Nike Go Head to Head in Soccer Battle", Advertising Age, May 5, 1997, p. 4.
1
105
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September 22,1997, p. 28.
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p. 34.
3. Thomas T. Semon, "Marketing Research Needs Basic Research", Marketing News, March 14, 1996,
p. 12.
4.
Hanjoon Lee, Jay D. Lindquist, Frank Acito, "Managers' Evaluation of Research Design and Its
Impact on the Use of Research An Experimental Approach", Journal of Business Research, July 1997,
p. 231240; R. Dale Wilson, "Research Design Qualitative and Quantitative Approaches", Journal of
Marketing Research, May 1996, p. 252255.
5. . Ajay Menon, Anil Menon, "Enviropreneunal
Maiketing Strategy The Emergence of Corporate Environrnentalism as Market Strategy", Journal of
Marketing, January 1997, p. 51-67.
6. Stuart Glascock, "Microsoft Attempts to Lure New Class ot VARs", Computer Reseller News, August
25, 1997, p. 315; Herman Mehling, "Zooming In on a Growing Market", Computer Reseller News,
J u l y 28, 1997, p. 55-56; Web- Microsoft w^w. m i c r o s o f t . com.
7. . X. Michael Song, Mark E. Perry, "The
Determinants ot Japanese New Product Success", Journal of Marketing Research, February 1997,
p. 64-76.
142
II.
143
25. Margret R. Rollere, "Control Is Elusive in Research Design", Marketing News, September 15, 1997,
p. 17; Tom Corlett, "Sampling Errors in Practice", Journal of Market Research Society, October
1996, p. 307-318.
26. Zedan Hatush, Martin Skitmore, "Assessment and Evaluation of Contractor Data Against Client
Goals Using PERT Approach", Construction Management & Economics, July 1997, p. 327340.
27. Lizhong Geng, "Sports Marketing Strategy A Consumer Behavior Case Analysis in C h i n a " ,
Multinational Business Review, Spring 1997, p. 147154; Gallup Organization, "1997 Survey: The
People's Republic of China Consumers Attitudes & Lifestyle Trends", Web-
www.gallup.com/poll/special/china.
28. Betsy Peterson, "Ethics Revisited", Marketing Research: A Magazine of Management & Applications,
Winter 1996, p. 47-8.
29. JohnW.K. Leung, K..K. Lai, "AStructured Methodology to Build Discrete-Event Simulation Models",
Asia Pacific Journal of Operations Research, May 1997, p. 19-37; Naresh K. Malhotra, "An Approach
to the Measurement of Consumer Preferences Using Limited Information", Journal of Marketing
Research, February 1986, p. 3340; Naresh K. Malhotra, "Analyzing Marketing Research Data with
Incomplete Information on the Dependent Variable", Journal of Marketing Research, February 1987,
p. 74-84.
144
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FINDEX: The Directory of Market Research Reports, Studies and Surveys
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Dealerscope Merchandising: Statistical and Marketing Report
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Rand McNally Commercial Atlas and Marketing Guide
Sales and Marketing Management Survey of Buying Power
Sourcebook of Demographics and Buying Power for Every Zip Code in the USA
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, Internet : Business Week, The Economist, Financial Times, Forbes, Fortune Magazine, The
New York Times, Wall Street Journal, . :
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.
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index.html http: //www, doi . gov.
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182
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Unilever.
mintel, http: //www.mintel. co.uk. , Dunn and Bradstreet (http://www.dbisna.com/dbis/dn.home.html) , , D & Business Background Report,
Supplier Education Report Marketing Connection.
Web-, . , http: //www.exporthotline.com , , 80 . GILS
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6. http: / /www. npd. com , NPD.
7. http://www.acnielsen.com ,
A.S. Nielsen.
1. Gordon L Patzer, Using Secondary Data in Marketing Research (Westport: CT Greenwood Publishing
Group, 1995); David W. Stewart, Secondary Research Information Sources and Methods (Beverly
Hills: Sage Publications, 1984), p. 23-33.
4. :
187
2.
Rebecca A Fanmn, "Samsonite, with TBWA, Readies Global Push", Advertising Age, February 24,
1997, p. 4; Robert Bengen, "Teamwork It's in the Bag", Marketing Research A Magazine of
Management and Applications, Winter 1993, p. 3033.
3. Cyndee Miller, "It's Not TakeOut, It's Now Home Meal Replacement", Marketing News, June 9,
1997, p. 2; Carol Casper, "Some Place Like Home", Restaurant Business, August 1, 1997, p. 63-68.
4. Ron Stodghill, "The Coming Job Bottleneck", Business Week, March 24, 1997, p. 184-185.
5. "C-tore Retailers Push Growth with Dollars, New Profit Centers", NPN National Petroleum News,
October 1996, p. S3-S40.
6. Ann Chambers, "25% of Drivers Would Consider Buying an EV", Power Engineering, September
1997, p. 10.
7. . Michael R. Czinkota, Ilkka A. Ronkamen, "Market Research for Your Export Operations. Part I. Using Secondary Sources of Research", International Trade Forum, 1994, p. 2233; Dipak Jain, Vijay Mahajan, Eitan Muller,
"Innovation Diffusion in the Presence of Supply Restrictions", Marketing Science, Winter 1991,
p. 83-90.
8. Claude Brodesser, "Nielsen under Fire on Hispanic Sample", Mediaweek, July 21, 1997, p. 15.
9. Peter Keating, "The Best Airlines to Fly Today", Money, November 1997, p. 118128.
10. Judy Foster Davis, "Maintaining Customer Relationships through Effective Database Marketing
A Perspective for Small Retailers", Journal of Marketing Theory and Practice, Spring 1997, p. 31-42.
11. "The Colonel's Bold Campaign", Chain Store Age, June 1997, p. A12-A13.
12. Ruth A Pagell, "Market Research in the US. Part 1. Industry, Market, and Advertising Sources",
Business Information Review, April 1995, p. 5470.
13. www. census. gov, . James H. Andrews, "Countdown to the Census", Planning, December 1996, p. 4-7.
14. Ruth A Pagell, "Market Research in the US. Part 4. Data from the Census of Population and
Housing", Business Information Review, March 1996, p. 4956.
15. "Frequently Asked Questions about Census 2000", Indiana Business Review, Summer 1997, p. 10.
16. "Claritas Has Household Data", Insurance Systems Bulletin, October 1996, p. 8.
17. Amy Hilliard-Jones, "Consumers of Color are Changing the American Marketplace", Marketing
News, November 18, 1996, p. 8.
18. Carol Post, "Marketing Data Marts Help Companies Stay Ahead of the Curve and in Front of the
Competition", Direct Marketing, April 1997, p. 4244.
19. Greg R, Notess, "Searching the Hidden Internet", Database, JuneJuly 1997, p. 3740.
20. Barbara Quint, "Assume the Position, Take the Consequences", Information Today, June 1996,
p. 11-13,
21. Cristopher C. Brown, "Creating Automated Bibliographies Using Internet-Accessible On-line Library Catalogs", Database., February 1994, p. 6771.
22. Mary Ellen Bates, "American, Business Information Here, There, and Everywhere", Database,
April-May 1997, p. 45-50.
23. Greg R. Notess, "The Internet as an On-line Service. Bibliographic Databases on the Net",
Database, AugustSeptember 1996, p. 9295.
24. . J. Zif, D.J. McCarthy, "The Research and-Development Cycle: The Influence of Product and Process Research-and-Development on Short Term ROI", IEEE Transactions on
Engineering Management, May 1997, p. 114123; Venkatram Ramaswamy, Hubert Gatignon, David
J. Reibstem, "Competitive Marketing Behavior", Journal of Marketing, April 1994, p. 4556.
188
II.
4. :
189
1996, p. 15016; John Deighton, Caroline M. Henderson, Scott A. Neslin, "The Effects of Advertising on Brand Switching and Repeat Purchasing", Journal of Marketing Research, February 1994,
p. 28-43.
45. Alice Z. Cuneo, "New Age Drinks Think Healthy", Advertising Age, July 8, 1996, p. 4; Joanne Lipman, "Single-Source Ad Research Heralds Detailed Look at Household Habits", Wall Street Journal,
February 16, 1988, p. 39.
46. John W. Ellis, IV, "On the Map", Telephony, June 2,1997, p. 200-206.
47. . Hirokazu Takada, Dipak Jam, "Cross-National Analysis of Diffusion of
Consumer Durable Goods in Pacific Rim Countries", Journal of Marketing, April 1991, p. 4854.
48. Susan P Douglas, Samuel Craig, International Marketing Research (Upper Saddle River, NY:
Prentice Hall, 1983).
49. Joseph Rydholm, "A United Effort", Quirk's Marketing Research Review (October 1996). .
q u i r k s . c o r n / Researcher/ArticleDetails.html w w w . t h i n k . c o r n .
50. Alan Bunce, "Faced with Lower Ratings, Networks Take Aim at Nielsen, The Big Three Consider a
Competing Ratings Service", Christian Science Monitor, March 20,1997.
51. "New York Times on the Web, Offers Advertisers New Way to Target Consumers", Direct Marketing,
August 1997, p. 12.
190
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6.
Gloria F. Mazzella, "Show-and-Tell Focus Groups Reveal Core Boomer Values", Marketing News,
June 9,1997, p. H8,
Working Woman (April 1997). Rana Dogar. Mac Donald Communications Corp., Rana Dogar, "Marketing to the sense", Working Woman,
April 1997, p, 32-35.
Tom Murphy, "Hurtling the Barriers to Qualitative Research", Marketing News, March 31, 1997,
p. 18. , , . Susan Spiggle, "Analysis and Interpretation of Qualitative Data in Consumer
Research", Journal of Consumer Research, December 1994, p. 491503.
Ellen Day, "Qualitative Research Course Emphasizes Understanding Merits and Limitations",
Marketing News, August 4,1997, p. 9; Clive Gabriel, "The Validity of Qualitative Market Research",
Journal of the Market Research Society (UK), October 1990, p. 507-519.
.
, , .
. . ., , Shelby D. Hunt, Modem Marketing Theory (Cincinnati:
South-Western Publishing Co., 1991).
Dennis J. Cahill, "When to Use Qualitative Methods: How About at the Midpoint?", Marketing
News, January 5,1998, p. 15,17.
7. Ellen Day, "Know Consumers through Qualitative Research", Marketing News, January 5, 1998,
p. 14.
8. Michael L. Garee, Thomas R. Schori, "Focus Groups Illuminate Quantitative Research", Marketing
News, June 9,1997, p. H25.
9. Debra Goldman, "Focus Group USA", Adweek (Eastern Edition), February 12,1996, p. 10-13.
10. 812 " ", . . Peter
Dachler, "Qualitative Methods in Organizational Research: A Practical Guide", Organizational
Studies, 1997, p. 709-724; Edward F. Fem, "The Use of Focus Groups for Idea Generation: The
Effects of Group Size, Acquaintanceship, and Moderator on Response Quantity and Quality",
Journal of Marketing Research, February 1982, p. 113.
U. Gloria F. Mazella, "Show-and-Tell Focus Groups Reveal Core Boomer Values", Marketing News,
June 9, 1997, p. H8; "Focus Groups: Consumers Speak Out", Frozen Food Age, June 1995, p. SS18-
5. :
223
SS24; James E. Nelson, Nancy Frontczak, "How Acquaintanceship and Analyst Can Influence
Focus Group Results", Journal of Advertising, 1988, p. 4148.
12. Hazel Kahan, "A Professional Opinion", American Demographics (Tools Supplement), October 1996,
p. 14-19.
13. Bruce L. Katcher, "Getting Answers from a Focus Group", The Magazine for Magazine Management
(Special Source-book Issue for 1997 Supplement), p. 222. Donald A.
Chase, "The Intensive Group Interviewing in Marketing", MRA Viewpoints (1973).
14. Richard A. Krueger, Developing Questions for Focus Groups (Newbury Park, CA: Sage Publications,
1997); Martin R. Lautman, "Focus Group: Theory and Method", in Andrew Mitchell (ed.).
Advances in Consumer Research (Pittsburgh: Association for Consumer Research, 1982), p. 22.
15. David L. Morgan, The Focus Group Guidebook (Newbury Park, CA: Sage Publications, 1997),
16. David L. Morgan, Planning Focus Groups (Newbury Park, CA: Sage Publications, 1997).
17. Marketing Management , Steven Bruyn, "The Plymouth Renaissance", Marketing Management, Summer 1996, p. 5659.
18. Richard A. Krueger, Moderating Focus Groups (Newbury Park, CA: Sage Publications, 1 997).
19. Thomas L. Greenbaum, The Handbook for Focus Group Research (Newbury Park, CA: Sage
Publications, 1997).
20. Howard Furmansky, "Debunking the Myth About Focus Groups", Marketing News, June 23, 1997,
p. 22; Jack Edmonston, "Handle Focus Group Research with Care", Business Marketing, June 1994,
p. 38.
21. "How Nonprofits Are Using Focus Groups", Nonprofit World, September October 1996, p. 37.
22. Gloria F. Mazzella, "Show-and-Tell Focus Groups Reveal Core Boomer Values", Marketing News,
June 9, 1997, p. H8; Drew Winter, "Marching to a Ripper Drummer", Ward's Auto World,
December 1996, p. 107.
23. Leslie M. Harris, "Expanding Horizons", Marketing Research: A Magazine of Management &
Applications, Summer 1996, p. 12.
24. "Looking a Deeper Meaning", Marketing (Market Research Top 75 Supplement), July 17, 1997,
p. 16-17.
25. Claire P. Braverman, "Credit Card Issuers Can No Longer Bank on Conventional Marketing", Bank
Marketing, April 1997, p. 10, 12.
26. Jennifer L. Aaker, "Dimensions of Brand Personality", Journal of Marketing Research , August 1997,
p. 347-356; Klaus G. Grunert, Suzanne C. Grunert, "Measuring Subjective Meaning Structures by
Laddering Method: Theoretical Considerations and Methodological Problems", International Journal
of Research in Marketing, October 1995, p. 209 225. Jeffrey F. Durgee,
"Depth- Interview Techniques for Creative Advertising", Journal of Advertising Research, December
1985-January 1986, p. 29-37.
27. Richard A. Feder, "Depth Interviews Avoid Turmoil of Focus Groups", Advertising Age, April 21,
1997, p. 33.
28. Leslie de Chematony, Francesxa Dall Olmo Riley, "Brand Consultants' Perspectives on the Concept
of the Brand", Marketing & Research Today, February 1997, p. 4552.
29. Karen Best, "Something Old Is Something New in Qualitative Research", Marketing News, August
28, 1995, p. 14; H.H. Kassarjian, "Projeclive Methods", in R. Ferber (ed.) Handbook of Marketing
Research (New York: McGraw-Hill, 1974), p. 3.85-3.100.
30. Sidney J. Levy, "Interpreting Consumer Mythology: Structural Approach to Consumer Behavior
Focuses on Story Telling", Marketing Management, 1994, p. 49.
31. Marilyn M. Kennedy, "So How'm I Doing?", Across the Board, June 1997, p. 5354; G. Lindzey.
"On the Classification of Projective Techniques", Psychological Bulletin (1959), p. 158-168.
224
II.
32. Marina Krivyakina, "P&G Develops New Tide Product for High-Efficiency Machines", Chemical
Market Reporter, March 31, 1997, p. 9; "Interpretation Is the Essence of Projective Research
Techniques", Marketing News, September 28, 1984, p. 20.
33. David Kilburn, "Haagen-Dazs Is Flavor of Month", Marketing Week, September 4, 1997, p, 30;
S. Bhargava, "Gimme a Double Shake and a Lard on White", Business Week, March 1,1993, p. 59.
34. "Role Playing for Better Service", Lodging Hospitality, February 1997, p. 16.
35. Michael Adams, "White Knuckles, Knocking Knees", Sales & Marketing Management, February
1997, p. 94; "Fear of Flying", Economist, May 18, 1996, p. 30.
36. David Bakken, "State of the Art in Qualitative Research", Marketing Research: A Magazine of
Management & Applications, Summer 1996, p. 45; Elaine Cibptti, Eugene H. Fram, "The Shopping
List Studies and Projective Techniques: A 40-Year View", Marketing Research: A Magazine of
Management & Applications, December 1991, p. 1422; Maison Haire, "Projective Techniques in
Marketing Research", Journal of Marketing, April 1950, p. 649656.
37. Mary Ann McGrath, "Gender Differences in Gift Exchange: New Directions from Projections",
Psychology & Marketing, August 1995, p. 371393.
38. - , .
William J. McDonald, "Provider Perceptions of Focus Groups Research Use: A Multicountry
Perspective", Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science, Summer 1994, p. 265273.
39. Thomas L. Greenbaum, "Understanding Focus Group Research Abroad", Marketing News, June 3,
1996,p.H14~H36.
40. Joe Jancsurak, "Whirlpool: US. Leader Pursues Global Blueprint", Appliance Manufacturer,
February 1997, p. G21; Hal Daume, "Making Qualitative Research Work in the Pacific Rim",
Marketing News, May 12, 1997, p, 13.
41. S. Robson, "Ethics: Informed Consent of Misinformed Compliance?", Journal of the Market
Research Society, 1991, p. 19-28.
42. Chris Lamb, "Tony Snow Talks American Politics", Editor & Publisher, September 7,1996, p. 3233.
43. Gyron J. Finch, "A New Way to Listen to the Customer", Quality Progress, May 1997, p. 7376.
44. Sega Online: Central (Press Releases) King, Brown & Partners, Inc.: Web Site Development King,
Brown & Partners (Market Research): Online Focus Groups.
" 5. :
225
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256
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257
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261
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262
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, CATI, ,
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(pantry
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(response latency)
, (nonresponse bias)
- (content analysis)
(sample control)
(critical request)
(personal observation)
(survey methods)
(mechanical observation)
(unstructured observation)
(Computer-Assisted Telephone
Interviews CATI)
6. :
263
(Computer-Assisted Personal Interviews
CAPI).
(perceived
anonymity)
(field force)
(mail panel)
(response rate)
(psycnogalvanometer)
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1. , , , .
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?
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6.
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7.
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.
264
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, ? ?
2. "A&W Plans 100 More Units thru Carousel Buy: A&W Restaurants Inc Intends to Add 100 New
Fast-Food Stores over the Next Five Years through its Recent Acquisition of Carousel Snack Bars of
Minnesota", Nation's Restaurant News, August IS 1997, p. 136; Quirk's Marketing Research Review,
October-November 1987, p. 10, 36.
3. Karen Yates, "Canon Adopts Television Strategy", Campaign-Lor/don, May 24, 1996, p. 8; Johnny
K.Johansson, Ikujiro Nonaka, "Market Research the Japanese Way", Harvard business Review,
May-June 1987, p. 16-18.
4. , , . Vikas
Mittal, William . Ross, Jr., Patrick M. Baldasare, "The Asymmetric Impact of Negative and
Positive Attribute-Level Performance on Overall Satisfaction and Repurchase Intentions", Journal of
Marketing, January 1998, p. 3347.
5. Kevin Burden, "DEC Servers Grab Performance Ratings", Computerworld, October 9 1995, p. 114;
"Digital Hears the Voice of the Market", Marketing Research: A Magazine of Management and
Applications, December 1992, p. 2833.
6. "Forum Focuses on Future of Telephone Interviewing", Marketing News, May 20 1996, p. 34.
7. Sharon Munger, "Premium Medium", Marketing Research: A Magazine of Management &
Applications, Spring 1996, p. 1012.
8. Gail Gaboda, "For Business Travelers, There's No Place Like Home", Marketing News, September 15,
1997, p. 19, 21; Courtyard Hotels'Web- (www.court-yard.com).
9. Thomas T, Semon, "Reality Is Unfairto Small Fry", Marketing News, November 18, 1996, p. 18,
10. "Cause Related Marketing Sends a Multiplicity of Messages", Entertainment Marketing Letter,
February 1997, p. 6; Quirk's Marketing Research Review, February 1988, p. 57.
. :
265
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[32].
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, Dancer Fitzgerald
Albany-Scbenectady-Troy, .NY
Knoxville, TN
Boise, ID
Lexington, KY
Buffalo, NY.
Little Rock, AR
Cedar Rapids- Waterloo, IA
Louisville, KY
Charlotte, NC
Minneapolis, MN
Cincinnati, OH
Nashville, TN
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Cohanbus, OH
Qriando-Daytona Beach, FL.
Des Moines, IA.
Phoenix, AZ
Erie, PA
Pittsburgh, PA
Evansville.IN
Portland, OR
Fargo, ND
Roanoke-Lynchburg,
Fort Wayne, IN
Rochester, NY
Green Bay, WI
Sacramento-Stockton, CA
Greensboro-High Point, NC
St. Louis, MO
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Kansas City, MO
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.
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Cheeseborough Ponds "
" Vaseline Intensive . Vaseline , Wondra . , Procter & Gamble Wondra , Cheeseborough Ponds
. Wondra 4% , a Vaseline Intensive 22% [33].
, , ,
[34]. High Yield Coffee Hills Bros
, , Procter & Gamble
Folger's Flakes. Procter & Gamble Folger's Flakes Hills Bros . Procter & Gamble Ivory [35].
. , .
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(controlled test market)
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[41].
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308
II.
(internal validity)
(internal
validity)
(time series design)
(matching)
(test units)
(dependent
variables)
(instrumentation)
(interactive testing effect).
(confounding
variables)
,
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(one-shot case
study)
(main
testing effect)
,
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(controlled test market)
, (test
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environment)
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(concomitant
variation)
(true experimental designs)
(standard test
market)
(preexperimental designs)
(statistical
regression)
(quasiexperimental designs)
(statistical design)
(simulated
test market)
(Latin square
design)
(multiple time series design)
(randomized block
design)
(statistical
control)
(static group)
(mortality)
(maturation)
(factorial design)
(experiment)
(testing effects)
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7. - :
311
1. "LeSportsac Announces Latest International Expansion", Showcase, December 1995, p. 67;
"Surveys Help Settle Trade Dress Infringement Case", Quirk's Marketing Research Review, October
1987, p. 16,17, 33.
2. Robert Dwek, "Prediction of Success", Marketing (POP & Field Marketing Supplement), April 17,
1997, p. -; "POP Radio Test Airs the Ads In-store", Marketing News, October 24, 1997,
p. 16.
3. R. Barker Bausell, Conducting Meaningful Experiments (Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications, Inc.,
1994).
4.
Robert F. Boruch, Randomized Experiments for Planning and Evaluation (Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage
Publications, Inc., 1994),
5. Michele Witthaus, "POP Stars", Marketing Week, July 17, 1997, p. 37-41.
6.
312
II.
313
31. Stephanie Thompson, "Tetley Tests Higher-Value Pitches", Brandweek, December 15, 1997, p. 8;
Ed Rubinstein, "7-Elevcn Tests Internet Kiosks in Seattle Market", Nation's Restaurant News,
October 20 1997, p. 24.
32. Parker-Pope, "Frito-Lay to Begin Selling Wow! Chips Made with Oiestra Later This Month",
Wall Street Journal, February 10, 1998, p. B2.
33. Sean Mehegan, "Vaseline Dps Ante ViaAnti-Bacterial", Brandweek, May 26, 1997, p. 1.6.
34. "Why New Products are Bypassing the Market Test", Management Today, October 1995, p. 12.
35. Jack Neff, "Ivory Extension Targets Families", Advertising Age, March 3, 1997, p. 39.
36. Dermot J. Hayes, Jason F. Shogren, John A. Fox, James B. Kliebenstein, "Test Marketing New
Food Products Using a Multitrial Nonhypothetical Experimental Auction", Psychology & Marketing,
July 1996, p. 365-379.
37. "Simulated Test Marketing", Sloan Management Review, Winter 1995, p. 112.
38. David Woodruff, Karen Nickel, "When You Think Deluxe Think East Germany", Business Week,
May 26,1997, p. 124-132.
39. Bernard H. Schmitt, "Contextual Priming of Visual Information in Advertisements", Psychology &
Marketing, January 1994, p. 1-14.
40. Betsy Peterson, "Ethics, Revisited", Marketing Research: A Magazine of Management & Applications,
Winter 1996, p. 47-48.
41. Isabelle Sender, "Internet Coupons Driving Store Traffic", Chain Store Age, September, 1997,
p. 127-128.
314
II.
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British Airways
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. 8.4.
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(transitivity
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(rank-order
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1.
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8. :
335
1. "India End at 112", Indian Express, December 24,1997, p. 15.
2. Warren Shoulberg, "Mall People", Home Textiles Today, August 18, 1997, p. 16; "The Mailing of
America", Quirk's Marketing Research Review, May 1990, p. 15.
3. Ken Gofton, "If It Moves Measure It", Marketing (Marketing Technique Supplement), September 4,
1997, p. 17; Jum C. Nunnally, Psychometric Theory, 2nd ed (New York: McGraw-Hill, 1978), p. 3.
4. V. Srinivasan, Chan Su Park, "Surprising Robustness of the Self-Explicated Approach to Customer
Preference Structure Measurement", Journal of Marketing Research, May 1997, p. 286-291; Stanley
S. Stevens, "Mathematics, Measurement and Psychophysics", in Stanley S. Steven (ed.). Handbook
of Experimental Psychology (New York: John Wilev, 1951).
5. Wade D. Cook, Moshe Kress, Lawrence M. Seiford, "On the Use of Ordinal Data in Data
Envelopment Analysis", Journal of the Operational Research Society, February 1993, p. 133-140;
William D. Perreault, Jr., Forrest W. Young, "Alternating Least Squares Optimal Scaling: Analysis of
Nonmetric Data in Marketing Research", Journal of Marketing Research, February 1980, p. 113.
6. Anne Fisher, "The World's Most Admired Companies", Fortune, October 27, 1997, p. 220.
7. Michael Lynn, Judy Harris, "The Desire for Unique Consumer Products: A New Individual
Difference Scale", Psychology & Marketing, September 1997, p. 601616.
8. . Christian Genest. Shuang-Shuang Zhang, "A Graphical
Analysis of Ratio-Scaled Paired Comparison Data", Management Science, March 1996, p. 335349;
C.H. Coombs, "Theory and Methods of Social Measurement", in L. Festinger, D. Katz (eds.),
Research Methods in the Behavioral Sciences (New York: Holt, Rinehart& Winston, 1953).
9. , . ., , Moonsig Kang, Antonie
Stam, "PAHAP: A Pairwise Aggregated Hierarchical Analysis of Ratio-Scale Preferences", Decision
Sciences, July-August 1994, p. 607-624.
10. Deborah L. Kellogg, Richard B. Chase, "Constructing an Empirically Derived Measure for
Customer Contact", Management Science, November 1995, p. 17341749; Kirn P, Corfman,
"Comparability and Comparison Levels Used in Choices among Consumer Products", Journal of
Marketing Research, August 1991, p. 368374.
11. Leah Rickard, "Remembering New Coke", Advertising Age, April 17, 1995, p. 6; "Coke's Flip-Flop
Underscores Risks of Consumer Taste Tests", Wall Street Journal, July IS, 1985, p. 25.
12. . , , .
. Naresh . Malhotra, Arun . Jain, Christian Pinson, "The Robustness of
MDS Configurations in the Case of Incomplete Data", Journal of Marketing Research, February
1988, p. 95-102.
13. Christian Genest, ShuangShuang Zhang, "A Graphical Analysis of Ratio-Scaled Paired Comparison Data", Management
Science, March 1996, p. 335-33914. Rensis Likert, Sydney Roslow, Gardner Murphy, "A Simple and Reliable Method of Scoring the
Thurstone Attitude Scales", Personnel Psychology, Autumn 1993, p. 689-690; L.L. Thurstone, The
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36. Timothy R. Hinkin, "A Review of Scale Development Practices in the Study of Organizations",
Journal of Management, May 1995, p. 967SS.
37. Michael R. Mullen, George R. Milne, Nicholas M. Didow, "Determining Cross-Cultural Metric
Equivalence in Survey Research: A New Statistical Test", Advances in International Marketing,
August 1996, p. 145-157; E. Gencturk, T.L. Childers, R.W. Ruekert, "International Marketing
Involvement The Construct, Dimensionality, and Measurement", Journal of Internationa!
Marketing, April 1995, p. 11-37.
38. Alan L. Unikel, "Imitation Might Be Flattering, but Beware of Trademark Infringement",
Marketing News, September 11, 1997, p. 2021; Betsy McKay, "Xerox Fights Trademark Battle",
Advertising Age International, April 27, 1992, p. 139.
39. Scott J. Vitell, Foo Nin Ho, "Ethical Decision Making in Marketing; A Synthesis and Evaluation of
Scales Measuring the Various Components of Decision Making in Ethical Situations", Journal of
Business Ethics, May 1997, p. 699-717; R.E. Reidenbach, D.P. Robin, "Some Initial Steps toward
Improving the Measurement of Ethical Evaluations of Marketing Activities", Journal of Business
Ethics, July 1988, p, 871879; R. Eric Reidenbach, Donald P. Robin, "A Response to On Measuring
Ethical Judgments", Journal of Business Ethics, February 1995, p. 159162.
368
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1. Shari Sanders. "Kids & Teens Show Who's Boss in Purchasing Power", Discount Store News, April 3,
1995, p. 22-30.
2. "Channel 5 Scores with Child Viewers", Marketing Week, February 19, 1998, p. 14; Joseph
Rydholm, ''Omnibus Study Talks to Kids", Quirk's Marketing Research Review, JuneJuly 1991,
p. 41-42.
3. S.L. Payne, The Art of Asking Questions (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1951).
4. , ,
. Howard Schuman, Stanley Presser, Questions & Answers in Attitude Survey (Thousand
Oaks, CA: Sage Publications, 1996); Arlene Fink, How to Ask Survey Questions (Thousand Oaks, CA;
Sage Publications, 1995); Floyd J. Fowler, Jr., Improving Survey Questions (Thousand Oaks, CA:
Sage Publications, 1995).
5.
Howard Schuman, Stanley Presser, Questions & Answers in Attitude Survey (Thousand Oaks, CA:
Sage Publications, 1996); Jagdip Singh, Roy D. Howell, Gary K. Rhoads, "Adaptive Designs for
Likert-Type Data: An Approach for Implementing Marketing Surveys", Journal of Marketing
Research, August 1990, p. 304-321.
6. Linda B. Bourque, Eve P. Fielder, How to Conduct Self-Administered and Mail Surveys (Thousand
Oaks, CA: Sage Publications, 1995); James H. Frey, Sabine M. Oishi, How to Conduct Interviews by
Telephone and in Person (Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications, 1995).
7. Thomas T. Semon, "Asking 'How Important' Is Not Enough", Marketing News, August 4, 1997,
p. 19.
8. "Brand Imaging Drives Niketown", Chain Store Age, April 1996, p, 4654.
9. Arthur Stemgold, Rex H. Warland, Robert O. Hermann, "Do Surveys Overstate Public Concerns?",
Public Opinion Quarterly, Summer 1994, p. 255263; D.I. Hawtans, K.A. Coney, "Uninformed
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10. Jan Stapel, "Observations: A Brief Observation about Lika-bility and Interests ngness of Advertising",
Journal of Advertising Research, MarchApril 1994, p. 7980; George F. Bishop, Robert
W. Oldendick, Alfred J. Tuchfarber, "Effects of Filter Questions in Public Opinion Surveys", Public
Opinion Quarterly, Spring 1982, p. 6685.
11. Kenneth C. Schneider, James C. Johnson, "Link between Response-Inducing Strategies and
Uninformed Response", Marketing Intelligence & Planning, January 1994, p. 2936.
12. Solomon Dutka, Lester R. Frankel "Measuring Response Error", Journal of Advertising Research,
JanuaryFebruary 1997, p. 3339; Terry Haller, Danger: Marketing Researcher at Work (Westport,
CT: Quorum Books, 1983), p. 149.
13. Geeta Menon, Priya Raghubir, Norbert Schwarz, "Behavioral Frequency Judgments: An
Accessibility Diagnosticity Framework", Journal of Consumer Research, September 1995, p. 212
404
II.
228; William A. Cook, "Telescoping and Memory's Other Tricks", Journal of Advertising Research,
October-March 1987, p. 5-8.
14. R.P. Hill, "Researching Sensitive Topics in Marketing The Special Case of Vulnerable
Populations", Journal of Public Policy & Marketing, Spring 1995, p. 143-148.
15. Roger Tourangeau, Tom W. Smith, "Asking Sensitive Questions: The Impact of Data Collection
Mode, Question Format, and Question Context", Public Opinion Quarterly, Summer 1996, p. 275304; Kent H. Marquis et al., Response Errors in Sensitive Topic Survey: Estimates, Effects, and
Correction Options (Santa Monica, CA: Rand Corporation, 1981).
16. Priya Raghubir, Geeta Menon, "Asking Sensitive Questions: The Effects of Type ofReferent
and Frequency Wording in Counterbiastng Methods", Psychology & Marketing, October 1996,
p. 633-652.
17. Brian K. Burton, Janet P. Near, "Estimating the Incidence of Wrongdoing and Whistle-Blowing:
Results of a Study Using Randomized Response Technique", Journal of Business Ethics, January
1995, p. 17-30.
18. P. Mukhopadhyay, "A Note on UMVU-Estimation under Randomized-Response Model",
Communications in Statistics Theory and Methods, October 1997, p. 24152420; D.E. Stem, Jr.,
R.K. Steinhorst, "Telephone Interview and Mail Questionnaire Applications of the Randomized
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19. Lynn M. Newman, "That's a Good Question", American Demographics (Marketing Tools), June
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, .
.
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31. Brad Edmondson, "How to Spot a Bogus Poll", American Demographics, October 1996, p. 1015;
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10.
407
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.
1. Marc Gunther, "This Gang Controls Your Kids' Brains", Fortune, October 27,1997, p. 172-182.
2. Carol Krol, "Survey: Friends Lead Pack in Kids' Spending Decisions", Advertising Age, March 30,
1997, p. 16; The Warner-Lambert Company, The American Chicle Youth Poll.
440
II.
3. V. Verma, T. Le, "An Analysis of Sampling Errors for the Demographic and Health Surveys",
International Statistical Review, December 1966, p. 265294; H. Assael, J. Keon, "NonsampHng versus
Sampling Errors in Sampling Research", Journal of Marketing, Spring 1982, p. 114123.
4. Barbara A. Bailar, "Does Sampling Work?", Business Economics, January 1997, p. 4753; "Frequently
Asked Questions about Census 2000", Indiana Business Review, Summer 1997, p. 10.
5. A r l e n e Fink, How to Sample in Surveys (Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications, 1995); Martin R.
Frankel, "Sampling Theory", in Peter H. Rossi, James D. Wright, A n d y B. Anderson (eds.),
Handbook of Survey Research (Orlando, FL: Academic Press, 1983, p. 2167; R.M. Jaeger, Sampling
in Education and the Social Sciences (New York Longman, 1984), p. 2829.
6. Gary T. Henry, Practical Sampling (Thousand Oaks, CA; Sage Publications, 1995); Seymour Sudman, "Applied S a m p l i n g " , in Peter H. Rossi, James D. Wright, Andy B. Anderson (eds.),
Handbook of Survey Research (Orlando, FL: Academic Press, 19S3,p. 145194.
7. Robert Cage, "New Methodology for Selecting CPI Outlet Samples", Monthly Labor Renew, December 1996, p. 49-83.
8. Wayne Smith, Paul Mitchell, Karin Attebo, Stephen Leeder, "Selection Bias f r o m Sampling
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, .
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25.
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. . James . Raymondo, "Confessions of a Nielsen Household ',
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,
, . Samiee Saeed, Insik Jeong, "Cross
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442
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Mark L. Berenson, David . Levine, Basic Business Statistics: Concepts and Applications, 6th ed (Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice Hall, 1996), Prentice /fall. Inc., Upper
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1,65. 0,4500 0,4495
0,4505, z z 1,645. , ,
X;
= 50 + (-1,645) 5 =41,775
, - ,
95% , .
. 12., z 1,96, X, 50 (1,96)5,
40,2 59,8. 95%- .
472
II.
0,4750
0,0250
\ 0,4750
"\
0,0250
+z
12..
:
1. Jan Larson, "The Bicycle Market", American Demographics, March 1995, p. 4248; Bicycling Magazine's 1997 Semiannual Study of U.S. Retail Bicycle Stores. . Ann M. Kerwin, "MRI
1
Makes Sampling Changes' , The Magazine for Magazine Management, March 1, 1997,p. 15.
2. Bruce Nussbaum, "A Camera in a Wet Suit", BusmessWeek, June 2, 1997, p. 109.
3. . ., , Mark L. Berenson, David M. Levine, Basic Business Statistics: Concepts
and Applications, 6th ed. (Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice Hall, 1996), p. 13.
4. , .
L. Yeh, L.C. Van, "Bayesian DoubleSampling Plans with Normal Distributions", Statistician, February 1997, p. 193-207; W.G. Blyth,
L.J. Marchant, "A Self-Weighing Random Sampling Technique", Journal of the Market Research
Society, October 1996, p. 473479; Clifford Nowell, Linda R. Stanley, "Length-Biased Sampling in
Mall Intercept Surveys", Journal of Marketing Research, November 1991, p. 475479, Raphael Gillett, "Confidence Interval Construction by Stein's Method: A Practical and Economical Approach to
Sample Size Determination", Journal of Marketing Research, May 1989, p. 237.
5. Siu L. Chow, Statistical Significance (Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications, 1996).
6. L. Joseph, D.B. Wolfson, "Interval-Based versus Decision-Theoretic Criteria for the Choice of a
Sample Size", Statistician, February 1997. p. 145149; Martin Frankel, "Sampling Theory", in Peter H. Rossi, James D. Wright, Andy B. Anderson (eds.), Handbook of Survey Research (New York:
Academic Press, 1983), p. 21-67.
7. , , C.J. Adcock, "Sample Size determination A Review",
Statistician, February 1997, p. 261-283; Seymour Sudman, "Applied Sampling", in Peter H. Rossi,
James D, Wright, Andy B. Anderson (eds.), Handbook of Survey Research (Orlando, FL: Academic
Press, 1983), p. 145-194.
8.
Don A. Dillman, Eleanor Singer, Jon R. Clark, James B. Treat, "Effects of Benefits Appeals, Mandatory Appeals, and Variations in Statements of Confidentiality on Completion Rates for Census
Questionnaires", Public Opinion Quarterly, Fall 1996, p. 376389; Louis G. Pol, Sukgoo Pak, "The
Use of Two-Stage Survey Design in Collecting Data from Those Who Have Attended Periodic or
Special Events," Journal of the Market Research Society, October 1994, p. 315-326.
9. Nevin J. Rodes, "Marketing a Community Symphony Orchestra", Marketing News, January 29,
3996, p. 2; "Sales Makes Sweet Music", Quirk's Marketing Research Review, May 1988, p. 1012.
12. :
473
10. M.R. Fisher, "Estimating the Effect of Nonresponse Bias on Angler Surveys", Transactions of the
American Fisheries Society, January 1996, p. 118126; Charles Martin, "The Impact of Topic Interest on
Mail Survey Response Behavior", Journal of the Market Research Society, October 1994, p. 327338.
11. A. Hill, J. Roberts, Ewings D. Gunnell, "Nonresponse Bias in a Lifestyle Survey", Journal of Public
Health Medicine, June 1997, p. 203207; Stephen W. McDaniel, Charles S. Madden, Perry Verille,
"Do Topic Differences Affect Survey Nonresponse?", Journal of the Market Research Society, January 1987, p. 55-66.
12. , . .. Chen,
"Direction, Magnitude, and Implications of Nonresponse Bias in Mail Surveys", Journal of the
Market Research Society, July 1996, p. 267276; Michael Brown, "What Price Response?", Journal
of the Market Research Society, July 1994, p. 227-244.
13. Reg Baker, "Nobody's Talking", Marketing Research: A Magazine of Management & Applications,
Spring 1996, p. 22-24; Jolene M. Struebbe, Jerome B. Kernan, Thomas J. Grogan, "The Refusal
Problem in Telephone Surveys", Journal of Advertising Research, JuneJuly 1986, p. 2938.
14. S.A. Everett, J.H. Price, A.W. Bedell, S.K. Telljohann, "The Effect of a Monetary Incentive in Increasing the Return Rate of a Survey of Family Physicians", Evaluation and the Health Professions,
June 1997, p. 207-214; J. Scott Armstrong, Edward J. Lusk, "Return Postage in Mail Surveys: A
Meta-Analysis", Public Opinion Quarterly, Summer 1987, p. 233-248; Julie Yu, Harris Cooper, "A
Quantitative Review of Research Design Effects on Response Rates to Questionnaires", Journal of
Marketing Research, February 1983, p. 3644,
15. Bill Farrell, Tom Elken, "Adjust Five Variables for Better Mail Surveys", Marketing News, August 29,
1994, p. 20; Edward F. Fern, Kent B. Monroe, Ramon A. Avila, "Effectiveness of Multiple Request
Strategies: A Synthesis of Research Results", Journal of Marketing Research, May 1986, p. 144153.
16. Sheldon Wayman, "The Buck Stops Here When It Comes to Dollar Incentives", Marketing News,
January 6, 1997, p. 9; Paul M. Biner, Heath J. Kidd, "The Interactive Effects of Monetary Incentive
Justification and Questionnaire Length on Mail Survey Response Rates", Psychology & Marketing,
September-October 1994, p. 483-492.
17. D.A. Dillman, E. Singer, J.R. Clark, J.B. Treat, "Effects of Benefits Appeals, Mandatory Appeals,
and Variations in Statements of Confidentiality on Completion Rates for Census Questionnaires",
Public Opinion Quarterly, Rail 1996, p. 376-389; Gendall, J. Hoek, D. Esslemont, "The Effect of
Appeal, Complexity, and Tone in a Mail Survey Covering Letter", Journal of the Market Research
Society, July 1995, p. 251268; Thomas V. Greer, Rita Lohtia, "Effects of Source and Paper Color
on Response Rates in Mail Surveys", Industrial Marketing Management, February 1994, p. 4754.
18. James D. Peacock, "Yes, You Can Raise Response Rates", Journal of Advertising Research, January
1996, p. RC7-RC10.
19. G.L. Bowen, "Estimating the Reduction in Nonresponse Bias from Using a Mail Survey as a Backup
for Nonrespondents to a Telephone Interview Survey", Research on Social Work Practice, January
1994, p. 115-128; R.A. Kerin, R.A. Peterson, "Scheduling Telephone Interviews", Journal of
Advertising Research, May 1983, p. 44.
20. M.L. Rowland, R.N. Forthofer, "Adjusting for Nonresponse Bias in a Health Examination Survey",
Public Health Reports, May-June 1993, p. 380-386.
21. E.L. Dey, "Working with Low Survey Response Rates The Efficacy of Weighting Adjustments",
Research in Higher Education, April 1997, p. 215227.
22. Simon Marquis, "Expectation and Election Reality are Polls Apart", Marketing, April 17, 1997,
p. 16; John Maines, "Taking the Pulse of the Voter", American Demographics, November 1992, p. 20.
23. R.C. Kessler, R.J. Little, R.M. Graver, "Advances in Strategies for Minimizing and Adjusting for Survey Nonresponse", Epidemlologic Review, January 1995, p. 192204; James C. Ward, Bertram Russick,
William Rudelius, "A Test of Reducing Callbacks and Not-at-Home Bias in Personal Interviews by
Weighting At-Home Respondents", Journal of Marketing Research, February 1985, p. 6673.
474
II.
24. J.W. Drane, D. Richter, C. Stoskopf, "Improved Imputation of Nonresponse to Mailback Questionnaires", Statistics in Medicine, February 1993, p. 283-288.
25. Alan Tse, "Estimating the Design Factor for Surveys in Hong Kong", Marketing Intelligence and Planning,
September 1995, p. 28-29; "Another Chinese Take-Off', The Economist, December 19,1992).
26. Vicki G. Morwitz, Carol Pluzinski, "Do Polls Reflect Opinions or Do Opinions Reflect Polls? The
Impact of Political Polling on Voters' Expectations Preferences and Behavior", Journal of Consumer
Research, June 1996, p. 53-67.
12. :
475
2
(Sandra J. Bautista),
Burke, Inc.
2.1.
() (Corporate Information Center CIC)
Burke, Inc. , ,
(, " Burke" 4). ,
,
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CACI
Eurotnonitor
Freedonia Research
The Gallup Organization
Information Resources, Inc.
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Roper Starch Worldwide
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2.2.
" " Coca-Cola 50% 2000
. Coca-Cola ?
, Procter & Gamble,
, . , Procter & Gamble , . Procter & Gamble , , ?
478
II.
Coca-Cola ,
. Coca-Cola
, , . . Nielsen Corporation, Information Resources, Inc. (IRI) . Nielsen, IRI
.
Nielsen IRI , - ,
.
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479
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. , , , , , . , , , , "", ,
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480
II.
Nielsen
, Nielsen . Arbitron . ,
, .
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, Rubbermaid " " ,
" [2].
, Rubbermaid , . , , .
Yankehvich
Monitor. , . Yankelovich Monitor
, .
, -, , . :
, ;
;
, Internet;
, , : , ..;
.
,
, ,
.
Holman W. Jenkins, Jr., "On a Wing, a Prayer and $18 Billion", Wail Street Journal (January 21,1998,
p.A23.
Stanley W. Angrist, "Make It New", Wall Street Journal, My 10, 1997, p. A13.
481
23. :
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2
483
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484
II.
2
2.1.
Weather Channel, ,
1982 , . " ,
, , , ", (Michael Eckert), Weather Channel. , , , . ? .
, Buick, Motorola Campbell's
Soup, 1995 40,8 . 1996 60 , 12 . " , ,
. - (Steven Clapp). " , , , ".
, , , 1995 . , , , ,
" ", . " , , ", - . (Hayes Roth), ,
, , . ,
Weather Channel . ,
" ", , ,
. 60
, , .
, , 11 14
, . , , . , "
" . . , ,
"", 1996 ,
"", , , " ",
.
,
- .
2
485
Weather Channel
.
30 , 120 , 900, , , Weather Channel. " Weather Channel , ", X. . , Weather Channel , , ,
, - 50
" ".
, 1996
,
Web- (www.weather.cora), . 40 Web- .
1997 , . " " (Know Weather, No Limits Campaign)
, ,
Chevy Blazer, 13
Guide. 76 , 6,2
. The Front
The Front (
). Weather
Channel . " , , . :" ,
. ".
, ,
, . "
, .
, , , ". - , ,
" MTV, , .
, Weather , . , . " ,
. , , .
. ".
, .
486
, ? ,
? ?
II.
"Big Audience Has Weather Channel Singin1 in the Rain: Weather Channel Has Been Marketing
Itself, Creating a Powerful BrandNameoverthe Past 15 Years", Marketing News, 31 February 17,1997, p. 2.
Patricia Riedman, "Geotargeting Picks up Speed in Web Marketing Mix", Advertising Age, June 2, 1997,
p. SIS.
2.2.
, , .
, , , . ,
. -
, ,
. . , . , , ,
. , 1 2% .
,
,
, . 1990- ,
(-), , .
. , 75% , , . ,
,
. 1990- , -. Marriott ,
Courtyard, -, . , Marriott Courtyard 48 8 .
20 , , , .
, Holiday Inn, ,
. Holiday Inn ,
,
. "
", (Bryan Langton).
, . Courtyard Hotels, Holiday Inn
Crowne Plaza Embassy Suites, . Holiday
Inn , a Hampton Inn ,
[ Motel 6, Red Roof, Days Inn, Super 8, Lodge.
Holiday Inn , .
, Hyatt, 58% , , 1996 , 1990 , 72% ,
. Hyatt -,
, 2
487
, , , . Web-, , Internet,
, . Hilton Hotels , 50% , ,
(National Sleep Foundation) . (Sleep-Tight Rooms) " ". ,
, CD- , .
, , . , Roper Starch, , 25
50 47,3 . , 50 , .
1996 30 . 1995 Choice Hotels
. Select Choice 10% , .
,
. ; . , 5
, . ,
, . ,
, , , , . : . Hyatt, Classic Residence Marriott, , , Brighton Gardens.
.
, , . , , :
, , .
. 1996 320 897 .
2000 , , 222 ,
476 . , ,
.
Marriott's Residence Inn, , 1997
Holiday Inn Staybridge Suites, , Holiday Inn.
,
. ", ".
1. , . Internet?
2. . Hampton Inns , ,
. ?
488
II,
3. Hampton Inns, ?
4.
5.
.
?
Marriott . ?
Anthony Marshall, "Seniors Have Big Travel Budgets but Need Accommodation", Hotel & Motel
Management, April 7,1997, p. 17.
Nicole Harris, "Sleepless Nights at Holiday Inn", BusinessWeek, Novembers, 1997, p. 6667.
Michael Malley, "Hospitality's New Homemakers Finding Niche", Hotel & Motel Management, October
20,1997, p. 18.
"Marriott Joins Midpriced Extended Stay War", Lodging Hospitality, April 1997, p. 10.
2.3. HERSHEY
! Hershey Mars, , , 7
. Hershey 1970- ,
, . 1985 Hershey Mars 10 , 70%. , Cadbury 9%,
Nestle 6% . 1988 Hershey Cadbury
36 44%. Cadbury Dairy Milk Chocolate,
Peter Paul Mounds, Almond Joy York Peppermint Pattie Hershey . 1980- 1990- Hershey, Kisses with Almonds, Hugs, Hugs with Almonds, Amazin' Fruit Gummy Bears Cookies 'n' Mint Chocolate. 1994 Hershey Food Corp. .
1996 Hershey
Leaf North American, ,
, Jolly Rancher Good &. Plenty. , 1996 Hershey
Sweet Escapes , 1997
100 . 100
(. 1, 2).
1. Hershey
1895
Hershey
1907 Hershey Kisses
1908 Hershey Milk Chocolate Bar with Almonds
1911 5 . .
1925 Hershey Mr. Goodbar
1938 Hershey Krakel
1939 Hershey Miniatures
1945 {Milton Hershey) 88
1963 Hershey Candy Co., Reese's Peanut Butter Cups
2
489
. I.
1966
1968
1977
1986
1988
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1996
\ 2. !
(%)
Snickers
10,2
Reese's
& Peanut
& Plain
Kit Kat
Biitterfinger
Hershey Almond
Crunch
Milky Way
Hershey Milk
9,33
3
4
5
6
9
10
6,31
5,26
4,97
4,71
3,39
3,33
3,25
2,91
490
II.
. .
,
(. 3). , .
3.
( %)
1980
1990
2000 ()
0-1 7
46
38
33
18-34
22
23
24
35-45
20
24
26
46
12
15
17
491
Hershey, ,
, , , , .
, , , . Hershey
New Trail. , Y&S Candies,
Twizzlers Nibs, 1996 Leaf
North American, Hershey . Leaf
, , . , Hershey
Jolly Rancher Jellybeans, Jolly Rancher. Hershey
, , , , .
1. Internet , .
2. , Hugs. , .
3. Hugs. , ,
, , ?
4. , , , , . (, , ), ?
5. , .
6. ? ?
?
7. ?
?
8. , ? , ? ?
Sean Mehegan, "As Low-Cal Heats up, Candy Companies Tie in", Brandweek, March 10,1997, p. 12.
Hallie Forcinio, "Hershey's Strategies for Leaf, Candy Industry, August 1997, p. 8083,
Judann Pollack, "Sweet Escapes; KaUueRhyne", Advertising Age, June 30,1997, p. S37.
2.4.
.
. 1970- 20 ; 1990- 50. , . , , 2025 1980- 3040 1990- .
. 1981
492
II.
,
34%.
.
, ,
(. 13).
. .
.
, , . ,
30 60 , .
20-30- , , .
25 , 8 9% ,
, .
1. ,,
*
ft
(. .)
{%)
Vanilla Fields
Varttert*
20,7
3,4
16,2
2,7
White Diamonds
14,7
2,4
Joan Musk
13,5
2,3
Lady Stetson
13,3
2,2
JoiaiWhteMusk
12,6
2,1
Exctemafcn
12,6
2,1
Sand&Sate
11,6
1
10
VariaMusk
11,4
1,9
Private Label
10,6
1,8
; ( ),
(. .)
(%)
Old Spice
Skin Bracer
Gillette Series
8,8
12,8
6,2
5,4
9,0
7,9
7,7
Brut
5,3
Stetson
4,8
6,9
Jovan
2,8
4,1
Preferred Stock
2,7
3,9
Aspen
1,7
2,5
Drakar Noir
0,7
0,9
Polo
0,5
0,8
(%)
CkOne
Estee Lauder Pleasures
Estee Lauder Beautiful
3,3
2,6
Tommy
2,fi
,3
3,1
831
45 , .
. ,
, .
. , , , , . . 4 ,
,
. , . 1990- , , .
4.
73%
62%
Spice, Brut
Eau Savage
Tatiana, Giorgio
Jean Nate
, , . 2000 50 . 18-49
. Venetia Hands ofOgilvy and Mather : (Luckies),
50 64 , (Savvies), 64 .
, .
,
, . , , , . , , , , . -, Aramis,
,
, , . . 76% 20 30
494
II.
- . " ,
", Hen (David Nap), -
Aramis. . - .
. : , ,
, , . , .
, . , , ,
.
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.
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2. , .
3. ,
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4. ? .
5. .
6. ,
, (. 1). ? , ?
SueG. Phillips, "Separating the Winners from the Losers: How to Create a Winner in Today's Fragrance
Marathon", Drug & Cosmetic Industry, September, 1997, p. 4048.
Michael Sweeney, "Fragrances for the Millennium and Beyond", Drug & Cosmetic Industry, June,
1997, p. 42-46.
Pal Sloan, Aminda Heckman, "Fickle Mass Market Turns Cold Shoulder to Scents", Advertising
Age, September 30,1996, p. S12.
495
1. ,
, , .
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2. ?
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45
3. ?
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1525 . .
2535 . .
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__45 . .
4. ?
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5. /, ?
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_
6. ?
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7. , ?
Macy's J. . Penney Sears ___Sak's Fifth Avenue/Nieman-Marcus
1
8. , , .
1
2
3
9. , , .
1
2
3
10. .
I
2
3
4
11. , , .
I
2
3
4
5
12. .
1
2
3
4
5
13. .
1
2
3
4
5
14. , , .
1
2
3
4
5
15. .
1
2
3
4
16. .
1
2
3
496
II.
III
17. ?
18. ?
19. , , ?
20. , ?
, , .
.
2.5.
?
140 600 , , .
.
.
. 1993
30- 850 , 1997
1,2 . 1998 30- 1,3 . , XXXII 1998 , , , . , M&M/Mars ,
. , ,
.
, , "". Nissan, Porsche, fila MCI
. (Jack Trout),
- , . Nissan (Brad Bradshaw) , ,
, ,
- , .
, ,
. . , , , ,
, . ,
, .
"1984" Apple Computer .
,
,
. ,
. ,
. , , , .
497
.
, Purina Cot Chow, ,
, . ,
, .
, 40% .
? M&M/Mars
Purina Cat Chow? , .
1.
M&M/Mars ?
2. , ?
3. ?
4.
M&M/Mars ? ,
?
5.
, , ?
"Super Promos: Many Promotions Center on the Super Bowl, Which is Watched by 140 Mil Americans
and 600 Mil Other People around the World", Promo, January 1998, p. 32.
"More Bang for the Super Bowl Bucks: The Cost of Advertising During the Super Bowl Rose to $1.3 Mil
for a 30-second Spot, but Many Advertisers Were Still Willing to Meet the Cost, Especially If They Could
Extend Their Visibility Beyond the Commercial", Business Week, February 2,1998, p. 70.
" Super Bowl Ad Roster Missing Some Veterans: A Number of Past Super Bowl Advertisers Will Not Be Seen
During the Broadcast of the 1998 Game", USA Today, January 9,1998, p. 3B.
498
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1.
Reg Baker, "Nobody's Talking", Marketing Research A Magazine of Management & Applications,
Spring 1996, p. 11-A; "Study Tracks Trends in Refusal Rates", Quirk's Marketing Research Review,
August-September 1989, p. 16-18, 42-43.
2. Gale D. Muller, Jane Miller, "Interviewers Make the Difference", Marketing Research A Magazine of
Management & Application, Spring 1996, p. 89; "JDC Interviews Michael Redington", Journal of
Data Collection, Spring 1985, p. 2-6.
3. James H. Frey, Sabine M. Oishi, How to Conduct Interviews by Telephone and In Person (Thousand
Oaks, CA: Sage Publications, 1995).
4. Gale D. Muller, Jane Miller, "Interviewers Make the Difference", Marketing Research A Magazine of
Management & Applications, Spring 1996, p. 89; Jean Morton-Williams, Interviewer Approaches
(Brookfield: Ashgate Publishing Co, 1993).
5. Joseph A. Catina, Diane Bemson, Jesse Canchola, Lance M. Pollack et al, "Effects of Interviewer
Gender, Interviewer Choice, and Item Wording on Responses to Questions Concerning Sexual Behavior", Public Opinion Quarterly., Fall 1996, p. 345375; Philip B. Coulter, "Race of Interviewer
Effects on Telephone Interviews", Public Opinion Quarterly, Summer 1982, p. 278284; Eleanor
Singer, Martin R. Frankel, Marc B. Classman, "The Effect of Interviewer Characteristics and Expectations on Response", Public Opinion Quarterly, Spring 1983, p. 6883.
6. Darren W. Davis, "Nonrandom Measurement Error and Race of Interviewer Effects among African
Americans", Public Opinion Quarterly, Spring 1997, p. 183207; Raymond F. Barker, "A Demographic Profile of Marketing Research Interviewers", Journal of the Market Research Society (UK),
July 29, 1987, p. 279-292.
7. M.K. Kacmar, W.A. Hochwarter, "The Interview as a Communication Event A Field Examination
of Demographic Effects on Interview Outcomes", Journal of Business Communication, July 1995,
p. 207232; Martin Collins, Bob Butcher, "Interviewer and Clustering Effects in an Attitude Survey", Journal of the Market Research Society (UK), January 1983, p. 3958.
8. James H. Frey. Sabine M. Oishi, How to Conduct Interviews by Telephone and in Perwn (Thousand
Oaks, CA: Sage Publications. 1995); Bud Phillips, "The Four Faces of Interviewers", Journal of Data
Collection, Winter 1983, p. 35-40.
9. Pamela Kiecker, James E. Nelson, "Do Interviewers Follow Telephone Survey Instructions",
Journal of the Market Research Society^ April 1996, p, 161176; P.J. Guenzel, T.R. Berkmans,
C.F. Cannell, General Interviewing Techniques (Ann Arbor, MI: Institute for Social Research, 1983).
13.
517
10. Mick P Couper, "Survey Introductions and Data Quality", Public Opinion Quarterly, Summer 1997,
p. 317-338.
11. , Burke Marketing Research, Cincinnati.
12. "Market Research Industry Sets Up Interviewing Quality Standards", Management Auckland, March
1997, p. 12; "JDC Interviews Michael Redington", Journal of Data Collection, Spring 1985, p. 26.
13. Interviewer's Manual, rev. ed. (Ann Arbor, MI: Survey Research
Center, institute for Social Research, University of Michigan); PJ. Guenzel, T.R. Berkmans, C.F.
Cannell, General Interviewing Techniques (Ann Arbor, MI: Institute for Social Research).
14. . Interviewer's Manual, p. 1519; Michelle Marchetti, "Probing Customer Problems",
Sales & Marketing Management, March 1996, p. 46.
15. Interviewer's Manual, rev. ed. (Ann Arbor, MI: Survey Research Center, Institute for Social
Research, University of Michigan), p 16. Institute for Social
Research.
16. "Market Research Industry Sets Up Interviewing Quality Standards", Management-Auckland,
March 1997, p. 12; Jean Morton Williams, Wendy Sykes, "The Use of Interaction Coding and Follow up Interviews to Investigate Comprehension of Survey Questions", Journal of the Market
Research Society, April 1984, p. 109-127,
17. Robert F. Hurley, Jukka M. Laitamaki, "Total Quality Research Integrating Markets and the Organization", Call forma Management Review, Fall 1995, p. 5978; Martin Collins, Bob Butcher,
"Interviewer and Clustering Effects in an Attitude Survey", Journal of the Market Research Society
(UK), January 1983, p. 39-58.
18. Samuel Greengard, "50% of Your Employees Are Lying, Cheating & Stealing", Workforce, October
1997, p. 4453; Donald S. Tull, Larry E, Richards, "What Can Be Done about Interviewer Bias", in
Jagdish Sheth (ed.), Research in Marketing (Greenwich, CT: JAI Press, 1980), p. 143-162.
19. Elame D. Pulakos, Neal Schmitt, David Whitney, Matthew Smith, "Individual Differences in Interviewer Ratings. The Impact of Standardization. Consensus Discussion, and Sampling Error on the
Validity of a Structured Interview", Personnel Psychology, Spring 1996, p. 85102.
20. Jack Edmonston, "Why Response Rates Are Declining", Advertising Age's Business Marketing, September 1997, p.12,
21. Thomas T. Semon, "Select Local Talent When Conducting Research Abroad", Marketing News,
September 15, 1997, p. 28, Laurel Wentz, "Poll Europe Favors U.S. Products", Advertising Age,
September 23, 1991).
22. James E. Nelson, Pamela L. Kiecker, ''Marketing Research Interviewers and Their Perceived Necessity of Moral Compromise", Journal of Business Ethics, October 1996, p. 11071117.
23. Glen J. Nowak, Joseph Phelps, "Direct Marketing and the Use of Individual-Level Consumer Information Determining How and When Privacy Matters", Journal of Direct Marketing, Autumn
1997, p. 94-108.
518
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INTERNET
: SPSS (www.spss.com),
BMDP (www.usc, edu/ucs/userserv/statistics/bmdp), Minitab (www.rninitab.com)
Excel (207 . 68 .137 . 59/excel/ProductInfo/Brochure/) Internet-,
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547
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techniques)
(pairwise deletion)
(metric data)
(scale
transformation)
(multivariate
techniques)
(nonmetric data)
(consistency checks)
(standardization)
(missing responses)
(univariate techniques)
(editing)
(data cleaning)
(fixed field
codes)
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548
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INTERNET
1. , SPSS, SAS, BMDP, Minitab, Excel
() , , 2.
2. - , Ci3,
, 2.
. , . ?
14.
549
1. Kevin . Higgms, "Never Ending Journey", Marketing Management., Spring 1997, p. 47, Joann
Hamsthal, "Interviewer Tips", Applied Marketing Research, Fall 1988, p. 4245.
2.
3. Colin McDonald, "Linguistic Coding A New Solution to an Old Problem", Journal of the Market
Research Society, October 1996, p. 505-524, Philip S. Sidel, "Coding", in Robert Ferber (ed.),
Handbook of Marketing Research (New York: McGraw-Hill, 1974), p. 2.178-2.199.
4. Arlene Fink, How to Analyze Survey Data (Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications, 1995); Pamela L.
Alreck, Robert B. Settle, The Survey Research Handbook, 2nd ed. (Homewood, IL: Irwin Professional Publishing, 1994).
5.
Serge Luyens, "Coding Verbatims by Computer", Marketing Research A Magazine of Management &
Applications, Spring 1995, p. 20-25.
6.
7. Eric L. Einspruch, An Introductory Guide to SPSS for Windows (Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications, 1998); Paul E. Spector, SAS Programming for Researchers and Social Scientists (Thousand Oaks,
CA: Sage Publications, 1993); Mohamed Atzal Norat, "Software Reviews", Economic Journal: The
Journal of the Royal Economic Society, May 1997, p. 857882.
8. Vicki. A. Freedman, Douglas A. Wolf, "A Case Study on the Use of Multiple Imputation",
Demography, August 1995; p. 459470; Naresh K. Malhotra, "Analyzing Marketing Research Data
with Incomplete Information on the Dependent Variable", Journal of Marketing Research, February
1987, p. 74-84.
9. , .
10. All Kara, Chistine Nielsen, Sundeep Sahay, Nagaraj Sivasubramaniam, "Latent Information in the
Pattern of Missing Observations in Global Mail Surveys", Journal of Global Marketing, April 1994,
p. 103126; Naresh K, Malhotra, "Analyzing Marketing Research Data with Incomplete Information on the Dependent Variable", Journal of Marketing Research, February 1987, p. 7484.
11. . . Llan Yaniv, "Weighting and Trimming Heuristics for Aggregating Judgments under Uncertainty",
Organizational Behavior & Human Decision Processes, March 1997, p. 237239; Humphrey Taylor,
"The Very Different Methods Used to Conduct Telephone Surveys of the Public", Journal of the
Market Research Society, July 1997, p. 421-432.
12. Rajiv M. Rao, "Nielsen's Internet Survey: Does It Carry Any Weight" Fortune, March 18, 1996,
p. 24.
13. Arch G, Woodside, Robert L. Nielsen, Fred Walters, Gale D. Muller, "Preference Segmentation of
Health Care Services. The Old-Fashioneds, Value Conscious, Affluents, and Professional Want ItAlls", Journal of Health Care Marketing, June 1988, p. 1424, . Rama Jayanti,
"Affective Responses toward Service Providers Implications for Service Encounters", Health
Marketing Quarterly, January 1996, p, 4965.
14. Swift, "Preparing Numerical Data", in Roger Sapsford, Victor Jupp (eds.), Data Collection and
Analysis (Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications, 1996), Ronald E, Frank, "Use of Transformations", Journal of Marketing Research, August 1966, p, 247253.
15. Jacques Tacq, Multivanate Analysis Techniques in Social Science Research Analysis (Thousand Oaks,
CA: Sage Publications, 1996).
550
III. ,
16. Fred Davidson, Principles of Statistical Data Handling (Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications,
1996). . Naresh . Malhotra, "Modeling Store Choice Based on Censored Preference Data", Journal of Retailing, Summer 1986, p. 128144,
17. J. Douglass Carrol, Paul E. Green, "Psychometric Methods in Marketing Research Part II Multidimensional Scaling", Journal of Marketing Research, May 1997, p. 193204.
18. David Kilbum, "Haagen-Dazs Is Flavor of Month", Marketing Week, September 4, 1997, p. 30,
Mark Maremont, "They're All Screaming for Haagen Dazs", Business Week, October 14, 1991.
19. Pertti Alasuutan, Researching Culture (Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications, 1995); C.T. Tan,
J. McCulIough, J. Teoh, "An Individual Analysis Approach to Cross-Cultural Research", in Melanie
Wallendorf, Paul Anderson (eds,), Advance's in Consumer Research 14 (Provo, UT: Association for
Consumer Research, 1987): 394-7.
20. Association for Consumer Research, 1987, p. 394597 . , Lisa D. Spiller, Alexander J. Campbell, "The Use of International Direct Marketing by Small Businesses in Canada,
Mexico, and the United States A Comparative Analysis", Journal of Direct Marketing, Winter 1994,
p. 716; Mee-Kau Nyaw, Ignace Ng, "A Comparative Analysis of Ethical Beliefs A Four Country
Study", Journal of Business Ethics, July 1994, p. 543-556.
21. Dianna L. Newman, Robert D. Brown, Applied Ethics for Program Evaluation Analysis (Thousand
Oaks, CA: Sage Publications, 1996); G.M. Zmkhan, M. Bisesi, M.J. Saxton, "MBA's Changing
Attitudes toward Marketing Dilemmas 1981-1987", Journal of Business Ethics, August 1989,
p. 963-974.
14.
551
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500
500
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45
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500
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INTERNET
1.
1. Chow-Hou Wee, Mei-Lan Choong, Siok-Kuan Tambyah, "Sex Role Portrayal in Television Advertising", International Marketing Review, January 1995, p. 49-64; . Gilly, "Sex Roles in Advertising: A Comparison of Television Advertisements in Australia, Mexico and the United States",
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3. Saviour L.S. Nwacukwu, Scott. J. Vitell, Jr., Faye W. Gilbert, James H. Barnes, "Ethics and Social
Responsibility in Marketing: An Examination of the Ethical Evaluation of Advertising Strategies",
Journal of Business Research, June 1997, p. 10718; Shelby D. Hunt, Lawrence B. Chonko, "Ethical
Problems of Advertising Agency Executives", Journal of Advertising, Fall 1994,p. 1624.
4. , Mary Jo Bitner, Bernard H.
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Marketing, October 1994, p. 95-106.
5. . , ,
Mark L. Berenson, David M. Levine, Basic Business Statistics: Concepts and Applications, 6th ed.
(Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice Hall, 1996).
6.
.
7. Thomas T. Semon, "Let's Hear It for Disaggregate Analysis", Marketing News, March 25, 1996,
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8. Lawrence F. Feick, "Analyzing Marketing Research Data with Association Models", Journal of
Marketing Research, November 1984, p. 376-386. . Wagner
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Distribution (New York: John Wiley, 1969).
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12. Mark L. Berenson, David M. Levine, Basic Business Statistics: Concepts and Applications, 6th ed.
(Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice Hall, 1996):
13. - . , . ., , John E, Overall, "Power of
Chi-Square Tests for 2 x 2 Contingency Tables with Small Expected Frequencies", Psychological
Bulletin, January 1980, p, 132-135.
14. "", . . L.A. Goodman,
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15. Rohit Verma, John C. Goodale, "Statistical Power in Operations Management Research", Journal of
Operations Management, August 1995, p. 139152.
16. . ,
.
17. , , - (Behrens-Fisher).
,
18. Anne L. Balazs, "Positioning the Retail Shopping Center for Aging Customers", Stores, April 1995,
p. RR10RR11; James R. Lumpkin, James B. Hunt, "Mobility as an Influence on Retail Patronage
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Winter 1989, p. 1-12.
19. Eleflheria Parpis, "Playing for the Ring", Adweek (Eastern Edition), January 19, 1998, p. 2931;
Larry Dunst, "Is It Possible to Get Creative in 15 Seconds?", Advertising Age, November 29, 1993,
p. 18; Jerry A. Rosenblatt, Janett Mainprize, "The History and Future of 15-Second Commercials:
An Empirical Investigation of the Perception of Ad Agency Media Directors", in William Lazer, Eric
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Y.K. Cheung, J.H. Klotz, "The Mann-Whitney-Wilcoxon Distribution Using linked
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23. t - "-" 2x2 .
: #:.< = >.<<,+ ; -2). -
, , / - - .
24. James R, Crum, Pradeep A. Rau, Stephen K. Reiser, 'The Marketing Research Process: Role Perceptions of Researches and Users", Journal of Advertising Research, DecemberJanuary 1988, p. 9
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27. Eric L. Einspruch, An Introductory Guide to SPSS for Windows (Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications, 1993); Paul E. Spector, SAS Programming for Researchers and Social Scientists (Thousand Oaks,
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1995); G.R. Laczniak, E. Murphy, "Foresting Ethical Marketing Decisions", Journal of Business
Ethics, October 1991, p. 259-271.
15. , 603
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y
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=106,067
^^= ( - 8,3)2 + (9 - 8,3)2 + (10 - 8,3)2 + (8 - 8,3)2 + (9 - 8,3): + (8 - 8,3)2 + (9 - 8,3)2 +
+(7 - 8,3)2 + (7 - 8.3)2 + (6 - 8,3)2 + (8 - 6,2)2 + (8 - 6,2)2 + (7 - 6,2)2 + (9 - 6,2)2 +
+(6 - 6,2)2 + (4 - 6,2)2 + (5 - 6,2)2 + (5 - 6,2): + (6 - 6,2)2 + (4 - 6,2)2 + (5 - 3,7)2 +
+(7 - 3,7)2 + (6 - 3,7)2 + (4 - 3,7)2 + (5 - 3,7)2 + (2 - 3,7)2 + (3 - 3,7)2 + (2 - 3,7)2 +
+(1 - 3,7)2 + (2 - 3,7)2 = (1,7)2 + (0,7)2 + (1,7) +( -0,3)2 + (0,7)2 + (~0,3)2 + (0,7)2 +
+(-1,3)2 + (-1.3)2 + (-2,3)2 + (1,8)2 + (1,8)2 + (0,8)2 + (2,8)2 + (-0,2)2 + <-2,2)2 + (-1.2)1 +
+(-1,2)2 + (-0,2)2+ (-2,2)+ (1,3)2+ (3,3)2+ (2,3)2+ (0,3)2+ (1,3)2+ (- 1,7)2+ (- 0,7)2 +
+(- 1,7)2+ (- 2,7)2+ (- 1,7)2= 79,80
,
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185,867=106,067 + 79,80
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, 57,1% () , . .
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= 106,067 + 53,333 = 159,400). (2 + 1) = 3.
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MS-quf 3,267/2 = 1,633.
, = 106,067 + 52,333 + 3,267 = 162,667 2 + 1 + 2 = 5 , ,
162,667/5 = 32,533. ,
. 16.4. , :
SSoulu6KU = 23,2c (30 3 x 2 ) 24 , $= 0,967.
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1
40
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Industrial Engineering, October 1996, p. 265-268; Richard K. Burdick, "Statement of Hypotheses in
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2
16.
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III. ,
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17.
641
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(
) , , Y. , , . , X Y, ..
" Y.
(product moment correlation r)
, .
(Karl Pearson),
. , , ,
, , ,
:
( ~ 1) :
(X,-X)(Y,-Y)
-
-1
(X,-X)(Y,-Y)
-1
~\
=
-1
covv
sxsr
X X , Sx Sy
. COV^ (covariance) X Y, Y.
642
III. ,
(covariance)
,
(COVxy).
, . SxSy , 1 1. , , .
, , . 11 (1 , 11 ),
, . 12 . 17.1.
.
\ 17.1
i
10
12
11
12
10
12
11
11
18
10
10
11
17
12
'
12
- (6 + 9+8 + 3 + 10 + 4 + 5 + 2 + 11 + 9 + 10 + 2)
Y=
= 6,583
12
17.
643
=
--
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ssy
_ - _
, * , . , 2 .
, , X. , , . ,
. , = 0 X Y. , " . , (. 17.1).
, , (). . , , X , . , . ,
,
. [3].
644
III. ,
-3
. 17. 1. , ~0
,
, . :
, , :
-2
\-2
/- 2 [4]. , , . 17.1, /- :
I = 0.9361
12-2
2
1-(0,9361)
12 2 = 10. /- (. 4
) t- = 0,05 2,228. , .
,
. , ,
.
.
, . , . 1,00, . , .
Vt 5 :
17.
645
V,
Vg
V9
V<
V5
V,
Vi
0,5
V,
0,3
0,4
V4
0,1
0,3
0,6
Vs
0,2
0,5
0,3
0,7
,
. .
,
,
(partial correlation coefficient) ()
.
(partial correlation coefficient)
(, ) .
,
,
( )?
, ?
,
?
, X
Y, Z. , Zn3 X. X Z, X, Z.
X X, X. Y, , ^.. , , ,
.
, ,
Y, ,
, , , 2. . 17.1.
646
III. ,
:
| =0,9361,
rv), =0,7334,
1], =0,5495
:
0,9361-(0,5495)(0,7334)
. = .
V
V =0,9386
1
^1-(0,5495)'>/1-(0,7334)
, , ,
.
,
, (). , . ^ ,
Z,
..
. ( + /)-
, - .
(, 15). ' / , ' Z, ( ) Y. X Y , Z , ()
(), = 0,28. , , . , . , (), rhi = 0,48,
, rch =
0,56. ,
, .
, , . ,
rclll = 0,02,
, . ,
. ,
, ,
(. 15) [5].
(part correlation coefficient). YH X, X, Y.
(part correlation coefficient)
Y X,
X ( Y).
ry(3S} :
_ ~ Wp
(1|
17.
647
, , :
0,9361-(0,5495){0,7334)
r.-*!
=, - ^ = 0,63806
vu
0
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, .
.
. , , , . ,
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.
. , , .
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Shopping Budapest, ,
[6].
. ,
. ,
(nonmetric correlation): . (Spearmen1
rho ps) (Kendall's tau ).
(nonmetric correlation)
,
.
, , , , . 1 +1 (. 15).
648
III. ,
, ,
. , . ,
, . , ,
( ). , ,
( ) [7].
, , .
(regression analysis)
.
(regression analysis)
.
.
1. ; ?
2. : ?
3. : , .
4. .
5.
.
, .
,
() . - .
, - . , .
(bivariate regression) (
) ()
(). . , ,
.
17.
649
(bivariate regression)
( ) : .
, , .
?
,
?
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?
,
.
,
, ,
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Y~ , X , ,
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1
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2
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0 1 , X.
() Y. Y, = + ,
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. .
( ). , ( ), .
, SEE .
. ,
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650
III. ,
(-, /- 2 , , X
: , = 0, / = %.-. .
, ,
. 17.2.
SHE
!
. 17.2.
, , (. . 17.1). ,
,
. , .
,
17.
651
. . ( ) ^( ) . 17.3.
I
2,25
J
4,5
6,75
11,25 13,5
15,75
18
. 17.3. :
,
. :
. , X
.
"" , ?
(least-squares procedure).
(least-squares procedure)
, , .
,
.
. , . (. 17.4)
,
, ^ef .
. , X , . 17.4,
X, . , X , ,
.
652
III. ,
^ '
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I
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"3
l
Y
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.
V
"5
Puc. 17.4.
:
Y , , X , ,
, , OY, ( ).
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Y.
. , , . :
,~ , 1- [8].
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, ft, , (), :
Y, = + ,
Y, Y, , , /3,, ,
.
" . [9].
" Y(COV^) X :
COV^ _
=
-- "- ---
17.
653
, OY , :
=-
. 17.1 :
;=i
2
2
2
2
3
2
+ 8 + 2 + 18 + 9 + 17 + 2 = 1 350
, ,
:
~
_ =9,333
Y =6,583
= 12, ;
917-(12)(9.333)(83)
1350-(12)(9,333)
(standartization) , , , , 1 ( 14). , , OY, 0. "" " "-. YnoX, , " Y, Byv , ()
Y;
= *V = '
, . 17.2, "" -
0,9361.
654
III. ,
17.2.
0,93608
R2
0,87624
0,86387
1,22329
105,95222
105,95222
10
14,96444
1,49644
F = 70,80266 F 0,000
0,58972
0,07008
0,93608
8,414
0,0000
()
0,74335
1,452
0,1772
1,07932
, .
" ,
:
JSfcft-O
,: *
, . . , X , , . . / 2 ,
~SEb
SEh ,
b [10]. (- 15.
( SPSS) . 17.1, ,
. 17.2. , OY, 1,0793,
( ) b 0,5897. , ()
( Y ) = 1,0793 + 0,5897 ( )
, b 0,07008, / : / = 0,5897/0,0701 = 8,414 - 2 = 10 . . 4 , ^- 10
= 0,05 2,228 . /- , .
,
.
, ( ). ,
, .
17.
655
2
Yvi X. . 2
2
i . 0 1. Y,
, Y
( 16). . 17.5, SSy
, , SSpeipecctta,
, SSouai6KU SS''
a
1 ./ ,
SSres
1 ,
J
S5
r.g
. 17.5
SSy
;
2 _ -
SS,.
2,
.
,
;
(Y.) = 1,0793 + 0,5897 ( )
. 17.1
656
III. ,
2=
*- 5^ ~^)
6 9763
<'
SS,
onz
120,9168
= ./2
X Y
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, , /-"-:
SS
/in -2)
F- 1 - 2 , /-"- /- (. 15). /- - , t2 F- 1
- . , /-"-
:
/4: /=0
,:/0
. 17.2 ,
105
.
= (105.9522 + 14,9644)
. /-"- :
F. - ^^ _ = 70,8027
(105,9522 + 14,9644)
1 10 , /'- , 4,96 ( . 5 ). , -
17.
657
= 0,05, /-. ,
Y, ", .
() ,
SEE.
:
?^
*
rt-2
, , k
SEE
Y, [11].
. / X, 0,
. ,
Y=a+bX0
,
SEE.
SEEI-fn , SEE. ,
(. 12) , .
. 17.2 SEE
/14^9644
SEE= '
=1,22329
\(12-2)
, , , ,
, .
(. 17.4)
.
1. ( ) . X [12].
2. , X, .
3. 0.
4. . , X.
5. . ,
.
658
III. ,
. ,
, ,
[13].
(multiple regression)
.
(multiple regression)
,
, .
, , , . .
,
?
,
?
,
?
.
,
?
?
, ,
?
.
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Partners , , , , . , Coca-Cola .
Perrier. , Clausthaler. Coca-Cola,
Coca-Cola.
?
? ,
1 ,
.
I ,
17.
659
,
,
/-. ,
[14].
(multiple regression model) :
= a+b,X,+b2X2+b3X3+...btXt
, , OY, . , , SSKai_. Y
. , , . , [15].
,
, . .
R2. R2
, . .
R2.
,
.
/'-. , R'cot. .
: ( = fi, = fl2 =/?,... = /3t = 0. ,
, /''- k ( k 1) .
F-. -, , /^. , { .
. ,
Y X, , 2 Xk .
660
III. ,
, , . , , .
, :
Y = +,2+22
-, , , , .
, ,
, X,. , X, 2 . 2 ,
Y, X, 2, X,. .
, ,
, ^ , ,^ , ..
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, . ,
2,. , X, X? , { = + 2 = (X, 1).
, , Y = + . , ,
X,. 2 .
k . , , X,
, 2 Xk .
X, 2 ^.
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, ;
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17.
661
, OY,
,
. , . ,
, k;
.
,
, . , 12 ,
, . 17.1.
. 17.3. X,
( ), 0,4811, , . ""- 0,7636. 2 ( ) 0,2887 ""-,
, 0,3138.
:
(Y ) = 0,33732 + 0,48108 X, + 0,28865 2
0,97210
0,94498
R2
0,93276
0,65974
114,26425
57,13213
6,65241
0,73916
F = 77,29364 F = 0,0000
Su
0,28865
0,08608
0,31382
3,353
0,0085
0,48108
0,05895
0,76363
8,160
0,0000
()
0,33732
0,56736
0,595
0,5668
,
.
662
III. ,
,
. ( ) :
, , 2
R
R Y Y .
2
R*. R ,
2
2
. R , . 2
( ), R
2
. R . ,
[16]. R2
, :
*(!-**)
R = R -- s - n-k-l
, . 17.3, R2
"4.2643
(114,2643 + 6,6524)
, 1, 0,8762, . 2 . R2,
, , ( 0,5379),
:
0,9450-2(1,0-0,9450)
R~ = - * - - = 0,932
12-2-1
, R2
R2\\ , . , -
17.
663
, .
.
,
'' :
, F9? _ //t
J.J
=
R2lk
~ (\~R ]/(n~k-\Y
2
/- k ( k 1) [17].
. 17.3
f = 114.2643/2
6,6524/9
= 0,05.
,
, . , , .
, , .. t.
, = * = 0.2887 = ;
SE,,
0,08608
/- ( k 1) . = 0,05. , , . , : , .
7- , /^.
55^ , .
,
. ,
, .5^ [18]. PL , F- :
/"- 1 ( k 1) .
R2 ,
.
664
III, ,
, (residual) Y, , ,.
, (residual)
YI ,
Y t .
,
. ,
Y,, [19].
,
. , .
, ,
1 SE 2 SE. (68% 95% ). , .
,
Y,. ,
. . 17.6 ,
Y t .
Y
. 17.6. , ,
, .
, . , . 17.7, .
[20].
, . .
17.
665
.
, .
, , . - , , ,
.
. ,
,
. . 17.8 , ,
.
. 17.7. ,
,
, ,
. , ,
, ,
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. ""
, ,
. , ,
.
,
(.), , , , , :
= 0 + ,() + 2() + 3(% . . )
+ 4 ( ) + 5 (% .) + ( )
( .)
( )
( 000)
% . %
666
III. ,
% . %
( .)
,
, . 1. ( < 0,05): , .
2
1
(R = 0,51; R = 0,48). : , . ,
, .
1.
:
:
SE
0,0084
0,0017
23,04*
-0,4180
0,1372
9,29*
0,0067
0,0016
18,46*
0,13-04"
0,0000
0,59
0,0227
0,0092
0,01
0,1070
0,0412
0,07
df = 9,93
F- = 16,19*
<0,05
" -
, ,
.
: , .
, ,
, . ,
1 [21].
(stepwise regression) ,
.
(stepwise regression)
, .
17.
667
. 17.8. ,
.
[22].
,
1.
( ). . , F. .
2. .
. ,
F- .
3. . , .
R2 [23]. -
, .
, ,
. ,
, , .
. ? , .
,
(browsers), : , ; . , (browsing index). , , , ,
, .
, 20 36 , . , , .
668
III. ,
( - )
, SE
(0 - , 1 -)
- 0,485
0,164
0,001
(0 - )
0,391
0,182
0,003
( )
- 0,151
0,128
0,234
0,079
0,072
271
0,028
0,144
0,024
0,107
0,008
-0,063
? ( - ) 0,232
- 0,182
0,069
0,089
0,061
0,144
- 0,130
0,059
0,028
0,162
0,084
0,054
- 0,122
0,090
0,174
-0,147
0,065
0,024
- 0,069
0,069
0,317
- 0,086
0,062
0,165
- 0,143
0,099
0,150
0,036
0,069
0,603
- 0,068
0,043
0,150
0,209
0,152
0,167
- 0,055
0,067
0,412
-0,070
0,089
0,435
3,250
R2 = 0,477
,
( ), , .
.
,
, , ,
. , ,
, . - |
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1 [24].
.
. (multicollmearity) , [25].
17.
669
(multicollinearity)
,
, .
1. . .
2.
.
3. ,
4.
.
, ,
.
, [26].
. , , , ,
( 19). , ,
[27].
. . , [28]? ,
- [29]. , .
1. . , F-,
. , ,
.
2. . 2 ,
.
3. . ,.1&
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4. .
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.
5. , "". ""- IJ3J P2j. , "" . -
670
III. ,
( ), .
6. . .
, , ,
, , . , ,
( ) |30]. ,
.
-
, . ,
. , , .
- , , . (cross-validation) ,
,
.
(cross-validation)
, , , .
, , .
1. , .
2. : . 50 90% .
3. , .
, , .
4.
, .
5. ^ ,
, 2.
R2 R1 ,
.
.
(double cross-validation) .
(double cross-validation)
, . , - . ,
.
17.
671
, .
[31].
,
,
.
() , . 14. ,
(, , , ) : D}, D2, D}, ,
0,
D3
0
0
, , D,, D2 D3 .
:
Y. = a + bjD, + ^2 + b3D}
" "
. , Db D2 />3 ,
Y, =
= 1 D2 = D3 = 0
Y, = +,
, ,
, . 2 3 . '' " ,
[32].
. ,
672
III, ,
.
. , ,
.
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a + ,
+ ?
+
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+
+
,
AN OVA [33].
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2
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, , , - () 1 , . , ,
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. 17.1
" " , 17.2 " " , .
17.1.
. ,
,
.
, , , : , ,
, , , . , , . , ( ), , , .
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17.
673
.
, , , . , ,
.
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International Malaysian Airline systems
Asia Plus, .
,
. Asia Plus
,
. , [34).
17.2.
. ,
, , , , , , ,
,
. ,
, , . . : ; ; ,
, .
. ,
. :
, , [35].
INTERNET
. SPSS CORRELATIONS
, PARTIAL CORR NONPAR
CORR .
SAS CORR
, , . BMDP
PSD , P3S , P6R . Minitab , Stat>Basic>Corre]ation. .
Excel Tools>Data analysis>Corre]ation.
Correlation Worksheet Function, .
674
III. ,
SPSS
REGRESSION
, .
. ,
PLOT, .
SAS
REG ,
.
.
. ORTHOREG ,
GLM
, .
NLIN , .
BMDP
P1R .
. P2R
.
, , . P9R . "" ,
.
P4R , .
Mini tab
Stats>Regression ,
. , R2, 2, ANOVA, , . : , ,
.
Excel
Tools>Data analysis. ,
ANOVA, , , , -' . , , , , .
" 17.1",
, , . SPSS REGRESSION. SAS REG.
, RSREG, ORTHOREG, GLM
17.
675
NLIN, , ,
REG SAS. BMDP
PI R, a P2R . P9R P4R . Minibab Stats>Regression , ,
. Excel Tools>Data analysis [36].
Burke
,
. , Burke, . ,
" "
( , , , , ). d,
: 1 , 0 - .
XI
2
4
6
4
2'
3
4
5
5
6
90%- . .
0
- - F-
-
me ft2
-
*
0,872
0,761
0,737
0,9131
0,761
31,876
0,915
0,837
0,800
07964,
0,075
4,146
F-
10
0,000
0,072
: (),
: (), ,
: ( )
676
III. ,
1.()
2.()
1,533
0,871
-1,208
1,375
1,958
0,601
0,154
1,445
0,282
0,962
ft
?*.
2,551
0,872 5,646
-0,836
1,377 4,883
0,574 2,036
0,029
0,000
0,425
0,001
0,072
0,194
0,528
-4,477
0,738
-0,217
2,873
1,215
2,060
2,012
4,134
0,872
0,872
0,872
0,872
-0,635
0,852
0,562
0,658
0,274
. : ( )
"
0,574
2,036
0,072
0,562
0,229
: (]. ()
b : ( )
:
Y= - 1,2083 + 1,375 (X,) + 1,9583 (D,)
, D; , 1, D[ = 0,
. D, = 1, .
. , , , .
Y = - 1,2083 + 1,375 (X,)
, ,
Y( ) 1,9583. , (, 1,2083 + 1,9583 = 0,75). , .
Y = 0,7500 + 1,375 (Xj)
( , , DJ),
.
? , , ,
, .. ,
. ,
.
.
, :
Y - - 1,2083 + 1,375 (X,) + 1,9583 (D,)
, .
17.
677
( ) .
2 , .
.
,
. .
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,
Y, .
( ) . , Y, X,
, 2 Xk .
R2. F-. , F- . , ; , ,
.
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. , , . .
. .
F- (F-test)
^- (/-statistic)
, , (estimated, predicted value)
(double
cross-validation)
678
(covariance)
(coefficient of
determination)
*
(coefficient of multiple determination)
(regression
coefficient)
(leastsquares procedure)
III. ,
(multiple
regression)
(scattergram)
(multiple regression model)
(regression analysis)
()
(nonmetric
correlation)
(standardized regression coefficient)
, (residual)
(bivariate
regression model)
(bivariate regression)
(product moment correlation, r)
(cross-validation)
(stepwise regression)
2
/^(adjusted R )
(standard error)
(standard error of estimate)
(sum of squared
errors)
(part correlation coefficient)
F- (partial f-test)
(partial correlation coefficient)
(partial
regression coefficient)
1. ? , 0, ?
2. ?
3. ?
4.
5.
6.
7.
?
.
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8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
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17. . .
18. (ANOVA).
17.
679
1. , , . 15 ( 100)
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.
d) .
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100),
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2
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1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
3
10
95
92
103
115
77
79
105
94
85
101
106
98
94
110
125
82
84
112
99
93
107
114
12
120
132
13
14
15
118
75
99
129
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105
2. , 14 : , . 11 , , .
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INTERNET
1. (SPSS, SAS, BMDP, Minitab
Excel) ;
a) 1
b) 2.
1. Jennifer Zajac, "Avon's Finally Glowing Thanks to Global Sales and New Lip-Shtic", Money,
September 1997, p. 60; Cyndee Miller, "Computer Modelling Rings the Right Bell for Avon",
Marketing News, May 9, 1988, p. 14.
17.
681
2. Lauren Freedman, "Brand Names Will Bring New Velocity to Qn-Line Sales", Discount Store News,
August 18, 1997, p, 12; Pradeep K. Korgaonkar, Allen E, Smith, "Shopping Orientation, Demo1
graphic and Media Preference Correlates of Electronic Shopping' , in Kenneth D. Bahn (ed.),
Development in Marketing Science, vol. 11 (Blacksburg, VA: Academy of Marketing Science, 1988),
p. 52-5.
3. N.R. Draper, H. Smith, Applied Regression Analysis, 3rd ed. (New York, NY: John Wiley, 1988);
Michael E. Doherty, James A. Sullivan, "rho = p". Organisational Behavior & Human Decision
Processes, February 1989, p. 136144; W.S. Martin, "Effects of Scaling on the Correlation Coefficient: Additional Considerations", Journal of Marketing Research, May 1978, p. 304308; K.A. Bo]len, K.H. Barb, "Pearson's R and Coarsely Categorized Measures", American Sociological Review 46
(1981), p. 232-239.
4. Jacques Tacq, Multivariate Analysis Techniques in Social Science Research (Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage
Publications, 1997); John Neter, William Wasserman, Michael J. Kutner, Applied Linear Statistical
Methods, 3rded. (Burr Ridge, IL: Richard D. Irwin, 1990), p. 501-503.
5. ,
.
6. "Bates Saatchi & Saatchi, Budapest: Accounting for Change", Accountancy, August 1995, p. 31; Ken
Kasriel, "Hungary's Million-Dollar Slap", Advertising Age, June 8, 1992.
7. ,
. . Marjorie A. Pett, Nonparametric Statistics for Health Care Research
(Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications, 1997); Sidney Siegel, N.J. Castellan, Nonparametric
Statistics, 2nded. (New York: McGraw-Hill, 1988).
8.
,
.
, . Eugene Canjels, Mark W. Watson,
"Estimating Deterministic Trends in the Presence of Serially Correlated Errors", Review of Economics
and Statistics, May 1997, p. 184-200.
662
III. ,
71
entationofthe Firm and New Product Performance , Journal of Marketing Research, February 1997,
p. 77-90; Nirmalya Kumar, Lisa K. Scheer, Jan-Benedict E.M. Steenkamp, "The Effects of Supplier Fairness on Vulnerable Resellers", Journal of Marketing Research, February 1995, p, 5465.
2
16. R , . R- .
2
R . "Ethics and Target Marketing: The Role of Product Harm and
Consumer Vulnerability", Journal of Marketing, January 1997, p. 1-20; Morris A. Cohen, Jehoshua
Eliashberg, Teck H. Ho, "An Anatomy and Launching Line Extensions", Journal of Marketing
Research, February 1997, p. 117-129.
17. 0, R~ F
.
18. ,
, .
19. .. Atkinson, S.J. Koopman, N. Shepard, "Detecting Shocks: Outliers and Breaks in Time Series",
Journal of Econometrics, October 1997, p. 387422; George C.S. Wang, Charles K. Akaby,
"Autocorrelation: Problems and Solutions in Regression Modelling", Journal of Business Forecasting
Methods & Systems, Winter 1994/1995, p. 1826; David Balseley, Conditioning Diagnostics:
Collinearity and Weak Data in Regression (New York, NY: John Wiley, 1980); David Balseley, Edwin
Kuh, Roy E. Walsh, Regression Diagnostics (New York, NY: John Wiley, 1980).
20. .
., , : Hiroyuki Hisamatsu, Koichi Maekawa, "The Distribution of the Durbin
Watson Statistic in Integrated and Near-Integrated Models", Journal of Econometrics, April 1994,
p. 367382; N.R. Draper, H. Smith, Applied Regression Analysis, 3rd ed. (New York, NY: John
Wiley, 1998).
21. Helen Berman, "Selling the Advertising 1 Show Partnership", Folio: The Magazine for
Magazine Management (Special Sourcebook Issue for 1997 Supplement), p. 214-215; Lawrence
Sotey, R. Krishnan, "Does Advertising Subsidize Consumer Magazine Prices?", Journal of
Advertising, Spring 1987, p. 4-9.
22. John Fox, Applied Regression Analysis, Linear Models and Related Methods (Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage
Publications, 1997); Shelby H, Mclntyre, David B. Montgomery, V. Srinivasan, Barton A. Weitz,
"Evaluating the Statistical Significance of Models Developed by Stepwise Regression", Journal of
Marketing Research, February 1983, p. 1-11,
23. . Christopher D.
Ittner, David F. Larcker, "Product Development Cycle Time and Organisational Performance",
Journal of Marketing Research, February 1997, p. 13-23; Michael Laroche, Robert Sadokierski,
"Role of Confidence in a Multi-Brand Model of Intentions for a High-Involvement Service", Journal
of Business Research, January 1994, p. 1-12.
24. Diane Crispell, "Hispanics at the Mall", American Demographics, October 1997, p, 35-36; Glen R.
Jarboe, Carl D. McDaniel, "A Profile of Browsers in Regional Shopping Malls", Journal of the
Academy of Marketing Science, Spring 1987, p. 4653.
25. Edward Greenberg, Robert Parks, "A Predictive Approach to Model Selection and Multicollinearity", Journal of Applied Econometrics, January-February 1997, p. 6775; Chezy Ofir, Andre Khuri,
"Multicollinearity in Marketing Models: Diagnostics and Remedial Measures", International Journal
of Research in Marketing, March 1986, p. 181-205.
26. George C.S. Wang, "How to Handle MuHicollinearity in Regression Modelling", Journal of Business Forecasting Methods & Systems, Spring 1996,
p. 2327; Charlotte H. Mason, William D. Perreault, Jr., "Collinearity, Power, and Interpretation of
Multiple Regression Analysis", Journal of Marketing Research, August 1991, p. 268-280; R.R.
17,
683
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INTERNET
SPSS DISCRIMINANT . . , .
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708
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/"- (/'-values
and their significance)
(analysis sample)
(grouped means)
(group standard deviations)
(two-group discriminant analysis)
(discriminant score)
(canonical correlation)
(discriminant
function)
(classification matrix)
(discriminant
analysis)
1 {Wilks's 1)
18.
(hit ratio)
711
(stepwise discriminant analysis)
(Mahalanobis procedure)
(validation sample)
() (eigenvalue)
(discriminant analysis model)
(structure correlations)
(territorial map)
(total
correlation matrix)
(direct method)
(characteristic profile)
(centroid)
(pooled within-group
correlation matrix)
1. ?
2.
3. .
4. .
5. ?
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36
INTERNET
1. ,
. 18.2 18.3, SPSS, SAS, BMDP Minitab. , .
,
2. , . 18.2 18.3, SPSS, SAS, BMDP Minitab.
. 18.5 .
18
, G , / = 1, 2, 3, ... , G, ni , ^ ..., Xk. :
N
Wt ('- ;
W ;
;
N (= W + );
X-t = /- ;
18.
713
X - N ;
;
.
W- W, + W2 + W3 + ... + WG
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', b,Wb .
() , , . ,
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= b\Wb
, :
, W :
^',
. , . , (G 1) k ,
. . ,
. , ..
1. Donald R. Lichtenstein, Scot Burton, Richard G. Netemeyer, "An Examination of Deal Proneness
across Sales Promotion Types: A Consumer Segmentation Perspective", Journal of Retailing, Summer
1997, p. 283297; Marvin A, Jolson, Joshua L. Wiener, Richard B. Rosecky, "Correlates of Rebate
Proneness", Journal of Advertising Research, February March 19S7, p. 3343.
2. Jacques Tacq,
Afultivariate Analysis Techniques in Social Science Research (Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications,
1996); A. Lachenbruch, Discriminant Analysis (New York, NY: Hafner Press, 1975). . Ken Deal, ''Determining Success Criteria for Financial Products: A
Comparative Analysis of CART, Logit and Factor/Discriminant Analysis", Service Industries
Journal, July 1997, p. 489-506.
3. Richard A. Johnson, Dean W. Wichern, Applied Muitivariate Statistical Analysis, 4th ed. (Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice Hall, 1998); W.R. Klecka, Discriminant Analysis (Beverly Hills, CA: Sage
Publications, 1980). . Steven A. Sinclair, Edward C. Stalling, "How to Identify
Differences between Market Segments with Attribute Analysis", Industrial Marketing Management,
February 1990, p. 31-40.
714
III. ,
18.
715
16. Richard A. Johnson, Dean A. Wichern, Applied Multivariate Statistical Analysis, 4th ed. (Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice Hall, 1998) Joseph F. Hair, Jr., Ralph E. Anderson, Ronald L. Tatham, William C. Black, Multivariate Data Analysis with Reading?, 5th ed. (Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice
Hall, 1999), p. 178-255.
17. Jeryl Whitelock, Carole Roberts, Jonathan Blakeley, "The Reality of the Eurobrand: An Empirical
Analysis", Journal of International Marketing, March 1995, p. 7795; Charlotte Klopp, John Starlicchi, "Customer Satisfaction Just Catching on in Europe", Marketing News , May 28, 1990, p. 5.
18. David J. Fritzsche, "Personal Values: Potential Keys to Ethical Decision Making", Journal of
Business Ethics, November 1995, p. 909-922; Paul R. Murphy, Jonathan E. Smith, James M. Daley,
"Executive Attitudes, Organizational Size, and Ethical Issues: Perspectives on a Service Industry",
Journal of Business Ethics, November 1992, p. 1119.
19. Erie L. Einspruch, An Introductory Guide to SPSS for Windows (Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications, 1998); Paul E. Spector, SAS Programming for Researchers and Social Scientists (Thousand Oaks,
CA: Sage Publications, 1993); Mohamed Adzal Norat, "Software Reviews", Economic Journal: The
Joumalofthe Royal Economic Society, May 1997, p. 857882; Charles Seiter, "The Statistical Difference", Macworld, October 1993, p. 116121.
716
III. ,
19
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5,00
2,00
3,00
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4,00
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7,00
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4,00
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6,00
7,00
3,00
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3,00
2,00
2,00
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6,00
7,00
3,00
4,00
4,00
200
500
5,00
2,00
3,00
3,00
4,00
3,00
3,00
3,00
4.00
3,00
6,00
4,00
2
3
4
5
6
7
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
6,00
2,00
7,00
4,00
1,00
6,00
5,00
7,00
2,00
3,00
1,00
22
5,00
23
2,00
4,00
6,00
3,00
4,00
3,00
4,00
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
722
2,00
3,00
2,00
6,00
3,00
4,00
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0,572
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-- - 0,660
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0,723
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1,000
0,894
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1,000
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2,731
45,520
45,520
2,218
36,969
82,488
0,442
7,360
89,848
0,341
5,688
95,536
0,183
3,044
98,580
0,085
1,420
100,000
2,731
45,520
45,520
2,218
36,969
82,488
0,928
0,253
1/2
-0,301
0,795
1/
0,936
0,131
1/4
- 0,342
0,789
1/5
- 0,869
-0,351
1/6
-0,177
0,871
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2,688
44,802
44,802
2,261
37,687
82,488
724
III. ,
. 19.3
1
v\
0,962
- 0,027
-0,057
0,848
0,934
-0,146
ft
0,854
V4
-0,098
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0,083
0,885
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1
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0,358
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0,543
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0,763
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0,587
0,723
2,731
45,520
45,520
2,218
36,969
82,488
0,442
7,360
89,848
0,341
5,688
95,536
0,183
3,044
98,580
0,085
1,420
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2,570
42,837
42,837
1,868
31,126
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0,949
0,168
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0,914
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2,541
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31,621
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2
0,963
- 0,054
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0,747
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0,769
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(Akron, OH: Academy of Marketing Science, 1987), p. 439-442.
2. . Jacques Tacq, Multivariate Analysis Techniques
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Journal of Marketing Research, August 1997, p. 347-356.
3. ., , Shirely Bo Edvardsson, Gerry Larsson, Sven Setterlind, "Internal Service
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of Policy Modeling, August 1997, p. 407-415; John L. Lastovicka, Kanchana Thamodaran,
"Common Factor Score Estimates in Multiple Regression Problems", Journal of Marketing Research,
February 1991, p. 105-112; W.R. Dillon, M. Goldstein, Muitivariate Analysis: Methods and
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8. . James A. Roberts, Donald R. Beacon, "Exploring the Subtle Relationships between Environmental Concern and Ecologically Conscious Behavior", Journal of Business Research, September
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Ronald D. Anderson, "A Monte Carlo Comparison of Factor Analytic Methods", Journal of
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10. James E. Zemanek, Jr., "Manufacturer Influence versus Manufacturer Salesperson Influence over the
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Advertising Research, December 1987January 1988, p. 5160.
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Them", Wall Street Journal, February 10, 1998, p. B1-B2; Donald R. Lichtenstein, Nancy M.
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p. 26; Dwight J. Shelton, "Birds of a Geodemographic Feather Flock Together'', Marketing News,
August 28, 1987, p. 13.
2. . Sudhir H. Kale, "Grouping Euroconsumers:
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. . Anil Ciiaturvedi, J. Douglass Carroll, Paul E. Green,
John A. Rotondo, "A Feature-Based Approach to Market Segmentation via Overlapping KCentroids Clustering", Journal of Marketing Research, August 1997, p. 370377.
4. . Everitt, Cluster Analysis, 3rd ed. (New York, NY: Halstcd Press, 1993); H. Charles
Romsturg, Cluster Analysis for Researchers (Melbourne: Krieger Publishing Company, 1990).
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Vicki Douglas. ""Questionnaires Too Long? Try Variable Clustering", Marketing News, February 27,
1995, p. 38; Girish Punj, David Stewart, "'Cluster Analysis in Marketing Research: Review and Suggestions for Application", Journal of Marketing Research, May 1983, p. 134148.
20.
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15. John Saunders, Veronica Wong, Peter Doyle, "The Congruence of Successful International Competitors; A Study of the Marketing Strategies and Organisations of Japanese and U.S. Competitors in
the UK", Journal of Global Marketing, March 1994, p. 4159; Peter Doyle, John Saunders, Veronica
Wong, ''International Marketing Strategies and Organisations: A Study of U.S., Japanese, and British
Competitors", in Paul Bloom, Russ Winer, Harold H. Kassarjian, Debra L. Scammon, Bart Weitz,
Robert E. Spekman, Vijay Mahajan, Michael Levy (eds.), Enhancing Knowledge Development in
Marketing, Series 55 (Chicago, 1L: American Marketing Association, 1989), p. 100104.
16. Edward J. Holohean, Jr., Steven M. Banks, Blair A. Maddy, "Sysntem Impact and Methodological
Issues in the Development of an Empirical Typology of Psychiatric Hospital Residents", Journal of
Mental Healtk Administration, Spring 1995, p. 177-188; Arch G. Woodside, Robert L. Nielsen, Fred
Walters, Gale D. Muller, ''Preference Segmentation of Health Care Services: The Old-Fashioneds,
Value Conscious, Affluents and Professional Want-It-Alls", Journal of Health Care Marketing, June
1988, p. 14-24.
17. Vicki Douglas, "Questionnaire Too Long? Try Variable Clustering", Marketing News, February 27,
1995, p.38.
18. Thorolf Helgesen, "The Power of Advertising Myths and Realities", Marketing & Research Today,
May 1996, p. 6371; David A. Aaker, Douglas M. Stayman, Richard Vezina, "Identifying Feelings
Elicited by Advertising", Psychology & Marketing, Spring 1988, p. 116.
19. Ismael Akaah, "Organizational Culture and Ethical Research Behavior", Journal of the Academy of
Marketing Science, Winter 1993, p. 59-63; R.E. Reidenbach, D. Robin, "Some Initial Steps toward
Improving the Measurement of Ethical Evaluations of Marketing Activities", Journal of Business
Ethics, )u\ymS, p. 871-879.
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CONJOINT LINMAP, SIMGRAF BRIDGER. POSSE (product optimization and selected segmentation evaluation) Robinson Associates, Inc. . ,
. (choice-based conjoint ) , , , Sawtooth Technologies (www.sawtooth.com).
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1. . 21.1, .
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Irish Spring, Lux, Safeguard, Tone Monchel. 66 .
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, ALSCAL KYST.
.
3. , . 21.4. , . , . , ?
1. Paul . Green, Frank J. Carmone, Jr., Scott M. Smith. Multidimensional Scaling: Concepts and
Applications (Boston, MA: Allyn & Bacon, 1989), p. 1617. . Nikhil Deogun,
"Coke Claims Dominance in the Mideast and North Africa, dut Pepsi Disagrees", Wall Street
Journal, March 3, 1998, p. A4.
2. Alt Kara, Erdener Kaynak, Orsay Kucukemiroglu, "Credit Card Development Strategies for the
Youth Market: The Use of Conjoint Analysis", Internationa! Journal of Bank Marketing, June 1994,
p. 3036; Mary Tonnenberger, "In Search of the Perfect Plastic", Quirk's Marketing Research
Review, May 1992, p. 427-450.
3. J. Douglass Carroll, Paul E. Green, "Psychometric Methods in Marketing Research:
Part II: Multidimensional Scaling", Journal of Marketing Research, February 1997, p. 193204; Lee
G. Cooper, "A Review of Multidimensional Scaling in Marketing Research", Applied Psychological
Measurement, Fall 1983, p. 427-450.
4. MarkL. Davison, Multidimensional Scaling (Melbourne, Krieger Publishing Company, 1992).
21.
811
5. . .
Wayne S. Desarbo, Ajay . Manrai, "A New Multidimensional Scaling Methodology for the
Analysis of Asymmetric Proximity Data in Marketing Research", Marketing Science, Winter 1992,
p. 120. .
Tammo H.A. Bijmolt, Michel Wedel, 'The Effects of Alternative Methods of Collecting
Similarity Data for Multidimensional Scaling", International Journal of Research in Marketing,
November 1995, p. 363-371.
6. . Ingwer Borg, Patrick J. Groenen, Modern Multidimensional Scaling Theory and
Applications (New York, NY: Springer-Verlag, 1996); Naresh K. Malhotra, Arun K. Kain, Christian
Pinson, "The Robustness of MDS Configurations in the Case of Incomplete Data", Journal of
Marketing Research, February 1988, p. 95102; Jan-Benedict E.M. Steenkamp, Hans C.M. Van
Trijp, "Task Experience and Validity in Perceptual Mapping: A Comparison of Two ConsumerAdaptive Techniques", International Journal of Research in Marketing, July 1996, p. 265276.
7. T. Cox, Multidimensional Scaling (New York: Routledge, Chapman & Hall, 1994).
8. , , . .
Ingwer Borg, Patrick J. Groenen, Modern Multidimensional Scaling Theory and Applications (New
York, NY: Springer-Verlag, 1996). . J.B. Kruskal,
"Multidimensional Scaling by Optimizing Goodness of Fit to a Nonmetric Hypothesis",
Psychometrika, March 1964, p. 127.
9. J. Douglass Carroll, Paul E. Green, "Psychometric Methods in Marketing Research: Part II.
Multidimensional Scaling", Journal of Marketing Research, February 1997, p. 193204; Naresh K.
Malhotra, "Validity and Structural Reliability of Multidimensional Scaling", Journal of Marketing
Research, May 19S7, p. 164-173,
10. .
Jan-Benedict E.M. Steenkamp, Hans C.M. Van Trijp, Jos M.F. Ten Berge, ''Perceptual Mapping
Based on Idiosyncratic Sets of Attributes", Journal of Marketing Research. February 1994, p. l>-27.
11. Joseph F. Hair, Jr., Ralph E. Anderson, Ronald L. Tatham, William C. Black, Multivariaie Data
Analysis with Readings, 5th ed. (Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice Hall, Inc., 1999), p. 484-555.
12. ., , Wayne S. DeSarbo, M.R. Young, Arvind Rangaswamy, "A Parametric
Multisimensional Unfolding Procedure for Incomplete Nonmetric Preference/Choice Set data
Marketing Research", Journal of Marketing Research, November 1997, p. 499516; David B.
Mackay, Robert F. Easley, Joseph L. Zinnes, "A Single Ideal Point Model for Market Structure
Analysis", Journal of Marketing Research, November 1995, p. 433443.
13. Ian Murphy, "Downscale Luxury Cars Drive to the Heart of Baby Boomers", Marketing News,
October 1997, p. 1, 19.
14. . J.J. Math, M. Candel, Eric
Maris, "Perceptual Analysis of Two-Way Two-Mode Frequency Data: Probability Matrix
Decomposition and Two Alternatives", International Journal of Research in Marketing, October 197,
p. 321339; Paul E. Green, Abba M. Krieger, "A Simple Approach to Target Market Advertising
Strategy", Journal of the Market Research Society, April 1993, p. 161170.
15. Ali Kara, Erdener Kaynak, Orsay Kucukemiroglu, "Positioning of Fast Food Outlets in Two Regions
of North America: A Comparative Study Using Correspondence Analysis", Journal of Professional
Services Marketing, February 1996, p. 99119; Terrcnce V. O'Brien, "Correspondence Analysis",
Marketing Research: A Magazine of Management & Applications, Fall 1993, p. 5456.
16. Jorg Blasius, Michael L. Greenacre, Visualization of Categorical Data (New York, NY: Academic
Press, 1998); Michael J. Greenacre, Correspondence Analysis in Practice (New York, NY: Academic
Press, 1993); Michael L. Greenacre, "The Carroll-Green-Schaffer Scaling in Correspondence
Analysis: A Theoretical and Empirical Appraisal", Journal of Marketing Research, August 1989,
p. 358365; Michael L. Grccnacre, Theory and Applications of Correspondence Analysis {New York,
NY: Academic Press, 1984); Donna L. Hoffman, George R. Franke,"Correspondence Analysis:
812
ill. ,
21.
813
28. J. Douglass Carroll, Paul E. Green, "Psychometric Methods in Marketing Research: Part I. Conjoint
Analysis", Journal of Marketing Research, November 1995, p. 385391; Arun K. Jain, Franklin
Acito, Naresh K. Malhotra, Vijay Mahajan, "A Comparison of the Internal Validity of Alternative
Parameter Estimation Methods in Decompositional Multiattribute Preference Models", Journal of
Marketing Research, August 1979, p. 313322.
29. H. Oppewal, H.J. Timmermans, JJ. Louviere, "Modeling the Effect of Shopping Center Size and
Store Variety in Consumer Choice Behavior", Environment and Planning, June 1997, p. 10731090.
30. Markus Christen, Sachin Gupta, John C. Porter, Richard Staelin, Dick R. Wittink, "Using MarketLevel Data to Understand Promotion Effects in a Nonlinear Model", Journal of Marketing Research,
August 1997, p. 322334; William L. Moore, "Levels of Aggregation in Conjoint Analysis: An
Empirical Comparison", Journal of Marketing Research, November 1980, p. 516523. .
Roger Brice, "Conjoint Analysis: A Review of Conjoint Paradigms and Discussion of the
Outstanding Design Issues", Marketing & Research Today, November 1997, p. 260-266.
31. J, Douglass Carroll, Paul E. Green, "Psychometric Methods in Marketing Research: Part I, Conjoint
Analysis", Journal of Marketing Research, November 1995, p. 385391; Frank J. Carmone, Paul E.
Green, "Model Misspecification in Multiattribute Parameter Estimation", Journal of Marketing
Research, February 1981, p. 87-93.
32. . Amy Ostrom, Dawn lacobucci, "Consumer
Trade-Ofs and the Evaluation of Services", Journal of Marketing, January 1995, p. 1728; Peter J.
Danaher, "Using Conjoint Analysis to Determine the Relative Importance of Service Attributes
Measured in Customer Satisfaction Surveys", Journal of Retailing, Summer 1997, p. 235260.
33. J. Douglass Carroll, Paul E. Green, "Psychometric Methods in Marketing Research: Part 1. Conjoint
Analysis", Journal of Marketing Research, November 1995, p. 385391; Naresh K. Malhotra,
"Structural Reliability and Stability of Nonmetric Conjoint Analysis", Journal of Marketing Research,
May 1982, p. 199-207; Tomas W. Leigh, David B. MacKay, John O. Summers, "Reliability and
Validity of Conjoint Analysis and Self-Explicated Weights: A Comparison", Journal of Marketing
Research, November 1984, p. 456462; MadhavN. Segal, "Reliability of Conjoint Analysis: Contrasting
Data Collection Procedures", Journal of Marketing Research, February 1982, p, 139143.
34. Del I. Hawkins, Roger J. Best, Kenneth A. Coney, Consumer Behavior Implications for Marketing
Strategy, 7th ed. (Boston, MA: McGraw Hill, 1988).
35. Clark Hu, Stephen J. Hiemstra, "Hybrid Conjoint Analysis as a Research Technique to Measure
Meeting Planners Preferences in Hotel Selection", Journal of Travel Research, Fall 1996, p. 6269;
Paul E. Green, Abba M. Kxieger, "Individualised Hybrid Models for Conjoint Analysis*',
Management Science, June 1996, p, 850867; Paul E. Green, "Hybrid Models for Conjoint Analysis:
An Expository Review', Journal of Marketing Research, May 1984, p. 155169.
36. S. Pfeifer, B. Gain, K. Walsh, "Managing Specialties: How to Grow When Prices Stall", Chemical
Week, December 10, 1997, p. 3034; Diane Schneidman, "Research Methods Designed to
Determine Price for New Products, Line Extensions", Marketing News, October 23, 1987, p, 11.
37. "Luxury Car Makers Assemble World View"1, Corporate Location, JanuaryFebruary 1997, p. 4.
38. Linda Grant, "Outmarketing P & G", Fortune, January 12, 1998, p. 150-152; David Batler, "Thai
Superconcentrates Foam", Advertising Age, January IS, 1993, p. 111.
814
III. ,
3
(Bob McDonald), - Burke, Inc..
3.1. -
,
, , , - ( ). ,
, . 1,
, .
1
"Warren's Tavern"
, - .
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200
200
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, .
160
140
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. -, , ,
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, , , , ( ) . -, ,
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10 15%, 300 .
.
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200
200
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2
6
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: " 200%!"
(Sarah Evans) Bur/, Inc.
3.2. :
,
. , , 3
817
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.
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(ANOVA) , . I ( , , ) , ,
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;
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.
SAS SPSS ,
-, F. , 95%- , /j-, 0,05, /"-.
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. ,
(StudentNewmanKeuls Range Test
SNK), - (Bonferroni alpha adjustment), - (Scheffe alpha adjustment), - (Tukey alpha adjustment). - . ,
/-, , ,
- ( = 0,05,
95%), />- , , - :
2
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818
III. ,
,
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50% . , .
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70% , (0,32) + (0,72) 0,58, ,
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820
III. ,
() ,
. ,
,
: McDonald's, Burger King, Pizza Hut, Long John Silver's, Arby's KFC. .
, , . ,
.
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822
III. ,
3
3.1. :
"" - !
, ''''
, , -. "" , "" .
""' ,
. , 1996 20%
, 10%
"". , . Pepsi Pepsi. "Like a Prayer" , Pepsi 10 .
(Cybil Shepherd) ,
, . , . , "" , . (. Simpson) Hertz.
, ?
, . , Pepsi Cola Revfon
(Cindy Crawford). , . ,
""
, .
(Michael Kamins)
. , ,
, : , . , , , . ,
. ,
. / ,
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2x2. ( ( -
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(), (), () (/)). , , , .
, , , , . .
.
-
() ()
()
()
(sd)
7,97
3,47
3,4
2,22
3,92
1,47
1,52
1,4
()
38
40
40
40
()
(sd)
}
()
8,33
4,22
3,65
2,92
5,32
1,6
1,62
1,44
36
37
37
37
8,04
3,5
3,65
2,55
(3d)
4,73
1,55
1,46
1,38
38
40
40
40
()
8,26
4,19
3,38
2,57
(sd)
()
4,58
1,52
1,67
1,56
36
37
37
37
- ()
824
(D)
{}
(sd}
()
<sd>
()
7,89
3,45
3,55
2,4
4,48
1,57
1,39
1,5
19
20
20
20
8,04
3,5
3,25
2,05
3,4
1,4
1,65
1,32
19
20
20
20
(sd)
()
8,18
3,55
3,75
2,7
5,09
1,57
1,55
1,26
19
20
20
2(
(]
(sd)
()
8,5
3,53
3,18
:-./;
1,27
1,74
1,63
17
17
17
17
III. ,
. 1 (), (sd), () . ( , ,
) . . 2 , ()
(") , (5). .
, . . , , . ( ), ,
- , . (Abott)
(Costelto) , (Humphrey
Bogart) , IBM.
()' , ()
(5)
(ExS)
()
()
()
(D)
F = 0,013
F = 0,035
F = 0,003
F=10,876a
F = 4,355a
F = 4,233a
F = 0,209
F = 0,276
F = 0,001
F - 4,B45a
F = 0,050
F = 1,868
1. , ,
, ?
2. , .
3. , , , , , ?
4.
, , , , ?
, ?
5. , , ,
?
6. ? ? (: .)
7. , ? , ?
8. , ? , ?
3
825
A] Ries, "Count on Consumers to Follow the Leader', Brandweek, June 23,1997, p. 18.
George Lazarus, "Tiger's Shooting for an Endorsement Record, Too", Chicago Tribune, May 5,
1997, p. 4, 6.
Michael A. Kamins, "Celebrity and Concelebrity Advertising in a Two-Sided Context", Journal of
Advertising Research, June-July 1989, p. 3442.
Michael A. Kamins, ''An Investigation into the 'Match-Up' Hypothesis in Celebrity Advertising:
When Beauty May Be Only Skin Deep'', Journal of Advertising, 1990, p. 413.
M. Kamins, M. Brand, S. Hoeke, and J. , "Two-Sided versus One-Sided Celebrity Endorsements: The Impact on Advertising Effectiveness and Credibility", Journal of Advertising, 1989, p. 410.
3.2.
- 20 , . ,
1998 , , . 7 77% , , .
.
, - .
. 55 64 , . ,
.. 65 74 . 75 84 ,
, 85 . ,
, , , , , , , ,
. .
, .
, , , , . , ,
, , ,
, , .
, . .
,
. .
,
, , , . . , ,
, , . , (Davis and French), .
. . -
826
III. ,
217 60
. 200 , , , (: activities, interests, opinions). ,
, ,
, , .
(. 1), , (Ward).
5,24 ()
4,35 ()
4,86 ()
2,20 ( )
5,01 ()
2,10 ()
4,69 ()
4,88 ()
, ,
,
, ,
,
3,65 ()
3,30 ( )
4,78 ()
4,55 ()
4,18 ()
4,21 ()
2, 16 ( )
2,99 ( )
3,02 ( )
4,78 ()
4,25 ()
1,87 { )
4,85 ()
5,00 ()
4,12 ()
4,94 ()
"3,5 .
: , . . 1. , , .
.
. 1.
. -, (ANOVA). , . , 41 200 ,
, , , , (
60,3% ), .
. , 2
, , .
, .
827
0,45
-0,11
-0,21
( 0,58966)
4,41
3,92
3,87
( 0,48283}
4,29
3,74
3,45
( 0,41592)
4,89
4,31
4,55
0,29
-0,32
0,17
( 0,70466)
5,49
4,75
5,19
( 0,60793)
5,28
4,53
5.01
( 0,54404}
3,76
3,15
3,62
0,28
-0,26
0,10
, ( 0,49480}
4,89
4,36
4,59
,
( 0,43730)
4,13
3,53
3,72
(
0,42521)
3,47
2,81
3.19
0,26
0,14
-0,36
,
( 0,50313}
3,31
3,47
2,82
( 0,47638)
4,25
4,50
3,93
( 0,41031)
4,25
4,24
3,55
, .. , , . 2025 113 , .. 40% , 50 .
-
.
1.
, : ,
,
. , ,
. ? ?
2. , , , ? , ?
3.
, , . 1.
4.
. 2.
828
III. ,
5,
6.
, , , ? , ?
.
"The Ungraying of America: Although Population Is Getting Older, Today's Older Consumers Are
Not Necessarily Acting Same Way Older Consumers Behaved in the Past", American Demographics, July
1997, p. 12.
'Seniors in Stores"', American Demographics, April 1996, p. 44.
Davis, W. French, "Exploring Advertising Usage Segments Among the Aged", Journal of Advertising
Research, FebruaryMarch 1989, p. 26.
3.3. PEPSICO
1998 PepsiCo
.
" " . , , . Pepsi , ,
, . ,
, Diet Pepsi.
PepsiCo ?
PepsiCo, .
Pepsi , .
, Pepsi, , . Pepsi , .
1963 : " Pepsi"', Pepsi, , .
, "
" .
" ", ,
(Don Johnson) ( "Miami Vice" ), . (Michael
J. Fox) ( '' " Back to the Future)
(Billy Crystal). Pepsi. Pepsi
Diet Pepsi "You've Got The Right One
Baby, Uh Huh!". (Ray Charles).
"Uh Huh!" ,
.
Pepsi
"Gotta Have It ( )''. , . .
Pepsi, . -Pepsi . 1993 " , , Pepsi''
, ( ) 7 () ' (Shaquille O'Neal). 1990- 3
829
. ,
", Pepsi"', (Super Bowl) 1995 ,
, , . 1996 "
Pepsi"' , , Pepsi, , . 1997 Pepsi , "" Pepsi. " "
, " " (Spice Girls), , NASCAR (Jeff Gordon),
Pepsi.
Pepsi Internet, ,
. Web-, Pepsi World (www. peps i . com),
Internet- , (Shaq), , , 1998
" " (The Wedding Singer),
.
Pepsi .
( )
, . ,
( ) .
.
, ,
,
, .
,
, ( )
( ) . 1.
RCCola
: Ib
2
Fresca
Coke
7-Up
-
. 1. : (
)
830
III. ,
, (Winer, Moore),
Pepsi, Pepsi.
Pepsi, , Pepsi. Pepsi
( ), , -
Pepsi.
. 1 , .
, . , Pepsi ,
Slice. , Slice
( ).
Slice . ,
, , Slice,
, .
.
Pepsi Slice,
, Orange Mandarin, Apple Cherry Cola Slice. diet cola. Slice 50% Slice. 35% .
Pepsi , . , 1995
Pepsi XL, ,
, . " , , .
, , ", (Bill Cobb), - . , . , Pepsi XL , . 1996
Pepsi , .
,
. Pepsi
. , Thomas J. Lipion Co. 1992 . Lipton Frappucino, Starbucks,
Pepsi .
Pepsi 2!
. .
PepsiCo
. ,
PepsiCo , , .
1.
2. Pepsi (. . 1)? , ?
3. 2 . 1, ? ?
3
831
4.
, ,
?
5.
Pepsi Cola?
, ?
.
3.4. MATSUSHITA
Matsushita, ,
Panasonic, Quasar Technics,
.
Panasonic Industrial Company. 1998
, CD-ROM, ,
, Matsushita 68
. 25% , .
,
,
DVD-. ,
12- , .
DVD- 1997 .
Tandy, Matsushita, . Matsushita
Tandy ?
1987 Panasonic
, IBM, Apple Compaq. 1987 . Panasonic
1987 .
, Panasonic , , -. 1988 ,
, .
, Panasonic
IBM- Tandy Corporation. Panasonic 1989 . Matsushita
, 1991 12 - .
,
, , .
Tandy Panasonic ,
Tandy Radio Shack Panasonic
832
III. ,
, .
Tandy,
. 1987 1988 Tandy
.
, 7000 Radio Shack
. , ,
.
Tandy WalMart. , ,
DEC. 1990 Tandy
1000 RL, . ,
, Tandy
Victors Micronic Sweden's Datatronic AB.
Matsushita DEC,
(Jack Freeman), Yankee Group, Tandy . Tandy IBM , . Matsushita Tandy
Matsushita. , Tandy
, :
, PC, . Tandy.
TandyPanasonic , . , , 1990 ,
, . , , , .
Panasonic
. Panasonic Panasonic.
: ;
Panasonic ; .
.
1080 ,
, PC Week , Panasonic, , : , Panasonic .
.
40 27
. Panasonic 11- .
833
Panasonic
/ Panasonic
Panasonic
( )
{ , )
j^a _ ( )
1
2
3
1
2
3
1
2
3
. SPSS, SAS, BMDP, Minitab Exel ( ),
.
1.
. ,
.
2.
3. , : , Panasonic PC . ( , , , ). .
4. . , ( , Panasonic ).
5.
. , ,
.
6. . , .
, ,
.
, Web-.
Panasonic.
834
III. ,
, , . .
, ,
0,05, Panasonic, , Tandy. , . , ,
Panasonic .
Neel Chowdhury, "Matsushita's Legacy Lives On", Fortune, March 31, 1991, p. 111.
"Matsushita", Forbes, January 13, 1997, p. S7.
.
Matsushita, Tandy . , .
3.5. PAMPERS -
, , 3,5 , Pampers. Procter &
Gamble 1970- 1980- Pampers,
. 1970-
, Luvs, Huggies
Kimberly-Clark's, 1985 Huggies 32,6%
Procter & Gamble .
19941995 Huggies Procter & Gamble
3,6 . 1996 Procter & Gamble 36,9% ,
Huggies 39,7%. Procter & Gamble . 1996 Procter & Gamble 48 . 8 , Pampers Premium
. , , , , ,
, .
1996 Procter & Gamble
.
, . ,
, . KimberlyClark's , 70%
, . Procter & Gamble ,
, , .
Procter & Gamble Huggies Supreme Kimberly-Clark's,
, Pampers
Premium, 1995 . 1997 Pampers Prem i u m Huggies Supreme .
1996 Procter & Gamble Luvs,
3
835
, .
Luvs . 1997 Luvs
Procter & Gamble.
! {%}
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
24,8
24,4
27,2
29,2
28,0
22,3
23,2
20,0
14,3
13,1
47,1
47,6
47,2
43,5
41,1
Huggies (Kimberly-Clark)
29,0
17,8
46,8
30,7
30,1
30,9
36,3
37,2
38,4
22,5
22,6
21,5
16,5
19,3
20,5
1994
1995
/996
1997
24,9
26,8
25,6
25,1
Pumpers
Luvs
Pumpers
Luvs
12,5
10,5
11,3
12,2
37.4
37,3
36,9
37,3
38,9
39,6
39,7
39,6
23,7
23,1
23,4
23,1
836
111. ,
100 . , (Y).
, .
Xj
, ?
Xj
X,;
Xg
X,
.
, Web- . (Y).
( 1 X,).
.
. , , .
1. . .
2. -. '' " ,
: 1 2, 3
5 6 7. : 1 3, 4 5 7. .
: " ", ""; "", , ,
""; "", "". .
3. . , , , .
.
4. .
, ,
-. , . .
5. . , . 3
837
.
, .
6. . , , . . , . .
7. . , , , , . ,
, .
.
, , . ,
. , , ,
, Pampers .
Pampers .
Sean Mehegan, "Pampers Premium with Gentle Touch Liner/Luvs Ultra Thick", Mediaweek, July
21,1997, p.28.
Jack Neff, "Diaper Wars Heat Up as Kimberly-Clark, P&G Ready Fall Plans", Advertising Age, July
29,1966, p. 6.
Raju Narisetti, "P&G's New Diaper Promises to Baby Skin", Wall Street Journal, July 21,1997, p. B7.
.
Procter & Gamble . ,
.
3.6. DAIMLER/CHRYSLER
" Corvette ,"
, 1990- , Chrysler Motor Corporation. 1970- Chrysler GM Ford , 1990 Honda
(. . 1),
{%)
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
Chrysler
Ford
G. M.
Honda
I960
1985
10,7
12,5
1993
1993
1996
9,3
15,0
15,9
838
16,6
18,8
23,9
26,0
25,1
46,8
4,3
42,5
5,0
9,4
5,0
5,5
35,5
34,0
32,1
21,6
21,2
21,9
20,0
21,4
ill. ,
Chrysler 1980- ,
1980- 2% , -.
,
1980- .
Chrysler ().
Chrysler , , ,
Chrysler . Chrysler , , . 1989 Chrysler 1990- ,
V-IO ( , ). , , , , : Chrysler Millennium
Plymouth Speedster. , , Chrysler . , 1992 V-.
Dodge TBD (To Be Determined), Dodge Viper Chevrolet Corvette,
55 .
Dodge Viper " " ,
, Dodge Viper .
Chrysler Corporation (Jonh Lutz) , Viper , , , 2000 . Chrysler ,
Viper : - .
250 , . . , Chrysler Viper . Viper
(-).
Prowler.
Viper
( , ), . , Chrysler , ,
Corvette, Mazda Miata, Porsche (Boxter, 911/966) Mitsubishi 3000GT (. . 2).
: 1998
()
1.
Corvette
Mazda Miata
20000
2.
Mitsubishi 3QOOGT
10000
Mercedes SLK
7000
5.
6,
BMW 23/25
6000
Porsche Boxter
Porsche 91 1/996
Dodge Viper
6000
7.
8.
16000
4000
1500
839
Chrysler :
;
, , Dodge Viper; Daimler-Benz, 1998 ,
Viper.
30 , .
(1 , 9 ).
Car and Driver, Business Week Inc., , . ,
400 , .
1. .
2. , .
3. , .
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
.
, .
.
, .
, .
9. , .
10. .
11. , .
12. , .
13. , .
14. .
15. , , .
16. , .
17. , .
18. .
19. .
20. , - .
21. , , .
22. .
23. , .
24. .
25. , , , .
26. .
27. .
28. .
29. , .
30. , .
840
III. ,
1. . , ,
.
2. . , , . , , .
3. . , , 30 . , .
, ,
, ,
. ,
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AutoWeek, May 12, 1997, p.20.
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an Affordable Alternative to the Dodge Viper', AutoWeek, February 3, 1997, p. 17.
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1.
Joseph Rydholm, "Surveying the Friendly Skies", Marketing Research (May 1996); Karen Schwarz,
"Airline Food Is No Joke", Marketing News, October 13, 1997, p. 1,10.
2. Thomas L. Greenbaum, The Handbook for Focus Group Research (Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications, 1997); Thonas L, Greenbaum, "Using 'Ghosts' to Write Reports Hurts Viability of Focus
Group", Marketing News, September 13, 1993, p. 25.
3.
Edward R. Tufte, Visual Explanations: Emages and Quantities, Evidence and Narrative (Cheshire, CT:
Graphic Press, 1997); Arlene Fink, How to Report on Surveys (Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications, 1995).
4.
Theodore Keys, Jr., "Report Writing", Infernal Auditor, August 1996, p. 6566.
5. S.H. Britt, "The Writing of Readable Research Reports", Journal of Marketing Research, May 1971,
p. 265. . Simon Mort, Professional Report Writing (Brookfield, IL: Ashgate Publishing Company, 1995); David 1. Shair, "Report Writing", HR Focus, February 1994, p. 20.
6. Ann Boland, "Got Report-O-Phobia? Follow These Simple Steps to Get Those Ideas onto Paper",
Chemical Engineering, March 1996, p. 131132.
7. L. Deane Wilson, "Are Appraisal Reports Logical Fallacies", Appraisal Journal, April 1996, p. 129
133; John Leach, "Seven Steps to Better Writing", Planning, June 1993, p. 2627; A.S.C. Ehrenberg,
"The Problem of Numeracy", American Statistician, May 1981, p. 6771.
8. Anders Wallgren, Britt Wallgren, Rolf Persson, Ulf Jorner, Jan-Age Haaland, Graphing Statistics and
Data (Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications, 1996); Edward R. Tufte, Visual Display of Quantitative
Information (Cheshire, CT: Graphic Press, 1992).
9. Ncal B. Kauder, "Pictures Worth a Thousand Words", American Demographics (Tools Supplement),
NovemberDecember 1996, p. 6468.
10. Sue Hinkin, "Charting Your Course to Effective Information Graphics", Presentations, November
1995, p. 28-32.
11. Mark T. Chen, "An Innovative Project Report", Cost Engineering, April 1996, p. 4145; Gene
Zelazny, Say It wiih Charts: The Executive's Guide to Visual Communication, 3rd ed. (Burr Ridge, IL:
Irwin Professional Publishing, 1996).
12. "Get Visual with Modeling Tools", Insurance & Technology, June 1995. p. 30; Patricia Ramsey,
Louis Kaufman, "Presenting Research Data: How to Make Weak Numbers Look Good", Industrial
Marketing, March 1982, p. 66, 68, 70, 74.
22. ...
865
13. Sharon Johnson, Michael Regan, "A New Use for an Old Tool", Quality Progress, November 1996,
p. 144; Gary L. Parr, "Pretty-Darned-Quick Flowchart Creation", Quality, August 1996, p. 6263.
14. S. Paul Verluyten, "Business Communication and Intercultural Communication in Europe: The
State of the Art", Business Communication Quarterly, June 1997, p. 135143; Geraldine E. Hynes,
Vinita Bhatia, "Graduate Business Students' Preferences for the Managerial Communication Course
Curriculum", Business Communication Quarterly, June 1996, p. 4555.
15. DanieJ M. Hrisak, "Key Presentation Principles", Chartered Accountants Journal of New Zealand,
April 1997, p. 24; Paul Piscitelly, "How to Wow an Audience", Sales & Management, June 1997,
p. 6369; Dorothy Sarnoff, Never Be Nervous Again (New York, NY: Fawcett Book Group, 1997).
16. Roger L. Black, - Elrick &
Lavidge ().
17. Lawrence F. Locke, Stephen Silverman, Wannen W. Spirduso, Reading and Understanding Research
(Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications, 1998).
18. Geoffrey Lee Martin, "Aussies Chicken Fries Ford", Advertising Age, January 18, ] 993.
19. John Milton-Smith, "Business Ethics in Australia and New Zealand", Journal of Business Ethics,
October 1997, p. 14S5-1497; Lawrence B. Chonko, Ethical Decision Makingin Marketing (Thousand
Oaks, CA: Sage Publications, 1995).
20. Edward J. O'Doyle, Lyndon E. Dawson, Jr., "The American Marketing Association Code of Ethics:
Instructions for Marketers", Journal of Business Ethics, December 1992, p. 921932; "AMA Adopts
New Code of Ethics", Marketing News, September 11,1987, p. 1, 10.
21. Cheryl Fenelle, "Tobacco Liability: Can Your Company Get Smoked", Risk Management, May
1997, p. 56; Kirk Davidson, "Sure It's Legal, but Is [t Legitimate?", Marketing, June 17, 1996, p. 13;
S. Rapp, "Cigarettes: A Question of Ethics", Marketing News, Novembers, J992, p. 17..
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6. Emma Donnellan, "Changing Perspectives on Research Methodology in Marketing", Irish
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7. George W. Trivoli, Robert Glenn Graham, Paul A. Herbig, "Determinants for Trading and Investing in
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9. Mark
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1
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36. Web- Hewlett Packard: w w w . h p . c o m . Hewlett Packard
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Winter 1996, p. 4748; Gene R. Laczniak, Patrick E. Murphy, "Fostering Ethical Marketing Decisions", Journal of Business Ethics, November 1991, p. 259271.
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Narcsh K. Malhotra, Gina L. Miller, "Ethical Issues in Marketing Managed Health Care", Journalof
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0,4957
0,4959
0,4960
0,4961
0,4962
0,4963
0,4964
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0,4965
0,4966
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0,4970
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0,49913
0,49916
0,49918
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0,49952
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0,49957
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0,49942
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0,49973
0,49946
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0,49948
0,49964
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3.5
3.6
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0,49993
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0,5
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0,49985
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0,49993
0,49996
0,49979
0,49986
0,49990
0,49994
0,49996
0,49980
0,49986
0,49991
0,49994
0,49996
0,49981
0,49987
0,49991
0,49994
0,49996
0,49981
0,49987
0,49992
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0,49996
0,49982
0,49988
0,49992
0,49995
0.49996
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0,001
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1,323
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3,841
5,024
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0,020
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0,103
0,211
0,575
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4,605
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7,378
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0,115
0,216
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0,297
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1,064
1,923
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13,277
14,860
0,412
0,554
0,831
1,145
1,610
2,675
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12,833
15,086
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1,237
1,635
2,204
3,455
7,841
10,645
12,592
14,449
16,812
18,548
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1,239
1,690
2,167
2,833
4,255
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14,067
16,013
18,475
20,278
1,344
1,646
2,180
2,733
3,490
5,071
10,219
13,362
15,507
17,535
20,090
21,955
16,919
19,023
21,666
23,589
1,735
2,088
2,700
3,325
4,168
5,899
11,389
14,684
10
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3,247
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4,865
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12,549
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18,307
20,483
23,209
25,188
2,603
3,053
3,816
4,575
5,578
7,584
13,701
17,275
19,675
21,920
24,725
26,757
12
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3,571
4,404
5,226
6,304
8,438
14,845
18,549
21,026
23,337
26,217
28,299
29,819
13
3,565
4,107
5,009
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7,042
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15,984
19,812
22,362
24,736
27,688
14
4,075
4,660
5,629
6,571
7,790
10,165
17,117
21,064
23,685
26,119
29,141
31,319
15
4,601
5,229
6,262
7,261
8,547
11,037
18,245
22,307
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27,488
30,578
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16
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5,812
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19,369
23,542
26,296
28,845
32,000
34,267
30,191
33,409
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17
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6,408
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8,672
10,085
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20,489
24,769
27,587
18
6,265
7,015
8,231
9,390
10,865
13,675
21,605
25,989
28,869
31,526
34,805
37,156
19
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7,633
8,907
10,117
11,651
14,562
22,718
27,204
30,144
32,852
36,191
38,582
20
7,434
8,260
9,591
10,851
12,443
15,452
23,828
28,412
31,410
34,170
37,566
39,997
35,479
38,932
41,401
42,796
21
8,034
8,897
10,283
11,591
13,240
16,344
24,935
29,615
32,671
22
8,643
9,542
10,982
12,338
14,042
17,240
26,039
30,813
33,924
36,781
40,289
23
9,260
10,196
11,689
13,091
14,848
18,137
27,141
32,007
35,172
38,076
41,638
44,181
24
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10,856
12,401
13,848
15,659
19,037
28,241
33,196
36,415
39,364
42,980
45,559
25
10,520
11,524
13,120
14,611
16,473
19,939
29,339
34,382
37,652
40,646
44,314
46,928
26
11,160
12,198
13,844
15,379
17,292
20,843
30,435
35,563
38,885
41,923
45,642
48,290
27
11,808
12,879
14,573
16,151
18,114
21,749
31,528
36,741
40,113
43,194
46,963
49,645
28
12,461
13,565
15,308
16,928
18,939
22,657
32,620
37,916
41,337
44,461
48,278
50,993
29
13,121
14,257
16,047
17,708
19,768
23,567
33,711
39,087
42,557
45,722
49,588
52,336
30
13,787
14,954
16,791
18,493
20,599
24,478
34,800
40,256
43,773
46,979
50,892
53,672
931
. 3
- 0,995
0,99
31
14,458
15,655
17,539
32
15,134
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33
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34
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35
17,192
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35
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0,01
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49,480
53,486
56,328
27,219
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47,400
50,725
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57,648
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28,136
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44,903
48,602
51,966
56,061
58,964
22,465
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29,054
40,223
46,059
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53,203
57,342
60,275
21,331
23,269
25,643
29,973
41,304
47,212
50,998
54,437
58,619
61,581
0,95
0,90
0,75
19,281
21,434
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23,110
21,664
20,569
0,975
0,025
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37
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22,106
24,075
26,492
30,893
42,383
48,363
52,192
55,668
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62,883
38
19,289
20,691
22,878
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31,815
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61,162
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39
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21,426
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25,695
28,196
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44,539
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65,476
40
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22,164
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55,342
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66,766
41
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22,906
25,215
27,326
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52,949
56,942
60,561
64,950
68,053
42
22,138
23,650
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28,144
30,765
35,510
47,766
54,090
58,124
61,777
66,206
69,336
43
22,859
24,398
26,785
28,965
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48,840
55,230
59,304
62,990
67,459
70,616
44
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25,148
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29,787
32,487
37,363
49,913
56,369
60,481
64,201
68,710
71,893
45
24,311
25,901
28,366
30,612
33,350
38,291
50,985
57,505
61,656
65,410
69,957
73,166
46
25,041
26,657
29,160
31,439
34,215
39,220
52,056
58,641
62,830
66,617
71,201
74,437
47
25,775
27,416
29,956
32,268
35,081
40,149
53,127
59,774
64,001
67,821
72,443
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48
26,511
28,177
30,755
33,098
35,949
41,079
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65,171
69,023
73,683
76,969
49
27,249
28,941
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33,930
36,818
42.0
55,265
62,038
66,339
70,222
74,919
78,231
50
27,991
29,707
32,357
34,764
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42,942
56,334
63,167
67,505
71,420
76,154
79,490
51
28,735
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35,600
38,560
43,874
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68,669
72,616
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80,747
52
29,481
31,246
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44,808
58,468
65,422
69,832
73,810
78,616
82,001
53
30,230
32,018
34,776
37,276
40,308
45,741
59,534
66,548
70,993
75,002
79,843
83,253
54
30,981
32,793
35,586
38,116
41,183
46,676
60,600
67,673
72,153
76,192
81,069
84,502
55
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36,398
38,958
42,060
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56
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57
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88,236
58
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41,492
44,696
50,419
64,857
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80,936
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89,477
59
34,770
36,698
39,662
42,339
45,577
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65,919
73,279
77,931
82,117
87,166
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60
35,534
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/*, ( ).
Aposteriori contrasts, 626
Apriori contrasts, 626
Agglomerative clustering, 753
Analysis of covariance (ANCOVA), 607
Analysis of variance (ANOVA), 606
Analytical model, 78
Area sampling, 428
Attribute levels, 792
942
D
Data
analysis error, 133
services, 44
cleaning, 530
Database marketing, /55
Decision Support System, 38
Dendrogram, 750
Dependence techniques, 541
Dependent variables, 275
Depth interview, 204
Derived approaches, 783
Descriptive design, 121
Design control, 283
Diary
media panels, 169
purchase panels, 169
Dichotomous question, 381
Direct approach, 195
Directory databases, 162
Discriminant
analysis, 688
functions, 688
scores, 691
validity, 357
Divisive clustering, 753
Double
cross-validation, 675
sampling, 431
Double-barreled question, 375
Dummy variables, 535
E
Economic environment, 72
Editing, 522
Egoism, 901
Eigenvalue, 691', 722
Elbow criterion, 783
Ethics, 889
Euclidean distance, 755
Experimental design, 276
Exploratory research, 115
Expressive techniques, 272
External
analysis of preferences, 788
data, 755
validity, 278
Extraneous variables, 276
G
Gamma, 579
General izability, 358
Graphical model, 78
H
Hierarchical clustering, 753
Hypertext markup language, HTML, 236
Hypothesis testing
level of significance, 565
power of a test, 566
type I error, 565
type 11 error, 565
943
I
Icicle diagram, 751
Independent samples, 584
Industrial services, 775
Internal
analysis of preferences, 788
consistency reliability, 355
data, /55
validity, 277; 793
Internet
databases, 161
services, 43
Itemized rating scales, 342
M
Mahalanobis procedure, 709
Mail panel, 233
Management decision problem, 73
Manhattan distance, 753
Mann-Whitney U-testf 591
Marketing Information System , 37
Marketing research, 33
problem, 33; 62; 73
proposal, 134
suppliers, 39
944
external, 40
internal, 39
Mathematical model, 78
Mean, 558
square, 609
Measurement, 316
error, 132; 353
Measures of location, 558
mean, 558
median, 55<?
mode, 558
Measures of variability, 559
coefficient of variation, 560
interquartile range, 559
kurtosis, 567
range, 55P
skewness, 561
standard deviation, 560
variance, 560
Mechanical observation, 249
Median, 555
Metric data, 539
Misleading reporting, 891
Mixed-effects model, 616
Mode, 558
Multicollinearity, 671
Multidimensional scaling, 777
correspondence analysis, 790
external analysis of preferences, 788
internal analysis of preferences, 788
spatial map, 779
stress, 778
unfolding, 779
Multiple
cross-sectional designs, 121
descriminant analysis, 689
regression model, 660
time series design, 291
Multivariate techniques, 539
N
Natural observation, 248
Nominal scale, 317
Noncomparative scales, 323
Nonhierarchical clustering, 756
Nonmetric
analysis of variance, 628
correlation, 648
data, 539
MDS, 7*2
Nonparametric tests, 580
Nonprobability sampling, 417
Nonresponse
bias, 243
error, 131
Nonsampling errors, 131
Normal distribution, 470
Null hypothesis, 563
Numeric databases, 162
N-way analysis of variance, 607
Objectivism, 903
Oblique rotation, 730
Observation,^/
One-shot case study, 285
One-tailed test, 564
One-way analysis of variance, 606
Online databases, 161
Operational equivalence, 879
Order or position bias, 381
Ordinal
interaction, 624
scale, 319
Orthogonal
arrays, 793
rotation, 730
Paired
comparison scaling, 324
samples, 587
samples t-test, 588
Pairwise
delition, 532
tables, 792
Pan-cultural analysis, 543
Panel, 123
Pantry audit, 252
Parameter, 445
Parametric tests, 580
Part correlation coefficient, 647
Partial correlation coefficient, 646
Part-worth functions, 792
Perceived anonymity, 244
Percentage of variance, 722
Personal observation, 248
Pooled within-group correlation matrix, 691
Population, 410
Power of a test, 566
Precision level, 445
Preceding, 389
Preference rankings, 778
Pretesting, 392
R
Random
sampling error, 130
variable, 353
Randomization, 282
Range, 559
Rank-order scaling, 326
Ratio scale, 322
Recording error, 133
Regression analysis, 649
Relative importance weights, 792
Relevant characteristics, 83
Repeated measures analysis of variance, 628
Research design, 114
classification
conclusive, 116
descriptive, 118
causal, 126
exploratory, /75
Research questions, 80
Residual, 665
Respondent selection error, 133
Response
bias, 126
error, 131
latency, 257
rate, 243
Runs test, 590
945
Sample, 410
control, 239
size, 415
survey, 121
Sampling
statistic, 445
control, 508
distribution, 445
frame, 239; 413
error, 132
unit, 412
with replacement, 414
without replacement, 414
Scale transformation, 535
Scaling, 317
Scanner
data, 171
diary panels, 772
Scree plot, 722
Secondary data, 67; 148
Self-reference criterion, #5
Semantic differential, 344
Sign test, 594
Significance
of the interaction effect, 618
of the main effect of each factor, 619
of the overall effect, 618
Similarity/distance coefficient matrix, 751
Simple Random Sampling , 423
Simulated test market, 302
Single cross-sectional designs, 121
Single-source data, 176
Skewness, 561
Snowball sampling, 422
Solomon four-group design, 289
Spatial map, 779
Specific components of the problem, 75
Split ballot, 382
Stakeholders, 890
Standard
deviation, 560
error, 446
test market, 299
Standardization, 536
Standardized
discriminant function coefficients, 691
services, 43
Stapel scale, 345
Statistic, 445
Statistical
control, 283
design, 285
946
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regression, 281
Stepwise regression, 668
Stratified sampling, 425
Stress, 77*
Structured
data collection, 228
observation, 247
questions, 380
Substitution, 460
Summated scale, 342
Surrogate
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variables, 7J2
Survey, 165
Symbolic analysis, 205
Symmetric lambda, 579
Syndicated services, 40; 163
Systematic sampling, 424
Unfolding, 779
Univariate techniques, 539
Universal Product Code - UPC, 249
Unstructered
questions, 379
observation, 247
Unwillingness error, 133
Utilitarianism, 903
Validity, 356
Variable respecification, 534
Variance, 560
Varimax procedure, 730
Verbal
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protocols, 329
Volume tracking data, 152; 172
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